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Post #82 (isolation #4) » Thu Mar 24, 2022 9:56 pm
Postby Somnus »
While I like cats and mostly dislike puns, I'm not in favor of this inauthentic-feeling (NOT feline) "town" block. It feels like quick and easy vote protection and not natural.
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Post #83 (isolation #5) » Thu Mar 24, 2022 9:58 pm
Postby Somnus »
I pretend town-read Alianna last game based on tone alone. Not much content to go on yet for really anyone beyond this questionable town block, but if Alianna can put the knife away for a bit, she does feel towny to me based exclusively on early tone and nothing else.
In post 13, furtiveglance wrote:Oh no, an SE has me as Lockscum already! I'm frozen. I should make a joke. How did they know? Accuse them of cheating. No. Pretend I didn't see their post. Ignore it forever, just like my coursework.
Hello everyone, I've been told it's scummy to greet the game but I want to anyway. I look forward to playing with you all
I will keep my vote for now so when I do drop it it's (hopefully) less random.
0/10 no cat puns
You'll be my first nightkill
@furtive
No cat puns is good, will you join me in the anti cat revolution?
We shall overthrow the cats so birds and goldfish can live in peave and not get eaten.
I actually love cats and have a pet cat, I just don't love cat puns. But I would love to join and cofound the anti-cat pun alliance (ACPA).
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Post #90 (isolation #9) » Thu Mar 24, 2022 10:14 pm
Postby Somnus »
Correct. My early impression is that it's to form a block for the purposes of voting protection and that any cat-related content regarding it is irrelevant.
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Post #103 (isolation #11) » Thu Mar 24, 2022 11:08 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 101, GoldfishFromTheMoon wrote:I read through your first game on this sight Somnus and noticed you joined the "golden girls townblock" right at the beginning which then kinda protected you.
Are you afraid that that is what is happening with me and furtiveglance right now and one of us is scum deceiveing the other into trusting them?
If so your fears are entirely justified (but hopefully false)
I'm hardly afraid. Just calling it as it appears to be.
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Post #133 (isolation #14) » Fri Mar 25, 2022 10:53 pm
Postby Somnus »
The game has gotten off to a bit of a slow start, but given the 10 day deadline, I don't think it's the worst thing in the world. We're presumably going to have a new player soon and hopefully we can all start picking each other's brains.
Alianna, where you at? Don't make me read you based solely on tone and charisma the whole game, plz.
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Post #157 (isolation #15) » Sat Mar 26, 2022 9:51 pm
Postby Somnus »
Pretty much all of my reads at this early point in the game are based on gut feel and not much else. I think Isis is a bit hard to figure out, but I'm leaning town there. I like the reasoning behind the vote in 141 and the follow-up in 145.
Alianna reads similar to me as the prior game where she was town, but I don't overdo it with clinging to meta, especially since I don't know what scum!Alianna looks like.
Newbie 2084 is actually a game that I've read in its entirety where Meg was a mafia PR. Same early-game style, but I'm not familiar with town!Meg, so I'm not willing to put a ton of stock in this (again, I only put so much emphasis in meta). Something to keep in mind though.
The Goldfish wagon looks like it lost a couple of wheels so I'll probably have to look into changing my vote within the next couple of days.
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Post #158 (isolation #16) » Sat Mar 26, 2022 9:53 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 127, RCEnigma wrote:I haven't gotten around to reading furtives games but alluding to the greeting tell indicates they are familiar with gambits. If I find one specific thing in their game isos I'll reevaluate but eh.
VOTE: Isis
In post 128, RCEnigma wrote:I have one theory I'm exploring and one disproven hypothesis that I'll explain after my shift. They sort of contradict in a way though.
Don't leave us hangin'. I kind of like your approach to the game, but these tentative nuggets are leaving me unsatisfied.
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Post #159 (isolation #17) » Sat Mar 26, 2022 10:00 pm
Postby Somnus »
If Echo and furtive are familiar with each other elsewhere, any insight they could provide on each other could be beneficial. I've re-read Echo's entire ISO from this game about 7 times (I was willing to sacrifice the 12 seconds of my day) and can't form a read yet.
In post 128, RCEnigma wrote:I have one theory I'm exploring and one disproven hypothesis that I'll explain after my shift. They sort of contradict in a way though.
In post 93, RCEnigma wrote:Hold no longer required. I'll give it 20 posts. This will make sense on page ~10-11
Pet theory was that Isis and Somnus are aligned and that Isis sniffed out where I was going following my engagement with Somnus.
Somnus has so far only rolled scum so I figured looking for gameplay patterns would be a lot more beneficial than doing so for the rest of the slots. In both games I noticed their reluctance to follow up pressure with votes so I'm reading their scum game as overly cautious.
In particular early voting. Transferring quotes from other games is a lot of work but the gist is that in both games there is a 10-20 page window until Somnus actually throws a vote down and that's only after testing the waters and gauging the room to see where votes are safe.
So I do townlean Somnus for the yolo nature of the goldfish vote, but with the caveat that they could have been coached by Isis to just throw it down.
