TFT uPick [Game over!]


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Post Post #7 (isolation #0) » Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:23 pm

Post by NDMath »

*raises hand*

VOTE: MeekMeerkat
Take vote.
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Post Post #8 (isolation #1) » Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:25 pm

Post by NDMath »

Also where did Nomsy come from
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Post Post #10 (isolation #2) » Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:27 pm

Post by NDMath »

In post 9, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 8, NDMath wrote:Also where did Nomsy come from
That is likely the Trainer ability - it is a monster summoned when you have that set active
Alright makes sense, I'm unfamiliar with this game's flavor.
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Post Post #19 (isolation #3) » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:19 pm

Post by NDMath »

In post 13, Dunnstral wrote: Just something to think about. I guess it's possible that Nomsy is not hiding their activity for a different reason and I'm off base.
I think it's quite plausible the user just didn't think to turn it off since that's something someone does at most once per account.
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Post Post #23 (isolation #4) » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:56 pm

Post by NDMath »

I'm not a fan of your titus scumlean since #18 looked very classic titus to me.
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Post Post #67 (isolation #5) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 1:17 am

Post by NDMath »

Why am I being scumread for raising my hand upon request?

I think I'm very opposed to a Nomsy hang day1 since it seems quite likely that slot will be self-resolving later.
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Post Post #68 (isolation #6) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 1:18 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 66, Enchant wrote:So.

If 18 player summoned by trainer (which idk), do you think they share alignments?
Either Nomsy doesn't have an alignment or it shares alignment with owner. How would having the opposite make sense?
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Post Post #120 (isolation #7) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 8:39 am

Post by NDMath »

Meerkat seems townie
VOTE: tictac

also the anonymous dragon is trying to pocket me
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Post Post #124 (isolation #8) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 8:48 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 98, Malakittens wrote: I might be wrong about nosmy being MB. I think it’s a different player now.
I'm realizing I don't know who MB is.
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Post Post #197 (isolation #9) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 3:32 pm

Post by NDMath »

In post 156, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 155, Frogsterking wrote:I see that mastina has a high verbal working memory so I can't give them the whole benefit of the doubt as I suspect their argument here is easily improvised.
For example: your argument sounds good, mastina, until you take into account that you neglected any mention of mala's scum game in your analysis.
tbf my last game with mastina (murdercat's drafting) they had a confidently correct scumread that also had the flaw of only really looking at one alignment.
In post 183, MeekMeerkat wrote:
In post 132, Sara wrote:who is Guillotina?
is anyone townreading sara?
Don't think so
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Post Post #198 (isolation #10) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 3:37 pm

Post by NDMath »

HEAL: Mage Crest
I think this is more interesting than Best Friends. TO me it doesn't sound like we actually gain much from best friends
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Post Post #202 (isolation #11) » Tue Aug 23, 2022 3:46 pm

Post by NDMath »

In post 200, Toogeloo wrote:
NDMath wrote:HEAL: Mage Crest
I think this is more interesting than Best Friends. TO me it doesn't sound like we actually gain much from best friends
Well... Any guess on what we are healing is all conjecture anyways
I suppose so. Just feels like best friends is the predictable outcome.
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Post Post #311 (isolation #12) » Wed Aug 24, 2022 10:18 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 274, Vivax wrote:
In post 273, Frogsterking wrote:
In post 271, Gamma Emerald wrote:
In post 255, SirCakez wrote:
In post 130, Gamma Emerald wrote:
In post 128, SirCakez wrote:
In post 126, Gamma Emerald wrote:
In post 110, SirCakez wrote:VOTE: vivax i have read nothing yet
In post 111, SirCakez wrote:
In post 33, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:VOTE: MeekMeerkat
VOTE: Frederick
Ok this entrance sucked
I think the vivax vote was better
VOTE: Vivax
the repeated blathering about updating reads without actually interacting or expanding on them in a meaningful capacity is scummy-bad
how can you say that was a good vote when I said I hadn't read anything in the same post?
I don't really suspect frederick yet, is why
Ok and why do you suspect Vivax then
Read what I said in .
Vivax iso is also going downhill. The last two posts and are bad. for being a scummy response (introducing a lot of noise) and for making excuses about content.
You only scumread two people in the game?
I mean, if giving my read on literally everyone and updating them from time to time (albeit with a heavy gut factor) is scummy, I can shitpost instead, but I don't see how that's supposed to be an improvement.
You only scumread three?
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Post Post #312 (isolation #13) » Wed Aug 24, 2022 10:23 am

Post by NDMath »

Spoiler: Survey
Rate each descriptive statement on how well it describes you using the Likert scale (1 = strongly disagree to 5 = strongly agree).

"Get angry easily" = 2

"Take charge" = 2

"Make people feel welcome" = 3

"Like music" = 3

"Like to tidy up" = 1

"Like to visit new places" = 2

"Feel comfortable around people" = 4

"Interested in many things" = 2

"Love order and regularity" = 4

"Am afraid to draw attention to myself" = 5

"Enjoy being part of a large crowd" = 2

"Cheer people up" = 2

"Lose my temper" = 1

"Enjoy the beauty of nature" = 2

"Enjoy thinking about things" = 5

"Cheat to get ahead" = 1

"Feel desperate" = 2

"Rarely overindulge" = ?

