He is obviously an axehole
Mini 1668 - Mafia in Bremen - Game Over!
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In post 67, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:You seem far too confident in your reads for this stage of the game.
I agree. Page 3 is also pretty early for associative tells to be truly indicative.
We also have to consider the possibility of multiple scum factions, right? That's my current understanding at least.
I apologize that so far I haven't been terribly in depth and mostly haven't been too analytical (and mostly critical), I've been at work all day and will be able to contribute more significantly later tonight and this weekend.-
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Obviously nothing wrong with speculation and a bit of arrogance, I think it's going to make this game a lot of fun. I think it's great to press as we will be able to get into productive parts of d1 sooner but we still have to wait on a few people to contribute more, myself included.
@RC this is my first game of this format so yes I am wondering about the balance of pr, multiple scum factions #of town, etc... And I only brought it up since scum pairs were being mentioned already (also early). It seems to me that this format should make associative tells even more difficult. I also brought it up in case anyone else was in a similar position and hadn't taken the time to read up on it.-
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@Dan (82)
regarding your last line, I believe it assumes I won't follow up (which I plan to). You'll see over time that I plan to be posting moderately frequently and hopefully with meaningful content, so I hope that the context of my post makes more sense as the game moves forward.
I am not arguing against making associative tells, just pointing out that if anyone wants to convince me on their own opinions it is unlikely to happen so early (although, we have seen some interesting reactions so far)
I explained in post 75 why I brought up multiple factions, and I maintain that given my position it was a solid point to make - particularly in regards to early associative tells. If anyone has played multiple games in this forum and wants to explain to me why I am wrong, I'd be happy to hear about it. However, from my experience with mafia, I assumed that it is good to remind town that there may be multiple teams to look out for... how is that bad?
I also agree that having pressure on people is a great way to move out of RVS, I was simply pointing out that BBT seemed to be voting quite liberally according to arbitrary wagons which appeared on the first few pages. My vote on BBT was actually exactly for that purpose - not meant as a strong scumread but more meant to apply pressure to an existing wagon and see what comes out of it.
Anyways, next post coming to give general thoughts on the game so far.-
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I am wary of Brain's post 12, but this could very easily be a joke post on the first page, so I don't give too much thought to it immediately.
I think that Reverend's self vote on post 15 caused some interesting, dialogue, most notable in posts 18,30, and 33. The result of this for me is a very slight scumread / anti-town on BBT and the opinon that Reverend should be interesting to play with throughout this game - null read for now.
PB makes a poor point in 43 which gives me a slight scumread, but BBT responds well to it. PB then makes post 53 which seems overly aggressive, but then in 55 and 57 backtracks / clarifies, so I am more inclined to go with it not being a serious post.
I want to see more from RadiantCowbells, as so far the posts have seem very reactionary and not too analytical, but ultimately I don't have a read either way at this point.
I like Dannflor's post in 82 for the most part [including sarcasm] although I think he is intentionally ignoring some of my previous posts in which I already answered some of the questions he asked - this makes me feel like he could be trying to jump on a seemingly logical bandwagon and so I have a slight scumread. However, since multiple people have brought up the scumminess of discussing multiple scum-teams so early, I will be willing to drop my scumread given a decent explanation as to my mistakes / misunderstandings of optimal strategy so far.
I also like Dannflor's post in 85 as well, which makes me less confident in a scumread, but at this point there isn't exactly enough content for me to be particularly confident either way.
In general, I am happy with my vote for the moment as I believe it has potential to add to the discussion, but I will strongly consider changing it depending on how the next few pages go.-
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In post 90, RadiantCowbells wrote:I want to see more from RadiantCowbells, as so far the posts have seem very reactionary and not too analytical, but ultimately I don't have a read either way at this point.
guessing this is your first game as scum.
welcome to the party.
You're simply proving the point I made... and your read incorrect.
Is that an implication that you are scum?-
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@Dannflor (and somewhat Reverend)
I think you made some decent points in response to my posts, and I agree that I did not have particularly strong scumreads at that point - at this point that would be impressive [if accurate].
