Open 583: JK9++ (Game Over!)
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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There are 10 of us alive, unless I see a vig claim after this post I will assume 6 are town, 3 are scum and 1 is an SK.
If we mislynch, tomorrow as a worst case we have a Lylo with 3 townies where the decider is the SK vote, this scenario is basically unwinnable for town, so I think we should massclaim today.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Vettrock
In post 1198, vettrock wrote:In order for there to be two scum and one SK, there would have to be TTTTT. Given that we know that we have at least one I, and one P, that leaves no other power roles. Since copper is claiming vengeful, I'm not sure how he can come to this conclusion unless his claim is fake. Assuming his claim is valid, there has to be three scum and a serial killer: TTT. If there was a vig, that would mean for his claim to be true, it would have to be IPKK?TT. I think the TTT is more likely, so I don't think there is a vig.
TTTTTTT = Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, Serial Killer
TTTTTT = Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, (Serial Killer*)
TTTTT = Mafia Goon, Mafia 1-Shot Bus Driver, Serial Killer
This is the setup on the wiki, I believe with 6T's the serial killer is missing see (*) because it would make little sense otherwise, at the moment it's very likely it's either 7, 6 or 5.
If there are 5T's, then 2 Pr's were killed =7, 3 are scum or SK = 10, there are 3 PR's missing (=13), one of which is me, what are you talking about?
@Mastin
I don't like your wagon, I'll check Tean again when I have time.
@TTH
Tell us when you need to start to physically threatening your partner, you tell me you are not scum because you are both still posting and proceed to conform to your scum meta.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Vettrock
I did not read the part about how the modrolls only 7letters and fills out the rest, if you look at my post you can see what I'm doing by adding the PR's.
This helps a lot in narrowing it down thought, my guess is we are either:
- TTTTIPK which means 3 scum and no SK
or
- TTTIIPK which means 3 scum and an SK, so if we don't lynch correctly this game is over. I think this is where we are at.
So basically most of you are scum is what this says... no wonder this game doesn't make any sense.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Vettrock
You are right, I had just figured out how to examine the setup based on what you said about the 7 rolls and did not think about what the double nk meant as far as narrowing it down means, I also already thought we were in the PKIITTT case and added the other one for the rest of you.
@All
I think mass claiming is vital.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 1226, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Vengeful doesn't seem a great fake-claim for scum to make.
Hmm so you are likely scum too, this makes me happy, BBT/Tean/Mastin and Beast?
Mastin, if you are town examine the game again because you are completely off from where I am standing.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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Fuck it, I think it's pretty clear Vettrock is hinting at being 1-shot tracker and that's why he was sure of Eyestott yesterday. That is why I think we are in the PKIITTT setup.
My lack of knowledge is neither scum nor town indicative, it shows I did not put the proper time to evaluate this game, if you know me this should tell you what that likely means for my alignment, but that's speculation, BBT's phrasing is indicative of someone that knows I can only be vengeful and that is why it likely is a slip.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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I already told you town should mass claim because it's most likely 6-4, if you or Mastin are town it's more your own fault for scumhunting the likely last PR at mylo otherwise I would not have said anything.
Yes that is the quote, scum Copper is not shooting anyone once you lynch him, because scum Copper would not be vengeful, scum Copper also doesn't exist, the only players I can see writing such an awkward sentence are those that already know in the back of their mind that I am vengeful and are making up the rest of the post without realizing the contradiction-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Aneninen.
- I disagree that massclaiming is antitown, the situation is we are about to lose, I don't believe we can come back from a 3-3-1 so I value a confirmed, especially if said confirmed is in the lynch pool, over some ability that may not even come into play before we are done here. I was also trying to use my knowledge of Vettrock being 1-shot tracker in case someone claimed that so we could at least confirm 1 mafia. You keep on saying it's anti town, you never explain why, please do tell.
- That is a misrep worthy of a lynch, I said I missed part of the setup where it says only 7 roles are determined and the rest is filled in, I never said I did not read it, I also gave plenty of information about it this game so there is no reason to think I did not.
