Mini 1576 - Timeshift Mafia II - Endgame
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 6#p4759486
D3f3nd3r
Mafia Scum
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Joined : March 25, 2012
Pronoun: He
Post Post #733 (isolation #41) » Sun Mar 03, 2013 5:16 pm
Role Player
Mafia:
1 Goon: SoraAdvent
1 Encryptor: Goodmorning
1 1-shot Strongman: Guille2015
Town:
1 Role Cop: Human Destroyer
1 Jailkeeper: Xalxe
1 Tracker: Keybladewielder
6 VTs: Leviathan93
PeregrineV
Regfan
Lastsurvivor
Sucrose
Cogito Ergo Sum
3rd Party:
1 Timeshifting Serial Killer: Lurker
(Abilities: regular NK; 1-shot Timeshifted kill; 1-shot Global Timeshift; 1-shot BP)
Role PMs: To get a role's Role PM, take the stuff for "All", their faction, and their role.
All: Welcome to Timeshift Mafia! Remember that all night actions submitted will not go into effect until the next night due to the timeshift.
Town: You are a member of the town. You win when all threats to the town are eliminated.
Mafia: You are a member of the mafia. Your partners are (___________, a Goon, __________, an Encryptor, and __________, a 1-Shot Strongman). While the Encryptor is alive, you may talk in http://www.quicktopic.com/48/H/6rdi6T7XCnuG at any time; if he is dead, you many only talk at night. You win when all of the town is eliminated, or nothing can prevent this.
Serial Killer: You are a Serial Killer. You have a regular Nightkill, one kill not effected by the timeshift, and one time where all actions take place on the day they are submitted. In addition, the first attempt on your life will be negated. You win when you are the last man standing, or nothing can prevent this.
Goon: You have no other abilities, but you are allowed to perform the Nightkill.
Encryptor: You are also an Encryptor. While you are alive, your Mafia team may talk during the Day. When you die, your Mafia team will only be able to talk at Night.
Strongman: You also have a 1-Shot Strongman kill. When you say to, but only once, your kill will be unable to be protected by any other role.
Role Cop: You are also a Role Cop. Each night, you can choose a player to learn their role. You will not learn their faction, and will receive Vanilla for any player without a night ability.
Tracker: You are also a Tracker. Each night, you can target a player to see who he targeted that night.
Jailkeeper: You are also a Jailkeeper. Each Night, you may imprison a player. When doing so, that player will be protected from all kills and will be unable to perform any actions.
Vanilla: You have no other abilities, but you do have your vote. Use it wisely!
All: Game thread is at viewtopic.php?f=23&t=25018. Confirm via PM.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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My nonsensical thought process is:
<Tammy, Ceph> pool for an SK if it exists
<PV, Mara> for last scum
SK possibilities have me imagining the worst, especially having just seen Defender's last game where it was 3 vs. 1 vs. 9 or 8
In post 1765, PeregrineV wrote:Mara- staying or dying? Who is scum in you, Bert, Bulba? if that is town tirfecta, you'll need to talk hard.
Bert- why Bulba or Mara over you? You got others, that's great, but, to me, those are the three.
Bulba- see post above.
Everyone else- if you got aREAL reason to clear any of theseplease give it now. Otherwise, talk to me about who and why.
? How is anyone in this game 'clear' outside a confirmed town via dead PR??
And no, I'm not answering those questions because pitting us against each other as the only ones in your "supposed talk-big lynch-pool"....how do i say this...umm...
This is not a simple matter of just lynching through a pool.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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#669 At deadline, Quadz08, the setup designer, will be posting the final votecount. His votecount should be accurate, and I ask that everyone here refrains from posting after the deadline or after he posts.
So quadz designed that setup. Hmm...