The purpose of me posting what I feel could be scummy and what I feel is insufficient [and therefore null] is to hold people accountable. Obviously my comment on Jake was fluff, but he responded explaining why he hasn't posted so far yet. To me, that validates my post about him. I will be scumhunting from the pool of the 12 other players in this game, not only the 3 or 4 who are active, and so I think it is important to hold people accountable for their post count, post length and quality (PB - really not doing a great job here), etc... and not let lurking slide. And obviously I didn't call everyone out for it yet, but as we progress, if I want to see more from someone, I will not hesitate to say so.
I understand being wary of my light reads, but if there is a point in them that you actually disagree with I'd be more than happy to discuss it further.
Regarding my vote on BBT, it was essentially his own logic but applied to what I considered to be an anti-town position. At this point, looking at the vote count, I am not happy with my vote, as I both like BBT's play better and also am wary of my voting companions.
VOTE: unvote
My strongest read right now is on Brain, who has managed to post a lot but without adding any content, and I'd discourage that. At the very least, his behaviour seems quite anti-town.
VOTE: Brain-
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I'm leaning towards BBT's side on this one. Reverend you seem to be defending a weak position awfully hard, and I'm not sure it's necessary.
I'm mostly willing to let go of shenanigans on the first page, but it should be apparent to everybody that any post doesn't necessarily reflect one's beliefs or intentions. A self-vote should be an obvious extreme example of this, and I don't understand why you are pushing so hard against BBT's points. I do not think BBT is coming across as scummy in his attack on you, which should be what you are looking to determine from your post anyways. Given that, why continue with this defense and not look elsewhere?-
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I don't think you'll get a scumread on BBT from this line of inquiry, as he is making legitimate points. If you think this argument will get you somewhere, go for it. It is perfectlyreasonable for me to express that I think the town has better things to do, assuming you are town. To me it seems like you are justifying bbts stance.-
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I think that this entire interaction between Reverend and BBT has shifted towards BBT looking more and more town, and Reverend looking less town. Yes, BBT could easily be scum and tunneling on Reverend while still asking a few simple questions to others, and if this is the case I simply don't think the argument with Reverend is likely to cause him to slip. It's based mostly on semantics. So, until I see BBT slip something, I'm happy with a town read, and will stand by that. - This ignoring the fact that I don't like his original couple of posts, but as I've mentioned I'm generally forgiving of very early posts and see that now as a difference in playstyle choice.
I would like to see TDA post a bit more since I have a hard time believing his current posts come from a townie.
@Axe & Elyse (and anyone else) - why the townread on RC so far? She has 7 posts, most of which say nothing. This isn't OMGUS, but really she hasn't done much yet. I'm hoping post 167 pans out.
I like Elyse and Dannflor for town at the moment, I agree in general with most of their reads.
@The Reverend post 155 - What line of inquiry? Starting at post 126 it really devolves and in my opinion stops benefitting town, thus my statement to that effect shortly thereafter.
@Dannflor in 151.
1) Yes I have made many observations, the majority of which up until this point have not led to a firm stance. Considering the stage we are at in the game, I am comfortable with my posting to this point, and don't feel that I need to have strong reads on everybody. I think providing my opinions, regardless of the alignment indication, can either help influence other people's opinions or allow counterarguments to help me adjust my own.
2) It was not my intention to say that wagons are bad - I don't believe that at all. I just dislike the out-of-the-gate "I need to vote on a wagon, refuse to start one on my own, and will hop onto any that exist." I also never said that because discussion was generated it led to a town read, you are putting words in my mouth. I am, however, admittedly biased against lurkers, and want to make sure I am able to consider posts from everybody before making stronger reads, which has contributed in large part to your criticisms of my posts. I attribute this to playstyle, but you're obviously free to take from it whatever you like.
3) Regarding PB, it was the aggregation of useless posts along with the small reads from one or two of them, which make me think it is unlikely town would start like that.
