Page 23 of 63

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 5:01 pm
by Not_Mafia
Good start

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 5:05 pm
by Transcend
Amazing start

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 5:32 pm
by TTTT
VOTE: Transcend

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:28 pm
by Transcend
Hello again loop

Just looked at the plist. Perhaps we should maybe nl to get another flip and be in lylo vs. mylo with less slots to deal with?

Just my two cents since all the prs are dead and no one can be cleared.

Should we do this we should use this day to scumhunt and get everyone's 2c.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:30 pm
by Transcend
Actually i changed my mind let's only nl if we get to mylo.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:37 pm
by Transcend
In post 208, James3 wrote:
Vote Count
Not Voting (1):
ArcAngel9
Zyf (1):
Gamma Emerald
D3f3nd3r (1):
A Simple Plan
desperado (1):
Lil Uzi Vert
Superhans (7):
Hawk, Alisae, Gendaberry, Desperado, rb, Zyf, Superhans
Gendaberry (2):
Dwlee99, D3f3nd3r

Superhans will be lynched.

Deadline in: (expired on 2017-01-14 00:00:00)
I don't know if vca is extremely helpful here due to the speed of the hans lynch, but assuming he's not double bussed, that leaves Narna, me, GE, and Falco that voted outside.

I know I'm town and i TR Gamma.

Falco/Narna being a team, albeit possible since I've seen all town speed lynches (NY198, rb is a god), feels to easy and from the points gamma and i made yesterday, i still feel like hans got bussed.

If i tr gamma that means there's a 14/15 chance that hans was bussed by at least person.

So reading for busses might be the best course of action. Since imo while i feel there's likely one in {Falco, Narna, Gamma}, I doubt it's two.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:40 pm
by Transcend
There are currently 21 possible duos fmpov.

If there was no bus the duos can be

Gamma-Falco
Gamma-Narna
Falco-Narna

That's 3 out of 21 duos. So an 18/21 simplified to 6/7 chance there was at least one busser.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:44 pm
by Transcend
There's an 85.7% chance in the povs of me, Gamma, Falco, and Narna that there is at least one scum that bussed in {TTTT, N_M, Genda, -Grey-}.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:52 pm
by Transcend
In post 14, Hawk wrote:pfft lol I suck VOTE: superhans
In post 216, Hawk wrote:I'll be honest. My vote was originally RVS but about halfway through day one I didn't see a reason to move it and the next thing I knew we lynched him and he was Maf.

Go town.

I'm inclined to believe wagon was majority town if not all town.
I think Hawk/Loop are town. This thought process looks genuine. He doesn't try to take towncred for voting scum either.

However before i started evaluating the hans wagon, i was sure I'd conclude this slot as a busser.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:04 pm
by Transcend
In post 77, Alisae wrote:Yeah Zyf you're probably town.
Let's vote here instead.
VOTE: Superhans
In post 236, Alisae wrote:
In post 229, Gamma Emerald wrote:Can someone summarize the Super wagon for me?
Why is rb/Defender scum?
I could try I guess.
Oppertunistic scum got caught?
As for the second question, I don't know?
Alis makes the first real vote on hans, then calls him "caught scum". Alis doesn't push hans to get lynched, nor does he really interact with him in a way that explicitly makes me think that he's town. There could be potential bussing here. Alis started the wagon but didn't exactly, build it? Per se? Imo that was more Zyf. There were posts about hans shade throwing Alisae, but imo reading the actions of scum is a bad thing to do.

Alisae's slot is now controlled by N_M who I've failed to read in legit every single completed game with him correctly.

Would kinda like some feedback from the peanut gallery about my thoughts here.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:07 pm
by Transcend
In post 91, Alisae wrote:I guess we are. I would love to join you but I wanna see what we could get out of Superhans first. He sorta just jumped on one of the largest wagons.
Eh never mind i missed a post where Alisae pushes on hans and gives a substantial reason.

