i think darby's SoD is more based on Pan flipping green than the NKIn post 1603, LicketyQuickety wrote:StD, when you read DArby's SoD do you feel that comes from the Backup of the role that flipped? Like the "W h a t" sorta seems forced like they didn't have a kind of "unfortunate" take but a surprised take. That's just not what I expect from someone who is the backup of that role. I also would have expected DArby to claim Backup right away, which they don't do, but is just stuck with the surprise of the flip. I generally see Scum are more vocal about being surprised about NKs than Town because Town typically just goes, "yeah, weird kill. Moving on." And that's not really present in DArby's SoD.
IDK, is that a bad take or not? IDK for sure.
Mini Normal 2248 | A Member Of The Arsonists | Town wins
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darby while you're hereIn post 1598, Save The Dragons wrote:Darby GTH who do you think it is atm?-
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can you quote itIn post 1628, DArby wrote:
Koba. I’ve been operating on how these deaths line up and who would be most likely to orchestrate them. Koba brought up a good point a while back against T3 and I thought he might be scum lurking here.In post 1626, Save The Dragons wrote:why was T3 going to be your push-
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i want NM and egix to talk more
scum
NM
Egix
Darby
LQ
town-
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you may have noticed i was distractedIn post 1663, LicketyQuickety wrote:Why is that StD?-
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vtIn post 1663, LicketyQuickety wrote:Also, I do feel like you should claim atp StD.-
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normally he's pretty bold and i didn't like how hesitant he was this game
i was leaning on him potentially being scum d3-
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i don't think it's unreasonable to leave off the two slots he did (why/N_M, you) because neither really had content at that point but it is weird they aren't just null-
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haven't thought much about this game today
would like N_M to claim soon-
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would like this as well, will probably post my thoughts shortlyIn post 1707, LicketyQuickety wrote:Can you provide a RL with reasons? Please and thank you.-
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Not mafia hasn't said much which is a bummer but his read on me today is interesting because I would think I would be an easy shot for scum to argue.-
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does scum overnight effort to write a damning case against pan this is what i'm having the most trouble with
In post 980, DArby wrote:I’m writing this currently on a google doc the midnight before d3, and I will be so mad if I somehow end up nk’ed. The second half of d1 took me by complete surprise in pace and intensity so I wasn’t able to properly catch up as I’d like to until now. This hit me while I was about to go to sleep so here we are.
The big question that was ignored, and I feel was done intentionally, was why was Ben specifically killed n1? That’s a really huge question. N1 kills should be reserved for the slot that is the biggest danger to scum OR gives scum the biggest long game advantage. So why Ben? What does scum get out of killing a slot with literally one scum read and a final vote on a vt?
I firmly believe it’s the latter. Specifically I am of the opinion that the nk was done to give an opportunity for scum.
Now as I’m writing this before the n2 kill happens I have no idea if this hypothesis will hold. I will be at work during the time d3 starts. I will add an addendum if necessary, however I cannot make a post in time to do this thought justice, as I truly believe time is of the essence.
Here is what I mean: I believe the Ben nk and the Gamma wagon were coordinated efforts by Pan aka Koba to control the narrative and play a long con game to secure a scum victory.
As I don’t feel like running this in a text editor, all posts referenced will not be hyperlinked.
First, the obvious, what were Ben’s stances while he was still alive d1.
Ben played by mostly producing town reads, which he reiterated multiple times. 511 where he produced the “only ones” he could form reads on and 790 where most of his reads were town or null except the d1 mislim and Gamma, who was scum. Sure, you could make the argument that since Gamma was the only other scum read he had that scum was scared he was close. Me being able to post this in d3 is proof against that theory as according to 799 I was the only person to hold a vote on Gamma until the end. Granted, my push wasn’t amazingly strong, but it was stronger than Ben’s.
So then, why Ben? What was the point of taking him out. With as how many lines were drawn during the end, surely there was a better threat to take out.
