Advance Wars UPick!--Game Over..?
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Sup, catching up. Have skimmed D1 [I promise a better readthrough of things once I've skimmed everything and have more time tomorrow]. General thoughts are that SSK gave me bad feels in a few posts early on and Ceph felt like town to me, but that's super subject to change as I read more.
Trying to do a more in-depth readthrough of D2 just so I'm up to date. If people want me to look at specific players/posts please let me know.-
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ISO on SMP:
His stance on Varsoon on D1 feels unrealistic in #302. Saying that his gut leads him to think one of Varsoon, Ceph and ffery is probably scum is hella safe. Basically waffles on notscience here as well.
#306 reads as feeling the need to explain himself too much because he's worried about bandwagoning on Varsoon.
SMP wrote:My god Varsoon, ATE and super large fonts aren't going to help town at all. All you're doing is cluttering the thread and tunneling Orc, who has no chance of getting lynched today.
Doesn't feel like he's actually scumreading Varsoon with this kind of phrasing.
VOTE: SMP
Why aren't you voting someone yet? Or really pushing any kind of scumread?
SMP wrote:When grapes finally shows up.
THE TIME IS NOW.-
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Cheetory6
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Was gonna spoiler these but fuck it. HAVE TEXT.
cabd
All of the old game scumQT hunting feels like he's trying to get townpoints for something that looks useful, but really isn't. Comes across as slightly scummy.
He's making himself very useful via flavour. Almost feels like he's giving himself an excuse to avoid actual scumhunting.
#282 cabd hasn't voted mara or varsoon in this post. Gross. I also don't like basing townreads off of scumreads but that's more personal preference than something scummy.
#345 feels like additional overexplaining of a scumread on Varsoon, but at least this makes sense in the context of him being all about flavour. Not sure he would want to discredit himself by throwing that much suspicion on Varsoon based specifically on flavour knowing that he would be wrong. Hm.
#348 I take it back. He gives a potential angle to explain why Varsoon's flavour might be legit. Could be covering his bases
Cabd wrote:These 7 names are scary as fuck if I'm drawing scum against it. Hell, even if one of the above is wrong, it's still fucking scary.
If these players are so scary, are you sure you should be solidly townreading them?
#445 kind of explains lack of vote, but I don't like that you're all like "I DON'T WANT THIS DAY TO END BEFORE I HAVE READS" while not actually using your vote. It's like your best tool for putting pressure on people. Feels super safe to me.
If Cabd is ordinarily a setup based player that makes me feel slightly better about him. Buta question to anyone who's played with him before: does Cabd usually scumhunt on top of setuphunting in ordinary games? Do you think his passive play scumhunting-wise is unusual?
#733 feels legitimately angry.
#806 o.o jesus. I need to read mara and orci to understand this context.
Leaning scum pending other readthroughs, his catchup posts and other people answering bolded question above.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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mara
Oh goodness, she ignores the Varsoon issue entirely.
That's.. unexpected?
Wanna say scum would at least comment on it to cover bases, but it's odd in any way shape or form.
Kind of had the same reaction to cabd in my catch-up, so nothing odd about her pushing him IMO.
Ms Marangal wrote:Orci just scum-told, he's getting lynched
If Mara believes that he scum-told, I can understand scumreading him, but the confidence seems exaggerated. Can understand this if this is a scumread she's personally been pushing for a long time though, but I still get wary whenever anyone gets this confident over only a single scumtell.
#964 has more reasoning, but it comes a little late. Eh.
I feel like Mara is shit disturby in a way that wouldn't benefit scum, though perhaps that's the reaction that she's hoping for? Heh. I can understand why she's the main wagon atm, but I don't agree with it. Reading Orci now to see if there's more context that I'm missing.
Slightly leaning town based on tone of her posts, but she seems really hard to read in general. I would personally like to see her be more open with her reads, even if it isn't in her playstyle to do so.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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orcinus
I don't like that he gets all preachy about wagons being neat and then he jumps ship from the Varsoon wagon onto BPC for what feels like semi-opportunistic reasoning. Strikes me as scum trying to spread votes/trying to look like they're townhunting because they don't want to seem like they're just sitting on an inevitable mislynch all of D1. I wish I hadn't read Mara first, because I feel like I might be letting that influence my read here.
