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Post Post #100 (ISO) » Fri Jan 20, 2017 3:24 pm

Post by Majiffy »

MY HORSES CANNOT BE HELD

THEY ARE WILD

WILD HORSES

COULDN'T DRAG ME AWAYYYYYY
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Post Post #101 (ISO) » Sat Jan 21, 2017 7:18 pm

Post by Drench »

The Week of December 23rd

40 days until Iowa
48 days until New Hampshire
321 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Thursday's papers:
Welcome back! Where were we. Yeah so,
scandal
for
Khan
, obviously.
Abbott
tries to drop a lit attack ad, and he fucks it up.
Reckoner
jerks off to government intervention, and is applauded. Then again, he takes a hit on the whole integrity thing, so, your mileage may vary.
Spire
continues to be perfect and I hate it.
Peanuts
chats with Greta, and does it well
McGriddles
gets slammed for his government spending plans, and
Negarir
both does well with his free trade thing and also gets owned by the media for being negative.

Friday:
It Christmas.
Khan
continues to suffer his
scandal
.
Reckoner
LOVES to intervene government-wise.
Spire
gives another stirring speech aksudfhaiusdf ugh.
Mothma
hits the trail in Tennessee, and that's it. How good are Fridays.

Saturday:
Peanuts
is on Fallon and says words and it's all really great yay!!! Also
Khan
is still having a rough one.
Serduchka
is up and getting on with it in New Hampshire, which is good because there's less than seven weeks to go.
Defender
gets some pop artists on his side, while people protest
Mothma
.

Sunday:
Abbott
does really well with Colbert, somehow, and
Mothma
welcomes immigrants in a speech which goes very poorly in re the Republican base. Anyway let's get these endorsements out of the way.
Sen. Jerry Moran
,
Khan
;
Rep. Trey Gowdy
,
Negarir
;
Ann Coulter
,
Abbott
;
Sen. Michael Bennett
,
Spire
;
Sen. Pat Roberts
,
Defender
.

Monday:
Oh no!!!
Negarir
has to contend with a
scandal
now yikes. And Democrats are up in the generic ballot.
TSL
emerges from the darkness, does well on Fallon, and then I have no idea what. Oh actually no then she goes to talk a good talk on free trade so that's great.
Abbott
goes on Colbert and while he leaves a good impression, there's a gaffe on abortion (that they shoot the babies in the womb apparently) that's gonna ring out for a bit.
Serduchka
and
McGriddles
get protested, while
Khan
hammers
Negarir
for being a War on Terror extremist.

Tuesday:
That
Negarir
scandal
is expanding, and fast, and there's also a NEW one that's even worse!!! But at least he did well on Fallon.
Reckoner
does O'Reilly and somehow they don't scream each other to death about unions??
TSL
keeps on truckin' in Nevada, while
Spire
gets some heat as the leading Democrat in the race...just because, I think.

Wednesday:
While
TSL
continues mingling in Colorado, and
Abbott
cops some flack for being too negative,
Negarir
's
scandals
continue to multiply.
Spire
is ready to fight corruption, and
Khan
gets more protests in a protesty week.

The Week That Was


Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Khan
-27,
Negarir
-22,
Mothma
-11,
Tilden-St. Leonard
+10,
McGriddles
-9,
Abbott
-6,
Spire
+4,
Peanuts
+3,
Reckoner
-3,
Defender
-3,
Serduchka
-2.


Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Health Care.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/War on Terror.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/Health Care.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Health Care.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Health Care.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Health Care.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Health Care.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Tax Rates.


Spoiler: Scandals
Scandal on Negarir!
Scandal on Negarir!


Spoiler: The rest
Abbott's attack ad has backfired.
Event "Merry Christmas!" has occurred.
Event replenishes speeches for Integrity issue.
Mothma's policy speech on the Immigration issue has backfired!
Mothma receives permanent issue penalty from policy speech on the Immigration issue.
Negarir receives permanent issue bonus from policy speech on the Tax Rates issue.
Abbott endorsed by Ann Coulter > Government Spending!
Ms. Ann Coulter is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
Negarir endorsed by Rep. Trey Gowdy > Free Trade!
Rep. Trey Gowdy is now a potential Surrogate for Negarir!
Spire endorsed by Sen. Michael Bennett > Education!
Sen. Michael Bennett is now a potential Surrogate for Spire!
Defender endorsed by Sen. Pat Roberts > Same-Sex Marriage!
Sen. Pat Roberts is now a potential Surrogate for Defender!
Khan endorsed by Sen. Jerry Moran > Role of Government!
Sen. Jerry Moran is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
TSL
,
Spire
,
Reckoner

Losing momentum:
Negarir
,
Mothma
,
Khan


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
SO CLOSE
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Post Post #102 (ISO) » Sat Jan 21, 2017 8:15 pm

Post by Drench »

The Week of December 30th

33 days until Iowa
41 days until New Hampshire
314 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Thursday's papers:
It New Year's Eve. Happy New Year's Eve.
Defender
is just nailing it talking about the War on Terror, while
Negarir
is rrrreallly suffering, his good showing on Fox News nonwithstanding.
Spire
talks tax on O'Reilly, to good effect, as does
Serduchka
.
TSL
gets the knife stuck into
Negarir
on the trail, while
Abbott
tries to solidify his position in New Hampshire.

