Shell Game (Night 4)
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love him? I don't hate his posts, and I do kinda think that swinging even this hard at my hydra probably isn't how scum-Cakez decides to start playing the game. But I wouldn't bet the farm on that thought.In post 2970, marcistar wrote: How cakez gives a couple posts of substance and yall suddenly love him
Like am i missing something? Why switch up so easily
(Yall = not just you)-
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Sigh
Crabz, do y'all have thoughts on this?
Same question to you, Luke.
other's thoughts also welcome.-
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We weren't voting him. I don't think we ever voted him, though I was iffy about voting Brian instead of him at that point.
The unvotes have a sort of herd movement appearance to me.-
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In post 2975, Firebagel wrote: Morph, why do you expect Cakez to be good at reading you?
Marci, do you expect more than this from Cakez as town?
It's not that I expect him to be good at reading us. I expected town-Cakez to be cautious reading us -- me specifically -- because his track record is ehhh.
I came into this game cautious about default-reading players I have gotten wrong, especially recently. It's one of the reasons I didn't take a stance on firebringer, except to side-eye pooky for having him as a top townread on page 2 or 3 or whenever.
I kinda expect the same of other players. And I take their reads with a few footnotes if there seems to be a default aspect going on.-
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You're scumreading us afaik. How do you think scum-me/scum-cakez would position around each other? Is this situation what you expect from that perspective?In post 2980, Lukewarm wrote:
I am of two minds when I look at his top 4 scum reads.In post 2972, morph the cat wrote: Sigh
Crabz, do y'all have thoughts on this?
Same question to you, Luke.
other's thoughts also welcome.
In my left brain, I don't think that scum-Cakez would feel super confident in dropping you guys in the bottom tier.
In my right brain, I think that landing on Brian being his strongest scum read is exactly who scum-Cakez needs to have as his strongest scum read.-
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This is what I didn't hate.In post 2981, Lukewarm wrote: I think his overall tone in his posts following the reads list is pretty good actually?-
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I obviously disagree with some of his reads. Hermit Crab in particular. They're still sitting t the top of my reads list and that read has strengthened over time. I feel like I'm vibing better with them than anyone else in the game. Of Cakez' bottom tier, besides me/us I think he's wrong about firebagel.In post 2990, Lukewarm wrote:
Other then his you read, do you hate his reads list?In post 2984, morph the cat wrote:
This is what I didn't hate.In post 2981, Lukewarm wrote: I think his overall tone in his posts following the reads list is pretty good actually?
His idunno pile has some correspondence with mine. As far as his top tiers go, not 100% agreement, but I can at least seewhysome players would disagree with my reads on those players. And there are players like PenguinPower who I'm playing with for the first time. I've gone from light scumread, to nullish to nulltownish mostly based on his comfort level in playing the way he's playing, if that makes sense. Someone strong townreading him doesn't set off alarm bells to me.-
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I thought that scum-cakez would point to scum-us from your pov, so this isn't surprising to me.In post 2988, Lukewarm wrote:
In general, I don't like to team solve, so that seems more like a question for after one or the other of you actually flip scum.In post 2982, morph the cat wrote:
You're scumreading us afaik. How do you think scum-me/scum-cakez would position around each other? Is this situation what you expect from that perspective?In post 2980, Lukewarm wrote:
I am of two minds when I look at his top 4 scum reads.In post 2972, morph the cat wrote: Sigh
Crabz, do y'all have thoughts on this?
Same question to you, Luke.
other's thoughts also welcome.
In my left brain, I don't think that scum-Cakez would feel super confident in dropping you guys in the bottom tier.
In my right brain, I think that landing on Brian being his strongest scum read is exactly who scum-Cakez needs to have as his strongest scum read.
If try to pretend that cakez is flipped scum right now, I don't think that your interactions are clearing? I can see you guys suggesting he needs a ballsy scum read if he wants to pull himself out of the hole he was in. But I also don't think that it is particularly linked either?
But again, that is a question that gets more brain power after a flip.-
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In post 2999, Lukewarm wrote:
Why do you think that I would have that connection drawn between you guys?In post 2998, morph the cat wrote: I thought that scum-cakez would point to scum-us from your pov, so this isn't surprising to me.
