Shaman Mafia [Endgame]
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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Hydra dissonance is often a town tell, scum hydras tend to discuss a line of play and agree before one of them ends up posting potentially harmful content, unless of course they are aware of the tell and playing around it, which at the moment I find less likely just as a matter of %.
The fact it is being done so openly in the thread is what I was interested in and I would have liked for it to continue to see if it was genuine but your line of questioning killed it and you don't appear to have thought much in terms of alignment about it.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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Regarding Yakko, I replaced him in a newbie and his meta was much more aggressive, so he could well be scum here.
I am more interested in AP, my reaction to players volunteering to cover a certain slot in the ritual was that it made it more likely for them to be town, the fact he came up with the opposite read and hinted he would vote for players giving that info. (i.e. endorsing being less transparent) pings me.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 75, Egg wrote:Copper, do you have a read on Staeg and/or the hydra?
Calling them reads is a bit much but I'm leaning more town on the hydra and more scum on Staeg.
Do you have a read on AP?-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 87, AngryPidgeon wrote:Are you talking to Staeg here?
Yes.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 98, Spiffeh wrote:The way he made it such an elaborate thought makes me think he wants to look like he's thinking critically and contributing when in actuality no real conclusions are drawn and it could have been said in less words.
I'd say the failure is more in the reader than the writer if you genuinely think there are no conclusions to draw from that statement. What is your read of AP?-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 109, AngryPidgeon wrote:How the fuck am I misquoting anything. You did exactly what I am saying you did. Your case on me is pretty irrelevant to what I think about you. You acknowledge the Yakko pressure, made a throwaway non-commital scumread on him, and then 180'd to focus on me. All of it comes off very self-conscious. I didn't misquote anything, just stated what in your post I didn't like.
I said: he could well be scum based on what I know of him, not he is scum but let's focus on you and that's the misquote. I also was voting for youbeforeany question about Yakko, so that 180 does not exist.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 113, AngryPidgeon wrote:Furthermore, from what I understand of your case on me, you MISUNDERSTOOD my opinions on P1 and are using it as a case. I pointed this out and you seem to not care at all.
Ok that's fair, you meant voting them in as in confirming them?-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Nacho
In post 173, Nachomamma8 wrote:Why did you think Staeg pointing out hydra dissonance in thread would be likely to affect that hydra's behavior?
Because once you are made aware that something in what you are writing is under scrutiny you will behave artificially and falsify the tell, most recently I just finished a newbie where I said a new player was acting too scummy to be scum and as a response, thinking it was a way to get townread (he was town unfortunately), he proceeded to be more and more outrageous until, after I got nk'ed, he got lynched. I disagree that scum is going to correct that behavior, they may go over the top as the town in question did or as you say change tactics or ignore the comment but that is different read which you gave on top of mine, what I was looking for was ruined by Staeg's approach.
In post 173, Nachomamma8 wrote:This expectation confuses me. Why is volunteering to take part in a ritual town? Why is AP having a different feeling scummy?
Because you are offering information that may be verifiable or counterclaimed at the start of the game, in most games I have played most scum players like to stay on the fence and wait for town to pick a side and then blend in, that's why I think it's more likely to be a town move. My read on AP was based on a misunderstanding of what he said (which you seem to share, so if you are questioning him about it, why then doubt me for doing the same?), if he had a problem with early volunteering then that would be more likely to be scum resisting clarity in the thread based on the same logic as above.
VOTE: Bella
The last time you were scum you copied my reads and was friendly in your approach like your Esp. posts so I wanted to see what you would say about AP before I switched (I now think he is more likely to be town after understanding what he meant...), but by now it's pretty obvious if you are reading along so it makes little sense to wait, but you are not allowed to coast .
I would also vote Yakko but I'm not a fan of lynching early, so that should answer the Ushiro vs Yakko question.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 262, Katsuki wrote:Why would you not vote a scumread?
What is wrong with powerlynching scu,m?