And I think that was the point. I don’t think scum could have known his role somehow during n1 before he was killed. However he was one of the most divorced players from the game (ie, being in the least amount of confrontations) while also being a player that could be taken seriously. He was projectable, and that’s how his nk was treated by Pan.
Look at 813. We cannot prove if Pan is or is not part of the neighborhood. There is no way that they can be cc’d. I believe that was quick thinking on their part. Pan has been trying to make themselves be seen an conf town since early d1 (262, 327, and 430 (which I also skimmed thru at first, thank you for your value in me, sorry my input is leading to this)). If I were scum, and a competent and trusted townie that can be projected on post mortem that also tr’s me dies, I’d milk that dry. Not to mention Ben’s only other spoken scum read, although weak, is scum (which I’d know as I am hypothetically scum). This is the perfect target.
Of course, Gamma was an informed mafia. Does that mean that scum knew directly that Gamma was scum? No. However, I still believe Pan would still want to hunt down the informed at least for the same reason as above: towncred. Assuming scum didn’t know who the informed was, they’d either know there was one or could guess. It was mentioned before (by T3 I think).
Gamma was a replacement for Cookie who was on the block mid d1, but they were on the block because of Pan. Again, if we follow this line of logic, from the start Pan is actively trying to look as town as possible and is using aggressive argument styles which would push away anything but a strong and confident read against them. If they catch scum d1, that would put their towncred through the roof. To my knowledge the only thing that stopped Pan from getting what they wanted originally was cookie repping out, StD repping in and eventually Meg being the only logical conclusion for a d1 lem.
I think I’ve made my d1 point.
D2 is where things get more interesting. Now we know Ben’s role and Pan ran with this. It’s the best possible outcome for someone who understands how roles works. They know what they’re saying doesn’t make sense for the intensity of what they’re saying. Why would Ben have a stronger read against Gamma in a PT (815) when Pan literally townread Ben for “talking to open air” in 379? That just does not make sense for someone to be open with their play style to push harder someone in private. I also don’t buy 961. It’s very, very possible for scum 1 to say kill this bitch and scum 2 say lemme roleblock them first. As long as the person killing is not also doing the roleblock, it’s not only possible but very likely to happen. But, that’s beside my point.
The point is I don’t care if Ben was or was not role blocked, I care why he was killed and how his death was used going into d2. Pan was the only one who used his death in any meaningful way to instantly control the narrative to stand next to an actual comf town. Pan wants us to believe they are a conf town in 904 because there’s no counter claim but I honestly believe they got lucky and either knew or took an educated guess that no one else could possibly cc them.
And as much as I bitch about meta, this is the same slot that had a spat with Norwee in Squid Game about needing to take time to properly find scum and yet that is a stark difference to what happened in d2 and a less than 5 page game.
I’m willing to expand on what I’m saying as I’ve made a few rough edits, but I’ll be at work during this time so please bare with me.
TL;DR Pan is scum.In post 982, LicketyQuickety wrote:
Spoiler: Nobody: Quick:
Spoiler: I’m just a poor boy from a poor family
VOTE: Pan AKA Koba
Spoiler: In Case I Am Wrong About Pan And It’s Just StD
And that about wraps up the TvS read I had between Pan v StD.
Spoiler: Gamma Spew-
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i mean these are huge spews by people if they're both town then it's just you and N_M if one is scum there could be a hint in them-
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traitor is not confirmed i think that was just assumed based on "informed"-
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isn't that something mafia could be informed about?
i don't really know if it's been done before or not i just assumed that "you know there's a traitor in this game" could count as informed-
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cite this for me pleaseIn post 1737, LicketyQuickety wrote:
Normal guidelines for Traitor is Group Scum know there is a traitor in the game...In post 1736, Not_Mafia wrote:
I assume they’d be informed when they didn’t have a full faction. Scum can be informed of a million different things, I don’t get the leap to traitor. Who was the first to suggest this? It just seems like a perspective slipIn post 1731, Save The Dragons wrote:isn't that something mafia could be informed about?