- I already told you what happened there, I just saw Vettrock's post, wondered what he was going on about and after I noticed the 7 rolls I jumped to the setup page to see if he was saying the truth and I posted my initial thoughts on the setup alone, I did not factor in the night kill and I did not want to give only the setup I believe we were in to cover my assumption of Vettrock being tracker, which you aptly tried to rolefish to death and then tried to picture me scummy for telling you why you should not be scumreading Vettrock. I think a lot of the scumplayers were on Vettrock and they are desperate now, this may be why Aneninen is reacting like this.
- A PR rich environment compared to the 4 I already knew likely existed, even in this case I'd rather have the roles out today and try to get it right, it also would probably lead to scum having to claim which narrows it down to a 50/50.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 1257, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I'm going to add this in; I have no fucking idea who scum is. I haven't kept up with this game anywhere near as much as I would have liked so I have to apologize for that.
So you randomly vote a PR claim, lynch immediately.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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If you are town you are explictily playing against your win condition by lynching a vengeful claim at mylo after stating you did not take the time to read this game, that is grounds for a ban according to the rules, you should not be allowed to ruin other people's games. In this case I have to assume you are scum for doing this, if I shoot you and you are town the game is lost for town.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 1297, Aneninen wrote:Back.
I'm responding to Copper now.
First of all, don't take it as a personal offence, but I simply don't believe you. I think your claim is fake, therefore you're scum.
– Massclaiming would help the scums more than the town. The scums would know all the PRs and they could choose the most dangerous PR to Nightkill, turn by turn. This would be especially bad in this particular game because (1) most probably there's an SK and (2) two PRs are already dead. The only advantage for the town would be that we'd be able to confirm some players. (However, see something else about this topic below!) BUT, this would come with two serious disadvantages: (1) some scums could perform a safe-looking fake-claim (and it would be hard to decide which claims are real and which are fake) and (2) if the scums are charismatic enough, they would be able to convince the town to lynch therealPR.
I don't take it personally if you are scum or if you are town and did your research (incorrectly), that comment to BBT was just because he openly stated he was basically randomly voting. I am telling you all that doesn't matter if we lynch incorrectly, the most dangerous PR in this setup is a tracker and we are still screwed if he comes out tomorrow with a check because there are an equal number of informed scum that can destroy most claims while the townies look skeptically on. Yes exactly, knowing my role and most likely Vettrock's,anyother claim is likely fake, so there are no safe fakeclaims, anyone that claimed anything else other than VT I would have lynched. You make the point yourself but ignore it here.
– I'm not misrepresenting you at all. It's possible that I'm misinterpreting you and my scumread on you is wrong. So, instead of voting for you I asked everyone to discuss my reads. I've already expained: if your claim is real and I'm wrong, lynching you can be equal with performingtwomislynchs.
That is not presenting a case, that is twisting what was said to make it look scummy, I don't like it, I don't understand what you are doing because I have you as more likely town than not but this doesn't align at all.
– You wrote that I had been responsible for outing Vettrock. Isn't that a misrepresenting from you? It's pretty obvious that I hadn't noticed Vettrock's hints before he claimed. You could have posted something like "I think I saw a PR-hint from someone" instead of outing Vettrock.
(As for Vettrock, I still need to examine whether his claim is real or not. My intuition says itis, but I want to be surer.)
I am not pushing a lynch on you, so if that is misrepping it's vastly less important, I think it's questionable but whatever, to me it was worth outing him so I did, I had no reason to do so as scum unless we are buddies.
– Also, there's something else. If your claim is real and you assume that the setup contains 4 PRs (it's five times more probable than the 6PRs version and because having an SK in the setup is very likely), your gameplay as a townie is very bad. Let me explain: if you're really a Vengeful and if you've spotted Vettrock's hints (and if his claim is real too), it's 80% that there are NO other PRs at all. What does that mean? Most probably NO townie would claim anything. (About all these claims I'll write something else in my next post, because there's something else that suggests me that Copper is faking.)