We scumread Cakez' entrance but never voted him. From your POV it should look like I backed off that read at the earliest opportunity I could. If you think we'd coach Marci (and scum-Cabd definitely would if he thought she needed it), why wouldn't you think we'd also coached Cakez? If anything, scumreading usshouldpoint to Cakez being a possible partner.
I'm making a really big deal out of your POV here because there's a lot of irony in you having this POV, but I'll leave that for you to figure out on your own. Or not.-
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I don't think this is going to be a day 1 whole team solve game for us, unless something(s) magical happens that firms up a bunch of reads. This feels more like a Yggdrasil than a NSN right now.
I think our top tiers of townreads are pretty solid, though. And Pooky has moved into 3rd tier town.
In post 3003, Lukewarm wrote:
I also am not sure what this could mean, even if I am wrong.In post 3001, morph the cat wrote: I'm making a really big deal out of your POV here because there's a lot of irony in you having this POV, but I'll leave that for you to figure out on your own. Or not.
Like, if I am wrong, then I got a day 1 read wrong, it happens.
It has nothing to do with townreading you. It has to do with level of trust in your read of the game and level of willingness to work with you atm.-
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Part of the irony is that it ties directly back to our first exchange in this game and why Cabd and I both resoundingly townread you for it.In post 3006, Lukewarm wrote:
Like I am not even sure what POV you are saying that I have that you find ironic?In post 3001, morph the cat wrote: there's a lot of irony in you having this POV
That's about as much point belaboring as I want to do atm.-
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I am home from a day of familial strugglebussing ready to do mafia family struggles instead.-
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What do your hydra's dethy reads look like now?In post 2806, Hermit Crab wrote: morph the cat (fferyllt & Cabd)
Firebringer
PookyTheMagicalBear
Dunnstral
Hermit Crab (anonymous hydra)
Bingle
Dannflor
Lukewarm
Cat Scratch Fever
Oblivion
Firebagel
Spiffeh
Gypyx
Shello and Goodbye (Ydrasse & skitter30)
Brian Skies
SirCakez
PenguinPower
One of marcistar / experience / Save The Dragons / Klick / Sunflower (JupiterXV & fireisredsir)
I am not satisfied with this list and I feel like I need to reread, but...
Imagine rereading these 113 pages.
-Herr Mitt-
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I'm struggling to stay coherent, but not being coherent was a choice, so.
I know I'm not giving myself enough recovery time but it kinda freaks me out how tired and slow I feel even without the coherency choice.-
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Yes, but tomorrow.In post 3092, Hermit Crab wrote: Cabd also should review Cakez Xeno and give thoughts, thats def a thing that should happen.-
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I want to note that CSF made the post I would have made if I'd been here and not sitting at Jimmy Buffet's Margaritaville watching blood in the streets as my mother and grandmother fought over the check.-
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Also, I'm not already murder-hobo for cakes because i got murder-hobo for sunflower and you all decided to shout down my pressure instead of letting it play out.
So clearly that's not happening this game. Pair that with the first visit from my mother's side of the family since kiddo was non-verbal and yeah. You fucks are fourth in a three-item priority list.-
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I can confirm.In post 3098, morph the cat wrote: I want to note that CSF made the post I would have made if I'd been here and not sitting at Jimmy Buffet's Margaritaville watching blood in the streets as my mother and grandmother fought over the check.-
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Marci, you're clearly mafia due to your unchanged taste in mountain dew flavors.
Just give up and roll over to die.-
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In post 3105, marcistar wrote: Tbh dont 3ven like soda anymoreSpoiler: TW:EXTREMELY SHOCKING SCARY-
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I really want a sync with neuterhalf about now, but that's not going to happen until late tonight at the earliest, so...incoming!-
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In post 3069, Hermit Crab wrote: Like tonally this sounds so incredibly similar to xeno cakez I’m astounded
It doesn't feel tonally the same to me since he's caught up. The difference in how I'm perceiving his tone could be that we're not calling for his blood on toast here. We have kind of a unique ability pile pressure on our scumreads in games, so maybe my perception is colored by him not being under that level of pressure (IMO, even when he was the leading wagon). He was very much under that kind of pressure in the Xeno game.
In post 3117, Lukewarm wrote: I felt like he sounded really tense in that iso, like basically the entire time he was under suspicion, and his pushes seemed really overly aggressive because of it.