Town Role Cop Quote Post-game: http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 1#p4764311
"Well, I thought it was a little annoying to not get my results until the next night, because by the time I actually get results on someone they die somehow. >.>
I didn't like the SK's ability to break the timeshift on N1, I was kinda hoping there would be no NK."-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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I mean, her evasiveness ever since Pie was lynched is kinda unhelpful (putting off any twilight reads hinging on the flip, and then not going through with it after the next game day). I don't understand her rationale so far today. It's like she thinks scum might be eliminated and her transparency (which is evidently her strong suit) isn't there anymore. See her recent short, sharp bursts and compare them to her thoughts upon replacing in. It's like night and day.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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VOTE: Tammy
^this is completely serious. She's also still dangling a vote on me (while not scumreading me), the same way she just did in our last game where she was scum (Arcadia). I waited for her to read me with more of a fine-toothed comb, but it never happened.
At the very least, this game that PV brought up (modded by Defender as well), should indicate that no reads here are iron-clad like PV is proposing. No one is "clear."-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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I'll look into it in a bit - gotta catch a ride to Wifi area before I hash out the rest of my reads so that people like PV can consider my reads more of part of his "questionable source"
However, I did read the first half of the game this afternoon - I'm revising my read on Mara to maybe-town because of Kaze and also the fact that three consecutive games ended where EspeciallyTheLies called me scum for virtually no reason other than "being familiar with my game" and flipped town in all three. It's REALLY reminding me of Mara beyond reasonableness. ETL was never forthcoming about reads on me either.
Scum may have targeted Bane thinking he's a probable-SK. I wonder if Tammy getting a vest is just a coincidence, as the vest-giving is actually corroborated. I no longer am stopping myself on the basis of "Bert this is outrageous thinking" of SK after seeing this last Timeshift game (which no one mentioned to me, why???). This is a BIG DEAL. Same Mod, similar mechanics...relatively recent game.
Yes, I have been worried about extra killers. And then there's the setup argument. Do our PRs have something to balance what's being claimed/flipped. JK has a counterpart in the flipped RB.
These are all speculations. Tammy killing Messiah also makes sense in the context of a scumhunting SK. Sense of urgency may have been lacking because she could kill Pie without lynching.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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PeregrineV
Bulbazak
Anatole Kuragin <PROD> <PROD>
Bert
Studio 54 (Cephrir/Axxle/PrivateI)
Tammy
Bbmolla
Ms Marangal <PROD>
There's nowhere to hide, Tammy.
Molla, Mara, Ceph, Anatole --- all most likely town after re-read
Bulb and PV - not sure about them
Then there's you, m'dear Tammy.
In post 1790, Tammy wrote:OH MY FUCKING GOD.
I WAS THE NIGHT ONE KILL.
WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU TWO?
ARE YOU THE LAST SCUM?
WTF?
4 scum? Nope! You yourself said that you could still be SK, but not mafia.
In post 1787, Tammy wrote:You were content to let the town carry you.
I've done 20 times more legwork here than I did in Quickness.
In post 1454, Tammy wrote:You can't test me Bert. I'm fucking town..I mean the only literal thing I could be is a Serial Killer, and that's it, that's all you can be paranoid about-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1454, Tammy wrote:I mean the only literal thing I could be is a Serial Killer, and that's it, that's all you can be paranoid about.
Did you read the Timeshift 1411 game? Do you see that there's no Vig claim out of all the claims since we're done massclaiming?
How did Messiah die if no vig or any town PR to explain it?
P-edit: who's left to massclaim?-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Anatole is thinking you're a potential SK too.
In post 1787, Tammy wrote:Bert I voted you because I am fucking scum reading you.
Wrong!
In post 1664, Tammy wrote:I still want to think Bert's town; he's at least behaving nothing like he did in Mafia with a Quickness and was posting here while ignoring that game.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1589, Tammy wrote:VOTE: bert
Timestamp: 1589 came before 1666 quoted above where she wants to think I'm town.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Given the ensuing storm of emotions going on, hmm let me see.
You called the ramblings about you possibly being SK as crap, almost as fast as you could.