Clap clap, so lynch the first guy that claims a PR is the strategy, if nobody claims we have 2 confirmed PR's, if somebody claims another role I will try to lynch them, if someone cc's me I will also try to lynch them and if I lose I will shoot them when I die, that is far better than your strategy of lynching the vengeful.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Beast
You are scummy enough I am fine with you claiming second/third, I like Wicked's suggestion to reaction test the replacement and have him claim first.
@Killa
What is the purpose of that question, you don't believe he is 1-shot?
@Mastin
you are so scummy I don't even know, no way that you get to claim later on, it's either straight away or lynch as far as I am concerned.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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If Vettrock fake claimed good on him, he had it setup the moment Eyestott claimed, all his reads make sense based on someone that knows Eyestott is town and a tracker, for instance his scumread of me makes perfect sense.
BBT said he was going to go back into hiding after whining about nobody wanting to help him kill Aneninen, but other than that I don't see as much and he fucked up enough in the latter part of today that a 1 for 1 sack if he is lucky may be the best strategy available for him.
If someone else claims I'll think about it, otherwise either lynch me or lynch BBT.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 1345, Heartless wrote:is it 5.47%?
Correct.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 1361, Wickedestjr wrote:Anen, I like your post w.r.t. copper.
copper wrote:That is a misrep worthy of a lynch, I said I missed part of the setup where it says only 7 roles are determined and the rest is filled in, I never said I did not read it,
Really? You seemed to be doing the math correctly on day 1...
I did not connect the dots when thinking of the whole setup and I forgot about it, there is no reason for me to write that post about the T's and how there where 13 players so we could be at 5,6 or 7 like I did if it was not an honest mistake, regardless of my alignment, in fact I'm far more likely to go back and check as scum but that's unprovable.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 1386, killapenwin wrote:@copper it seems pretty logical to ask the tracker if he tracked anyone especially as we know at least 2 people performed a kill last night. With all these PR claims it seems a shame someone outted him before he was able to use his track.
It was pretty obvious to me that since he did not tell he did not have something meaningful to report (assuming he could report something).-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Vettrock
That's very disingenuous as you being alive if we both flip town means the game is over, I'm thinking of going on you.
@Beast
Your reads don't make sense, I want you lynched.
@Mastin
Also needs to be lynched, if you are town and Vettrock is a PR you should be embarassed, you would have managed to be the most mafia sided player this game, but it's a pretty sure thing to me you are scum.
If I can't make up my mind I might shoot 1 of these two.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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Nope, this and the other point you brought up previously about missing the setup don't make sense because they are not alignment indivative or hint at me being town, you are definitely the same alignment as Vettrock so this makes me want to shoot him more.
I want a poll from each of you about who I should shoot, between the PR's and someone else if you think it would be better (if so add why).-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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Best guess is Beast/BBT/Mastin and Tean as the SK. If I'm wrong on BBT, first of all wtf, you can lynch Vettrock tomorrow and Wicked the day after, the last one is probably Heartless, SK is once again likely to be Tean.
@BBT
Thanks for jumping on that, I was baiting it really hard saying I would shoot Vettrock.
@Heartless
Vote me pls.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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davesaz (7)-Tean Samargo,Mastin2, Heartless,beastcharizard, Wickedestjr,vettrock,copper223
copper223 (3)-BlueBloodedToffee,eyestott
beastcharizard (1)- killapenwin
Tean Samargo (2)- Aneninen,dodgy56
mastin2 (1)-davesaz
This makes much more sense both statistically and from how scum usually play games. Remember this if BBT flips as expected and after you lynch Mastin tomorrow.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Killa
No, lynching in the PR pool unless someone else claims is by far the best move.
@BBT
Read again, I said if you flip as exepected (meaning scum), that means from my pov that Vettrock is confirmed, becauase of the number of PR's needed to be in the setup we are in. What is weak as fuck is your attempt to appear to be back in the game after screwing around and trying to coast before, combined with you telling the rest of the scumteam (Mastin & co) you are sorry for derping.-
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