Mini 1668 - Mafia in Bremen - Game Over!
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Rune Goon
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Are there stats or are you saying people expect it to be a higher probability than what other people expect? Your statement doesn't make sense without data. I expect it's pretty reliable since investigations are by nature conditional on, in most cases, scummy behaviour.
Anyways, at least your unvote makes more sense now.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1093, Palkia wrote:oversoul is a claimed bodyguard, and i do believe his claim for now
in mini normals, the number of town roles that give false positives to gunsmiths is usually limited to 1 and less likely 2
it's not data, just smart setup design. imagine a game with a macho cop and 2 millers and how fucked that would end up
and the odds that elyse is one are really low not to mention unlikely considering her fake as fuck scummy play anyway
I like this post. But this is the wrong way to lynch D3. Axe is already in full troll mode And could easily lynch now and mess up the game. I think Elyse might well be scum but we need to hear from her and saint before getting this close to a lynch.-
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Rune Goon
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I recommend everyone iso hostilE and Elyse. They haven't posted much so it isn't too tough. I think hostiles iso is atrocious.
Funnily enough. I think that elyse is scum only if palkia is scum.
At some point I will re iso oversoul, and reread a bit, and maybe will vote hostile. But in the mean time, lynch oversoul.-
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Rune
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Rune Goon
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In post 1100, Oversoul wrote:Rune you make no sense to me man
It's not my job to make sense to you.
VOTE: hostile-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1101, Oversoul wrote:Gunsmiths can get guilties on other gunsmiths, cops, vigilantes, millers, and depending on the mod jailkeepers.
I don't think I have heard of a gunsmith getting a guilty on a bodyguard. I would ask Nikanor about that Palkia
Yeah it's a role I know nothing about, I am appreciative of you and Palkia explaining a bit. Seems kind of sexy.
On mobile but if I remember from the wiki bodyguards are not guilty.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 953, TheReverend wrote:I'm not going to read anything else either I'm dead or palkia is.
What prevented you from bringing this up at the beginning of D3?
In post 967, Oversoul wrote:
I'm waiting for you to be confirmed town, Palkia.
I assumed it was some sort of role reason like being a tree stump or a vig or something confirmable and that is why you hammered yesterday, but clearly I was wrong.
Why do you believe the VT claim, Palkia? As opposed to no claim from PB?
Rune, I have no qualms with Palkia dying. I am sorry I made a large assumption on Palkia's role.
See my question to Rev
In post 966, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I have something to say but I don't want to say it now so I'll say it tomorrow.
1) If you were a hero and drew the NK with that, thank you and you half-way redeemed yourself for not lynching obvscum!Havoc.
2) Otherwise, what a dumbass and LOL.
If Rev is scum and NK'd BBT after their endD2 interaction, I think that's hilarious and good job Rev. Much more likely, someone was trying to frame Rev.
[got sick of mobile, pulled out laptop on bus.] [expect possible walls]-
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Rune Goon
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@Oversoul:
On a day-day basis, I think your posts are actually *mostly* alright. However, out of everyone in this game, your posts feel the most calculated and that really bothers me. I don't like your AtE on my scumread of you, it's just bad play and you should knock it off.
Riddle me this:
Assume there was scum on the tail end of PB's wagon. Assume you are town. Assume yesterday you truthfully townread Palkia and therefore voted Havoc. Since today Palkia claims PR and you presumably are more convinced that Palkia is town. Palkia's town claim comes with the *possibility* of a scum read, but one for which he can escape fault if Elyse is not scum. However, if you and Palkia are confirmed town from your perspective, then HI is 100% scum.
If you are actually town and Palkia is confirmed town to you, then HI should obviously be scum from your perspective. Why would you hesitate in voting this way? I bring the same question to Palkia.
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Purely Academic:
Out of curiosity, I can think of only two scenarios in which gunsmith would be 'useful' to game design. 1) scum has a role like godfather which cops wouldn't catch. 2) town has a role that would look guilty to gunsmith. 3) a combination of the two.