4) I feel like I've already addressed in this post why I had an immediate dislike to BBT's start of the game. Since then, he has asked a few people valid questions and has pursued Reverend in what is a justifiable position and to a degree that I read as likely town - which more than one person agrees with. I don't think it's fair to assume that my BBT vote was indicative of a really strong read (in the context of all my posts, that's obviously not the case). I didn't like his early posts, voted for him, and decided that once was wagon hopping was done I slowly started to like his posts better. Pretty simple.-
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I really dislike 155 as well. I, as I have stated many times, really think that the argument between you two was not producing any results other than against you [reverend], and mostly revolved around semantics. I think it's pretty absurd to suggest that I was nervous for BBT, who was in my opinion, in absolutely no danger and in fact seemed to be getting the better of you (I'm not the only one who has mentioned this).-
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@dan we can agree to disagree as to the value of the content of some of my earlier post. I think it is valuable to have pointed out posts of interest and my reaction to them, regardless of whether that reaction is a definitive read. Let me know if I need to expand on this but at this point I feel like I've made myself clear and don't want to waste more words unless you feel like it will help your reads.
@Elyse fair enough, but that isn't terribly helpful in the context of me forming my own read on rc.
RCS initial vote on me was for mentioning the possibility of multiple factions I believe (not rereading right now, sorry if I'm wrong) and I really think that that particular argument doesn't hold weight in light of my defense of it. I understand your reads are based on more than that, but rc started there, and in general hasn't added more than a few sentences, which I don't like.-
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I've already commented that I'd like to see more than one sentence posts from you, and have asked others to explain their reads on you in more detail than "meta".
I think your post 183 is a gross misrepresentation of my play to this point. I'd like for you to elaborate on it if you are interested in a qualitative response from me than the next few sentences.
We are obviously far from a lynch - several people have contributed almost nothing. Jake and Axe are both busy and will be (hopefully) starting to post more in a few days. The pokebros haven't posted in a while. TDA and Brain have both been lurking / avoiding this game / not posting enough anyways. Havoc has barely posted anything. No one should be worried about a quick lynch as D1 still has a lot to offer.
I haven't responded aggressively to either Dan or Elyse, the only two (I believe) who have commented in length about me [not forgetting reverend, just omitting him as his arguments are not of the same quality or motivation], and I have done my best to respond to their concerns while standing up for what I believe to be town-oriented posts. I am trying to catch scum here and I am confident that I will be able to do it (with the rest of you, of course).
- of course several more posts happen while writing this...
To some degree, I can understand where Dan and Elyse are coming from, even though they are incorrect in their conclusions. I remain moderately concerned with you because you haven't really expressed yourself, which is worth questioning.-
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@184 - there are several better votes than you right now. I really don't like your average post length but I'm willing to admit the possibility that I am (obviously) just biased against it. I'm comfortable acknowledging that possibility but I won't clear you of my suspicion until I see some more content anyways, as it would be easy for scum to hide and skim through the early stages of the game like that.
Your vote on Dan has been your most substantial post, and most of it is complaining about him not providing sufficient reasoning or motivation. I find that to be somewhat ironic, can't you see that? [Once again, several posts have been made while writing this, so will possibly update yet again]-
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@Dan: Are you actually comparing my posting to PB right now? That seems to be overkill and extremely selective.
@RC - I am reading through your game where you hammer BBT. I immediately notice that your post count was lower to being with but the overall quality and level of interest in your posts was significantly greater there (at least in D1). Are you able to explain that?
That being said, I do see some immediate similarities between BBT's behaviour in each game, but I'm not willing to say that it is his scum playstyle as opposed to his general playstyle. You obviously would have a stronger opinion on this, that's just my initial comment.-
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@Dan I am trying really hard to like that post, but for some reason my first impression is really bad.
Of all my posts, I don't think 222 is the post that should be starting the thought process that maybe your read was off (I understand you are just responding to it and there is probably more). I don't like that all of a sudden you realize how little PB has posted and hop onto a really convenient wagon that's been there for a while. 11 posts in the firsts three pages, 1 in page 4, and 1 later. The first few are game-related but if a player's contributions are almost exlcusively p1 or p2, something is seriously off. Several players have called him out, you should have seen this earlier. I don't mind your vote only coming now as much, but you should have realized the behaviour existed.