Since I've come back D1 lynches have happened far to fast and usually to town's regrets so I am wary of joining the first big wagon, mostly uncontested, of the day, the last time something similar happened I came back to see a lynch that flipped town with little else to go on for the next day.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Staeg
It is likely to net me more than if nobody questioned her and we just ended the day early on the first suspect most of the active posters seem to have, do you agree? Since she asked me to play a game with her I also find it strange and a bit suspicious that we haven't engaged in any kind of banter and she has been absent.
Now let's pause for a moment on what I am doing (correctly or not) and concentrate on you, who are you scum reading and why?
@Egg
2-3 days before the deadline is what I'd consider optimal.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Staeg
You are making that claim for me, what I said is it was a better vote than Yakko's as far as informationgatheringgoes, not that by voting I would immediately get information as you seem to now suggest to justify this newfound scum-read.
To recap your scum-reads are 1 read from pages back, 1 unexplored and weak read on spiffeh and this new read based on a misrep of what I said, are you sure you are making an effort to figure this game out? (rhetorical question)
I think Brian has a point about the false dichotomy between Ushiro and Yakko.
@Yakko
Same question I asked Staeg, who are you scum-reading and why?-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 280, Egg wrote:Copper, to be fair I don't see the difference between information gathering and getting information.
The difference is in the time-frame, I said it would help me read Bella better, once she replies, Staeg implied I said it would give me information the second I voted, and since that is not true (by definition basically) he now has a scum-read on me, which is why I called it a misrep.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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Has anyone played with spiffeh before? It seems to me he wants us to believe he is just blurting out what he is thinking while catching-up (more than one example where one post partially contradicts the previous), in a spontaneous way, but that reads artificial to me when you have to pausa to write down what you are thinking.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 292, Spiffeh wrote:Why does it feel like you really want a consensus to scum read me so when you inevitably swap your vote to me you can go along with the crowd?
You've been casting a lot of veiled shade on me without really attacking me outright and it concerns me!
That's what you have been doing with me more like and why I have been wondering about you, where did I cast a veiled shade on you? I honestly have no clue how to read you at the moment.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 308, Staeg wrote:What in the Great Spirit's name is this?
What I outright said - not implied - is that your vote is doing jack shit right now. I don't care what massive yields it will get in a day or two - I asked you if there was nothing more productive you could be doing instead of going "MORE PYLONS ARE BEING CONSTRUCTED just waiting for my information gathering to come in don't mind me".
Implying that if I don't vote someone (also active at the same time clearly) in every post that I make I can't be productive, I'd say the latest 2 pages (of interactions between me and x) show how BS your argument is, plus points for the Protoss reference though. How do you feel about the town-read AP gave you?-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 319, Nachomamma8 wrote:This argument makes no sense in current context: UshiromayaAnge said, at the beginning of the game, that they were trying to limit the amount of hydra dissonance. This means that they are aware of hydra dissonance as a tell.
You are both making a logical leap (talking about dissonance implies knowing and worrying about it as a tell) and highlighting something that doesn't change the read I gave: "whenotherspoint something out, it makes your replies artificial and falsifies my tell". Whether Ushiro knew of it may well falsify it in a different way (that was precisely what I was checking), but is not relevant for the above.
Volunteering for a role is not verifiable or counterclaimable.
My question to AP was because I didn't understand his line of thought; your question to AP was because you thought it was scummy.
Your "resisting clarity in the thread" logic doesn't exactly resonate with me.
Like for other fellow players making these statements, you saying something doesn't mean it's true, unless in this case you are claiming knowledge of the setup that I do not possess for you to say that flavor is not verifiable in this game.
You explanation about the distinction between your AP line and my AP line really doesn't resonate with me either.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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If this were a newbie I'd call Yakko a false positive.
@Brian
In post 377, Brian Skies wrote:I'd like him to show me what he means. I'd like to think my posting isn't that bad (although others have said as such in the past). ):
I assumed Ushiro was talking about Yakko and not you in the second quote.
@Egg/Kam/Hitogashi
What do you think of Ushiro's theory that Yakko is being bussed?-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 423, AngryPidgeon wrote:Also Espeonage and Bellaphant need to start posting in this game or I will not oppose policy lynching them.
The latest pages are unreadable. This is the only thing of value I found.