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:08 pm
by Transcend
Actually I'm stupid why did i town read hawk

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:10 pm
by Transcend
In post 84, Gendaberry wrote:VOTE: Superhans

Yeah I'm down for this
This is a pretty meatless vote and Genda doesn't do anything really to run him up. But i really liked Genda's exchanges with Desperado yesterday

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:20 pm
by Transcend
In post 158, rb wrote:I like the cut of Zyf's jib and I dislike the cut of these RVS votes by Gamma/Superhans.

VOTE: Superhans
I still think this is a solid vote with solid genuine reasoning. It's my favorite vote out of the 4. So yeah, imo Grey is still town.


Right now I'd say only one busser, two feels unconventional as fuck and i had Falco/Narna in my "ew" pool from yesterday.

I'd say the likelihood of scum in hans' wagon is

TTTT > Genda > NM > > > Grey

I'd like Genda to explain a bit more why he voted Super, but as said before, I liked his exchanges with Desperado

TL;DR I'm making 10 posts to omgus

Weeeeeee

VOTE: TTTT

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:24 pm
by Transcend
In post 284, Gendaberry wrote:Kinda scumreading D3f3nd3r. Don't get his argument for rb, especially when there's an actual reason-less vote on the wagon SH from Desperado that he ignores.
???

Were you shade throwing Desperado for doing the same thing you did?

Nvm Genda's scum.

VOTE: Genda

Posted: Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:25 pm
by Transcend
It's Genda and one of {Falco, Narna}.

Discuss.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:01 am
by Narna
I still think scum was more likely to be off of Hans' wagon, and at the very least one of them was. Falco is the only other one on the Genda wagon d1, so I'm cool with him. Simple Plan was on his ass before being taken out as well.

What did Genda do Transcend?

VOTE: Falco XV

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:08 am
by Transcend
He said that Desperado had a baseless vote and that D3f3nd3r should focus on it when his vote was meatless as well.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:17 am
by Transcend
Did a bit more skimming in terms of Gendaberry and Desperado
In post 279, Alisae wrote:
In post 159, Desperado wrote:UNVOTE: Lil Uzi Vert
VOTE: Superhans
Hey, I have an idea.
Let's call everyone on the superhans wagon town
and hopefully people agree with me
so I can get ez towncred
because I am scum
and a motherfucking sheep
and a busser
VOTE: Desperado

I disagree with the fact that no one was bussing now that I think about it.
Scum D1 lynches are almost always busses.
I found the bus.
Ali votes Desperado here
In post 284, Gendaberry wrote:Kinda scumreading D3f3nd3r. Don't get his argument for rb, especially when there's an actual reason-less vote on the wagon SH from Desperado that he ignores.

Townreading Alisae

I don't agree with Desperado that there's no scum on the SH wagon, but I want to think it over a bit more tomorrow.
Genda shade throws Desperado and TRs Alisae but doesn't vote there.
In post 428, Gendaberry wrote:Are Transcend, Narna, and Falco at the bottom there thanks to their predecessors being inactive of this there something more there.
And from here it still looks like he was still anti Desp.

Kinda looks like he was cooking a mislynch on Desp, but due to yours truly, didn't.

In fact he ends the day on no one so there was no advancement from that slot all day.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:23 am
by Transcend
I think he was leaning towards a Desp-D3f scum team yesterday and he voted neither of them yesterday.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:32 am
by Narna
Well I can't
not
trust a dog with a crown.

VOTE: Gendaberry

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:33 am
by Transcend
:D

I've done a lot of MSing tonight, I think it's beddy bye for me.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:34 am
by Narna
I just really don't like the amount of shadethrowing. He even calls Dwlee useless despite not voting last phase.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:36 am
by Narna
In post 571, Transcend wrote::D

I've done a lot of MSing tonight, I think it's beddy bye for me.
Transcending after hours crew.

Posted: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:42 am
by Transcend
Oh and before i go, i changed my mind on nling Mylo. Blitzes happen all the time due to reckless town and blitzes are harder to achieve for scum in Mylo than lylo.