Friday:
TSL
is RICH babes!!!!
Negarir
continues to take hits, while
Khan
cops it a bit for being negative.
Reckoner
is on the end of a harsh
McGriddles
attack ad, as
Mothma
finds herself confronting protesters at an event.

Saturday:
Defender
? Meet the Press? A match made in heaven.
Negarir
both does well on O'Reilly and continues suffering elsewhere. And a lot of people did a lot of things and it had no effect whatsoever. So, like, whatever.

Sunday:
Lookit,
Khan
did super well on Meet the Press, and
Serduchka
gives a speech that moves no needles.
Abbott
is probably hoping for that after a badly received speech on integrity, and
Peanuts
gets along with Maddow. And, endorsements.
Gov. Robert Bentley
,
Abbott
;
Gov. Asa Hutchinson
,
Negarir
;
Sen. Rand Paul
,
Khan
;
Sen. Mitch McConnell
,
Defender
.

Monday:
Democrats continue to beat Republicans in the generic, while
Reckoner
barnstorms in Minnesota.
Khan
has a new
scandal
to deal with, and slams
Defender
's leadership.
Negarir
gets protested, but his plan for The Gays is applauded.

Tuesday:
Abbott
runs into a minor
scandal
about the legitimacy of his onion bite.
Khan
hops onto Maddow and doesn't fuck it.
Defender
loves corruption but in that way where you hate it except for how it gives you higher poll numbers.
Negarir
gets slammed on the campaign trail, and
Spire
enjoys a concert put on just for him.

Wednesday:
Defender
and
Mothma
: too negative? Apparently, yes.
Negarir
gets protested, and
Abbott's
scandal
continues. Etc etc etc.

The Crystal Ball


Hey things have changed, huh.

The Republicans


1. Negarir (91 points)
2. Abbott (63 points)
3. Defender (46 points)
4. Khan (41 points)
5. TSL (30 points)
6. Mothma (28 points)

Well, Negarir's hold on the lead has softened, and that's great for fans of close elections. His entire advantage here is his endorsement strength, so unless that really puts a dent in anyone else's plans, it looks like this thing is wide wide open.

The Democrats


1. Spire (76 points)
2. Reckoner (45 points)
3. Serduchka (40 points)
4. Peanuts (39 points)
5. McGriddles (23 points)

Okay so Spire still has some advantage here. It's mainly that as a candidate, he is just very very good, and his polling is solid. But, you take just one of those away, and this is very close. So there's a tightening going on.

Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Negarir
-27,
Abbott
-10,
Tilden-St. Leonard
+5,
Serduchka
+4,
Mothma
-4,
Khan
-3,
Defender
+3,
Spire
+1,
Peanuts
+1,
Reckoner
-1.


Spoiler: Ads
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Leadership.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Military Intervention.
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Leadership.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Health Care.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Leadership.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Health Care.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Health Care.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Government Spending.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Health Care.


Spoiler: Scandals
Scandal on Khan!
Scandal on Abbott!


Spoiler: The rest
Event "Happy New Year's Eve!" has occurred.
Event replenishes speeches for Integrity issue.
Khan receives permanent issue bonus from policy speech on the Corruption issue.
Event "Happy New Year's!" has occurred.
Event replenishes speeches for Integrity issue.
New endorser available > Northern Mariana Islands > Gov. Ralph Torres.
Abbott's policy speech on the Integrity issue has backfired!
Abbott receives permanent issue penalty from policy speech on the Integrity issue.
Defender receives permanent issue bonus from policy speech on the Corruption issue.
REP primaries debate in 8 days.
DEM primaries debate in 11 days.
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Robert Bentley > Immigration!
Gov. Robert Bentley is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
Negarir endorsed by Gov. Asa Hutchinson > Tax Rates!
Gov. Asa Hutchinson is now a potential Surrogate for Negarir!
Defender endorsed by Sen. Mitch McConnell > Education!
Sen. Mitch McConnell is now a potential Surrogate for Defender!
Khan endorsed by Sen. Rand Paul > Corruption!
Sen. Rand Paul is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
Reckoner, McGriddles, Peanuts

Losing momentum:
Negarir, Defender, Mothma


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
asdlfihasiudfh the republicans are literally going apeshit and there's 4 weeks until iowa keep it COMING
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Post Post #103 (ISO) » Sat Jan 21, 2017 8:46 pm

Post by Drench »

The Week of January 6th, 2016

26 days until Iowa
34 days until New Hampsire
307 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Thursday's papers:
Wew lads! It's 2016 which means we are literally less than four weeks from Iowa. So.
Serduchka
gives a speech.
Reckoner
tries to go on the attack and fails.
Peanuts
is protested. That's actually it, what a boring day. Oh, and the
next Republican debate is in a week.


Friday:
Reckoner
and
Negarir
are stumping in the early states, to good effect.
Reckoner's
attack ad causes a couple more problems for him.
Spire
gives an unnoticed speech.
TSL
apparently only attacks other people nowadays; this time being on
Negarir's
back.

Saturday:
Reckoner
gets protested :( so does
TSL
:( :( But, on the bright side,
Abbott's
gun control policies (aka be sane) are a hit on Fallon. That
Spire
speech gets spun a little negatively by
Reckoner
. Literally this week is so slow.