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I don't think Palkia is trolling with his claim and I am inclined to believe it, but I am really not convinced that it is sufficient to make Elyse an optimal D3 lynch.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1105, TheReverend wrote:In post 1104, Rune wrote:What prevented you from bringing this up at the beginning of D3?
Call me a liar if you want, but I was kind of expecting another town flip when I said that.
Havoc was so obviously scum it hurt. Unfortunately I can believe you didn't pay enough attention to realize it.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1108, Oversoul wrote:In post 1106, Rune wrote:If you are actually town and Palkia is confirmed town to you, then HI should obviously be scum from your perspective. Why would you hesitate in voting this way? I bring the same question to Palkia.
I'm not about to go against the grain when a Gunsmith has claimed a guilty on Elyse
claimed guilty =/= scum for gunsmith. Hostile should be better odds from your perspective.
I don't trust either you or Palkia, so 'going against the grain' doesn't bother me in the slightest.-
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Rune Goon
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@Oversoul
ISO HI and tell me what you think.
Axe is probably town, I've mentioned this a lot.. If scum, scum with HI, and that's been my thought since D2. If HI flips scum, I would probably only look at you, axe, and elyse at this point.
I haven't really strongly thought about the implications of scum Axe but we'll see how this day goes. Right now I see no need to.
@HI
You're not as clever as you think you are.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1117, TheReverend wrote:In post 1107, Rune wrote:Havoc was so obviously scum it hurt. Unfortunately I can believe you didn't pay enough attention to realize it.
Sometimes I'm awesome, sometimes I suck. This game it seems I suck. I don't care so long as we win.
What are your thoughts on Hostile?-
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Rune Goon
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I commented on that also. Normally I would agree. But there has to be scum between oversoul, hostile, and Palkia. That's a much bigger town derp than what you're showing which could be faked pretty confidently considering it was the third naked L1 of the game and other players were already forgiven for not paying attention.-
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Rune Goon
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Is this really we're we are at in the game?
I don't believe that no scum exist between Oversoul, Palkia, and Hostile. If Hostile townflips, at least one of you is fake claiming and that makes me far less suspicious of Elyse. If Hostile scum flips, then Elyse becomes a much more interesting lynch candidate (barring a townie PR claim that we can confirm). But with two PR claims from that group it should be an easy lynch.
*sigh*-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1153, Elyse wrote:In post 984, Oversoul wrote:VOTE: Elyse
I think she was trying to tie me to Jeanne. I also think the BBT kill implicates her.
True - I think you and Jeanne are scum together. I've been saying that since you pushed the PB lynch.
So you think Oversoul is scum?
Um. I would say assume this is because of Palkia's apparent guilty (like Jake's poor vote/unvote), but here:
In post 1044, Hostile Intent wrote:Wait, what just happened?
it looks like you didn't know what happened. As in you didn't realize Palkia had a guilty.
These last two quotes look like you're just trying to manipulate HI's posts. I don't really agree with your comments but w/e. HI had been strongly townreading you so I understand surprise at the "she has a gun" comment.
I'm a VT so Palkia is bullshitting. I would vote him but I honestly think that he's town who is scumreading me so hard that he has to fake a guilty to get a lynch through. It's sad, but I don't see him faking a guilty as scum because when I flip VT he'd be fucked.
VOTE: Hostile Intent
Terrible sheepy play, poor place on PB wagon, lack of original thoughts, etc.
I'll believe Oversoul's claim for now.
So Oversoul is scum but you believe the claim. Palkia is fake claiming but you believe him to be town. But you're voting for HI.
I really don't like this post Elyse. Something doesn't add up in it. You're using a shotgun approach for your defence without coming to strong or logical conclusions and it seems unnecessary. I'd like for you to elaborate on it a bit.
I don't like the timing of this vote. I don't think Elyse was particularly convincing and it seems like you were just waiting to follow her lead.
In post 990, NotAnAxehole wrote:My vote is, in spirit, on the first player to reach L-2 (making L-2 essentially the lynch threshold.
