Mafia #100 - Game Over
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RayFrost Survivor
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Yo everybody...
I am Hulk's replacement. Look forward to playing this game with all of you, yadda, yadda, yadda... I'll read up and get back to you with an analysis of what has gone on so far.
It'll take a bit of reading (Currently page 17) before I'm caught up. After, you'll have no need to worry about me taking a long time to post my thoughts.
Also, I live in Japan, which means I'll probably not be on at the same time as most of you (for a usual school day over here, but it's the weekend currently)
That's all for now.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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Okay, I've finally finished reading.
First off, you are forewarned that thismayseem WoT-ish (doubtful, but still...)
and... GD = General Discussion (in response to SW not knowing what it is =/)
Second off, I can't resist saying this: BM > Bm because BM has two capitals in his name.
And... I don't remember who said it, but tubby's death does not inanyway support hewitt's vig claim. It only supports that hewitt did, in fact, kill ditto. That is not indicative of hewitt's alignment.
Anyway, my usual replacement stuff is to type up a list of scummy to not scummy with reasons on players... to be honest, I've probably forgotten half of what I've noticed from earlier. Regardless, here is how it goes:
unless specifically said otherwise
from top to bottom is scummiest to least scummy separated into three sections (scummy, neutral, townish). The top of neutral is neutral leaning scummy, the bottom of scummy is scummy just above the neutral leaning scummy, the bottom of neutral is leaning town, and the top of townish is just a little bit more townish than leaning town. Also, I am at the bottom of the town list, just to keep with my style of saying I'm confirmed
Now, I shall begin!!!! [insert the cheers of roaring hoards of cannibals as they prepare to feast upon the terrible analysis]
scummy
orangepenguin - virtually. no. content. 9 posts through this ENTIRE game without really saying anything of worth? really now? oh, and the reasons BM spoke of already (if you are too lazy to scroll up and read them... then too bad =/)
qwints - similar reasons... though qwints has one or two content posts, leaving a total of about 9 that don't have any.
black jinx - no content posts recentlybjblackjinx's most recent post is kinda hypocritical and opportunistic imo
random lunatic & KoC & slicey- no content posts recently
SW - case on BM feels like a chainsaw defense for hewitt... the ditto point is illogical in every way, and SW doesn't really have any case on him (she even backed down already... and says she thinks BM is town after applying so much pressure). don't like it at all
neutral
hewitt - I am suspicious of the vig claim. the point BM brings up about the speculation (where hewitt lies implicitly) makes me leery. I also don't think hewitt actually replied to BM's suspicion on this point... quick iso confirms that.
CD - voting for BM? what... the... fuck? the reason wasn't that good. Mind explaining some solid case for why we should lynch BM?
DeathNote - has begun to post more actively = positive points. nothing really suspicious or odd... just wish he had been posting earlier in the game =/
townish
BM - the abbreviation reminds me of two different word pairs: best man & bowel movement... jokes aside, active posting / scum hunting slightly countered by an (imo) overly zealous focus on SW
Bm - enough posts to get by along with the posts having content... nothing really scummy
Dramonic - active posting, continued scum hunting, lack of rash decisions, lack of jumping quickly upon something and instead choosing to question and the like = +++
me - confirmed town. 'nuff said
If I missed anything / anybody, feel free to tell me... I probably did.
Also, a quick question on the NKs... couldn't the flavor just be there for X's fun? ._." if so, why has the possibility of 1 scum team and 2 vigs also been considered along with the set up dramonic posted? I mean... that could be balanced out by some rather powerful scum roles or something... I thought of it when considering the vig cc situation. If there is a vig, they shouldn't counter claim, since hewitt is going to die... why outanotherpower role?
Anyway, that's just about all of my thoughts out there... feel free to question me on anything. I prefer being questioneddon't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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I don't see anything wrong with trying to direct him, since (if hewitt is scum) it'll force the mafia team's hand, and it'll allows us to direct a kill toward a seemingly anti-town member.Benmage wrote:
Not a good idea to direct kill?dramonic wrote:Meh, not a good idea
Was the plan dropped when our watcher got modkilled....