@AP
Do you really need a case for why Yakko could be scum here? His posting is awkward as fuck, he started being conciliatory with Hito. and ignoring the ritual which was weird, then he apparently stated he was out of RVS without having reads, then he flail voted various people for no reason I can understand (Nacho saying there that he has to be both dumb and brilliant to vote Hitogashi boggles my mind), and now he voted me on the off-chance he might live if a counter-wagon forms. Is it possible for him to be town despite this? Sure, I've seen worse, but fuck me if I'm going to say anything of what he did was town indicative in the slightest.
Now back to Staeg, why do you town-read the guy? I am scum-reading him because in the few interactions I've had with him he has shown no indication that his plan is to figure out the alignment of the rest of us, his vote on me is a case in point of his behavior.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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I just think you are a bunch of kids more interested in proving that you have the biggest dick, the fact you need to do so shows you are fragile human beings like the rest of us. If you want a therapy session I'll be happy to talk with you, since my purpose here is to play mafia those pages are a waste of thread-space.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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In post 479, hitogoroshi wrote:did you know you're voting bellaphant
What is the point of this when I answered Brian in the thread already? If Nacho is not scum and somehow right about Yakko, then my money is on you.-
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In post 448, copper223 wrote:Because Bella lurking
This change of stance is no coincidence by the way, it's now a fact that she is selectively avoiding this game.-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Hito
If we're talking known setup with a vig. I'm with you, although site meta in my games when I was not vig. has been to shoot scum-reads rather than lurkers, other night powers are much better used on active players, if you're an investigative and you confirm a weak town V.I. you have basically wasted a check, now that guy gets to sit around and maybe decide the game for you at lylo.
With an unknown setup, force replacements and long days the choice you present is a false dichotomy, we can just get the silent players to post.-
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In post 521, Staeg wrote:How does him being out of a newbie impact this judgement?
His posting looks the same as some town newbies when they panic because they think they screwed up somewhere and either decide it's best to get lynched and out of the game to "help" town not knowing it's a bad idea or just want to get it over with, since Yakko is not a newbie I think it's more likely that he is posting like this deliberately.
Did hito's argument convince you so much that you're willing to go against your beliefs of not lynching this early?
I think Yakko's wagon is a town wagon, more so now that I've had that back and forth with Hito. and he does make some valid points including useful speculation I didn't have about the setup which I doubt are not genuine regardless of his alignment, I also don't like anyone defending Yakko and the more time goes by the less useful my vote on Bella becomes (I'm not happy with her at the moment...).-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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If I knew Yakko got a scum PM, I'd be fine lynching him 30 seconds into the day, since I don't, lynching early without huge conviction is a gamble I don't like to take. In particular all the early pressure coming to bear on him without much of an argument against his lynch made me wonder if scum was behind the push as well, if Yakko is town this is a fine wagon for scum to join, but if they are I don't see it and I would need a flip to re-evaluate anyway.
The alternative play would be to go ham on Bella and try to build her lynch up, which also carries it's risks. I know that Bella prefers scum, so while I can see lurking a bit as a possible strat. if she doesn't want to interact with players (maybe she has a history with Spiffeh?) her continuing to avoid the thread could also mean she got a town PM and decided to focus elsewhere because of time issues or whatnot, if I manage to get some people on board and it turns out this is the case I would have much rather had a Yakko flip.-
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In post 533, Spiffeh wrote:Like a town answer would be: "Yeah I don't like to lynch early"
That's a Spiffeh answer more than a town answer, if someone asks me to explain a particular point, they will get a detailed summary of my thoughts on the subject and will have to put up with me being overly verbose (if that's even the case).-
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copper223 Jack of All Trades
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@Staeg
First off you can't refute a question. Second I stated that early lynches are risky, because if they happen to hit on town they are particularly bad, not that they are bad in absolute terms (as you again oversimplify or misrep like you did with me wanting information by voting on Bella which became me having to show immediately what information that vote gave) so the contradiction you are "asking" doesn't exist, what does is my analysis of the risks involved and why I decided to go ahead and vote when I did.-
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Because as scum you just want to appear to be trying to figure out the game while really you want nobody to pay attention to you while you kill everyone else off, so if you are in that mindset your focus is on winning arguments and refuting probes made by others, as town you are ideally seeking to collaborate with the rest of the players to ferret out those that are not being honest with their opinions, which should put you in a different mindset wrt listening to what they have to say.-
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In post 562, AngryPidgeon wrote:Credit for WKing lynches is not really something that Nacho would reasonably expect from this situation I think.
