Day 1 claims: how useful?

[Cavane]

So yeah. I was thinking about it the other day and wondered whether, with traditional strategy, a Day 1 claim is really all that useful in a standard game. Here's the rub, as I see it.

People who claim vanilla townie generally get lynched anyway, because it's the only 'safe' claim to make for scum, and it's not a power role, so no big loss if it's true. Therefore experienced scum will hardly ever make this claim.

Almost always we see scum claiming cop on D1. It's really quite a good scum claim. In most situations, on D1 you won't be asked to provide any investigation results, and townies will be reluctant to lynch a power role. Of course, the real cop, will now know you're scum, but if he counter claims, he's revealed himself very early.

Claiming Doc is problematic for townie and scum. If a townie claims doc, whether he really is or not, he's almost certainly going to die that night. If a scum claims doc, the town will probably lynch him the next day because he DIDN'T die last night.

So when someone claims cop, particularly on D1, is it a scumtell?!