If he isn't scum, one benefit goes down the drain, but stilldon't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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The problem I have with the idea of the vig CC: what if there are two vigs?Benmage wrote:
Alright well it kinda sucks having to believe hewitt. I guess a counterclaim if possible wouldn't be the worst idea, because 1 scum for 1 townie doesn't seem to bad.dramonic wrote:well, we can't monitor the kills anymore. Directing the kill would allow whatever mafia is in the game to abuse potential PRs (stuff like mafia doc, mafia BD, mafia roleblocker)
Or since scum have to kill battle tonight assuming he's telling the truth. scum/the real vig will kill hewitt in 2 nights. Basically I'm willing to let hewitt slide till than without re-scrutinizing him.
I actually took that speculation into account in my analysis. I'm rather new, so if that would be an unbalanced thing, then ._." nevermind. otherwise, it seems like a valid point, imo.
Also, even without two vigs, if the real vig does CC, that'll mean the vig gets only one kill before getting sent to their death, which kills the purpose of the power role.
Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that the real vig (Assuming one vig) shouldn't CC (Assuming hewitt isn't the real one). Also, if there are two, a CC won't really help and will end up with two mislynches of vigs.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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Do you think that, if there is another vig out there, that they should go for a NK on hewitt? That would definitely confirm him if they hit... but it'd also potentially kill the 2nd vigBenmage wrote:
Yeah thats why i can let hewitt slide 2 nights.RayFrost wrote: Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that the real vig (Assuming one vig) shouldn't CC (Assuming hewitt isn't the real one). Also, if there are two, a CC won't really help and will end up with two mislynches of vigs.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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The speculation that was being done earlier in the game. I thought I'd chip in with any possibility that hadn't been explored in order to make sure town is making anBattle Mage wrote:
What prompted these questions, again? Hmm, i need to check whether my role protects against multiple kill attempts.Ray wrote: Also, even without two vigs, if the real vig does CC, that'll mean the vig gets only one kill before getting sent to their death, which kills the purpose of the power role.
Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that the real vig (Assuming one vig) shouldn't CC (Assuming hewitt isn't the real one). Also, if there are two, a CC won't really help and will end up with two mislynches of vigs.
BMeducateddecision.
@ DN: you are right >.> he's had quite some time and hasn't posted. Still, I think another day will not be harmful, since it'll give more time for town to discuss stuff. As it is, all the lurking is bothersome.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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Ask to be replaced, then?Kise wrote:I got lost on page 28 or so. Not sure when I'll be arsed to catch up. Got bored of going around in circles... Plus I have tunnel vision.
@ Dramonic:
yes, I meant just that
BM:
I can see the logic in that... we've already discussed the hell out of anything for the day.
Vote: OrangePenguindon't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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Eh, I make an Oath to do so whenever I replace in... (re the posting)DeathNote wrote:Well Snow... care to hammer? Actually anyone please feel free to end this.
@Ray- Yeah another day is nice and all but you need to keep in mind that you just replaced in and havent gone through all the waiting that we have for a spark of posting. I will admit, I am happy so far that you replaced in as you have at least been posting.
I have experienced the waiting... even if not in this game. As it is, I'm content with it happening, even if I prefer to wait the second day and all that.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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Or the Mod suddenly granting somebody double voting powerBattle Mage wrote:Snow White should now post her case and hammer, or simply hammer. If she chooses the latter, i'll be all over her ass tomorrow.
If she chooses neither, we have to wait for Kise or Random or KoC to put us out of our misery.
BM
Thanks for the compliment on me being the "spark of posting" by the way.
What made you add me to the "defend" list? Surely you don't intend to protect somebodypurelybecause they are an active poster?don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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._." I understand that protecting an active player is often a good idea, but if he did it purely for that reason... he should also say he plans on protecting you & Bm in that list. both of you are active as well.dramonic wrote:finally! <3
Protecting the players who are actually there is a good thing Ray.