Sunday:
Serduchka
manages to arrive at the Fox News Sunday studios on an actual Sunday, so we're all very proud. Also her campaign is too negative apparently so asodiufhbasiudofas.
Reckoner
is good on Maddow, as well, but we're really here for the weekly endorsements.
Sen. Dean Heller
,
Defender
;
Gov. Matt Bevin
,
Abbott
;
Sen. Kelly Ayotte
,
Khan
;
Sen. Dick Durban
,
McGriddles
;
Gov. Nathan Deal
,
Negarir
; and
Sen. Joe Donnelly
,
Serduchka
.
The next Democratic debate is in a week.


Monday:
Negarir
is being a bit negative, yikes! Dems are still ahead in the generic, while
Mothma
lets everyone know that she's got the most integrity.
Spire
is slammed by
McGriddles
, and both
Abbott
and
TSL
are protested at their events. And
Reckoner
gets a concert!

Tuesday:
Khan
just can't stop having
scandals
!!! Although this one is kinda minor. Both
Negarir
and
McGriddles
are quite good on Meet the Press.
Mothma
fumbles a speech on experience, while
Serduchka
and
Reckoner
are good with Greta.
Spire
makes a keynote speech on gun control, but also takes some heat for not being better in the generic against Republicans.

Wednesday:
The
Khan
scandal
continues apace, although it's slowing.
McGriddles
hits up Virginia, and surprisingly well, too. That is all the new news apparently.

The Week That Was


for some reason this was a super slow week but i'm not complaining because spire got owned
i root for close elections thanks

Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Khan
-9,
Negarir
-8,
Mothma
-5,
McGriddles
+4,
Spire
-3,
Tilden-St. Leonard
-2,
Defender
-2,
Abbott
-2,
Peanuts
-1,
Reckoner
+-,
Serduchka
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Military Intervention.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/War on Terror.
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/War on Terror.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Military Intervention.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/War on Terror.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/War on Terror.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Health Care.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/Health Care.


Spoiler: Scandals
Scandal on Khan!


Spoiler: The rest
Reckoner's attack ad has backfired.
Mothma receives permanent issue bonus from policy speech on the Integrity issue.
New endorser available > Louisiana > Gov. John Bel Edwards.
Mothma's policy speech on the Experience issue has backfired!
Mothma receives permanent issue penalty from policy speech on the Experience issue.
Negarir endorsed by Gov. Nathan Deal > Education!
Gov. Nathan Deal is now a potential Surrogate for Negarir!
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Matt Bevin > War on Terror!
Gov. Matt Bevin is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
McGriddles endorsed by Sen. Dick Durbin > Gun Control!
Sen. Dick Durbin is now a potential Surrogate for McGriddles!
Serduchka endorsed by Sen. Joe Donnelly > Issue Familiarity!
Sen. Joe Donnelly is now a potential Surrogate for Serduchka!
Defender endorsed by Sen. Dean Heller > Education!
Sen. Dean Heller is now a potential Surrogate for Defender!
Khan endorsed by Sen. Kelly Ayotte > Unions!
Sen. Kelly Ayotte is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
Reckoner, McGriddles, Serduchka

Losing momentum:
Negarir
,
Spire
,
Khan


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
things......are......getting..................lit
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Post Post #104 (ISO) » Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:49 pm

Post by Drench »

The Week of January 13th

19 days until Iowa
27 days until New Hampshire
300 days until the Presidential Election


less than three weeks. take a fucking sip, babes

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Thursday's papers:
Let's roll.
Defender
is out on the streets decrying corruption (which only Democrats do anyway) and hitting up Colbert about free trade. And yikes for
Abbott
; a
scandal
is taking hold, although it seems minor. We've got protesters at
Negarir
and
Serduchka
events, whilst
Khan
cops a spray from
Mothma
. And
McGriddles
has an okay run on Meet the Press. So basically, the stage is set for this debate.

THE FOURTH
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
DEBATE

Thursday, January 14th, 2016


There were four pretenders and two actual debaters on that stage. The four were, in no particular order:
Defender
, whose attack against
Mothma
fell flat;
Abbott
, who tried to make
Negarir
look bad, and both
Khan
and
TSL
, who were both able to at least make themselves look a little bit better.
TSL
was a surprise to see do competently: her issue familiarity is an Achilles' heel in this format, but she managed to cope regardless. But, obviously,
Negarir
and
Mothma
stole the show, and were both able to highly successfully boast about their own achievements. Preparation trumps talent, though, and
Mothma
came out on top.

1. Mothma (10 points)
2. Negarir (8 points)
3. TSL (3 points)
3. Khan (3 points)
5. Abbott (0 points)
6. Defender (0 points)

Headlines, Continued


Friday:
Mothma
has another favourable news cycle, but here's the thing: can she finally capitalize on it? History suggests no, but she's got a boost in the news for the time being.
Negarir
is back out, talking on the issues (literally just how much he knows about the issues), and
McGriddles
awkwardly says he doesn't have integrity.
Abbott's
troubles are fading as expected,
Spire
gets some protesting, and yep. That's all.

Saturday:
Negarir
leads the papers with a well-received speech on how killing terrorists is good.
Reckoner
hits up Vermont and its proclivity to spend money, while also calling for unions to continue existing, which people are into. And
Mothma
has not tried to further spin her debate win, so wow, colour me shocked.