#165. Lolwut. Okay with voting NS at any point, but BPC doing it is scummy? What has orcinus even really contributed to the Varsoon discussion at this point that makes it okay for him to be chiding BPC for not commenting on it? I may need to read BPC to understand this better, but fuck if this doesn't feel off to me.
#197 tells ssk to move off notsci and back onto Varsoon while he's voting for BPC. Lol.
I personally don't read much into the scum-tell Mara's seeing. Maybe it's statistically a scum-tell, but I could see either alignment doing what he did.
Null on him wanting to out neighbors. Either being protown or trying to look protown. Leaning to the latter because I'm biased at this point.
orcinus wrote:Id love to help but unfortunately I don't like discussing my Cabd read in front of Cabd
Please explain this.
Interactions orci has with cabd are weird. I don't like them.
#607 feels like a fucking stretch in a few places. I get this feeling from orcinus's posts that he cares about how people are thinking about him in a self-centered way.
#649 but no varsoon vote. Lol.
orcinus wrote:so are you scumreading me or not
More self-centered posting.
#948 is paranoid. Have a single townpoint among a sea of suspicion I've gathered during this read q.q
Gut says SMP push is bussing if orci is scum.
orcinus wrote:I think the biggest selling point for me this entire game is how irrational mara is
This is a shit reason to scumread someone.
orcinus wrote:This is my MO as town
Self-meta q.q stahp.
I don't mind a meta case on Mara, but it feels like he's trying too hard to make his scumread on Mara seem legitimate/trying to discredit Mara's scumread on him. That's hella WIFOMy though and just a feeling I have.
@orcinus, were you scumreading SSK when you voted him?
VOTE: orcinus-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Sorry yeah, I can see why it looks scummy for me to be asking how people are reading you because I could potentially just sheep the popular opinion. I'm just trying to get a priority worked out for who I want to read over and figured people's scumreads should be first.
Save the Dragon wrote:someone replacing in asking for a summary is different from someone who was playing from the beginning being like 'i'm lazy, summary plz
I agree. That's why I was surprised when I realized it was Lynx because I thought he'd been in the game from the start?
Save the Dragon wrote:Also don't vote orc.
Why?-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Never played with orci before. Approximately my fourth game on this site. Confbias on thinking Mara is more likely to be town could be influencing some of my thoughts on his reactions to her, but I think his external interactions are more damning. Him asking someone whether they're scumreading feels self-centered motivated in a way that I don't see town playing. Extrapolating on that point, his scumhunting on D1 strikes me as an expansion of that, trying to seem a certain way to everyone else, rather than actually trying to legitimately scumhunt.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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orcinus wrote:Cheetory are you scum reading me??????!!!
Yea.
Sup.
Save the Dragons wrote:I could try to go into more detail if I got more time, but his conversations and his reads seem organic to me.
I'd like examples when you get the chance.
I'll be done your ISO later. Have class in the meantime.
P-Edit: Meta defenses obviously don't mean much to me. I'd need examples to understand. Still think his mindset on D1 was self-centered.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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orcinus wrote:But are you honestly saying that after writing a case on me you have nothing to ask?
I'm prioritizing catching up before scumhunting hard at this point. You're my best lead, hence my vote. Would rather read other people and get a full picture rather than spend all my time focusing on one person atm.
I think I let myself skim a lot more of your meta-focused arguments and focused more on other stuff. The stuff you're saying there makes sense if it's true and I noticed you were saying your case was partially based on meta early on during D2 so that makes me at least feel a little better about your Mara case. I do need to read those games to be sure though, but catch-up requires precedence which I'm sure you can respect. I also didn't know that she'd softclaimed tracker. Didn't catch that on my readthrough of her ISO.