Your votes today and yesterday don't appear to have lynch intention or pressure. You theorized yourself that you UNDERSTAND that people may be paranoid about you being an SK. You distinguished the difference and why you can still be an SK.
In post 1789, Tammy wrote:NONE OF THAT MAKES ANY SENSE.
What doesn't make sense?
In post 1795, Tammy wrote:WHAT THE FUCK IS YOUR PROBLEM? YOU THINK I MAKE THAT POST AS A SERIAL KILLER?
I'M SERIOUS Y'ALL WHEN I FLIP VANILLA TOWN YOU LYNCH THE GODDAMN FUCK OUT OF BERT. I PROMISE YOU HE IS FLIPPING SCUM. I PROMISE YOU.
Then, when someone voices suspicion on you, you call the suspicions plain wrong. Not "weak," not "weak because weak reasoning," but "WOW ALL OF THIS IS WRONG"-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1807, Tammy wrote:Also, oh my gods if you think Dr. Pantsor BBMollawas a kill I'd make, you're fucking insane. Not when I have choice over the kill. Nope, sorry, uh uh, nope nope nope.
Wait what?? BBMolla is still alive.
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1813, Anatole Kuragin wrote:Sorry molla, looks like you're getting SK'd tonight. gg bud
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA Yeah Molla is dying tonight!
I jumped out of my chair when I read that post about Molla being a kill.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Caught up. Wow, I feel so flat-lined from IRL.
unvotefor now, although I do get confused when people go the explosion route regarding emotional rampages - makes me wonder if it's manipulating without my best interests at heart, or if Tammy is playing up her town-meta to a T. Some days, I really dislike meta for that reason - it makes me lean a certain way, all the while knowing that the meta I'm giving credence to can be manipulated if the player is aware enough of how to manipulate her/his own meta.
Well, that's what Nacho always did if scum against m - AtE shamelessly. I also will answer questions tomorrow (waking up early tomorrow, then not sure what schedule is like Thurs, Fri.). It would be nice if posts with questions didn't include "bert is scum" every other sentence, because that gets old quickly.
I'm apparently hard to read lately. I have a sneaking suspicion it's because I'm going through withdrawals and that nasty crap isn't out of my system yet. I'm taking all the supplements, exercising, all that, everything via research that one can imagine to counter it or minimize symptoms. I think ETL and Antihero misreading me in 3-4 consecutive past games in the recent month or so really makes me wonder. Before, I would get really paranoid when people misread me, but I feel so...flat-lined...like a zombie.
Also, about the claims - the last game was really townsided, so I am not fond of the idea of going after the PR pool because the setup doesn't make sense (balance-wise) if the claims are true. We also are missing how powerful the SK may be, or how powerful the last remaining mafia (if he/she exists) is. The last game had 6 VT's, so that's a good place to start.
Finding out about a past Timeshift game run by the same moderator - that led to some epiphanies. I'll try to answer questions tomorrow.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Nothing to be sorry about!
Antihero was about to try the AtE tactic as scum this week to manipulate me (game just ended two days ago), but town lovers suicided before he began
That's the scum tactic that falcon employs late in games with me too. It's null because town does it too.
My case was made in a swirl of emotions. if you're town (I leaning town after catch up), I actually believed you were scum and it was some all-world epiphany - btw Nacho would get me riled up for reading purposes, by making cases that he appeared to believe in but made me scream inside lol
I wasn't trying to make a bad case. I thought you were scum and so it made sense for me to paint everything that way. The bonus is it put pressure, for better or worse
My last SK game I watched as backup mod was where Skull took the game after both scum died Day 1 and 2. Town fell apart.
Everyone is talking about lynch pools, me included, but I don't feel confident about those - especially with SK running around plus potential mafia
I can't help but speculate that one of JK and Doc is scum. Neither is x-shot or negative utility-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1925, Bulbazak wrote:I want someone to explain to me why they're reading PV as town.
I really wanted to ask him stuff, but then he disappears and it just kills game momentum to not get much info out of him while wagoning him. He's a prisoner of PoE like me.