Sunday:
Negarir
leads again! Except, this time, for being too negative, so yikes.
Peanuts
and
Mothma
both do well on Meet the Press and Colbert, respectively, while
Defender
does a good barnstorm on integrity. And now, endorsements.
Gov. Terry Branstad
,
Abbott
;
Sen. Jim Inhofe
,
Khan
; and
Sen. Ed Markey
,
Serduchka
. Is it going to affect the debate? Probably not, but eh.

THE FOURTH
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
DEBATE

Sunday, January 17th, 2016


Wew lads. You know how like, when
Reckoner
gets mad and he just shouts a lot? And you know how that's usually like, a little bit offputting? This time, it was not, and
Peanuts
had no chance because of it. Obviously,
McGriddles
languished near the bottom, with no standout moments. As usual. But
Peanuts
ended up performing really badly, and it was to the benefit of both
Reckoner
and
Serduchka
, who ended up beating expectations (not that it counts for much, I guess).
Serduchka
did try to pile on
Peanuts
, and it did backfire, but she was obviously energized in a way she hadn't been in previous debates. And
Reckoner's
own charisma and energy also contributed to an impressive performance. But, oh look, what a shock,
Spire
takes it, in part with mighty natural debating skills and intense preparation on the issues.

I suspect this is the last debate before Iowa. If not, we'll see you there; if so, that was the last parting shot before the sprint. Good luck.

1. Spire (10 points)
2. Reckoner (7 points)
3. Serduchka (5 points)
4. Peanuts (2 points)
5. McGriddles (0 points)

Headlines, Continued


Monday:
Spire
won, so I welcome death now.
Negarir
is raising an absolute fuckton of money and that's good for him, especially since questions about his negativity remain.
Mothma
does pretty well on Colbert, and
Serduchka
suffers some protesters at an event.

Tuesday:
Negarir
is just having a really big week. The fundraiser is still news, and a really good run on Fox News Sunday is bumping him up a lil bit more.
Spire's
debate win has been spun into uselessness, to the delight of many, and
Serduchka
gives a rallying cry consisting of the words "let's spend more money".

Wednesday:
Khan
will not be outdone!!! He has also made money.
Abbott
is being too negative, and
Reckoner
hits up Nevada. And a lot of sniping's going on as well.
Peanuts
cops it from
Serduchka
, and
Defender
targets
Mothma
, while
Peanuts
tries for
McGriddles
in Minnesota.

The Week That Was


Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Mothma
+14,
Negarir
+11,
Abbott
-9,
Reckoner
+8,
Defender
+5,
Spire
+4,
Serduchka
-4,
McGriddles
-3,
Peanuts
+1,
Khan
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/War on Terror.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/Free Trade.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Government Spending.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/War on Terror.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Military Intervention.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Immigration.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/Health Care.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Military Intervention.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/War on Terror.


Spoiler: Scandals
Scandal on Abbott!


Spoiler: The rest
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Terry Branstad > Integrity!
Gov. Terry Branstad is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
Serduchka endorsed by Sen. Ed Markey > Health Care!
Sen. Ed Markey is now a potential Surrogate for Serduchka!
Khan endorsed by Sen. Jim Inhofe > Military Intervention!
Sen. Jim Inhofe is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
Negarir, Khan, Mothma

Losing momentum:
McGriddles, Spire, Peanuts


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
Next update is the last weekly one before Iowa. Also your last update on the numbers in Iowa.
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Post Post #105 (ISO) » Sat Jan 21, 2017 11:59 pm

Post by inspiratieloos »

In post 101, Drench wrote:Spire continues to be perfect and I hate it.
I was wondering, is my candidate constantly going QUIETLY COMPETENT on everyone's asses a matter of just having a different skill allocation than the others or just plain luck?
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Post Post #106 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 12:03 am

Post by Drench »

your candidate is like, maxed out on the key character attributes (leadership/experience/integrity), and your campaign is maxed out on corruption (1, i.e. least corrupt), so it's definitely a matter of allocation
the problem is that it didn't leave room for much else but it doesn't seem to be hurting right now because your attributes are weighted towards winning the primary (literally, in primary rather than general), so i think it'd be super interesting to watch the general if you do get up
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Post Post #107 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:31 am

Post by xRECKONERx »

i dont even remember doing points for this
green shirt thursdays
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Post Post #108 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 9:08 am

Post by Kublai Khan »

I'm getting pretty regular endorsements from a large variety of sources. Does that translate into a better long game?
Occasionally intellectually honest

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Post Post #109 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 12:41 pm

Post by Aronis »

In post 107, xRECKONERx wrote:i dont even remember doing points for this
I don't either.

Why is my candidate so awful Drench?
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Post Post #110 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:05 pm

Post by Drench »

idk man

hey iowa's gonna happen by midnight est get rowdy
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Post Post #111 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:15 pm

Post by Kublai Khan »

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Occasionally intellectually honest

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Post Post #112 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:08 pm

Post by Drench »

The Week of January 20th

12 days until Iowa
20 days until New Hampshire
293 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Thursday's papers:
Twelve days.
Peanuts
is hard at work attacking
McGriddles
via advertisement, while the latter shines on Meet the Press.
Khan
keeps earning money, which is great, but also Iowa is in 12 so like, priorities. And to his credit, he's got a surrogate out in Massachusetts (of all places), but there are protesters there, so.
Mothma
endures a few protesters, while
Negarir
is also flush with cash and makes a nice impression on FNS.
Reckoner's
John Kerry is up in Nevada,
Abbott
is accused of being too negative, and
Mothma
hits a bum note in a speech on corruption.
The next Republican primary debate is in a week.