#1731 is also a thing. Will be looking elsewhere as I have enough time to read over people.
orcinus wrote:if i had a dime for each time people ragged on me for jumping votes around too much
Not so much jumping votes around too much, I just saw no reason not to lynch Varsoon and you jumping around while chiding other players for jumping around felt weird.
orcinus wrote:ssk why are you even bothering notsci is vigbait/policy lynch. tell me about varsoon walking into a neighborhood and calling ppl "assholes"
You're going to tell me that's not you telling him that voting Varsoon is clearly better? It really looks that way to me. If not you phrased that really weirdly. I understand why specifically you might have gone after him for voting NS now, but the entire situation as a whole doesn't sit well with me.
orcinus wrote:interesting how many times you say this but that you never try to counteract your bias
Didn't say this that many times. I feel like you asking someone for their read on you is pretty scummy external to how I was reading Mara on a single passby of both your ISOs. Pretty confident I wasn't letting my bias get in the way with that specifically. I also made it clear when I felt bias was influencing my read on specific things. If it makes you feel better, I no longer feel biased in thinking you're more likely to be scum than not at this point or by the time I'd finished ISOing you?
orcinus wrote:you say this like it's bad but i'm not too sure why
How is it not a bad thing? Town are interested in finding scum. Looking like you're town is cool when you're town, but it's literally imperative when you're scum. I associate worrying about how you're seen by others [especially when you're not being wagoned] with a scum mindset.
orcinus wrote:it was like 2 days into the game i didn't want to end day yet?
Read the post I mentioned. That is not what you were saying there.
Also, I do honestly think that someone being "irrational" is a bad reason to scumread them as I think that's more of a nulltell.
Should have justified better. I also think your case is better than just her being 'irrational' now that I've looked your case over better, so your choice of words there was just not very representative of your case.
I'll try to use nicer words in the future if you'd like though. Would you prefer me to call reasons I don't like 'disagreeable' or 'egregious'? Lemme know.
orcinus wrote:"cheetoy, i like your entrance posts, but it feels like you're trying too hard to look like town/trying to make your opinions heard."
i) Cheetoy... Cheetoy?
ii) I wanted to get preliminary thoughts out there before moving on to next person. I said what I was feeling as I read through your ISO without doing hard fact checking. I could be careful and get nothing done/get demotivated or I can say things that might be wrong. Pretty okay with doing the former as nobody's going to take me seriously anyways with my reads until I'm actually caught up with things.
Not leaning scum as hard on orcinus anymore because apparently there's like an investigative role or something and his case on Mara feels less bullshitty on second readthrough. Still feel like his tone is off in D1 though.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Save the Dragons:
#254 has a little too much confidence for my tastes on townread Varsoon and townread Ceph. Eh.
#340 I like this post.
#342 makes sense and doesn't strike me as particularly opportunistic, but still kinda wary just because of how hard the defense is on Varsoon.
Save the Dragons wrote:I'm assuming that Orc is a counterwagon, I assume she's trying to collect town reads on it...I don't know how fruitful she thinks it is. I personally am not really assuming it's going to be fruitful.
If you thought this might be her reasoning for pushing orci, why would you out it like this?
I like that in #1065 he isn't using people scumreading Varsoon as an excuse to push scumreads on people.
#1354 is there a specific reason why Cabd is at the top of your townreads list now? What changed from now and mid-D1?
Null/townlean.-
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orcinus wrote:Keeping town alive and scumhunting is not mutually exclusive.
In fact a combination of those two make for a very good towngame.
I still don't agree with the idea of posturing as what your townself would ordinarily be doing. I especially don't feel like it should motivate your actions in this game. I feel like this point isn't a stretch at all. Avoiding being anti-town is useful, trying too hard to seem like you're town is scummy.
orcinus wrote:That is not me telling ssk to vote varsoon. That is me asking ssk for his opinion on the varsoon situation. You could stretch and baaaarrrellyy be able to say that it was me asking ssk for his opinion on my case. But I am not soliciting his vote in that quote.
I also did not phrase that weirdly at all.
"Your vote is bad. Now, what do you think of this reason to vote this person?"
Okay.
I will admit that you saying that you can't understand what I'm saying there makes me feel like you legitimately meant something other than that though.
orcinus wrote:I assume you mean there was no reason for me not to lynch Varsoon? I'll let you clarify that before I reply.