Also, correct trolling Tammy response to 1922 is:
Omg wow she is scum displaying guilt about being so manipulative as scum. Omg wow-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1868, Anatole Kuragin wrote:mafia could be bert, bulba, mara, or pere, imo. I want to say pere and mara are town though
In post 1865, Anatole Kuragin wrote:well, I think bert may be our most likely mafia, but unlikely to be sk
i think tammy is unlikely to be mafia but my best guess for sk
mathematically these are probably both bad choices
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I think we need bulba to show up
In post 1867, Anatole Kuragin wrote:imo it's tammy bulba or bb, and bulba is the only one of those three that could conceivably also be mafia
You've proclaimed yourself to be a leader in this game. Yet outside of Tammy yesterday, you haven't immediately put the spotlight on anyone as a real scumread. Why is that? This doesn't seem like an instinctual thought process. You're covering your reads in what looks like generic commentary. None of this contains any kind of convincing tone.
In post 1432, Anatole Kuragin wrote:My skepticism is reserved for people I'm not 95% sure on.
In post 1428, Anatole Kuragin wrote:Because he's scum and lying? You guys realize he hasn't flipped yet, right?
What's weirder is how you expressed your Pie-scumread with certainty yesterday, even into Twilight. This makes me think Bus. If you think someone is scum, there's no reason to withhold anything until further notice.
What I would say to PR's right now is that no claims will not necessarily save you from suspicion. Even Studio is not clear by any means. I see a lack of clear signals from you.
In post 1775, Anatole Kuragin wrote:tammy could be sk/mafia but not studio
why not?
VOTE: Anatole
You guys know the feeling of when everything about the claim fits so perfectly? Almost a too-good-to-be-true, fits too well type? This fits the bill.
Now, about Bulba and Pere. Both are caught up IRL, so activity is a null tell. Peregrine seems to be "following the tide" a lot more than Bulba.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1558, Anatole Kuragin wrote:I can only carry this town on my back for so long.
This was a joke?-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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It looks town, but that doesn't mean it is coming from a town mindset 100%. I don't see how it's a bad move to make if scum.
Also, it's a really good way to throw Tammy off Ceph's tracks, much like I claimed miller in Quickness for that very reason.
Plus, it's one-shot, so Tammy isn't immune forever. What scum can do is just kill her another night.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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By the way, the Organic Chemistry I'm referring to is: http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=5379697-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1941, Anatole Kuragin wrote:why would you assume he was telling the truth about it being 1 shot if he was mafia
I made no such assumption. 1-shot is an easier claim - makes more sense to stay alive longer, as the role is weakened by the 1-shot modifier. That way, stronger players getting killed makes sense in the whole scheme of things, as does the 1-shot giver staying alive. It's in the same vein as how a cop isn't expected to live through forever neverland. A 1-shot cop may be lying (and be a real full cop), but if scum investigates and knows that cop is 1-shot, then that person can be left alive for a very long time.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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no, so that it makes more sense for him to stay alive and live deep into the game.
I do think Studio is town, but I feel like you took the "no one is clear here" and spun it into "Studio has to be 100% town." I'm not interested in lynching Studio, but I have every reason to be considering everyone - especially given how SK's are really tricky to find.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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That's why I'm not going for Studio. Does Mafia having two preventive roles make sense? I haven't seen SKs be preventives either, but anything's game I guess.
In post 1947, Anatole Kuragin wrote:regardless, I am not mafia
hehehehe you're supposed to say you're not scum (to account for SK)
In post 1949, Anatole Kuragin wrote:which he obviously is not
what do you mean he's not hot shit as doctor????-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1870, Bulbazak wrote:I protected the Jeesh slot (Studio) n1 and n2, and I protected Tammy n3.
How do you know Bulba hasn't saved anyone?-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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The SK will continue to scumhunt, and thus could easily take care of the last scum for us.
On the other hand, SKs are likely Bulletproof, so:
An SK seems harder to take care of. Also, another mafia is not certain to exist, depending on moderator variables. An SK most surely exists barring something extraordinary.