This is true. My scum game has been overly cautious. I'm not a frequent or early voter as scum. I probably will be next time I roll scum now though
Can confirm that I'm not partnered with Isis, for whatever that's worth.
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Post #177 (isolation #19) » Sun Mar 27, 2022 10:41 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 172, MegAzumarill wrote:Not sure if furtive could gave assembled that list as scum but somehow I doubt it.
Furtive* What games have you played so far on site?
I want to first clarify that my comment here doesn't pertain to furtive, but to the game of mafia as a whole: I did stuff like this in my first game (I was mafia). I took ridiculous amounts of notes and shared them in thread and it got me universally town-read. Someone even said that it would be virtually impossible for me to be mafia unless I was keeping a 2nd set of notes for PR hunting, which was very much not true. So I'd just warn anyone about town-reading someone simply for typing up a reads-list or sharing notes. It's not a hard thing to fake as mafia at all. I managed to do it on my own in my very first game. Again, this comment isn't about furtive or a read on him. Just something to be careful of.
So with that said, reads-lists/notes don't make me town-read anyone.
In post 227, Ryno56 wrote:It's better to get executed before ELo. Not good for you to be a highly suspicious townie for scum to keep around
This is in fact, still not true.
You think it's better to keep all the suspicious people alive and execute the trustworthy townies?
Define suspicious. You've named half the players in the game as the scum team in the last couple of pages. Mislimming a player you're "suspicious" of is not a win for town.
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Post #282 (isolation #25) » Tue Mar 29, 2022 10:44 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 264, Cat.Jpeg wrote:Damn I wrote that before I read how much that argument was distracting from the game.
Anyway at the start I thought alianna was town but later on she seems like scum.
Also is skipping a thing on this site. Like skipping a vote?
No elimination on Day 1 is very bad for town in this setup.
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Post #296 (isolation #26) » Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:55 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 294, Cat.Jpeg wrote:These game are 2 vs 7 which makes me feel like town wins most of the time. Can someone give me an estimate of how often town wins. like 85%?
I'll do you better than that. I've become somewhat of an amateur NewD3 archiver. Town has won 53.9% of games in this setup (Town - 76 wins, Mafia - 65 wins). Certain blocks in the grid have a much higher win% for town than others. Mafia's only ahead of town in C3.
In post 279, RCEnigma wrote:Last post before I let someone else cut in. Claiming at E-2 (2 votes from elim) is better than waiting for e-1 just as a safety thing to avoid quick hammer shenanigans.
Do you want me to claim?
I'm going to take it as you think I should claim, your right about E-2 being safer than E-1 in case of a quickhammer. I'm a Vanilla Townie.
I'll echo what Cat said and agree...
I really wish you hadn't claimed yet. There was no guarantee that you were going to be the Day 1 elimination, and while there still isn't, getting multiple claims on Day 1 helps mafia tremendously.
In post 294, Cat.Jpeg wrote:These game are 2 vs 7 which makes me feel like town wins most of the time. Can someone give me an estimate of how often town wins. like 85%?
I'll do you better than that. I've become somewhat of an amateur NewD3 archiver. Town has won 53.9% of games in this setup (Town - 76 wins, Mafia - 65 wins). Certain blocks in the grid have a much higher win% for town than others. Mafia's only ahead of town in C3.
You should update the wiki page, I was just looking at it and in the winrate/statistics section it points to this thread: viewtopic.php?f=5&t=83092 which says this setup has a 60.8% winrate,
There's been 3 completed games since then and I've factored them into the updated win%. I imagine the win-rate on the wiki is very out of date. Having gone through and tracked the results of every NewD3 game, I can confirm that town was absolutely stomping mafia in NewD3 through the first 60 or so games after it was introduced as the newbie format. Anyway, I don't want to derail the game with this, but just wanted to point it out. Carry on.
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Post #329 (isolation #29) » Wed Mar 30, 2022 11:04 pm
Postby Somnus »
Hmm. Alright so I like Cat. Feels like she's eager to learn and wants to solve. It's a nice upgrade from the 1 post we got from Echo.
I like Enigma. I think he's unconventional but is giving some hot takes and reasoning for his scum-reads. Didn't really think pushing for the early claim from Goldfish was necessary. We still had 4 days at that point, she was at E-2, and there were a couple of other rotating wagons.
I like Alianna. I think some of her jokey posts have rubbed people the wrong way, but that's always going to be NAI to me.
Isis can be hard to follow at times, but it feels like the solve attempts/progression of vote shifts is authentic.
Everyone else I'm kind of "meh" about. I don't know how I feel about Goldfish at this point (although I like you as a person, for whatever that's worth!), but I'd hate to see a scenario where we get multiple claims in a Day. Kind of makes night targets easier. It helped me tremendously in my first game on site as scum when we somehow got three VTs to claim on Day 1, two of which did so at E-2.
Sorry that I haven't been super active. In hindsight, signing up for this game was probably a bit of a mistake on my part with some of the stuff I'm juggling IRL. I figured it was going to be at least a couple of weeks before it started and that I'd have time to sort some things out. Didn't realize it was going to start within days of me signing up. My bad. While I'm in this game, I'm going to do what I can.