I just felt like a quickwagon would have been just as valuable as the meandering that ended up happening that day. It occurs to me now that the distribution of stars is something that matters in a way such that it makes sense for the cycle to have been drawn out like that.
Irrational comment was a misunderstanding on my part I guess. q.q
Brb feeling stupid because being a replacement is making it hard to figure out the context of things in an ISO at times. Will try to be more analytical from here on out.
P-Edit:
orcinus wrote:cheetoy what do you think about STD's and book's back and forth on p57-60
Will look at it right away dorcinus. Is it fun having your name mispelled too?-
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Was saying that on my first readthrough I thought "why did they wait so long to lynch him? People delaying it seem scummy", but the fact that stars go to people on the wagon mean that it's valuable to still do scumhunting and drag the day out to get more definitive reads earlier. I was admitting that I underthought the situation and that I misunderstood some context.
orcinus wrote:i'm not posturing as what my townself is normally doing.
Firstly, you saying this means nothing to me, why would you think it would? Secondly, I still feel like the tone on your BPC vote was off and felt forced. I can hunt down other examples where I thought I saw this if you're interested in understanding my scumread on you?
Zzzzz. Annoyed at how much of a dick you're being, but I probably deserve it for rushing in my ISO and being a bit too aggressive. Willing to admit I read too much into some things without accurate context, but I will still really not be surprised if you're scum and stand by what's left of my reasoning. Will try to be more civil despite your absolutely disrespectful spelling of my name.
VOTE: SMP
Bookitty feels overly aggressive in her response to STD. Don't find her reasons compelling for scumreading STD because they seem pretty forced. Don't find her scummy for doing it either because I've seen annoyed town exaggerate reasoning many times. Not a huge fan of how sure she is that he's scum in #1457. Would need to ISO to see if there's more reasoning than just her disliking his push on her. I don't like the reversal in a single post in #1463:
@Bookitty,
Bookitty wrote:I looked at STD's day one play and he did in fact vote CABD for what seems to be the same reason that he suspected me, which is sort of a towntell for STD even though CABD is a strong townread for me.
Can you explain this? Why is this a towntell?-
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orcinus wrote:Wouldn't you want to do scumhunting regardless of the star thing...?
I think there's more value in being able to analyze a quickwagon than there is to dragging the cycle out inorganically. There wasn't really a super solid reason to think that Varsoon was town beyond people's gutfeelings about his reactions to his fake scumslip. I think seeing who was hesitant to get on a quickwagon and the reasoning people either forced or didn't force would have been very informative if things went by quicker. With stars you need to set up townreads on the wagon so there's more merit to letting D1 linger than otherwise.
orcinus wrote:given you haven't exactly been giving me examples of posturing there's not much else i can say here
I'll re-ISO you after I've read at least 5-6 other players. I want to get a bigger picture at this point. Deal?
orcinus wrote:i'm reaching out to you b/c i think you're town
This is better reasoning than I thought.
Heh.
orcinus wrote:the intent behind my BPC vote was to open up game. i wasn't actually scumreading BPC hard at all, but i voted him because i didn't want town to get fixated on varsoon. i was going to ask fery about that because i feel that town-fery would've picked up on that. she said something to that effect and i just wanted to clarify.
I'll let ffery clarify if that's something that she thinks you were doing. If so, I'll revisit your ISO later because I feel like I can't give a good read on you without reading it over with these updated thoughts.-
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In post 1793, wgeurts wrote:For Orci, I'm reading what I've missed however I started on this oage so I'll react now. I will not claim, TYVM.
We had a tracker follow someone, they visited you. Someone in the neighbourhood also got a message saying you're town, this mean the person visiting you is either a paranoid cop, or something else sent the message. However the fact we got such a message makes me think you're town.
Will still do a reread of orci at some point, but I'd find it pretty hard to believe that there's some kind of collusion going on here in such a way in which orcinus wouldn't be town. IE: the investigator might be lying, but I don't think they'd be lying about orcinus. Heh. Unless orcinus is some kind of investigation-immune role? Zzzz.
Curious about one more thing before I move on again though:
orcinus wrote:i'm reaching out to you b/c i think you're town
orcinus wrote:"cheetoy, i like your entrance posts, but it feels like you're trying too hard to look like town/trying to make your opinions heard."