I disagree, I think I have a game where Nacho himself said something along the lines of scum-Nacho wking townies for the lol's is something he does just as often as town-Nacho.-
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That read-list from Egg though is worrisome, based on how he decided to mediate between Staeg and I, giving his own interpretation of what Staeg was pointing out, which I don't believe is what he was after, and making it look reasonable from Staeg's pov., I would have then expected for Egg to have Staeg as more of a null-read like the one he gave me, instead he puts him right above Yakko as the second scummiest.-
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@Spiffeh
In post 340, Spiffeh wrote:In post 338, Bellaphant wrote:@ Copper, you asked about Spiffeh - this is very typical of him, but the last two times hw was lynched as town in games I played with him, he was less active than this in general.
So what exactly is the purpose of this other than to subtly cast suspicion on me?
I mean if you said this and added "therefore I think he's scum" then I would be fine with it but the way you don't even attach your own opinion to it makes it look like you're throwing this out there to test the waters and see how everyone reacts before you commit one way or another.
Which is scummy.
Also the fact that you have been reading thoroughly enough to catch copper's question but this is all you have to say.
You changed your mind about Bella based on hernotposting?-
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In post 610, hitogoroshi wrote:I feel like we would only be able to get a majority on the town one, if you see what I mean.
I see why a town lurker would get wagon-ed faster in most cases, but not why a scum lurker could not be lynched?
@AP
It would help if you told us why you think Staeg is town instead of stating it every so often, at least Nacho did provide the "Staeg is a rabbit when scumhunted by aggressive and experienced players, so his sarcastic reaction to Ushiro is townie" when he called him town (speaking of fallacies you, Nacho, were accusing Egg of making...).-
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VOTE: Toog
I have a really hard time believing Toog's reads are genuine, the coincidences are a bit much for someone who claims to have based them on the first 10 pages of the game.
His town-reads include the player who says (multiple times and with different arguments, one of which still unexplained) that he doesn't want to lynch lurkers (Hito) and the player who said Bella not posting makes her more likely to be town cause she lurked out of games they played together before as that alignment (Spiffeh), his scum-reads are the most popular wagon at the moment (espe-slot) and the player that has put the most pressure on his slot (me), everyone else other than cam is a null-read.
If I were to sit down and design the optimal reads for scum-Toog, that's what I'd come up with other than the cam gut-read, do you play each other often btw.?
I was waiting for the rest of the catch-up to see if those reads progressed in any way that might indicate genuine scum-hunting but the fact he has also stopped after he said he read the first 10 pages fits with my theory that early thread content is not why he came up with them.-
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@Spiffeh
In post 620, Toogeloo wrote:
I don't have any of those Ritual Roles mentioned in the PM I received.In post 75, Egg wrote:If anyone is wondering if they should be in the ritual, they probably shouldn't. Check your Role PM. It should be incredibly obvious.-
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@Brian
To be clear, I also don't have: you are a fire shaman from the south in my role PM, but given the role description in the ritual it's easy to see for which position I needed to volunteer.
@Toog
The speculation started right with AP's second post saying he did not get any of those roles, so I don't believe Bella was unaware or didn't even consider that it was role related.-
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In post 654, camntsuki wrote:Anyone townreading this slot is clearly mad.
Anyone not doing so is more likely to be.-
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@Toog
Bella lurking in this game after asking me to play I find scummy, it may however also be what Spiffeh mentioned, that she had little time and couldn't be assed to play a town game, the alignment she likes less, and if that is the case then her lynch would have been pretty bad, I started by trying to make her post with the vote and when I saw it was a waste of time had to decide what was best in that scenario and went for Yakko.
I did not want tohammerthe first popular wagon early on during the day because it might have been scum driven.
Why did you think that was based on policy?-
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