The fact that there hasn't been a daykill today may very well be explained by the absence of our mod. I prodded our co-mod petroleumjelly. We will need a mod after all, even if it means a kill from the SK...
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Bookitty wrote:Additionally these statements seem deliberately designed to mislead the town, given what CD is currently claiming:
chaotic_diablo wrote:
If the daykill is one-shot, then it would mean a one-shot SK will have a bizarre win condition. As such, I do not believe a one-shot SK is possible. The only options left are that a one-shot vig exists or a mafia member with a one-shot daykill ability exists.
Anything other than a one-shot, I'm not as certain on anything.
chaotic diablo wrote:
I'm confused about Elmo's stance on the kill. He proposed the first kill to be SK due to timing. Since we assume the recent night kill was by the same person, it's strange to think the killer is now a vig.
Why did you say these things?, chaotic_diablo, if you are pro-town? It's clearly misleading, is it not? It undercuts your claimed role quite badly.
C_D didn't answer this, please do.
Another question for C_D: Why aren't you telling us about your other possibility to gain a night-kill? Is it something we can affect?
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Elmo wrote:Trying to work out what Samruc's speedy unvote means. Hrm.
Except for the obvious, you mean...
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C_D wrote:In the time between the -1 vote and the -1 unvote, both porochaz and setael posted without hammering.
Yes, but the fact that there might be a vig around makes hammering a bit dangerous, so it's not a clear town-tell.
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Assuming we have an SK, which seems probable by now, there is some hope there are only two scum. It's a lot easier to fit in a pair than a trio among {Setael, Yos, Elmo, farside, Bookitty}. I think we can safely assume for now that C_D is not *scum*, possibly SK.
One possibility that hasn't been mentioned before is Bookitty - Yos. It might be something, since Bookitty unvoted at L-1, and now seems fairly sure Yos is town. On the other hand, "there's no good link that I can make for Yosarian as a scumbuddy for ANYONE" might be too bold a move to make about your scumpartner.
With five candidates, there are 5 * 4 / 2 = 10 possible pairs. Add to that me and Porochaz if you like, and we've got a total amount of 11. If you look at it mathematically, lynching me or Porochaz can take away one possibility. On the other hand, if it's a hit, the game is won. If we lynch one of the others, 4 possibilites dissappear, while not giving as much info if it hits.
I don't think Bookitty is an option for today. I don't think C_D is an option. From what a majority seems to think, it won't be Porochaz or me. In fact you would need 5 of the 6 non-masons for that lynch to happen. I suggest one of us is vigged instead, if it is needed, but hopefully we find a scum today and conclude that Poro and me is not their partner.
I'd suggest everyone ranks the "other four", cause that's where I think today's lynch will end anyway...
Yos: Would be interesting to see, because of my new slight feeling that it could be him and Bookitty. Yos - farside? Yos - Elmo? The later seems more probable.
Setael: Hard to say. Haven't heard from her since the claim, and as such, she might actually counterclaim. Not saying that she should, though, even if she is.
(Btw, Setael was vig in my last mini, and did a good job. There were masons in that setup too. I would have been surprised if she had doubted my and Poro's claim, since we had a somewhat similar discussion in that game. From my point of view, this is a small town tell.)
farside: Possibly linked with Elmo, maybe not. Thinking about the nature of their link, it seems more probable that Elmo would be scum buddying up to farside, than she being lucky, simply accepting her "town fan" in Elmo. Farside - Bookitty is another combo I don't think have been mentioned. (I guess all combos involving Boo haven't been mentioned. Anyway)
Elmo: Hi. As I said before, I'd rather vote Elmo over farside. Elmo - Yos is a possibility. Elmo - Setael maybe not so much. I suspected Elmo *a lot* during D1, and looking back I know exactly why I changed my mind; because of your complete turn-around regarding myself after I had unvoted you. I know that's a bad argument, and maybe I shouldn't have listened so much to it.
So... my ranking would now be:
1) Elmo
2) farside
3) Yos
4) Setael
Vote: Elmo
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I think this is an up-to-date vote count:
Setael: Yos, Elmo
Samruc: farside
Elmo: Setael, Samruc
farside: Porochaz, Bookitty
Not voting: C_D
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It feels a lot better being on the same wagon as Setael and Bookitty, compared to Yos and Elmo...
Edit: I guess I'm not anymore... ah well, I changed the VC, gotta eat something now.