That's why my priority is the SK first.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1993, Ms Marangal wrote:Also, dont count on me to give any more moments of insight because I have already given mine this game
Obligatory:
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 1975, PeregrineV wrote:We're sure on the SK and not a vig?
We completed a massclaim, and no vigilante claimed. Nor do any claimed roles/PR's explain Messiah's death. Then, we have the last Timeshift game where an SK was part of the setup. Lastly, we have Tammy claiming to have been shot on Night 2 - the night Messiah also died. The only explanation remaining is that there is a third-party role that killed Messiah.
On a side note, Anatole your new avatar is scary - like Halloween. Lol.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 2010, Studio 54 wrote:I sincerely want to die tonight
I don't, and I won't die outside of being lynched.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 2036, singersigner wrote:Lol, Bert, you've had experience with me replacing into games. Do you think I would make the slot less dead?
Yes. Mara was filled with the most deep-rooted apathy that one can surmise but seldom see.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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I hope everyone has been taking a mental break from this game over the past few days, while indulging chocolatey brain treats!
Back to business tomorrow I think. It would be nice if we could just settle on someone...
In post 2047, Anatole Kuragin wrote:Bert, if I'm not scum (I'm not), who are currently your choices for potential sk/mafia?
If you're actually town, then....that complicates things and that is why I need to get back into this game!
I had Peregrine/Anatole as instinctual reads the last time I made a serious post, but I'm not self-assured about any of my reads. Peregrine is not easy to read given how little he posts in general, and if both of you are town then my reads need a serious reset - in that case, my reads are way off and one of the near-universal townreads is most definitely scum (Molla or Mara's slot or Bulba).
We don't have that many mislynches to spare, and it's hard to earn any type of moral victories when the odds are stacked against a scum lynch today.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
- Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
- Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 2054, Tammy wrote:Although, I read some of his iso in wakes game and he seemed more proactive there then he was here.
I haven't looked at Wake's game before, but Anatole has been proactive here. I'm guessing you meant he is way more proactive here than he was there (backwards).
In post 2051, Tammy wrote:See that's just re-inflaming my bb paranoia that ipie was going GAWDZ WHY WONT YOU LYNCH MOLLA as some last minute distancing.
I can't tell if iPie was trying to make it seem like he/she was distancing from his/her buddy to set up Molla for a mislynch. My instinct is that it was to set up Molla for a mislynch, but who knows...ugh
In post 2054, Tammy wrote:Although it was possible Anatole was bussing ipie.
This seems really likely - Anatole and iPie cross-bussing hard (kind of like T-Bone and Falcon in Wicked).
This makes a lot of sense. I hate not knowing if there is another mafia member remaining.
I think Doctor + Jailkeeper both town is really, really strong. Like, an even-night or weak doctor or bodyguard or something along with a town JK would make much more sense, but that's just me. Which makes me inclined to just lynch through Bulba/Anatole, but that's REALLY dangerous WIFOM to navigate. There was this Natirasha game (Parole 1543 Mini), where this happened and a scum Nurse claimed Nurse, and MafiaSSK (town doctor) claimed doc. I believe that the Nurse was pushed to claim D1, and then SSK eventually claimed D2 at Lynch -1 as well. Nurse ended up being lynched after scumslipping, and then Doc got nightkilled. I guess my point is that it makes so much more sense for one of them to be scum.
This reminds me so much of that game.-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
- Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
- Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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In post 2104, singersigner wrote:It'd actually be against your wincon to be voting yourself as mafia or SK so...there's that. Not modkill worthy unless it was the hammer but still. Not awesome as either alignment when we're talking about mylo/lylo situations approaching.
I also don't know how anyone would arrive at the conclusion that if AK flipped town and there are two kills tonight that Bulb would be confirmed town...
It is true that scum may have prevented a Bulb jailkeep (assuming Anatole-town) if they have the capability to-
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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Bert Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
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