Don't really like this but that's how you're choosing to play and you did warn us. [That vote is L-1 btw]
Well, I'm still ok with it being L-1 because I think HI lynch will give good info about the game, and if Oversoul & Palkia aren't fake claiming, HI is scum. If they are fake claiming, lynching Elyse is probably bad. So..... I'm not too happy with how this day is going but I think this is about as good as it will get.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1156, Hostile Intent wrote:I obviously understood the gunsmith, but then he said he's macho. I didn't know those were normally put together, so I didn't get it. I am sheeping. Its for a reason, but we'll cross that bridge really soon it seems. That's L-1.
Can we stop with the nonsense posts like this?
Oversoul trying to get townreads from people so he can aBGree to save them overnight, BBT saying he has important things to say "tomorrow", and now this. I, at least, don't care at all unless you're just going to straight out say what your alleged PR is. But if you actually have one, that's a terrible post.
You're at L-1 and you've acknowledged it... time to spill the beans.-
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Rune
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In post 1160, Oversoul wrote:HI you should probably claim before Palkia hammers you
Won't really make a difference.
Are you really going to try to make an argument that three town PR were the counterwagon to an easy D1 scum lynch? That's even more ridiculous than your current assumption that all three of you are town. That sort of thing just does not happen in a game.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune
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In post 1170, Hostile Intent wrote:I don't plan on claiming
What are your reads on oversoul and Palkia?-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1175, TheReverend wrote:In post 1157, Rune wrote:I don't like the timing of this vote.
Do you like the timing of my unvote?
No complaints.
In post 1179, Hostile Intent wrote:You'll L-1 me is what you'll do.
Whose everyone's top scum read (or second top scum read if the top is me)?
Serious inquiry.
Your answer to this question (Elyse, Saint, me) is extremely suspect. If you are town, you are implying that you then believe both Oversoul and Palkia's claims, and that three town, at least two of which are PR, quicklynched town D1 as a counterwagon to a scum lynch. This is a ridiculous assumption.
So my answer is obviously you. I've already posted what my opinion is after your flip.
In post 1200, Saint wrote:i dont think thats what i said specifically. hold on.
I didn't know it was havoc perse
I was pretty sure the slot was scum when I specifically asked Nikanor to replace into TheDudeAbides.
It was just a gut feeling; a hunch.
This is extremely suspicious.
In post 1215, TheReverend wrote:In post 1213, NotAnAxehole wrote:TheReverend is scum.
This is so predictable that I'm ashamed of myself for not predicting it.
I laughed.
In post 1225, Elyse wrote:I don't see why town would be more inclined to miss it. They are waiting too. Especially HI, who was townreading me before Palkia's fake result.
Agreed.
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@All - to address Axe's point in post 1217, I am inclined to agree with him.
I have seen no reason not to lynch HI. Let's hammer.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1235, TheReverend wrote:In post 1233, Oversoul wrote:Curious why he thinks that a Gunsmith means a vig *has* to be in this game.
I'd expect there to be a townie with a gun, and vig is the most likely, especially given mulitple deaths on n1.
It seems very likely we have a vig to me. The question is if we have a gunsmith.
Did RC have multiple personalities? Do tell me who these multiple deaths were.
Could you please put in about 5% more effort into this game? Just enough so that the player names you post correspond to players in this game, so that you don't mix up players, and so that you can keep track of the number of kills each night. Is that too much to ask?-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1238, TheReverend wrote:In post 1236, Rune wrote:I have seen no reason not to lynch HI. Let's hammer.
No. We should wait for palkia. We've still got a the small matter of the gunsmith claim and the denial. Why the hurry?
In post 1205, Hostile Intent wrote:I've no intention on claiming, guy.
I've considered that perhaps Palkia is indeed performing some sort of gambit. The Rev crumb holds up though, so it's a strange and elaborate gambit. Oversoul's crumb doesn't seem out of the ordinary for the game either. Very subtle, which is good, but easily a fall-back if scum surmise that there are no protective roles in the game. I can't imagine that to be the case at this point. So, as it stands, Elyse is the obvious scum here. If she doesn't come forward one way or the other on confirming/denying Palkia's guilty, she's done here very soon.
