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Statistically, yes. I'm not going to omit this detail. If you look at every greatest idea game I've been a player, I've picked scum %100 of the time. That's not an exageration. Trying to change things up here so I picked a weak town combo, which was hard since I did get 1 mafia and 1 werewolf card.
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In post 74, Lucky2u wrote:Hmmm... reading the math of lucky choices discussion... one moment please.
How long have you been here exactly to respond as soon as you're called on?
as soon as I am called upon? You won't believe me but that's a huge coincidence. Plus you have been talking about me for several pages, so... this is not JUST as I was called upon actually.
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In post 73, Vedith wrote:Lucky are you scum? No response means yes.
Next game post
In post 74, Lucky2u wrote:Hmmm... reading the math of lucky choices discussion... one moment please.
How is that not when you were called upon?
1. see my above post and actually read it.
2. I think ash ketchum over there is implying I showed up when first called upon by your 82, but you all have been talking about me since post 25 concerning this discussion of my discard.
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Yeah, don't care about the F5'ing. I do expect you to be here for 5 minutes after your post rather than showing up 10 minutes after you've had time to think about it.
That doesn't explain the L-1 vote. Especially when you read the 2 pages in 3 minutes and probably spent 6 minutes total on the thread.
You can't say you don't care about my F5ing and then berate me for responding in 10 minutes rather than 5....
Yes it does. It was actually 1 page in 3 minutes. I was already through the Lucky math discussion when I posted that... you see I can't reference something BEFORE I've read about it. You mistake me for a clairvoyant.
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EspeciallyTheLies wrote:i asked aphix and lucky because i know them and felt i might be able to get a read based on how they reacted to being asked that. i'm usually not around too much on the weekend. i had some trouble following the reads on vedith but had otherwise not really gotten out of RVS myself.
are you really confident enough to develop a read on me based on the "are you scum?" question?
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Post
Post #142 (isolation #12) » Sun Nov 22, 2015 9:03 am
Postby Lucky2u »
In post 136, Soren wrote:What logical process did you take to assume that there is a chance he is scum? Since everyone in this game has a chance of being scum.
are you playing this game based on math?
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Post #143 (isolation #13) » Sun Nov 22, 2015 9:05 am
Postby Lucky2u »
In post 141, Hinduragi wrote:Goddammit guys, you were supposed to see who he vigs before letting the cat out of the bag that it's possible he might not be town.
since it's out of the bag. do you think ETL is likely doing this as scum? Wouldn't it have been better for her to hold the shot and use it as a game closer or even wait until it's likely she'll get lynched as a pre-emptive strike so to speak? I've been thinking about the way she is doing this and it doesn't strike me as the scum way to do day vig. I am NOT conf towning her but I read it as town.
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Post #154 (isolation #14) » Sun Nov 22, 2015 11:06 am
Postby Lucky2u »
well your question comes with the qualifing statement that everyone has a chance of being scum and you are asking what "logical" process I used. I used no logic whatsoever. It's Day 1, there is no flip, there is no night action results, there is ZERO logic to be had at the moment. Based on logic alone, the chances of each of you being scum are exactly the same. I chose him based on his tone and current attitude. In other words, gut.
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I did choose town, but like I said, I don't expect to make it very far.
I had two town cards and one mafia card. town investigator (cult or not cult) which I thought was lame, town weak jailer which I didn't like due to the high probability of large numbers of non town players, and I wanted to be a dayvig. it was the strongest role available in the cards I got.
This statement feels off to me. If you are town, why do you think scum would bother with you after you've blown your shot? You will likely still be alive tomorrow because as Town you are useless Day 2 and beyond and as scum you aren't going to shoot yourself. A second scum faction wouldn't bother killing you for same reason as if youre town. A vig is really the only reason you would die tonight.
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Post
Post #258 (isolation #17) » Wed Nov 25, 2015 12:58 am
Postby Lucky2u »
That was a Meh shot... I still think a Suzanne shot would have made more sense but what's done is done. Once I'm more awake and not at work I will make a good post stating my case against Suzanne right now. Preview of that post: I'm still a gut read to you suz? Really?