Friday:
khan
rich good rich.
Mothma
is nailing it on integrity, which is nice. More protests at
Defender
events in Tennessee,
Peanuts
goes double in Iowa, and
Spire's
speech on integrity is not that enthralling but is in fact the opposite.

Saturday:
Someone's been mining the oppo mines today folks!!! TWO
Abbott
scandals[/b]
AND a
Peanuts
scandal[/b]
drops today, and wow, they're all pretty meaty. I have no clue what actually happened but I'm gonna assume that they all did pretty sordid stuff like have orgies or something because it's integrity all the way down folks. Away from that catastrophe,
TSL
does well with Greta, and
Mothma
continues her positive press with a good speech on government spending.
Serduchka
gaffes on corruption, calling it "good", while
McGriddles
slams
Reckoner
as an extremist on the War on Terror, somehow.

Sunday:
Well, congrats to
Abbott
, who had so much bad press that nobody bothered to spin it. No congratulations to
Peanuts
, for whom that is not applying.
Khan
goes in on military intervention on FNS, while
Negarir
gets some heat for his negativity :( Also,
Reckoner
is chilling in Alabama for some reason, and he hates
McGriddles
right back about the War on Terror. And we also have the second last round of endorsements before Iowa, folks.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren
,
McGriddles
;
Sen. Lamar Alexander
,
Khan
;
Sen. Lindsey Graham
,
Mothma
;
Gov. Sam Brownback
,
Abbott
; and
Gov. Jerry Brown
,
Negarir
(!). And lastly, this headline is presented without comment.

Image

Monday:
I can't deal with the front page. Literally it's just
Abbott
,
Abbott
,
Peanuts
. Sucks to suck.
Negarir
continues battling questions of negativity.
Serduchka
and
Peanuts
both are good on the pundit shows, and now, Republicans have drawn level with Democrats in the generic.
TSL
gets attacked by
Negarir
(how negative!), and
Spire
comes under fire from Sec. of State John Fucking Kerry in Arkansas.
Defender
keeps on keepin' on in Oklahoma, and Hardball welcomes good performer
Reckoner
.

Tuesday:
God, I mean,
Peanuts
apparently has negative momentum. No shit.
Khan
does well on FNS as Iowa inches closer, while those
scandals
are still a few days from disappearing.
McGriddles
tries his best to talk about education on Maddow, and mostly succeeds, while
Abbott
tries to push past all other questions and talk about immigration instead on On The Record. He's also in Vermont, where he gets protested; so does
Khan
at a Bush 43 event.

There is one week until Iowa for the Republicans and Democrats.


Wednesday:
TSL
is rich!!!! Sky is blue!!!!! Water is wet!!!!!!!!!! As if he couldn't handle more bad news,
Peanuts
royally fucks a speech on tax, while
Reckoner
keeps on with education.
McGriddles
, not to be outdone by the latter, tries also to make a great speech, and fails dramatically
Negarir
lays out how he's got the most integrity, or something, and
Mothma
attacks
Abbott
for being a terrible leader who'll probably get rolled in six months.

See you in Iowa.

The Week That Was


I literally have no fucking clue what's going to happen. Four in ten voters on the Democratic side are undecided in Iowa. Abbott's got a pretty solid lead, but there's five days for this momentum to play out. Who knows. Far out.

Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Abbott
-58,
Peanuts
-49,
Khan
+23,
Negarir
-10,
Spire
-6,
McGriddles
-5,
Mothma
+5,
Reckoner
+3,
Tilden-St. Leonard
+3,
Serduchka
-2,
Defender
+1.


Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/War on Terror.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Leadership.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Immigration.
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/Leadership.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Immigration.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Military Intervention.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Leadership.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/War on Terror.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.


Spoiler: Scandals
Scandal on Abbott!
Scandal on Abbott!
Scandal on Peanuts!


Spoiler: The rest
Democratic Iowa Caucuses in 5 days!
Republican Iowa Caucuses in 5 days!
REP primaries debate tomorrow.
REP primaries debate in 10 days.
DEM primaries debate in 8 days.
Peanuts's policy speech on the Tax Rates issue has backfired!
Peanuts receives permanent issue penalty from policy speech on the Tax Rates issue.
Negarir endorsed by Gov. Jerry Brown > Military Intervention!
Gov. Jerry Brown is now a potential Surrogate for Negarir!
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Sam Brownback > Iran!
Gov. Sam Brownback is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
McGriddles endorsed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren > Defense Spending!
Sen. Elizabeth Warren is now a potential Surrogate for McGriddles!
Mothma endorsed by Sen. Lindsey Graham > Integrity!
Sen. Lindsey Graham is now a potential Surrogate for Mothma!
Khan endorsed by Sen. Lamar Alexander > Education!
Sen. Lamar Alexander is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
Khan, TSL, Mothma

Losing momentum:
Peanuts
,
Abbott
,
McGriddles


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
So, up next, your last look at Iowa in depth before the election happens. Then, we go day-by-day. And, five day-by-days later, Iowa is in. whew
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Post Post #113 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:12 pm