I still don't feel great about your slot, however, so I'm at a bit of a mental stand off.
No hurry.... but HI needs to go. It makes no sense for HI to believe Palkia and Oversoul, and scumread Elyse. I made this point in my previous post.
@Oversoul, what do you think of this?-
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In post 1246, Oversoul wrote:I don't want to hammer just yet, at any rate. I want to hear more from Palkia and Saint.
Rune, I'm telling you man, you're setting yourself up for failure if you are try to strictly adhere to Good Play (TM) and assume that townies are not stupid. Your assumptions are from a perspective of collective knowledge. Individual townies do not possess that collective knowledge which would make certain actions, votes, plays, etc dumb.
Where do I assume townies are not stupid? I townread Rev and he is playing this game from another planet.... I townread Axe and his only contribution today is "[insertanynamehere] is scum"
All players possess the knowledge that Havoc (scum) was going to be lynched D1, and was, within a period of four hours, "saved" by three votes on PB (town). Two of those votes are claiming PR. I don't give a damn about adhering to Good Play or the intelligence of townies. The third person townreading both of the other two is not someone I want in this game. HI needs to go.
Your crumb was dumb. It helps nobody. It only shows that your moves are calculated as I've stated, and there is a stronger scum motivation for that than town motivation. But I'm glad HI was able to massage your ego.
I don't trust that anything Palkia says will be useful. Don't care to wait on him. The only thing I care about w.r.t Palkia is that we tell him who to read N3, assuming, of course, that he won't conveniently forget to do it again.
I would like to hear more from Saint. Good point. He's done a bad job so far. But since HI needs to go, I'm not too worried about Saint until I see an HI flip.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1248, TheReverend wrote:Whoever put the 'b' in subtle is a fucking genius.
You're hilarious..
Hammer.
Hammer.
Hammer.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1252, Oversoul wrote:In post 1249, Rune wrote:Your crumb was dumb. It helps nobody. It only shows that your moves are calculated as I've stated, and there is a stronger scum motivation for that than town motivation. But I'm glad HI was able to massage your ego.
This is wrong on so many levels.
It helped me not get lynched and it also helped the town not lynch a PR. So yes, I would say that my crumb was not dumb. It was useful.
I play a calculated game all the time. I think you're the first person to ever put it like that. This makes sense for why I am seen as scummy all the time though. Hmm. I don't know how to not play calculated though.
What added value does your crumb add to the claim? None. Claiming by itself would be just as effective. I'm surprised nobody has mentioned this but yes it could explain things. I think you've already pointed out we have a lot to discuss in end game and I'd be interested in talking it through.-
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In post 1253, TheReverend wrote:I'm not hammering. I think hostile town slipped with that VT thing. I don't see scum missing the claim. It can be argued that hostile is making us think she missed it for the town cred that comes with it, but seeing as I'm literally the only person in the world who seems to think along these lines, I'd say it's unlikely that was the plan.
If palkia insists he's gunsmith, then we should lynch elyse.
GS guilty is not confirmed scum and I don't really care about site meta, in the context of this game Elyse is a bad lynch right now. Palkia's ISO gives him no credibility to begin with.
Havoc counterwagon > GS guilty.
Even though I am almost certain you are town Rev, the way you are playing and the fact that we disagree is actually really comforting to me. "the game is finally making sense" and "there were multiple kills night one so there must be a vig".... no town should have any motivation to listen to you unless you pick it up.-
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In post 1256, Oversoul wrote:In post 1254, Rune wrote:What added value does your crumb add to the claim? None. Claiming by itself would be just as effective.
I dunno. My wagon went from 0 to 60 in about 2.5 seconds. I think the crumb is what gave the claim legitimacy.
Are you serious?
You claim without mentioning the crumb at L-2, followed by a vote by Axe to bring it to L-1. 3 unvotes happen before your next post, which is where you mention the crumb.