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Post
Post #348 (isolation #21) » Sat Nov 28, 2015 3:53 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
First time in an idea game? The only good investigator is bloodhound. Cop checks mafia Seer checks werewolf psychiatrist checks serial killer. Too many scum factions for it to be effective to have either.
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Post
Post #352 (isolation #23) » Sat Nov 28, 2015 4:29 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
ETL that post was clearly pure humour and even came with the disclaimer that I know it means nothing so how am I getting cred? Frankly your tunnel on me has been very ugly for awhile. If we're going to do this then let's do it.
VOTE: ETL
I don't need to wait for results to start discussion. You shouldn't either if your town.
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Post
Post #358 (isolation #25) » Sat Nov 28, 2015 4:57 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
You thought I was claiming to be a town compulsive Childkiller?
Ordinarily I would object to being forced to claim my role, as I don't even have a vote on me. However since I am essentially vanilla and to speed this hunt along, my role card was werewolf mason. Which makes me a town mason. However there are no other masons in this game so I am nothing.
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Post #360 (isolation #26) » Sat Nov 28, 2015 5:11 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
Her reaction to my hammer is such a show. She's looking for low hanging fruit. Her day vig was a fumble, iirc she shot against the consensus, so why did she even ask us to "vote"?
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Post #364 (isolation #27) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 2:27 am
Postby Lucky2u »
Claiming a one of a kind card as your alignment doesn't prove your alignment. I'm claiming compulsive child killer as my alignment card and there is only one of that card. By your logic I am town cleared too. The card you are claiming for alignment is something easily thrown away by scum or town players who know this setup (see my previous post on useless investigators) so you risked little by claiming it as your alignment card since if someone had it they probably would have tossed it.
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In post 364, Lucky2u wrote:Claiming a one of a kind card as your alignment doesn't prove your alignment. I'm claiming compulsive child killer as my alignment card and there is only one of that card.
By your logic I am town cleared too.
The card you are claiming for alignment is something easily thrown away by scum or town players who know this setup (see my previous post on useless investigators) so you risked little by claiming it as your alignment card since if someone had it they probably would have tossed it.
No. You aren't. Because you haven't proven your role card. I have.
How does proving your role card mean anything? You proved your a day vig, a role scum would LOVE to have. That doesn't mean you're telling the truth about the most important card, your alignment. You have proved the same as me, which is to say NOTHING.
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Post
Post #377 (isolation #30) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 11:42 am
Postby Lucky2u »
She isn't fake claiming anymore, she's using false logic. If she is going to claim that proving her role card somehow magically proves her alignment, how is that not scum?
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Post
Post #381 (isolation #32) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 12:04 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
If you don't think I'm idiot (thanks btw) why are you trying to pass off your idiot logic in front of me?
Yes I have claimed all my cards, so your not reading my posts ms scum.
Your logic only makes sense if the person claims two town cards kept. I kept a town and scum card so the possibilty of me switching them is also none since I'd be claiming werewolf.
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Post #383 (isolation #33) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 12:07 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
Also you seem to be missing the point of my argument, which is I don't believe you ever even had town investigator card. Yes you proved that you had A day vig card, but I think you also had a scum card. You claimed the investigator card as a lie because it's a safe card to claim knowing it would be high on the throw away list for people who got it.
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Post #388 (isolation #35) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 12:16 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
In post 361, EspeciallyTheLies wrote:I didn't shoot against census. I was deciding between suzune and gummy. I stated as such and both were considerable suspects among others. Second, I claimed all my cards and you can check them. I proved my vig, and you know my discard.
So my third card proves my alignment
. There's only one in the entire list and it's mine.
Btw yes she has
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In post 383, Lucky2u wrote:Also you seem to be missing the point of my argument, which is I don't believe you ever even had town investigator card. Yes you proved that you had A day vig card, but I think you also had a scum card. You claimed the investigator card as a lie because it's a safe card to claim knowing it would be high on the throw away list for people who got it.
You could say the exact same about werewolf mason.