"Easily resist temptations" = 5

"Have a high opinion of myself" = 4

"Waste my time" = 3

"Need a push to get started" = 2

"Have little to contribute" = 4

"Keep my cool" = 4

"Avoid crowds" = 4

"Turn my back on others" = 3
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Post Post #313 (isolation #14) » Wed Aug 24, 2022 10:31 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 235, MeekMeerkat wrote:
In post 233, Frogsterking wrote:I'm feeling the absence of genuine Town Hunters in this game. I could use more Town reads from the following players I town lean.


Town leans:
Fred, Dunn, Mala, Gamma, Toogle, Meerkat,

Null/scum: rest
I think Titus is town. Why is Toogeloo town?
What's the town read on Titus for?
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Post Post #438 (isolation #15) » Wed Aug 24, 2022 4:06 pm

Post by NDMath »

Titus becomes townier right after I asked why they were being townread.
A random townread I now have is Enchant, their reaction to the augment outcome looks genuine and I liked their other surrounding posts.

VOTE: Vivax
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Post Post #440 (isolation #16) » Wed Aug 24, 2022 4:12 pm

Post by NDMath »

In post 428, Nomsy wrote:
In post 417, Titus wrote:
In post 408, Nomsy wrote:
In post 405, mastina wrote:since other players may have compelling reasons to want me
i got night protect
I highly doubt this is true. What are you really up to?
only one way to find out

i choose ndmath
Accept Nomsy's Neighborhood

I suspect no one else really wants to hood with either me or nomsy here.
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Post Post #476 (isolation #17) » Thu Aug 25, 2022 12:47 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 453, Vivax wrote:Sobered up and am no longer sour from having to listen to inane bs all the time (game unrelated)
That‘s an incentive alright

So NDmath didn‘t properly backtrack from the MK scumread which suggests the pairing makes sense with early bus
I never even scumread MK, that was an RVS vote.
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Post Post #478 (isolation #18) » Thu Aug 25, 2022 12:54 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 470, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:Just starting to townread mastina with a p-value of 95%.

I have a feeling I'm using p-values incorrectly in some way that a statistician may be able to tell me.
Uh yes.
The lowest p-value you could reach on a town read is ~75%, and ~25% for a scumread so you could never disprove your null hypothesis (and also your goal here isn't to test the null hypothesis), meaning it would be clearer to just use raw probabilities than p-values.
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Post Post #745 (isolation #19) » Thu Aug 25, 2022 4:08 pm

Post by NDMath »

The page 21 gamma wagon seemed questionable to me but my opinion's biased since I scumlean 3 of the 4 voters beforehand.
Additionally, Yume after Mastina's death seems dramatic to the point that it seems for show.
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Post Post #746 (isolation #20) » Thu Aug 25, 2022 4:10 pm

Post by NDMath »

I don't entirely grasp strategy table but trying to hide it seems like a very odd decision given you're leaving many townies in the dark but if even one scum knows the reference the full team knows.
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Post Post #747 (isolation #21) » Thu Aug 25, 2022 4:13 pm

Post by NDMath »

I also had another realization that I'll be quiet about for the time being but I'm sure I'm late to have figured this thing out.
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Post Post #916 (isolation #22) » Fri Aug 26, 2022 2:54 pm

Post by NDMath »

My townreads currently are Gamma, Legends, Meek, Enchant, and Yume, although Yume is because there's multiple people telling me their blatant obvtown rather than any of my own thoughts.
Also to a lesser extent than my other townreads, Fredrick.
Dunn, Beeboy, and Sircakez are roughly null to me.
Which leaves {Vivax Tictac Sara Toog Mala} as south of null; I plan to review these and attempt to explain my thoughts in the next hourish.
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Post Post #917 (isolation #23) » Fri Aug 26, 2022 4:08 pm

Post by NDMath »

On Sara this is their towniest game imo after a short meta dive and idk what to think about that. Nomsy's argument about the vigshot looks weaker than I initially thought since Sara's iso before and after mastina's death looks pretty similar.

On Toog I agree with Gamma's thoughts:
In post 884, Gamma Emerald wrote:Toog of town I think should have done something spicey by now, so I think they can be scum
My impression of toogeloo being there is usually more to remark on their play when town whereas here toogeloo has been rather low impact and less engaged than my previous experiences with them, granted it's been awhile since I last played with Toog.

On Tictac they're a scumlean for their weaker posting , #877 is their best post but I'm not convinced of their reasoning supporting their scumread on gamma enough.
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Post Post #918 (isolation #24) » Fri Aug 26, 2022 4:40 pm

Post by NDMath »

On Mala, that scumlean was primarily from Mastina's push and I'm not feeling as good about the read currently with some other details I'm rereading.