Are we reading the same game? I don't even understand what you think you're doing if you're town, but you're making an atrocious, outrageous, factually incorrect argument to debate a point on which you are also wrong.-
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In post 1022, Oversoul wrote:
I am probably going to be derp hammered by this dumb ass town (seriously, who the fuck puts anyone at L-1 while Palkia is still alive).
I'm not as into HI as before but for {reasonss}
(That was an L-1 vote).
If you insist on playing so poorly and hypocritically, I would appreciate it if you would stop whining about what you perceive to be bad play on my part.
Does anybody else need me to hold their hand and explain how stupid this town is being?-
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In post 1258, TheReverend wrote:Um people do realise that if palkia is gunsmith then elyse is scum, right?
1) That's a very questionable IF.
2) Elyse could be lying about VT claim and still be PR, trying to avoid NK.
Your arguments are bad. You should feel bad. Go take a timeout with BBT. Make space for Oversoul because he probably belongs in the special illogical town playground you are logging into this forum from.-
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In post 1263, TheReverend wrote:In post 1261, Rune wrote:Your arguments are bad. You should feel bad.
I feel terrible that I'm not up to your required standards.
I might cry.
That would break my heart. I didn't intend for my words to have such an impact on you. To be honest, I'm surprised you responded to me in the correct game thread.
This. Game.-
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In post 1262, Hostile Intent wrote:Thing is, if Elyse is scum they're not killing Palkia. They're killing Oversoul and WIFOM'ing his claim's legitimacy "because Oversoul died." And people will believe that shit.
Really I'm still all about Elyse and Saint right now. Flipping a coin tbh.
Pedit: We'll see.
This post makes no sense. Please elaborate. Who is "They"? How is Oversoul being killed? Is it happening in one of Rev's imaginary games? If Elyse is scum, why do you think "they" should be killing Palkia anyways? That's dumb.
Do you want to just hammer yourself since Rev is clearly feeling a bit impotent at the moment?-
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I'm going to attempt to be less condescending now, I've mostly vented my frustrations.
I still see no reason why lynching HI now would be too bad an idea though, so I'm perfectly happy to continue recommending a hammer.
@Oversoul:
If I tell you who I actually think you should protect, it is more likely that the kill won't go that way. Or that it will. What the hell do I know?
That being said, prior to the point where scum read this post, I think they would be planning to kill Jake or IFtown!Palkia, and you allegedly can't protect Palkia. I would recommend protecting Jake, but WIFOM so make your own decision.-
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Which of Oversoul and Palkia is scum then?-
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In post 1276, TheReverend wrote:
Why does there have to be scum between them?
I'd say if there has to be, it's oversoul, based on palkia derp hammering scum.
In post 591, TheReverend wrote:In post 577, Rune wrote:If the set of Palkia, Oversoul, Hostile, and Havoc doesn't contain at least two members of a scumteam, I will be surprised.
This, absolutely.
Nothing has changed. Except, you know, Havoc was confirmed as scum.-
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In post 1282, TheReverend wrote:Oh dear I said something that doesn't tally exactly with something I agreed with 600+ posts ago.
You're right... evidence has since shown that line of thought to be faulty. [/sarcasm] .......... but no, the opposite is true. Havoc's flip confirms it. Why do you now disagree?
At what point will you admit to being stubborn to the point of being detrimental to town?-
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In post 1296, Jake from State Farm wrote:In post 1288, Elyse wrote:Read the thread
yeah I will when I have time, but somebody can give me a summary?
Gs guilty isn't super useful because we suspect palkia may be trolling as he has hard scumread Elyse since d1. Elyse claimed vt but I'm not sure she isn't pr just lying to avoid a claim and possible nk. Iso palkia.
Meanwhile the counter wagon to Havoc from d1 needs to have scum on it. If palkia and oversoul have both claimed pr then hostile must be scum. If hostile flips town, I can't trust oversoul or palkia and atleast one is lying.-
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In post 1301, TheReverend wrote:I think we should lynch oversoul.