You then agree with me that the posting styles of me and PB are really not fairly comparable, which makes me think you could have been trying to be opportunistic beforehand, and took the obvious out when I called you out for it.
Most importantly, you have basically decided to sit on a big PB fence and vote for him, which you've essentially been vocally upset at me for allegedly doing, which you even mentioned in that post. I feel like this, alongside with the fact that if you missed PB's behaviour earlier, you've probably still got a lot of other things to catch up on, make me very suspicious of the rest of the content you've posted.
The amount of lurking is something else that I've mentioned several times, and I mean SEVERAL. As early as page 5 (post 120), post 169, and post 192 are all examples of me making it very clear that not everyone is contributing and it is entirely possible we have tvt going on. I have used many of my posts to call people out to ask them to be more detailed in their posts (TDA, RC) or to post more (Jake) (probably others).
My real difficulty here is that I agree with most of your post. PB would be playing a really weak scum if he actually scum flips. There are too many lurkers. It just seems like your post is designed to feel organic and original but in fact agrees with a lot that I've been saying without explicitly mentioning it, and shows that you've been to this point selectively looking at specific posts and ignoring others before posting. That seems more scum than town.
ugh there's just so much there that has been obvious for ages, and it shows you didn't really look before comparing me to PB, as you've obviously completely changed your stance.
Convince me I'm wrong. I'll let you know if my second impression feels better than my first, but those are my thoughts.-
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You're really quick to cry "scum" , which doesn't sit well with me but on a quick re-read I think your posts are consistent and I'm more or less confident you are not on the list of people I would want to lynch D1. But really, I think you're confusing your scum radar with people who have criticized you (That list is a one to one match in this game, with the exception of PB who has no defence from any criticism at all) (It includes Arceus really early, then myself and BBT, and Dan who has asked you a few questions).
On top of that, you're really quick to add associative tells to the mix, which are very likely meaningless at this point. I also think you just really like arguing semantics and thus your wonderful read on RC.
I feel like it should be self-evident that I am keeping close track of this game by my posts. I think it is everyone's responsibility to do so, and I think your argument that having an idea of the vote count is not pro-town is absurd. Your next sentence is basically WIFOM. I think anybody who lynches "accidentally" is immediately suspect, and ignorant VT just won't cut it. Dann is active, and as both RC and I have said, complained about lurkers while putting someone at L-1. - Was he hoping that some naive townie as you claim to be would finish off the job for him and take the fall for it, not realizing they were lynching because no one pointed it out?
You won't convince me, and shouldn't be able to convince anyone, that warning town we are in L-1 unintentionally is not pro-town. But moving past that is also WIFOM and won't help anybody.
You're grasping at straws. Pick it up a bit and I think this town will be in prime condition for some solid lynches going forward.-
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@ Arceus
@ Dialga
@ Havoc
What are your reads so far?
@ PB
I would be more willing to believe that you are
if you were able to come across as scummy while contributing more than exclusively that fact. Until you do this, I think the pressure on you is justified as a possible D1 lynch candidate (behind Dan right now), despite Dan's seemingly terrible post to put you at L-1."generally regarded as scummy regardless of your actual alignment alignment"
@Axe
@ TDA
@ Jake
Sorry you'll have so much to get through on Monday - I look forward to seeing it.
@Elyse
You don't seem to be too much more active in your other game right now, so I'm not overly worried, but if you would be able to replicate your post 164 and let us know what you think of the last few pages, that would be great.-
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@Reverend
I don't want to dismiss you, and I'd be perfectly happy to engage you over any point you'd like to make, you haven't made any thus far though.
I said very likely meaningless, not meaningless. Don't twist my words.
Please point out exactly where RC has criticized you. From what I've seen, it hasn't been in this game?