Post by Drench »

and here are the iowa maps, five days out

Image

34.2% undecided aosidufhasdfuoabsdf literally anyone could win

Image

abbott probably has this, probably

and last thing i'll say: polling in this game is never 100% accurate. expect deviation
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Post Post #114 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:27 pm

Post by Drench »

January 27th

5 days until Iowa
13 days until New Hampshire
286 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines


Five days. The
scandals
have not disappeared for
Abbott
and
Peanuts
.
TSL
holds a fundraiser, does well on Meet the Press, but gets attacked for being too negative.
Spire
is pretty good on Fallon.
Peanuts
, too, does it good on Meet the Press, but he did fuck up that speech on tax, so. Protesters are spotted at
TSL
,
Mothma
and
Negarir
events. Endorsements, now.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar
,
Serduchka
;
Sen. John Cornyn
,
Khan
;
Sen. Bob Corker
,
Mothma
; and
Gov. Nikki Haley
,
Abbott
.
The next Democratic primary debate is in a week.


In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Abbott
-6,
Peanuts
-4,
Spire
+3,
McGriddles
-2,
Tilden-St. Leonard
-1,
Negarir
-1,
Mothma
-1,
Serduchka
+-,
Reckoner
+-,
Khan
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
No ads produced.


Spoiler: Scandals
No new ones today.


Spoiler: The rest
Republican Iowa Caucuses in 4 days!
Democratic Iowa Caucuses in 4 days!
REP primaries debate tonight!
REP primaries debate in 9 days.
DEM primaries debate in 7 days.
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Nikki Haley > Free Trade!
Gov. Nikki Haley is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
Serduchka endorsed by Sen. Amy Klobuchar > Role of Government!
Sen. Amy Klobuchar is now a potential Surrogate for Serduchka!
Mothma endorsed by Sen. Bob Corker > Experience!
Sen. Bob Corker is now a potential Surrogate for Mothma!
Khan endorsed by Sen. John Cornyn > Government Spending!
Sen. John Cornyn is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
Khan, Mothma

Losing momentum:
Peanuts
,
Abbott
,
McGriddles


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
The last debate before Iowa.
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Post Post #115 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:39 pm

Post by Drench »

January 28th

4 days until Iowa
12 days until New Hampshire
285 days until the Presidential Election


THE FIFTH
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
DEBATE


The last debate before Iowa, and all through the house, not a creature was stirring, especially the five other people who weren't the winner.
Abbott
did predictably badly, owing to his usually terrible charisma, and landed in the negatives.
TSL
tried her best to at least make a dent, but her attack on
Defender
was successfully parried, and her issue familiarity once again is a massive weight around her neck. But, that's not to say
Defender
did great either, because he tried to boast and it just fell flat. Where it didn't fall flat was
Khan
and
Mothma
, who both at least managed to get words in the right order when talking about their own achievements. But, that leaves one, who soared above the rest, and managed to put
Khan
in his place;
Negarir
. Of course, Iowa has always been
Abbott's
to lose, despite his bad debate performances. Is it going to matter?

1. Negarir (8 points)
2. Mothma (4 points)
2. Khan (4 points)
4. Defender (3 points)
5. TSL (1 point)
6. Abbott (-1 point)

Headlines


Four days.
Negarir
gets a much-needed boost from his debate win.
Khan
and
McGriddles
both do especially well on the pundit shows.
TSL
faces down more questions about negativity.
Abbott
still faces a minor hiccup from his debate faux pas.
Serduchka
has surrogates all up in Vermont, while
Mothma
is still getting protested.
Defender
has stuff going in Tennessee, and there's a lot more endorsements.
Sen. John Barrasso
,
Khan
;
Gov. Bill Haslam
,
Abbott
;
Sen. Al Franken
,
McGriddles
; and
Sen. Mike Enzi
,
Mothma
.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Negarir
+5,
Tilden-St. Leonard
-4,
McGriddles
+3,
Khan
+2,
Mothma
-2,
Abbott
-1,
Peanuts
+1,
Defender
+1,
Serduchka
+-,
Spire
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
No ads produced.


Spoiler: Scandals
No new ones today.


Spoiler: The rest
Republican Iowa Caucuses in 3 days!
Democratic Iowa Caucuses in 3 days!
REP primaries debate in 8 days.
DEM primaries debate in 6 days.
DEM primaries debate in 13 days.
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Bill Haslam > Health Care!
Gov. Bill Haslam is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
McGriddles endorsed by Sen. Al Franken > Social Security!
Sen. Al Franken is now a potential Surrogate for McGriddles!
Mothma endorsed by Sen. Mike Enzi > Role of Government!
Sen. Mike Enzi is now a potential Surrogate for Mothma!
Khan endorsed by Sen. John Barrasso > Free Trade!
Sen. John Barrasso is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!


Gaining momentum:
Negarir, Mothma, Khan

Losing momentum:
Peanuts
,
Abbott
,
Reckoner


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
more like 72 hours until iowa amirite fellas
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Post Post #116 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:00 pm

Post by Drench »

January 29th

3 days until Iowa
11 days until New Hampshire
284 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines


Three days.
Abbott
is a petty binch and spun
Negarir's
debate out of positive existence asudhfaiusdf.
Reckoner
talks tax on Maddow because his fingers are on the Iowan PULSE (apparently though it was good. But,
McGriddles
isn't done with him and attacks him again on his War on Terror policies whew.
Peanuts
does alright on Meet the Press, and a lot of people do a lot of things that have no positive or negative slant whatsoever, including
Khan
and
McGriddles
appearances on pundit shows. And, golly, more endorsements still.
Abbott
gets
Gov. Greg Abbott
(lmao).