Is there a discrepancy in reasoning here?-
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In post 1809, Cephrir wrote:I think I agree, but it is possible for him to be scum.
I don't understand why you wouldn't be taking this approach at this point Boo. You have no idea what my scum meta is like. What if I'm equally as tryhard as scum? Zzzz.
Book:
I don't like her defense of Cabd in #620. I feel like it's unreasonable to ask someone to not be suspicious of X because X is playing protown. I would be hesitant to go after someone with that much set-up knowledge as well on day one, but it's no reason to defend them as not being scum. Granted, I can understand the motivation if she's townreading Cabd, but the actual reasoning she touts at STD just feels.. eh.
@Bookitty,
i) It looked like you had a lot of townreads vs scumreads early D1. Is there a reason why? Do you still stand by your flubber townread?
ii) You mentioned that people trying to make a counterwagon on D1 could potentially be scum trying to get stars, did you think that STD was the best possible example of this at the time?
Bookitty wrote:Also, reread Day One of this game again. I think I took firm stances and even pointed out things from my own scum play that I saw in others in this thread. If I were scum, why would I pull back the curtains like that?
Do you think this is a convincing reason as to why you're not scum this game?
Also, given that you base so much of your scumhunting on meta, do you also base your scumgame on your own meta as well?-
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Flubber:
A lot of what he's saying is pretty.. scattered, but that's not necessarily alignment indicative.
I don't like that he was on the Varsoon wagon, even if I'm not getting particularly bad vibes from him. I think more people should have made a fuss over that and frankly I'm surprised that nobody did.
I actually like the reasoning behind voting STD. Can follow that thought process pretty clearly.
@Flub, who are you most suspicious of right now and why? What do you think of Lynx and Honey Bee?-
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Was basically asking because it seemed pretty off to me that you were getting on STD's case for not applying meta to you, when obviously if you're known to use meta as a pretty big tool in your arsenal then obviously you're going to play to counteract/hide any meta tells. Why would you think it's scummy for him to not be applying meta to someone who would worry more about meta than most people in this game?-
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Almost all of the play that you and orci have that's stood out to me in a potentially scummy way you've been able to explain in a logical manner. I want to lean town on both of you, I'm just getting this bad feeling that I'm just being talked out of reads by scum who's just playing a lot better than me. q.q-
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Konowa's vote on Mara is unexplained which reads almost too blatant to be scummy?
wgeurt's vote on Konowa feels opportunistic, but given wgeurt's play so far I'm not swayed on his alignment from it.
Scummiest vote on the last few pages feels like Albert's. Don't like that he's adding in reasoning after his vote as though he might be nervous about seeming opportunistic. Really, I kind of did the same thing though so :/-
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People who avoided voting for her entirely would be my best guess for scum at this point TBH. I think trying to get a vote in this last minute would put people under more scrutiny, the kind that I don't think scum would find worth it. Don't really have time to look at who might be the best example of this right now, but you get the idea.-
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In post 1965, orcinus_theoriginal wrote:In post 1822, orcinus_theoriginal wrote:In post 1684, Cheetory6 wrote:Approximately my fourth game on this site.
I can't find four games of you on this site.
A reminder that you may not talk about ongoing games
Cheetory.
Assumed I couldn't respond to this because the three games = games currently happening, not games that are complete.
Albert wrote:I didn't at all like Cheetory's unvote that seemed like it was following orc's lead.He hasn't shown that he's willing to back any of his own independent thoughts. Especially with the "I will let other more worthy players like Brian Skies be on the wagon" that I didn't like. Reminds me of why I think Bookitty's reasons for thinking honey bee is town is also wrong.
I voted Mara both because her claim felt like a scum PR and I felt like her ragequit was scum trying to throw people off her wagon. NS and orci said the latter is a bannable offense. Sorry if I don't have a lot of conviction after being told that all of my thoughts on orci were pretty much wrong.
Also, the bolded feels like you haven't read my entire ISO. Just saying.