But he did not seem tense to me in the posting that he had today, but :shrug:
I guess it is not all that worth debating, because I am not even town reading him. I am just not reading the tone the same way at all.
Yeah, lack of tenseness is a good way to put it.
In post 3120, Shello and Goodbye wrote:
their lack of scumreads + vibesIn post 3118, Hermit Crab wrote: Why are you starting to scumread morph, skitts?
(which i'm aware is a somewhat unsatisfying answer)
LACK of scumreads? Are you serious? I find it hard to believe you can't find my current scumreads in yesterday's iso.
Whatever the vibes are, ok. I'm having an annoyingly slow recovery from covid. And neuterhalf has a lot going on in real life that really pick up in pace on Friday.
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I keep thinking about Brian's extremely unreactive iso in this game and comparing it to a really old (2014) game where he was run up to E-1 early day 1, had voted himself, and wouldn't take his vote off even at E-1. viewtopic.php?sid=&f=56&t=37614&user_select%5B%5D=22309
Yonks ago, but it's on my mind anyway. There's a huge gap in my experiential meta with Brian that started around 2014-2015 and didn't end until the Xenoblade game in 2020. maybe that's why I'm still move by such old meta.
Not moved enough to soften my scumread, though.
I think skitter said something about it being possible that both Brian and Cakez are scum and I agree with that. cross-bus could be happening. survivalism could be happening, at least on Cakez' part.
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In post 3176, Bingle wrote:
Not Cakez, but I finally read the dethy reveal.In post 2995, Lukewarm wrote: @Cakez, what is your opinion of Dann, Hermit, and morph's reactions to the deathy reveal. (Started around 564)
Morph looks awful, Dunn actually looks decently uninformed and towny, Dann looks bored with the whole thing which... NAI, marcy looks performative as all shit, Hermit is crazy town but at this point I'd probably just sit in the corner and cry if they flipped scum anyway, and pooky is probably a townbear.
Awful? In what way?
spayhalf played in both the games with dethys that have occurred on MS since I joined the site*. I was IN the dethy in the last one. neuterhalf was in the last dethy game. When the info coming out of that neighborhood started looking like a dethy we were both all over it and pretty excited to see the dethy mechanic in play again. I'm biased toward there being a traitor in that hood because the previous two games had a traitor-rolecop in the dethys. But, I can also see Ceph avoiding rolecop out of "boring. that's been done".
*I actually did some search-checking in the mafia forums to see if there had been another dethy game while I was on one hiatus or another. If there was, I couldn't find it. The inventor aspect of this game delays solving, and also makes it more difficult.
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My scumread of spiffeh has pretty much completely dissolved. dunno if neuterhalf will feel the same. I'm the big softie in this hydra.-
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I was reading through that part of the thread again, and thought of you!In post 3203, Spiffeh wrote: Also literally no one other than Sunflower themselves addressed my point about them crumbing the cop-inventor being scum indicative-
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We pushed the hell out of sunflower and got nowhere for our efforts. Even people who aren't townreading fireisred didn't have much appetite for elimming there. I think that's because the hood doesn't seem to want to elim inside their hood on night 1. And that's persuasive to me, as well.In post 3225, Shello and Goodbye wrote: *lack of strong scumreads that you feel confident pushing
Is probably a better way to put that thought
~ skitter
Pedit can cop shots be used tonight?
We pushed cakez pre-catchup and got stick for that.
And we're pushing Brian.
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On a completely different topic, my AD read has deteriorated hugely due to experience's lack of doing anything so far. It's become worrisome.
Re your p-edit someone in that hood said they can't be used until day 3.-
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My thoughts are that the traitor in my dethy hood in the smokefilled game crumbed being part of the dethy (and signaled "I'm your traitor" to the scum team) in their first post. There was some talk about the player being too inexperienced to play well as a dethy traitor. I'm not sure how accurate that assessment was, since the account was an alt of a banned player.In post 3228, Spiffeh wrote:
Thoughts?In post 3226, morph the cat wrote:
I was reading through that part of the thread again, and thought of you!In post 3203, Spiffeh wrote: Also literally no one other than Sunflower themselves addressed my point about them crumbing the cop-inventor being scum indicative
An early heads up to their team if they are the scum in that hood makes pretty good sense to me.-
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This sounds like a bad idea to me. I've never seen an invention-receiver able to use more than one invention in a night phase.In post 3235, marcistar wrote: I think morph is getting 3 cuz i said if we want mechanics we need to wait until 2 shots can go off so we can get accurate info. But then said it isnt realistic.