If you mean RC is your townread, but Elyse criticized you, all Elyse did is say that your interaction with BBT made him look better and you worse. It was a small comment in a big wall that was never followed up. It's a pretty weak counterargument and one which you've messed up.-
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@ Reverend
There are a lot of reads and style choices I disagree with - this doesn't make those people scum. Being able to hunt properly involves the ability to understand whether you disagree with something because it is scummy, or because it is coming from a different perspective.
If no one had somewhat of an "I don't like this but you're ok" kind of attitude, this game [mafia in general] would devolve into a series of OMGUS. It hasn't. People have some level of tolerance for different perspectives. Why even bother criticizing me for this.-
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@Havoc
Why do you think that either myself or RC are scum? I'm more or less leaning to town on RC, pending what I expect to be a positive response from some of my questions last night. I'd like to see more of your thought process here.
I'm surprised by your town-read on Dan. His last few posts ended on a particularly scummy note which you agree requires explanation. I just think your list implies you're letting him off the hook, and expecting whatever explanation he gives to be satisfactory.
I actually liked that colours, it was easy to follow.
@ Prolapsed Brian
Seriously? While I don't think your vote is necessarily terrible, you owe it to the town (if you are town) to post something significantly better than a simple unvote / vote.-
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@Dan
I unvoted PB as soon as you put him at L-1, so your unvote "in case someone gets a hammer itch" is odd and really reactionary (since it wouldn't be a hammer), when PB has done little to make your vote less worthwhile.
I had in parentheses that I understand there is more to your argument than 222. Not too important anyways.
While your post here has a town feeling about it, I think you were caught in a place where you didn't have much choice other than to own up to it as you have done. So I still think you have a ways to go before I think there is a better D1 lynch. (Obviously that is very dependent on all the lurkers / VLA I am waiting to hear from).
I still can't shake the feeling that your post felt like you were trying to buddy up to me. Did anyone else get that vibe? (227)-
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@PB
I strongly believe we are at a point where your reasons would help town make better votes and eventually lead to a better D1 lynch. Yes we still need to hear from more people, but you're giving a lot of players little motivation to look elsewhere, and it would be easy for someone to park their vote on you without raising too much suspicion. Case and point - 3 of your votes are still from the RVS stage (Havoc, TDA, and Jake all voted for you in their first few posts) and no one has bothered to ask for justification of that, because you do, in fact, even admittedly, come across as scummy. I don't think that that is healthy for the town (or for you).
(Yes, I know havoc has recently posted and PB was still on his scum reads, but his reasoning was "duh", which is exactly my point. He has and needs no motivation to move it until you give him more.)-
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@Arceus
- Regarding 71. 53-60 is full of [mostly] arbitrary associative tells, The entirety of my comment was not directed exclusively at BBT.
- Thank you for stopping that massive post by post stream before it got too hard to follow. I'd much rather see your cumulative thoughts on each player after a full read now that we are at this point of D1.
- I look forward to reading your opinions soon.-
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@ Reverend
Honestly Reverend, you have more tools in your scumhunting toolbox than a single OMGUS FoS. Once again an entirely kneejerk scum reaction to someone who swings at you.
You argue that someone can disagree with your perspective, but that you are entirely justified in thinking it (you've said this several times). The reverse is equally true and you need to get off your high horse if you're going to be helpful to town. There are valid viewpoints from which you look scummy so far. Get over it.
You're like the boy who cried wolf, and at some point I won't be the only one to calling you out for it.-
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It is a kneejerk reaction, because, as I've already explained, with the singular exception of PB who is obviously scummy, you have scumread anybody who makes a post with moderately significant criticisms of you. You have done very little other than this.
You scumread Arceus in RVS shown in post 56 where you immediately suggest that Arceus and Toffee could be scum working against you.
In post 134, immediately after I post my thoughts on you vs BBT, suggesting you are looking scummier than him, you vote for me, and follow it up by explicitly saying you think I'm scum in post 140.