On Vivax, starting in the 400s they have a number of weird posts imo, specifically regarding their scumreads. Such as their talk of me bussing meek was nonsensical, they make multiple weird claims relating to Nomsy slot interactions, and meek/me/enchant is an almost lazy trio of scumreads they've clung to nearly the whole game thus far.
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Post Post #1020 (isolation #25) » Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:16 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 920, Legends wrote:NDMath,

Talk to me more about your Fredrick TR please.

~Titus
I like their early interaction with mastina since mastina doesn't really have much reason to scumread Fred but he handles it well and asks questions that show him trying to form a read on mastina. Backing down in 802/803 was townie. I like 829 but don't have a good reason for liking that one.
In post 947, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:if a player is not alive, they are "eliminated"


some hypothetical examples:

nightkilled - eliminated

daykilled - eliminated

modkilled - eliminated

disappeared into a different game but might return later - not eliminated.

joined a new account by some other mechanism - not eliminated as long as the new account is alive
I think defining eliminated and elimination so differently creates confusion but okay.
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Post Post #1021 (isolation #26) » Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:18 am

Post by NDMath »

I'm a Guardian, I survive my first death that isn't from elimination and at that point get to choose another player to do the same.
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Post Post #1023 (isolation #27) » Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:23 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 1022, Enchant wrote:So if you are shot you survive instead, and can choose someone so they also survive after being shot?
Correct
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Post Post #1024 (isolation #28) » Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:27 am

Post by NDMath »

VOTE: toogeloo
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Post Post #1025 (isolation #29) » Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:28 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 1021, NDMath wrote:I'm a Guardian, I survive my first death that isn't from elimination and at that point get to choose another player to do the same.
Might as well pagetop the claim
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Post Post #1168 (isolation #30) » Sun Aug 28, 2022 9:49 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 1132, Enchant wrote:
In post 1127, Vivax wrote:I‘d p-launch everyone who voted for hoods if I could
That‘s another layer of intentions to sift through and you get this social competition situation screwing up several moods
Bunch of peeps feeling left out etc and now that needs mending to get to an agreement
Can't not agree.
And which best friend voters would you two actually be willing to vote were there more time in the phase?
In post 1137, MeekMeerkat wrote:
NDMath, Sara, beeboy, you three are the current elim candidates. Maybe make actual use of your votes
I was hoping beeboy would return before I'd have to make a decision there VOTE: beeboy
Prefer it to Sara since I think a glance at Sara's past games mostly disproves the argument against her in this game.
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Post Post #1169 (isolation #31) » Sun Aug 28, 2022 9:50 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 1156, Gamma Emerald wrote:How many votes is NDMath at
I think that’s the “safest” vote but idr how many people are there rn
What does safest mean in this context?
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Post Post #1172 (isolation #32) » Sun Aug 28, 2022 9:52 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 1165, Vivax wrote:[7]
Best Friends
Frogsterking, MeekMeerkat, Yume, Fredrick A Campbell, Malakittens, tictac, SirCakez
[5]
Mage Crest
Enchant, Gamma Emerald, NDMath, Nomsy, Sara
[3]
Ancient Archives
Titus, mastina, Vivax

Super interesting sorting. This is quite the VC to have a peek at personalities perhaps, or even alignments (mage crest contains a lot of sussys)
Why'd you pull this VC instead of the final one?
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Post Post #1192 (isolation #33) » Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:57 pm

Post by NDMath »

Not it for the no deaths
In post 1190, MeekMeerkat wrote:Gamma I'll gift you the honors of deciding, do we wagon toog or dunn
Or vivax
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Post Post #1195 (isolation #34) » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:00 pm

Post by NDMath »

VOTE: Dunnstral

I generally agree with starting offwagon but that hammer was terrible
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Post Post #1211 (isolation #35) » Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:27 pm

Post by NDMath »

In post 1209, Vivax wrote:
In post 1192, NDMath wrote:
Not it for the no deaths

In post 1190, MeekMeerkat wrote:Gamma I'll gift you the honors of deciding, do we wagon toog or dunn
Or vivax
Do a hardclaim thenß
I literally did
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Post Post #1247 (isolation #36) » Wed Aug 31, 2022 12:55 am

Post by NDMath »

VOTE: Vivax
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Post Post #1248 (isolation #37) » Wed Aug 31, 2022 12:57 am

Post by NDMath »

In post 1219, Legends wrote:
In post 1216, Dunnstral wrote:NDMath didn't vote for beeboy or express suspicion there until it was a foregone conclusion that one of the two of them were going to eliminated. On top of that we now have to believe that both Nomsy is town, town has another unclaimed protective role, and NDMath is town, for three protective roles.

There's no reason to believe that the wagons were not both on mafia yesterday
Correct. Beeboy's slot would likely be worse to a scumteam than NDMath because NDMath is active. I have extensive problems with both of those two being supposed bodyguards, not being suspicious of each other and no deaths last night.

I want it on record who both bodyguards allegedly protected.

~Titus
a) I'm not a bodyguard
b) my ability did not trigger
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Post Post #1304 (isolation #38) » Wed Aug 31, 2022 3:35 pm

Post by NDMath »

Oh.. wow
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Post Post #1307 (isolation #39) » Wed Aug 31, 2022 3:53 pm

Post by NDMath »

I accepted it

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