Everyone listen to the crazy bong smoking reverend.
Jesus loves you all.
vote oversoul
I really, really want to lynch Oversoul. But I think HI lynch gives more information to town given the PR claims and HI's lack of cooperation. Oversoul is obviously playing the game and making an honest effort either way, while HI is not. If Oversoul gets to L-1 though I will hammer.
In post 1302, Oversoul wrote:In post 1299, Rune wrote:Meanwhile the counter wagon to Havoc from d1 needs to have scum on it. If palkia and oversoul have both claimed pr then hostile must be scum. If hostile flips town, I can't trust oversoul or palkia and atleast one is lying.
If there is anyone lying it is Palkia. Either way, we have at least 1 scum between {Elyse, Palkia}.
If Elyse flips town lynch Palkia first thing.
His hammer on Jeanne may have been to save face for his hammer on PB. He can't look partial when applying his hammer.
Why do we need to have 1 scum between Elyse and Palkia? I don't trust the claim or Elyse's response enough to believe this with 100% accuracy.
In post 1305, Hostile Intent wrote:Let's just rope me up then, hm? If my lynch clears up the wagon one way or the other, all the better no? That also means I've one less to worry about.
Yes please. I did give you the chance to hammer yourself. If you were town you would still be able to win.-
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In post 1306, Oversoul wrote:In post 1304, Jake from State Farm wrote:this game has a GS in it does it not? wouldn't the real GS have just cc'd him?
Why do you think this... when there is no indication at all that a particular role (GS) should exist in this game?
Agreed. Jake's play has been very erratic lately.
But to be clear, Jake and Elyse are not both scum Anyone who suggests that is silly.. Between the two, I would think Elyse is more likely, although Jake's play lately has been worse.-
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In post 1311, Hostile Intent wrote:I'm never doing that, Rune. That's sub-optimal play. The wagon needs to be natural and without a self-vote.
I was just being cheeky.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1313, Jake from State Farm wrote:In post 1310, Oversoul wrote:In post 1308, Jake from State Farm wrote:my bad, confusing games. disregard that post. i'd explain but not sure how much that would violate the rules
was so many really necessary?
Was that post necessary? Vote hostile. Or, better yet, good content!-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1316, Oversoul wrote:In post 1307, Rune wrote:I really, really want to lynch Oversoul. But I think HI lynch gives more information to town given the PR claims and HI's lack of cooperation. Oversoul is obviously playing the game and making an honest effort either way, while HI is not. If Oversoul gets to L-1 though I will hammer.
HOW CAN YOU RECONCILE THESE THOUGHTS IN THE SAME PARAGRAPH OMYGOD
Let's walk through this...
Rune wants to lynch Oversoul
HI lynch gives more information
HI is not contributing to the game state
Oversoul is trying and contributing to the game state
If Oversoul gets to L-1, I will hammer the person who is trying and contributing to the game state (TOWNIE FUCKING THINGS TO DO) as opposed to HI who is not contributing, cooperating, or making any honest effort and is overall a better lynch for information.
?????????
I don't believe you and HI are the same alignment. HI is a better lynch but if you get to L-1 without my vote I doubt we will get an HI lynch at all. I would then hammer you and feel great about it regardless of the flip. Just because you are more engaging than other people doesn't mean you are helping town. For example, while we disagree that there is for sure scum in {you, hostile, palkia} then I don't think we have much to discuss about this game.
I'd prefer to lynch you... notice my first vote D3. I don't like your claim crumb as I've said, but you've made a claim and that makes me give you the slight benefit of the doubt.
My post isn't that difficult to understand and it is completely consistent with my thoughts on today as I have been posting.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1318, Oversoul wrote:If Jake gets to L-1 I will hammer him regardless of claim.
My hammer is bigger than yours.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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In post 1323, Oversoul wrote:In post 1322, Rune wrote:od this game is going nowhere. If I promise to be nice can we work together and make a collective town decision?
Was this addressed to me?