In post 232 you add Dan to the mix, and I note your interaction with him between posts 152 and 155, the fact that you didn't post much in between shows that the different in post numbers isn't significant, as well as a pretty obvious reason to easily throw more suspicion on him.
It is OMGUS if you create arbitrary reasons or hop onto existing arguments to scumread someone who criticizes you. As you have done repeatedly. Particularly if you are willing to throw away that suspicion when someone else comes along.
. Note that in 232 you suggest Toffee is scum and he hasn't posted since (with the exception of saying he will catch up). So why are you suddenly wrong about him?looks like I was wrong about toffeee
I never once in my post specifically referred to our own interactions, and you are trying to manipulate my points to make it look like I am criticizing you for scumreading me. It's a bad read, but my criticism is only in the larger context of your scumreads matching perfectly with 1) obvious candidate PB and 2) players who are critical of you.-
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This is probably my favourite post of yours so far. It seems to be less confrontational and more an attempt to explain yourself and help me understand where you're coming from. To me, it seems sincere (as you put it).
since when is OMGUS a scumtell
To what post of mine are you referring? I don't think OMGUS is a scumtell in and of itself, and note that my vote is not for you, and that I haven't come out and scumread you on this page. You seem to be perceiving an all out attack that's really not the case at all. I just think you are using it as your primary scumhunting tool and haven't really backed it up with arguments afterwards. I think you could do a better job of moving the town forward, which is why I'm spending this time trying to encourage you to do that.
How am I slapping down your read of toffee when (for the second time)
. If you want me to consider your read, please post a reason why you think he is scum. I've already made it clear that your earlier interactions with him, from my perspective (and from others' as well) don't show a scumtell from him. I refuse to believe that you are unable to accept this.Looks like I'm wrong about toffee
On that note, you completely avoided answering my question about why you were wrong about him when he obviously hasn't posted anything to change your mind, instead turning it around on me. Please tell me why you were wrong.-
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That's obviously not an answer.
You're free to see a scum tell anywhere you like. I'm free to disagree with you. I'm free to ask you questions to see if your reads hold up and if you see something that I missed. I haven't said anything to the contrary. You are the one making it seem like I am trying to force you to stop your interactions, when instead you just are taking my comments, applying a lot of handwaving, and then accusing me of getting in your way.
I didn't slap your read down. You let it go completely without any prompting. I'll quote it for a third time, and this is really ridiculous.LOOKS LIKE I'M WRONG ABOUT TOFFEE (post 258)
Why are you wrong about him? Why is this such a difficult question to answer? Why do you keep poorly manipulating my posts instead of answering my questions?-
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You changed your stance on him after a post from Arceus, not from me. You're deflecting so hard here it's unbelievable.
You haven't explained anything, except by misdirecting the conversation, as I've repeatedly pointed out.
You initially used the term "slap my read down" in the context of a post from this page (your post 264, referencing my 263). Now you're saying instead you were referring to a point you made several pages ago, and all three of your posts are from the same part of the conversation. This was the initial reason for your scumread on me, and I think you're being really misleading in this conversation in multiple ways.
I'm not going to be asking you again, you've given me enough information for now. Feel free to answer my questions at any time though, it would be helpful.
After 270, I have a scumread on you.
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I really dislike the timing of Dan's replacement request, and while I don't want to use it as further reason to suspect him, it certainly does nothing to dissuade me from believing him to be a good D1 lynch based on the information available so far. I wouldn't be willing to commit to it until everyone else has started contributing.
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I'm very interested in seeing what Elyse has to say later today about this.
And I can't wait until tomorrow when multiple people have said they will get involved in the conversation. The risk of TVT right now is unfortunately high.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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Will Giratina replace in next? This is comical.-
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Rune Goon
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@Palkia,
Please explain your vote.
I'm not going to be replacing out.
@Rev
No worries, enjoy time with your family and we can push this till later. I'm interested in seeing what you think once you're fully engaged! There was a reason I was hesitant to scumread you, so I'm pretty hopeful this will have a positive outcome.