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Tilden-St. Leonard
-2,
Abbott
+1,
Reckoner
+1,
Peanuts
+1,
Khan
+-,
McGriddles
+-,
Negarir
+-,
Mothma
+-,
Spire
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/Government Spending.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/Government Spending.


Spoiler: Scandals
No new ones today.


Spoiler: The rest
Republican Iowa Caucuses in 2 days!
Democratic Iowa Caucuses in 2 days!
Republican New Hampshire Primary in 10 days!
Democratic New Hampshire Primary in 10 days!
REP primaries debate in 7 days.
DEM primaries debate in 5 days.
DEM primaries debate in 12 days.
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Greg Abbott > War on Terror!
Gov. Greg Abbott is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!


Gaining momentum:
Negarir, Defender

Losing momentum:
Peanuts
,
TSL
,
Abbott


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
FORTY EIGHT
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Post Post #117 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:02 pm

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Image

Do I exist still?
“The assumption of good faith is dead”

(profile pic by datisi)
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Post Post #118 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:06 pm

Post by Drench »

not in the news
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Post Post #119 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:29 pm

Post by Drench »

January 30th

2 days until Iowa
10 days until New Hampshire
283 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines


Dos.
Spire
talks up his government spending policy, while
Abbott
tries to hit
Mothma
on the same.
Negarir
loves guns a lot and his speech lets you know it. That's all the news. Literally. Also, endorsements, I guess.
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen
goes for
McGriddles
, and
Abbott
gets another one in the form of
Gov. Matt Mead.


In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Spire
+3,
Negarir
+2,
Reckoner
+1,
Abbott
+-,
Mothma
+-,
Khan
+-,
Tilden-St. Leonard
+-,
McGriddles
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
No new productions today.


Spoiler: Scandals
No new ones today.


Spoiler: The rest
Republican Iowa Caucuses in 1 day!
Democratic Iowa Caucuses in 1 day!
Republican New Hampshire Primary in 9 days!
Democratic New Hampshire Primary in 9 days!
REP primaries debate in 13 days.
REP primaries debate in 6 days.
DEM primaries debate in 4 days.
DEM primaries debate in 11 days.
Abbott endorsed by Gov. Matt Mead > Government Spending!
Gov. Matt Mead is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
McGriddles endorsed by Sen. Jeanne Shaheen > Military Intervention!
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen is now a potential Surrogate for McGriddles!
Spire receives permanent issue bonus from policy speech on the Government Spending issue.


Gaining momentum:
Negarir, Defender,
Serduchka

Losing momentum:
Reckoner
,
TSL
,
McGriddles


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
:)
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Post Post #120 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:45 pm

Post by Drench »

January 31st

1 day until Iowa
9 days until New Hampshire
282 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines


Uno. Republicans and Democrats are dead even in the generic.
Reckoner
faces lingering questions about his negative campaign.
Negarir
gives a compelling speech on government spending, meets voters in Georgia, and does Maddow, for a busy day.
Abbott
gets another endorsement, from
Sen. Dan Sullivan
.
TSL
is also in Georgia, and is doing well on the whole invade countries thing. And of course, the Iowa caucus is tonight.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Negarir
+7,
Reckoner
-3,
Mothma
-2,
Tilden-St. Leonard
+1,
Serduchka
+1,
Abbott
+-,
Spire
+-,
McGriddles
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Health Care.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Health Care.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Leadership.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Leadership.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/War on Terror.


Spoiler: Scandals
No new ones today.


Spoiler: The rest
Republican Iowa Caucuses today!
Democratic Iowa Caucuses today!
Republican New Hampshire Primary in 8 days!
Democratic New Hampshire Primary in 8 days!
REP primaries debate in 12 days.
REP primaries debate in 5 days.
DEM primaries debate in 3 days.
DEM primaries debate in 10 days.
Abbott endorsed by Sen. Dan Sullivan > Issue Familiarity!
Sen. Dan Sullivan is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!


Gaining momentum:
Negarir, Defender

Losing momentum:
Reckoner
,
Khan
,
McGriddles


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
Next update, someone's gonna win Iowa. #hype
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Post Post #121 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:31 pm

Post by N »

In every update, Drench wrote:
Abbott
cops some flack for being too negative
well, duh
GTKAS

Share And Enjoy
(go stick your head in a pig)
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Post Post #122 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:33 pm

Post by Drench »

IOWA


The caucus began at 7pm sharp. No formal threshold exists to earn delegates in the Republican caucus, but since there are only thirty delegates up for grabs, a candidate must poll at least
3.2%~
to win delegates. The Democratic caucus, as with all caucuses and primaries in the Democratic contest, has a threshold of
15%
to earn delegates.

The caucus has been a tale of opposites, especially what appears to be the relatively settled Republican contest and the up-for-grabs Democratic one. So, let's do the former first.

Image


Spoiler: The Iowa Republican Caucus; Monday, 1st February, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In sixth place, with 13,038 votes and 7% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims two delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.2%.