Hopefully the food's good. I work in hospitals and, of the ones I've been at, the food in their cafes is homemade and is actually pretty great. You would be surprised how good it is for the price. Get well soon.
That's my point!
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Post #398 (isolation #39) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 12:40 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
Bloodhound is an amazing card. If it was one of the 21 cards drawn, noone in their right mind would have discarded it. If you claimed that card whether for alignment or role, you'd be nuts. Town investigator on the other hand, checks for cult. As I've said multiple times, it's an easy card to discard as useless. Thereby making it much safer to claim as your alignment card since that's the only reason to use it.
In other words, a good town card risks a counterclaim by someone who either kept it as alignment (if they got an even better role) or kept as role (this means 16 chances it's in someone's hand). A bad town card would not be kept as role and only possible as alignment. (this means 8 chances for it to be in someone's hand)
TL:DR math says I'm right.
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Post #405 (isolation #41) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 2:29 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
In post 401, EspeciallyTheLies wrote:None of this proves your point nor does it make any sense since I've told the truth and I know this is wrong.
... Are you even responding to the same post? How does math not make sense. Do you not understand how 16 is greater than 8?
I'm not trying to prove a point with that post I'm showing you math. It doesn't prove your scum but you ASKED how one card claim is safer than another.
"since I've told the truth" is the worst defense in mafia ever. You are aware people this a game of lying right? From our POV we have no way to tell if your lying or not and your defense is amounting to no more than "because I said so"
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Post #409 (isolation #42) » Sun Nov 29, 2015 7:01 pm
Postby Lucky2u »
In post 406, EspeciallyTheLies wrote:It doesn't matter what anyone else believes, because from MY POV, KNOWING MY ALIGNMENT AND KNOWING THE CARDS I GOT, I know your "math" and attempted conclusion is incorrect. I know I'm town, and you're scum. I know you're not this fucking stupid.
If you are town, from your POV of course YOU know your town. We on the other hand don't know that, yet you are trying to tell us we should know you are town because you say you are town. If you don't understand why that is ridiculous, allow me to use that defense myself.
Hey guys, my alignment is town. From my POV I know this to be true, so you can go ahead and trust that it is a fact.
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Post #431 (isolation #45) » Mon Nov 30, 2015 8:35 am
Postby Lucky2u »
Why would you think I'd assume the flip would be town? From a lucky-scum pov I'd still be hunting for other scum. The flip of Suzanne should be null info for me. As for the way the hammer happened. Lucky lol hammered. Get over it. It's hardly an alignment tell unless the player has a pattern. Which I don't (feel free to research this). It's a play style habit of a player.
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Why are you so sure based on the hammer alone? Is there more to it? Why so sure even if there is more? This could potentially be game losing and I think he brings up a good point hence why I wanted to NL earlier just in case of the possibility.
She is a lyncher target below. Just realized this, feeling stupid it took me this long.
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In post 528, Hinduragi wrote:why don't you care about this game? Do you prefer scum or town roles?
Scum is boring, it's easy. I elected not to be third party this game either, thinking I had the best chance of winning with the town. And then we lost 2 PRs.
I like to be a big part of the discussions going on and most of the discussion is lost on me in this game, which hurts as I'm not as invested as I want to be.
How are you reading this excuse for no content as town Hindu...
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Post #544 (isolation #51) » Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:05 am
Postby Lucky2u »
Concerning Vedith. I just played a great scum game with him as my partner. He was not trolley or asshole-ish so ETL is wrong on that account. He asked a whole bunch of questions and fence sat. That's what I'd looking for scum Vedith. He hasn't really don't that though, so I'd relegate him to null read.
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Post #550 (isolation #52) » Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:12 am
Postby Lucky2u »
Soren I need updated reasons why Vedith is scum. It's been 200 posts since your reasons in 317 and those were weak then and are weaker now. I also realized I have no idea what your read is on anyone else but Vedith.
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It makes sense because you can then post this later saying "how does it make sense" it also explains why you vigged day 1. Scum and town would have been better off waiting.
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