The Brian Skies part was because he's been 1-shot copped. Why would you not want conf town getting stars?-
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Last four games, two town are the most recent:
http://www.d2forums.net/viewtopic.php?f=41&t=11866
http://www.d2forums.net/viewtopic.php?f=41&t=11812
two scum are the next two most recent:
http://www.d2forums.net/viewtopic.php?f=41&t=11725
http://www.d2forums.net/viewtopic.php?f=41&t=11660-
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In post 2152, Albert B. Rampage wrote:Cheetory gains scummy points for unvoting after you
No interest in responding to my answer for this or are you content with just arbitrarily holding on to a scumread on me for one thing without actually engaging me on it?
Trying to reread everything right now.
Also trying not to OMGUS scumread/scumread ABR for what might just be playstyle.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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ABR wrote:This is convoluted reasoning. You can't prove that someone is replacing out to change the game state. Natirsha's threat isn't enforceable unless the guilty party literally admits to replacing out to give their faction an edge.
I figured if she was scum she should have been modkilled. I have a hard time seeing her temper tantrum being legitimate if she is scum, in which case she would have been abusing a game mechanic for her faction's benefit.
ABR wrote:I don't see how a reasonable townie who is convinced that Mara is scum will unvote Mara because NS and orci say that it's a bannable offense to replace out as scum to gain an edge.
My reasoning for voting her was I thought she was abusing the mechanic from a scumPOV and that her expecting orci to townread her for her claim didn't make any sense at all. When I learned that she would be banned if she was abusing the mechanic, then half my case was out the window and I felt I needed to reread to be confident in any kind of read on her. I hadn't even been considering that scum could replace out if they're emotional and I'm relatively unfamiliar with some of the mechanics of this site work [EG: talking about other games].
I'm a replacement who made a lot of fuck ups during my reread and haven't had a chance to look at the whole game with a complete perspective. TBH it feels super fucking opportunistic from my perspective for you to be jumping on me for being uncertain in my reads when I've given ample explanation for that in my back and forth with orci, but I admit that back and forth was dense and I wouldn't be surprised if you didn't read it as either alignment so all I have is just a bad feeling about you at this point.
Still reading up.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Fuck yes. Finally caught up.
I like NS for town.
@STD, #254 with a vote and unvote in the same post is weird. I know it was a while ago, but why did you bother including both? Also, where are you sitting on ABR?
@Cabd, what's your read on Konowa? Also, why didn't you try and enforce what you said in #261 at any point during D1? Is there any reason you haven't been attacking bad wagonvotes if you were pushing this mentality earlier?
Lynx is bothering me for reasons that have already been stated. Saying he's okay with Varsoon wagon and is impatient for it to go through, but not committing a vote to it feels safe.
Waffling on SMP. He needs to do more this cycle/he needs to vote for literally anybody at this point.
Also,
SMP wrote:Also, in a large game, the players who post a ton without actually saying anything or clog up the thread do more damage than in a 13 player game.
Why is Flubber the best example of this?
Feel like ABR is scum. Thing that resonates with me the most right now is that he tried to seem all proactive by saying wagons should happen while sitting on a useless grapes vote for no obvious reason.
VOTE: Albert
Gloves off, your move.
orci wrote:some meta work fery and i did
Would you mind elaborating on this?-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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In post 2218, fferyllt wrote:I think he's town.
Any particular reason why?
ffery wrote:What is your read of STD? Of me?
Null on STD.
My read on you is leaning scum. Can go into more detail in a little bit.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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What if we get to day end and nothing happens? There's no guarantee that we can lynch it even if we manage to get enough for a hammer and even if we can kill it with a lynch, this game is going to start getting really slow if we don't get a flip this cycle.
I'm legitimately annoyed that I'm leaning town on you wgeurts.
Tell me what you make of Lynx.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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I'll just use URL from now on.-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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ffery wrote:He tries harder as town, and he's more paranoid as town. He particularly tries harder as town in Nati games.
Can you give examples where you feel he's trying harder/is being more paranoid in your eyes?
ffery wrote: I think he relies on his reputation as a chronic lurker as scum.
Would you classify his play during D2 as not lurking?-
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Cheetory6 MS Painter
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