To explain with Palkia, essentially Arceus, Dialga, Palkia, and Giratina are all from the same set of legendary pokemon.-
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Rune Goon
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@Palkia,
I'm not too bothered by it, I think anything you post will serve as a distraction to the scumminess of the person you replaced. Several players have indicated they will be significantly more active starting tomorrow, and unless one of them makes a scum slip or gives a strong argument otherwise, I believe Dan/you are the best choice for a D1 lynch.
I really think Dan's posting speaks for itself.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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@Arceus
Your point about 71 was the Rev had not used associatives. All three of the posts I referenced were Rev discussing who could be in a team with who. This is obvious. Why are you wasting my time making me repeat it?
I have only made 4 votes so far.
1) Axehole - RVS, are you going to judge that too?
2) BBT (I was the third vote) - I am happy with this vote at the time, for reasons I've explained already. I don't think wagon hopping for the sake of wagon hopping is an appropriate use of the advantage of early RVS wagons.
3) Brain - his playstyle has been consistently weak and scummy. This was a solid vote.
4) Dan - a solid vote and not a wagon.
You stopped quoting posts at 133. A lot has happened since then. Read the whole thread and make a more informed analysis please.-
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Rune Goon
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1) I already gave you the post numbers. Quit being argumentative.
3) In my vote I clearly stated that I didn't like his hopping, and that there was now a wagon on him. This is what I said, it's not a contradiction.
4) I don't even know who you're talking about in this point. If you mean PB, please show me where I have townread him. Your logic is so obviously off here, I am incapable of understanding where you are coming from unless you are trying to troll.
5) I was the second vote for Dan, and my reasons were very clear, very solid, and very different from RC's original vote of him.
What are your reads on everybody else? If you're going to give evidence, I'd like to see how your opinions have developed after post 133.
P-edit: Your last few posts made no sense.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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I've repeatedly said my vote on BBT was not a strong scumread, and this has been consistent. You even bolded it, and then continue as if I said something completely different. My recent posts and the posts you quoted are consistent on that.
Every single argument I've made about my vote on BBT has been consistent with this.
I don't think you're paying attention to my posts, and I don't think you're doing anything more than trolling.-
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Rune Goon
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My vote on BBT was on post 29 and was my second post of the game. It was still in the middle/end of the RVS stage of the game and you are way too hung up about this considering the fact that I have explained it so many times.
I want reads that are clearly based on having taken the entirety of the game in context, not a bunch of half-baked arguments based exclusively on the first half of the game which have already been brought up by other players.
To be clear, I am not suggesting that information in the first half of the game is useless. I am only pointing out that these arguments are not original and seem cherry-picked, while simultaneously you seem to have no intention of discussing them logically.
P-edit: what arguments? You've quoted my walls of text and made contradictory statements about parts you highlighted. You've ignored evidence I have presented. Give me a single post with a detailed argument and I'll respond to it.-
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Rune Goon
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To be honest, I am very confused right now. Your current posts are extremely scummy. Your read is incorrect. But as scum it would have been more advantageous for you to simply lay low and out of my way hunting others.