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Post #368 (isolation #31) » Thu Mar 31, 2022 11:13 pm
Postby Somnus »
Alright. I still don’t like getting multiple claims in a day, but it looks like that’s the direction we’re heading. I have a few ISOs I need to read through. I’ll be back later today.
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Post #499 (isolation #37) » Mon Apr 04, 2022 5:24 pm
Postby Somnus »
Hmm. I'm sure they have endless tacos and guac in cat heaven, at least...
I'm going to carefully go through Isis' ISO later today and see if she crumbed PR at all or not. If not, there's a good chance this was what I would call an associative kill.
In post 377, RCEnigma wrote:Treat a quick hammer as caught scum I am the tracker.
I wanted to do some VC stuff and look at overlap but it's not useful till we get a flip.
Also 100% I still encourage claims at E-2 over E-1 for these types of situations.
Meg + furtive wouldn't totally surprise me.
Isis switch on me is meh but leaning slight town
I think ryno has been spewed town at some point? You don't usually get a scum slot that unanimously gets read as town by the game. I do recall slight shade from some slots on ryno but still calling them town.
Goldfish is low side of town with Somnus who has a strong indicator for town but I can't rule out hyper self awareness. They have slipped in my reads a bit though.
Still feel Alianna is town and wins the ali/furtive 1v1 by virtue
Cat feels town but is tricky to place since I don't know if I'm townreading their play or newbie mannerisms.
RCEnigma lied about their role. If I understand the setup of this game correctly there are only 2 town power roles. I am a town power role and from my perspective it was possible there was a town tracker in this game. From the perspective of Isis it also would have been possible there was a tracker in this game. That's why neither of us said anything. I'm not going to say my exact role because I want to keep the mafia guessing but I will say we are dealing with a Mafia Rolecop. VOTE: RCEnigma
Well this shit just got interesting
There's only 3 possibilities out of 9 where there's a tracker, so assuming you're telling the truth, I think anyone can figure out what your role is based on this and based on the lack of counter on Day 1. I'll wait until we've heard from Enigma, but I hear you loud and clear.
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Post #508 (isolation #41) » Mon Apr 04, 2022 9:50 pm
Postby Somnus »
Yeah I mean I wasn't going to say it out loud, but based on the NewD3 grid, it's kind of obvious now. Regardless, again, assuming you're telling the truth, you were still right to out it.
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Post #529 (isolation #47) » Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:31 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 524, GoldfishFromTheMoon wrote:I doubt cat is lying because Ryno backed her up. He wouldn't have done that unless they are both scum and if they are both scum this is a bad gambit because after RCE flips town we will know they are both scum and eliminate them. If it was day 3 this gambit would work but with the current number of living town players it can't.
In addition to this having played with cat before her current ISO is typical of her as town.
I mean, I agree with everything in the first part, and we know like 99% now that Cat is town, but weren't you saying before this incident that you could see Day 1 Cat being Scum?
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Post #531 (isolation #48) » Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:32 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 526, Cat.Jpeg wrote:As soon as this day ends ill be deaddddd. I might want so say some more things. I didn't finish re-reading everything I wanted to. So can we postpone?
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Post #537 (isolation #49) » Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:40 pm
Postby Somnus »
In post 535, RCEnigma wrote:So I was sitting at home right? Minding my business, like a good townie.
In steps Isis "howdy partner" (that's her jailkeeper voice)
"Mind if I .... Take a look around?"
At this point I start to sweat. I think she notices the 17 food bowls on my kitchen floor. I can feel the eyes piercing me from every corner of the room. Some high, some low.
"What can I do for you this fine night?" It takes a minute but I finally stammer out a coherent sentence.
"Quite a.....full house you've got here."
Isis pays my question no mind as she toes one of the food bowls.
"They aren't here I swear! I was cat sitting for one day but ....but they're all gone! I promise!"
The sweat is starting to get into my eyes, I wipe them on my sleeve but the sting still sticks. My vision is blurry but I think I see one of the shadows move across the room.
"Well.....That's good to hear" Isis spits back. "Then I guess you won't mind if I..........pspspspspspspspspsps."
It was over in an instant. I could barely hear Isis' gurgling over the cacophony of hisses and claws shredding skin. Oh my God it was awful.
I looked down at the blood staining my shirt and there staring back up at me from my feet. A pair of the coldest eyes man has ever encountered, purring contently to themselves. As if to warn me .... I could be next.
Well that settles that. It wasn't Enigma. It was the cats.
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Post #555 (isolation #52) » Tue Apr 05, 2022 12:34 am
Postby Somnus »
Will need to go back and read through ISOs and how they connect with Enigma. Most people have been scum-readinf Alianna. I wasn’t, but I’ve admitted my early town read was mostly based on tone.
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Post #561 (isolation #56) » Tue Apr 05, 2022 12:48 am
Postby Somnus »
In post 406, furtiveglance wrote:I guess my reads have been very off then, must do better. Just to clarify in case RC is not real tracker and someone counter claims tomorrow or after, you will not be believed - the window is now.
Man, this looks even worse now than it did at the time.