In fifth place, with 16,909 votes and 9% of the vote,
Khan
. He claims three delegates, and underperforms final polling by 1%.

In fourth place, with 25,254 votes and 13.5% of the vote,
Negarir
. He claims four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 1.2%.

In third place, with 26,244 votes and 14% of the vote,
TSL
. He claims four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.9%.

























The winner of the Iowa Republican caucus...


















































With 75,114 votes, and 40.2% of the vote...















Image
Tony Abbott
12 delegates won
-0.2% from polling


In second place, with 30,373 votes, and 16.2% of the vote, was
Mothma
. She earns five delegates and overperforms polling by 2.2%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Abbott40.2%75,11412 dels-0.2%
Mothma16.2%30,3735 dels+2.2%
TSL14.0%26,2444 dels+0.9%
Negarir13.5%25,2544 dels+1.2%
Khan9.0%16,9093 dels-1.0%
Defender7.0%13,0382 dels+0.2%
Total161,67830 dels


The Democrats had a tight race--it could truly go to anyone. Especially when over 3 in 10 voters are undecided heading to the caucus, if they vote at all.

Image


Spoiler: The Iowa Democratic Caucus; Monday, 1st February, 2016
The final results have been certified. Unlike the real world, votes tonight are reported as actual votes, and not State Delegate Equivalents.

In fifth place, with 11,126 votes and 6.5% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.9%.

In fourth place, with 16,418 votes and 9.6% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 2.2%.
































In third place, with 18,662 votes and 10.9% of the vote...
































...
Spire
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by a massive 9.8%.



















The winner of the Iowa Democratic caucus...





























































With 104,835 votes, and 61.3% of the vote...










































































...overperforming final polling by 43.6%...













































































Image
Verka Serduchka
51 delegates won
+43.6% from polling


In second place, with 20,068 votes and 11.7% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 5.8%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Serduchka61.3%104,83551 dels43.6%
Peanuts11.7%20,0680 dels-5.8%
Spire10.9%18,6620 dels-9.8%
McGriddles9.6%16,4180 dels+2.2%
Reckoner6.5%11,1260 dels-1.9%
Total171,10951 dels
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Post Post #123 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:37 pm

Post by Drench »

January 31st

8 days until New Hampshire
19 days until South Carolina (Republican) and Nevada (Democratic)
281 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines


Iowa is done and dusted.
Abbott
and
Serduchka
dominate the headlines massively (12 extent, folks). Nothing else is gonna punch through, but let's assume it does.
Negarir
was a good sport on Fallon and does a thing about education.
Mothma
decries government spending on Meet the Press.
Serduchka
makes bank. And, endorsements:
Abbott
takes
Sen. Tom Cotton
,
McGriddles
has
Sen. Patrick Leahy
, and
Spire
's got
Sen. Harry Reid
on his side.

The Crystal Ball


Yoooooo

The Republicans


1. Negarir (86 points)
2. Abbott (60 points)
3. Khan (46 points)
4. Defender (40 points)
5. Mothma (32 points)
6. TSL (25 points)

Abbott's closing the gap, and Negarir just needs to rely on that institutional support. Is it going to be enough? I don't know, but if there are warning sighs, it's Khan's superior campaign organization, Abbott's massive ground game, and Negarir's relative fundraising weakness.

The Democrats


1. Spire (79 points)
2. Serduchka (49 points)
3. Reckoner (43 points)
4. Peanuts (35 points)
5. McGriddles (29 points)

Spire still has a massive polling advantage, funds advantage, candidate advantage, and ground game advantage. But, then again. He just lost a winnable caucus. All that could be said is, if Spire falters, this is wide open.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
Serduchka
+14,
Abbott
+9,
Negarir
+6,
Mothma
+2,
Reckoner
-2,
Khan
+1,
Spire
+-,
McGriddles
+-,
Tilden-St. Leonard
+-.


Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Military Intervention.
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/Military Intervention.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Government Spending.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Immigration.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Leadership.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/Government Spending.


Spoiler: Scandals
No new ones today.


Spoiler: The rest
Abbott wins in Iowa!
Serduchka wins in Iowa!
Republican New Hampshire Primary in 7 days!
Democratic New Hampshire Primary in 7 days!
REP primaries debate in 11 days.
REP primaries debate in 4 days.
DEM primaries debate in 2 days.
DEM primaries debate in 9 days.
Abbott endorsed by Sen. Tom Cotton > Unions!
Sen. Tom Cotton is now a potential Surrogate for Abbott!
Spire endorsed by Sen. Harry Reid > Gun Control!
Sen. Harry Reid is now a potential Surrogate for Spire!
McGriddles endorsed by Sen. Patrick Leahy > War on Terror!
Sen. Patrick Leahy is now a potential Surrogate for McGriddles!


Gaining momentum:
Negarir, Defender

Losing momentum:
Reckoner
,
Khan
,
McGriddles


MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates aren't in this update, but will probably be in the next one onwards.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
New Hampshire is in seven days. See you soooooon
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Post Post #124 (ISO) » Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:00 pm

Post by Majiffy »

Suck it Reck


Also I've got both Warren and Franken so as far as I'm concerned I already won this thing, at least morally.
Only playing in games at personal moderator and/or 50%+ playerlist request.


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