At least check with ceph on that.-
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unless you're talking about us being the sanity check target, not a target to receive inventions. Using us as a sanity check is a good choice, probably.-
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In post 3242, Bingle wrote:
Sanity check target makes less sense mechanically in a large because we can genuinely flip more players. Copventions should be more aimed at getting reevaluated with like 10 flips on the table where it's not that ambiguous who is giving what kind of result.In post 3238, morph the cat wrote: unless you're talking about us being the sanity check target, not a target to receive inventions. Using us as a sanity check is a good choice, probably.
In the 19p 4nxiety dethy game, IIRC the dethy targeted different players. Between being shot at and one of the town in the dethy getting modkilled for quoting a pm from the mod, that dethy wasn't solved before they all died.
In the 17p Fakegod dethy game, we targeted each other on night 1 (we were a confirmed masonry to each other because we flipped the traitor on day 1), and I think the dethy was solved on Night 3. I died N2 (insane cop as it happened). The sane cop lasted to elo because lol pooky.
22 is larger, but is it ~that~ larger? I dunno.
I'll bow to your mechanical expertise, though.-
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Without flips or otherwise alignment confirmations of players with cop results on them, your sorta-dethy never gets solved though.In post 3244, marcistar wrote:
Arent we basically reducing our worth to 0 if we invest people who we think will die eventually?In post 3242, Bingle wrote:
Sanity check target makes less sense mechanically in a large because we can genuinely flip more players. Copventions should be more aimed at getting reevaluated with like 10 flips on the table where it's not that ambiguous who is giving what kind of result.In post 3238, morph the cat wrote: unless you're talking about us being the sanity check target, not a target to receive inventions. Using us as a sanity check is a good choice, probably.-
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In a dethy, the cops' sanities don't change.In post 3253, Shello and Goodbye wrote: each person in the dethy gives out consistent type of shots, right?
so marci's shots would always be X sanity, and std's will always be Y sanity, for example?
or can each shot be any of the sanity types
~ skitter-
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yeesh. you've played with scum-me. Have you even looked back at that game?In post 3262, SirCakez wrote:In post 3082, Shello and Goodbye wrote:
can you talk more abt your penguin read?In post 2904, SirCakez wrote: My top four town reads have all made posts/had consistent vibes today that have felt inarguably town to me. For example Dunn's level of engagement and scumhunting this game has felt beyond what I've seen him pull off as scum in the past. And Penguin's entire day one play looks like town Pengy to a T, and I know because I had to twist it into some bullshit to try to get him eliminated in Eminence in Shadow
pedit i know that's why i'm not voting her >.>
i'm trying so hard to not push this because i think it's very likely a playstyle thing
This doesn't seem like town!Cabd to me. Since when does town!Cabd give up on pushing his reads day one because he got flak for one scum read?In post 3099, morph the cat wrote: Also, I'm not already murder-hobo for cakes because i got murder-hobo for sunflower and you all decided to shout down my pressure instead of letting it play out.
So clearly that's not happening this game. Pair that with the first visit from my mother's side of the family since kiddo was non-verbal and yeah. You fucks are fourth in a three-item priority list.
So I'm being left with this issue where I town read ffery's posts but scumread Cabd's. I really felt ffery's reach out to me yesterday felt genuine - especially her indignation at me going back to scumreading her again immediately after I fucked up in Kemusan. I don't know if ffery gets that same level of frustration if I'm correct about her this game.-
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That the Pie game was full of scum-me. And this game ain't that.In post 3266, SirCakez wrote: What's your point?-
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We share the role pm. that's the underlying point. if you're town and have any doubt about our alignment, I feel like the Divide and Conquer game should heavily weigh against those doubts.In post 3279, SirCakez wrote:
This is ffery right? I'm saying you feel like town!ffery to me now, I don't understand why you're trying to get me to do meta for something I'm already feelingIn post 3278, morph the cat wrote:
That the Pie game was full of scum-me. And this game ain't that.In post 3266, SirCakez wrote: What's your point?-
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If we're used as a sanity check on night 2 by any of the invention recievers and get shot that night(which is not out of the question despite picking up some day 1 scumreads), then there's instant feedback about the sanity(s) of inventor-receiver(s) who copped us.In post 3282, Firebagel wrote:
You... you are? What if you get shot?In post 3238, morph the cat wrote: unless you're talking about us being the sanity check target, not a target to receive inventions. Using us as a sanity check is a good choice, probably.