What confuses me is the choice of protecting mefor a reason that could be applied to others. I find it confusing and not quite logical, which leads me to believe that BM has an alternative reason that he hasn't stated...don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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Wait... that wasn't a clear enough indication? O.oBenmage wrote:
Why?RayFrost wrote: Also, hewitt... if you had said qwints... you'd have had trouble from me. good thing you didn't.
fyi I totally called qwints scum ages ago. Booyah screw lurkers!
okay, lemme go back a bit and find something...don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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that was the best breadcrumb I could think of...RayFrost wrote:neutral
hewitt -I amsuspicious ofthe vigclaim. the point BM brings up about the speculation (where hewitt lies implicitly) makes me leery. I also don't think hewitt actually replied to BM's suspicion on this point... quick iso confirms that.
but yeah. I'm a vig. This is why I brought up the two vig theory. I shot qwints last night.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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I figured shooting qwints would be the best idea, since he was the second scummiest player after OP.
If hewitt caimed to have killed qwints, I would have known he had fake-claimed vig, since there were three kills. Thus, I would have given my CC and gotten him.
Naturally, I could have lost the debate on who was the real vig, so it was kinda a gamble there, but eh. It was the best I could think of to solidify whether or not hewitt was a possible vig.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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didn't see that, sorry.hewitt wrote:
? I feel like you should stop there because we honestly do not need another batch of outings.RayFrost wrote:How did you come to this conclusion?
Also, hewitt... if you had said qwints... you'd have had trouble from me. good thing you didn't.
re Bm:
if I had put the bod in the original post, it would have been obvious
also, my predecessor shot tylerJ N1. I don't know why.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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yes, yes it will be.Benmage wrote:
Well I personally thought you came out/in strong. Gave that nice little summary quickly. Posted well. It'll be interesting to see what battle says.RayFrost wrote:for some reason, I have a feeling BM knew I was a vig back when I posted my list.
He said I was his most pro-town read, but I'd not posted very much, so....
This is one of my first games where I was a PR, so it's kinda exciting, though I've tried very hard to not let that show through >.>don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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So, you can't find 'em, eh?DeathNote wrote:
What exactly are you talking about here? I tried to find these but was unable.Amished wrote:
Majorly crossposted: I find DN scum because of ISO 4 and 5. If you can't see why he's scum from those of his, you're scum with him. 6 is a bogus retraction seeing that Hewitt will not get bandwagoned by other scum/townies so needs to hop off early.
I can't believe we have two claimed vig roles right now and a doctor. Depending how many scum are left, this could get really ugly.
how about I make it easier for you...don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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~mc hat~
DN is trying to back away from Amished, but Amished has him cornered with clear evidence.
What will DN-scum do to get out of this situation? Will he plead insanity in hopes of saving himself? Will he try to talk his way out of it?
Find out next time on... "Who's that criminal!!!"
~player hat~
he's obviously trying to avoid a difficult situation.
I think we've probably caught scum here.
Also, I'm going to be heading off to do stuff other than mafia posting for a bit. I'll be back later.
See yah.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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Wrong, J-time is the only things that matters. It's 2:20 PM.Amished wrote:
1: What reaction did you think was peculiar?Benmage wrote:
I opened the day thinking hiss reaction was peculiar. I need to iso him to get a full read. I recall his play definitely seemed subpar but I'd need to reread to determine if scummy.Amished wrote:Ben: Thoughts on DeathNote? (Stop ignoring him)
I kinda had some agendas/things to ask today with others!
But i'm not ignorin him. Will iso soon, probably manyanana tis after 1 and I cant do heavy thinking atm.
2: Lies. It's only 20 after 12. Central time is the only one that counts. Lynch All Liars!
LAL!!!don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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I didn't go for hewitt last nightBattle Mage wrote: There's a slim possibility Ray is scum too, just for his attitude today, and not killing Hewitt last night.
Deathnote is probably town, despite his vaguely scummy play.
Amished could be scum too.
I think it's time for the mages to unite. Ben-who shall we lynch today? who shall we definitely not lynch today?
BMbecauseyou said you might protect him.