Addressed to anybody willing to listen. I'm really sick of the way this game is going.-
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Rune Goon
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Can we agree that it is almost certain that the counterwagon to Havoc was scum driven? I'd point out that said wagon is exactly the wagon on Elyse right now. If you disagree, please do your best to explain it, because this is obviously a sore point for me.
What do you think about HI townreading both you and Palkia given my above statement?
Right now, who would you be willing to lynch? What information you would get from those flips?
Do you agree we are probably look at a 10-3 setup (I don't think Havoc was operating independently)? In this case, which pairs do you think are the remainder of the team with Havoc?
Out of curiosity, am I the only one who noticed that Palkia didn't regret the lynch of PB (who flipped town) but immediately posted 'regret' on the hammer of Havoc (who then flipped scum). I didn't mention this earlier but I thought it was odd.
Please unvote so we don't lynch Elyse right now.-
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Rune Goon
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Rune Goon
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In post 1336, Oversoul wrote:In post 1333, Rune wrote:
1. Can we agree that it is almost certain that the counterwagon to Havoc was scum driven? I'd point out that said wagon is exactly the wagon on Elyse right now. If you disagree, please do your best to explain it, because this is obviously a sore point for me.Yes, I think we can agree on that. I don't think both scum were on the PB counter wagon though.
So we agree, that assuming you are town, either Hostile or Palkia are scum? I agree it is probable that there is one scum on the counter wagon.
2. What do you think about HI townreading both you and Palkia given my above statement?I think she could be scum. I think she might be trying to stall a claim. I wish Palkia would stop being a lurker and definitively say he has a guilty on Elyse, otherwise I will lynch HI.
Palkia being a lurker is a huge problem and I really don't trust him enough to base my actions at this point on his posts. Until that changes, I believe we have enough information available to the whole town to do a good job at hunting scum independently of Palkia.
3. Right now, who would you be willing to lynch? What information you would get from those flips?I am willing to lynch Elyse, Jake, HI, Palkia. My preferences may change. Elyse would give us information on Palkia. Palkia would also give us some associative tells. HI + Jake because I really dislike their play so far, not entirely sure what can be gleamed from HI given her iso. Jake probably would give us some associative tells too.
Jake's play today has been really subpar. I understand the town motivation for this lynch. However, I really don't think it is optimal, although I haven't ISO'd him and no immediate associatives come to mind except weak pushes on Palkia. Either way, I would rank Jake as the lowest priority of the four you mentioned. My problem with GS Guilty lynch is that I don't trust Palkia, and I don't necessarily trust Elyse's VT claim. I don't think that a flip on either of these players gives DEFINITIVE information, at least from my perspective. I think we have options which will give definitive information. For example, I am quite confident that you (oversoul) and HI are opposite alignments.
Do you agree we are probably look at a 10-3 setup (I don't think Havoc was operating independently)? In this case, which pairs do you think are the remainder of the team with Havoc?Yes. The norm on MS is for games to be 10:3. I dunno who the pairs are yet. Need more information. I have a couple of speculations maybe, but I don't want to reveal them just yet.
That is fair. When you feel like bringing up possibilities, let me know. I think either today or D4 we are ready to put forward more information, such as this.
Out of curiosity, am I the only one who noticed that Palkia didn't regret the lynch of PB (who flipped town) but immediately posted 'regret' on the hammer of Havoc (who then flipped scum). I didn't mention this earlier but I thought it was odd.Yes, I saw this. Yes, I thought this was odd too.
Another reason I have a problem basing my actions off something Palkia thinks is a good idea.
Please unvote so we don't lynch Elyse right now.-
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Rune Goon
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In post 1338, Jake from State Farm wrote:In post 1287, Jake from State Farm wrote:we have a guilty so we lynch the guilty right? I mean that's how I always play
Do you care if the guilty comes from a troll who has quick hammered on both lynches, who lurks and who himself was at one point willing to unvote despite the alleged guilty? Does it matter that the guilty comes from your biggest scumread (at least, that was the case prior to the unprompted claim).-
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Rune Goon
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