i don't really know if it's been done before or not i just assumed that "you know there's a traitor in this game" could count as informed
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whyIn post 1740, LicketyQuickety wrote:StD derping on Traitor info is telling.
i've played with a traitor since i got back but i haven't seriously played with a traitor as a major mechanic since i was last playing mafia 5 years ago-
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i'm hesitant to believe darby's claim for that reason but i think his play is townie so i'm torn-
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informed is also a new thing that wasn't around when i last was playing regularly-
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im still confused why it's scum indicative
do you think i'm pretending-
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i do find it weird that half of egix's posts today have been trying to discredit arguments-
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providing reasons other people are scumIn post 1779, DArby wrote:
As opposed to what?In post 1758, Save The Dragons wrote:i do find it weird that half of egix's posts today have been trying to discredit arguments-
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i don't think i want to lim darby today either i'm just torn because of the claimIn post 1777, LicketyQuickety wrote:
Who is Group Scum with DArby tho?In post 1746, Save The Dragons wrote:i'm hesitant to believe darby's claim for that reason but i think his play is townie so i'm torn
I sorta feel like DArby isn't the Lim for the day because they were well placed on Gamma, and I buy their explanation that they were just not here when Gamma was going to eat dirt. It lines up with their pressure vote on Gamma pretty well actually.-
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it bothers me but you'd have to find something that says it's explicitly not normal-
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im also having trouble seeing darby!scum making up that fake claim in the first place-
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"There is no backup to the 2-shot detective?"In post 1795, LicketyQuickety wrote:
Well, we don't know what Scum is informed of.In post 1792, Save The Dragons wrote:im also having trouble seeing darby!scum making up that fake claim in the first place
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don't preflipIn post 1825, LicketyQuickety wrote:Interactions with Gamma. And if DArby is also Scum then that's another slot StD hasn't really said anything about.
also i dunno i had gamma as null
like whatIn post 1825, LicketyQuickety wrote:Pan actually did make some good points against StD.
???In post 1825, LicketyQuickety wrote:The bologna comment.
???In post 1825, LicketyQuickety wrote:Not interacting in the thread when I'm Susing StD and DArby.
should i be scumreading youIn post 1825, LicketyQuickety wrote:StD's two SRs are basically the LHF out of the players in the game.-
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1. i was not indignant, i was curiousIn post 1337, Pan Smierc wrote:In post 422, Save The Dragons wrote:why the heck are people voting cookie
you were indignant about cookie being run up :Lol: but okIn post 441, Save The Dragons wrote:
I knew why people were voting why I didnt know why cookie was getting rung upIn post 428, Pan Smierc wrote:
you didnt have an issue when people were voting Why, whats up now when people vote a slot with low content that is readable?In post 422, Save The Dragons wrote:why the heck are people voting cookie
and also refused to vote gamma until their lim was inevitable
and also voteparked outside gamma slot all day 1
your actions betray your intentions.
you dont need to say you are against the gamma lim - your actions proved it.
2. i didn't refuse to vote gamma at all i just never did
3. all day i voted for who i thought was scum
4. ?????
5. No they didn't-
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i still feel no closer to solving this than i did at start of day
i gotta remind myself that this is just one mafia game, it's not the end of the world if i get it wrong
but i'd still like to get it right.-
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there's a tinfoil that it's just darby and lq toying with everyone
but i think ultimately darby doesn't claim backup as scum
i think my heart says egix, and if egix didn't hammer NM, the reason is that NM is scum with egix in some form. the alternative, egix is town, also suggests it could be not mafia, since at this point i don't think it's darby, which would mean scum is in {NM, LQ}.
VOTE: Not_Mafia-
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it's okay it was nice playing with you while you were hereIn post 1977, Klick wrote:Sry for leaving you Fen
I like how it was just cookie and Why the whole time
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