I would rather get a confirmed kill than risk not getting one just cuz you happened to protect him. I thus decided to go with the person I felt would be the lynch for today if not NKed, which was qwints.
He turned out scum, so that's great.
Also, why'd you claim cop after claiming doc? =/don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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I am not voting Hewitt.Battle Mage wrote:ofc, i could now be claiming cop to draw a kill tonight, because im actually the Doc, and will protect myself. Although that means im betting my life on Hewitt being scum.
Ray, are you voting Hewitt?
BM
Is there a good reason to be voting hew over DN?
I'm pretty sure my vote is on DN.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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RayFrost Survivor
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caught this though nobody else did.Benmage wrote:Ray you lied about this being your first PR.
and, umm...
no, I didn't lie. This actually is my first PR. =/
What makes you think I lied?
Also, reason I didn't CC D2:
I sincerely thought it was possible for there to be two vigs. I'm not all that experienced with how setups work or the likelihood of stuff, so yeah. I thought it was a real possibility.
The fact he didn't try to claim my kill is nice, but I guess it really didn't help much.
unvote
Battle... >.>" I'm not a dayvig or anything like that, so this isn't a real kill, but I think it's a nice way of showing I dislike your play:
daypunch: BattleMagedon't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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I replaced into said ongoing game after this one. I alsoBenmage wrote:
Oh..i was breezing other threads randomly and saw your name dead on an ongoing game as a cop...so i dont want to say more, but it looks like you got replaced pregame because you have 0 posts in it...its ongoing so i wont say more.RayFrost wrote:
caught this though nobody else did.Benmage wrote:Ray you lied about this being your first PR.
and, umm...
no, I didn't lie. This actually is my first PR. =/
What makes you think I lied?
Battle mage ur absurd. They may say "oh its battle"
but i've never seen this. And yes they should lynch you first to avoid mislynching me.
Noone goes Doc to cop on 1, and switch it to a second I dont care.
You wuld've opened claiming on me and not of caused this distraction.
But your claim is false, I don't know how these knuckleheads are following your lead....its boggling.replaced induring N1. it's ongoing, so I won't say more
And the BM stuff... if we mislynch you, he obviously gets lynched next.
I'll obviously be shooting hewitt, since we don't need a SK alive around here, and there is only room enough for one of us in this town... *cowboy style shoot off pose of epicness*don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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Well, SKs don't have guns... so wouldn't a vig shoot first? XPBenmage wrote:
Word. I'm down for the 1-1, though lynching him first would save the mislynch.RayFrost wrote: I replaced into said ongoing game after this one. I alsoreplaced induring N1. it's ongoing, so I won't say more
And the BM stuff... if we mislynch you, he obviously gets lynched next.
I'll obviously be shooting hewitt, since we don't need a SK alive around here, and there is only room enough for one of us in this town... *cowboy style shoot off pose of epicness*
If you are the vig, blow the shit outta Hewitt. SK/scum w/e he is.
If he kills you tonight, atleast you also knock him out because i'm pretty sure bullets go at the same time.
@Town if one of the 2 claimed vigs lives with the other nots its probably some sort of NK immune SK, so lynch them after battle.
Also, if one of us lives and the other one flips vig, then lynch the other. If one of us lives and the other one flips scum/sk, don't lynch the other.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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well... didn't we lose our doc back in D1?Amished wrote:Or we can lynch you (Bm) to test him (BM), then see if we need to lynch him. Also, if there's some sort of protective role, who's to say they won't take a side in the battle? It's not an automatic that one that survives is scum OR town.
Also, if BM takes a stand, he'd take it with protecting me (Assuming he really is the doc and is yanking our chain... again).don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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ugh >.<"Amished wrote:Discounting a roleblocker?
I have trouble keeping all these powerroles in mind >.>"
good point, amished.
Yeah... well... if I survive and he dies and he flips SK/scum, then I see no reason to lynch me and vice versa.
If I die, I flip vig, and he lives, then I see a reason to lynch him and vice versa.don't you feel silly now?-
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RayFrost Survivor
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