If I had to guess right now, I think you are weak scum protecting himself with WIFOM hoping to hop onto previous players' suspicions of me and looking to score a lynch. I suspect this is because at least one of my stronger reads is correct and you think you can get the town off that scent if I am out of the way. You are confident you won't be a lynch target for D1, and you know that by straight up attacking me you won't leave associative tells for others to follow when I flip town. It won't work.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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My reads right now. (most to least scummy) (spaces indicate larger gaps between groups of players)
Likely Scum
1. Dan/Palkia (I think this is the best D1 lynch as of this moment, and Palkia is not helping at all)
2. Arceus (I have no idea what you are doing right now, and might adjust your position on this list downwards depending on the level of logic you display in your next few posts)
3. PB (several really bad posts, is the most anti-town player so far and doesn't seem to care)
4. Havoc (4 posts, poor-ish reads, and not a great defence of them - lurking as he is more active in another game now)
5. TDA (has promised to post soon, but has made some really general statements without backing it up so far)
Neutral and/or not enough info (mostly the latter)
6. Dialga (no info)
7. Axe (waiting for monday)
8. Jake (little info, waiting for monday (congrats on the half marathon today) (sorry to make you shake your head at me too))
Townish
9. Reverend
10. Elyze (only 5 posts, but promised to post today, otherwise will move torwards neutral)
11. BBT
12. RC (will be sober monday, but of the other 11 on above has been doing the most scumhunting)
13. Rune
It's really unfortunate that we are waiting on so many people to become active, I expect my reads could change a lot in the next few days as more people post. Just because I have someone at the bottom of my list, doesn't mean I am excluding the possibility that they are scum. However, I am pretty confident that the people on my list from 9 and below are unlikely to be a good choice for a D1 lynch. D2 and after, only time will tell.-
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Rune Goon
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Both Elyse and Dan thought I was scum and I did not attack them. I voted for dan at a later point for obviously different reasons. Several times recently I indicated I thought you could be town, and just didn't like your play. I called scum when you made an obvious mistake. I'm willing to believe it was a mistake for now unless you slip later. Your judgement is delayed, not called off. You also said you would post about it later, which I still expect
I am shocked you town read arceus. It's an obvious load of bs.-
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Rune Goon
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@Elyse
I don't see why I shouldn't use overall site activity relative to in-game activity as a mild indicator of lurking, but I'll keep it in mind and let you know I'm not putting too much weight into it in my reads. I just think it's relevant to point out.
My read on you would change to neutral if you hadn't posted today because you have exactly 6 posts to this point, none of which have given me a scumread (in fact, the opposite). But if I can't trust you to post when you say you will post when you have almost no posts to begin with, I refuse to reward you with a townread. Obviously if you came back tomorrow and gave a reasonable excuse for not posting when you said you would and I believed you, that would be ok too.
Upon reflection I'm not sure I explained how my reads were meant to be read well enough. I labeled the last section as "townish" not "town" and specified at the end that I really am looking at D1 lynch candidates. I mentioned several times beforehand my reluctance to scumread Rev, but if he was going to blatantly manipulate my words like that, it seemed like an easy tell. However, I think it is perfectly plausible that he just made a mistake, since he owned up to it really quickly as you mentioned. Since in general his playstyle here is wildly aggressive and without great logic (as evidenced by his admitting that he has blinders for arceus despite the obvious ridiculousness of his posts against me), I think it isn't too hard to imagine this is a mistake he could have realistically made. That being said, it is also possible he is hiding as scum behind poor town play, but I don't think he is a good D1 lynch candidate at all, so I'd rather put him borderline town.
You'll also notice that my neutral reads are really people who I don't have a read on (I did specify it was largely a category for people who I had little or no information on). It might have been appropriate to put them in a separate section instead of in the middle between scum and town (I did that to keep convention, but I expected the meaning to be clear based on the people in it)
I really like my top 3 scumreads though right now, and I like the order that they are in. Generally I don't like to commit to associative reads D1 but Arceus jumping in so soon after Dan scumslips and replaces out really seems to me to be his way of trying to bring the attention off of Dan/Palkia, by attacking me without having to defend Dan and thus he thinks he will avoid showing his association. Otherwise, it would have been optimal for Arceus to simply lie low, which would have been easy. I think Palkia's annoying play right now gives absolutely no reason to consider any other lynch candidate without strong evidence. You probably stand a decent chance of convincing me that Arceus is a good lynch, and I'll definitely consider it, but I'm hoping that his posts improve quickly or at least make more contextual sense.
@Rev
Can you see why this could hurt the town? Just because someone agrees with your points, doesn't make them town. Just because they disagree, doesn't make them scum. Arceus' argument is poor, regardless of my alignment. Admitting the possibility of having blinkers on makes me sad, because it is an easy way for you to avoid being read. It is definitely not pro-town to have 'blinkers'.
You're right that our exchange does not make me town. Your 'derp' should reflect poorly on the town's perception of you, not positively on its perception of me. So I think you missed the point there.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune
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