...wait, how the heckdowe coordinate this? Everyone investigating the same target gives the best info right? But then that means mafia can just shoot the target and all that goes out the window. There hopefully would be a protective around, but then there's also decent chance of mafia having use of Unstoppable to counter that...
Am I missing something?-
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What did experience base theirs on?In post 3303, marcistar wrote: btw i think we decided to just make lists of 3-4 ourselves
experience already made theirs but i wanna see what dragons and others want too ! :<
Have they posted much in your hood?
If so, how do you feel about them?-
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How does experience's content in your hood compare to what he's posted in this thread?-
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See this meme is the best meme so you can't scum read Marci folks.In post 3325, marcistar wrote: marcistar try not to base her reads on the hood challenge (impossible)-
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Nope I just got back from the art deco (and modernist and post modernist) boat tour lol.-
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Seven more!In post 3334, Hermit Crab wrote: How many times do I have to say it?-
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It's a player who is a known alignment, is the main thing. That it happens to return like a mafia isn't a bad thing, it's that it's something that is provable because either they're town telling the truth that they invest as maf, or actually mafia, so they investigate as mafia no matter what. And we can calibrate off of that, if we go single target route. I suspect the split up plan is better anyways though because no way ceph as mod doesn't see the "easy solve" method if he gave scum a bonus or whatnot for delaying the solve.-
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morph the cat Sync Achieved
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Yes, it's me cakez. I'm behind but have a little time to look at the game so am shamelessly using it to be here and interact instead of dragging my ass back to the morph-lodge to sync, sorry not sorry.
I'm only skim-read up atm, busy day with the fam but want to be here.-
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yes.In post 3382, Lukewarm wrote: Actually, does an insane cop come back with an inno on a miller?-
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I was the insane cop in the Fakegod dethy. My results would have all been the opposite of the sane cop's results (Tammy in that game). So, her results and mine were useful. The naive and paranoid cop results weren't useful.-
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In post 3392, SirCakez wrote:
Ceph is actually evil for thisIn post 3387, Lukewarm wrote: The fact that the wiki entry on "cop" does not use the same terminology as the wiki entry for dethy makes this frustrating to double check, but I think that they would.
This seems like a single night aiming all the cops at the miller claim should make all subsequent invests usable.
Guilty on CSF -> Inno on any other slot = sane cop
Inno on CSF -> Guilty on any other slot = insane cop.your sig wrote:Brian Skies - "I just wanna say Cakez is an evil mod and this is an evil setup."
just sayin-
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Am I supposed to be drawing a comparison/lack of comparison of Cakez here vs there? Or is this about your play here vs there.In post 3402, Hermit Crab wrote: viewtopic.php?p=12469370#p12469370
Notsci game with Cakez linked to when I decided I need to put my bird backpack on, anyone notice anything familiar!
Nothing today has called my read of you two into question.-
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[]-----------
Stop wasting time, Brian has gone into "caught and accepted it" mode and is just letting us run around in circles to create more noise.-
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Fun fact: I saw your post about "Scum brian doesn't do this" and IRL cringed. Could not disagree harder. Brian is so completely unconcerned with the game state that it's criminal. That's not town play.In post 3482, Shello and Goodbye wrote:
>.>In post 3479, morph the cat wrote: []-----------
Stop wasting time, Brian has gone into "caught and accepted it" mode and is just letting us run around in circles to create more noise.
I don't like this
~ skitter-
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If you're scum and your elim is inevitable momentum wise, you either:
-Shut up and start shooting the breeze
or
-Start trying to antispew
Brian chose the former. A third option used to be "spam the thread really hard to generate gobblygook" but most mods frown on that and have patched it out via rules/guidelines.-
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I posted and drafted it, but it was sync-approved.In post 3490, Shello and Goodbye wrote: Did cabd write that? I can't always tell-
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