Micro 676: Bill Wurtz Mafia (Game Over)
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Transcend Survivor
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Transcend Survivor
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Nvm i don't tr tweet
I tr connan
I thought tweet L-2'd me when i was phone scrolling, but it was connan-
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Transcend Survivor
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I felt the vote was genuine rather than opportunistic.
Btw I'm not here to wow you with my opinions, I'm just here to lynch scum-
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Transcend Survivor
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Transcend Survivor
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Would love some advancement from Parama, I'm happy to play with Parama again
Same thing with Tweet. Solid player list.-
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Transcend Survivor
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Comm: even if i got ran up to L-1, i wouldn't claim there. The idea is to give scum as little info as possible because they already know everyone's alignment. So a claim from me isn't gonna help especially if I'm a very important role and being ran up for no reason.
Still tr comm and i find implosion's vote there opportunistic. I don't know why he stopped why he started, when he did, and on who he did.
VOTE: implosion-
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Transcend Survivor
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Also i don't like 36. I think this could be scum!implo discrediting my correct town read.-
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I'm gonna approach this game differently. Assuming this is 7:2, there's 28 possible duos fmpov.
I think that comm is town so that eliminates 7 possible teams to boil down to 21 teams.
Gun to my head, scum!tepes and scum!tweet together aren't gonna cite together in rvs the same way lol
So if all this aforementioned logic is correct, I'm down to 20 possible duos.-
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Transcend
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I get reads quickly as well. I can't speak for syr, but games on my home site last on average 20 minutes. This means reads have to be made quickly with immensely less content in a forum mafia game.-
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Transcend Survivor
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Transcend Survivor
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Alright
I disagree with your points to scum read Comm
Have you read the points to townread him and compared apples to oranges?-
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Parama in terms of the "opportunism" between implo/Kain, I think town!Kain is much more likely to make a bad vote like that than town!implo-
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Okay I tr Tweet and Comm so fmpov this leaves 15 teams.
implo
syr
gamma
kain
parama
storm
1. Gamma-implo
2. Gamma-Kain
3. Gamma-Parama <------ low key hope this is the scum team due to the rhymes ahahahahahaajaajhjhajahaj
4. Gamma-Storm
5. Gamma-Syr
6. implo-Kain
7. implo-Parama
8. implo-Storm
9. implo-Syr
10. Kain-Parama
11. Kain-Storm
12. Kain-Syr
13. Parama-Storm
14. Parama-Syr
15. Storm-Syr
I don't think scum!implo and scum!kain run up the same obvtown slot this early inthe game as a duo. So imo 6 is not likely
I do usually attract at least one scum vote on each of my mislynches, since I'm a force to be reckoned with, but I usually don't have the entire scum team dumped on me right away. This makes me not want to consider 7 either
I don't think Parama defends his partner and votes the person that makes a vote on him So that eliminates duo #13.
And now I'm left with 12 duos.-
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Transcend Survivor
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oh that list at the top has no relevance it was just a list of names I was using to make the 15 names
also each time we mislynch i'm starting my process of elimination thing from scratch.-
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Transcend Survivor
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I think Parama is more likely to be town on my lynch over implosion. The reasons he voted me don't sound far-fetch'd. He's wrong for sure, but IMO his read does come from a genuine town mindset.
If this is correct and all the aforementioned logic is correct then i'm left with 9 teams.
1. Gamma-implo
2. Gamma-Kain
3. Gamma-Storm
4. Gamma-Syr
5. implo-Storm
6. implo-Syr
7. Kain-Storm
8. Kain-Syr
9. Storm-Syr-
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Now to consider hypotheticals:
If Comm, Parama, and Tweet are all town like I believe, and Implo+Kain aren't scum together I'm left with 9 teams. Gamma, Storm, and Syr have not been crossed out for any team yet, so each of them has a 4/9 chance of being scum if I'm correct here.
Assuming that all my aforementioned logic is correct, there's a 100% chance that {Gamma,Storm,Syr} yields at least one scum.
I very easily could've made an error here, but it's only day 1 and if I end up mislynching, I'm starting from scratch.
I was lean town on Syr, to begin with. I wish he'd do something more game advancing, but his opening post felt pretty genuine to me.
I've been okay with what Storm has done lately, still not exactly enthused by his Comm vote, but eh.
I don't really fos this slot, but if my logic is correct, then there's a decent chance he's scum. Plus I want to see advancement from him.
VOTE: Gamma Emerald-
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If you put a gun to my head right now I'd say scum team is implosion-Gamma Emerald. But I feel comfortable lynching within {Gamma, imp, Kain, Storm, Syr} today.-
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im not trying to boil down the scum team today, if i did that, it would be damn good on my behalf-
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if you townread someone that eliminates 7 possible teams, shoul you be correct. the more you townread people, the more you eliminate teams. in the past, i haven't been exactly great at nabbing the scum, but my townreads have been on point. so putting all the non townreads into a cluster and assessing possible outcomes is what i'm doing. if you wanna lynch me for it, then fine. i'll toy with it some other game. truthfully, i like where i'm getting with this.-
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i didn't say i FOSed him. Syr/Storm have been a bit towny though and if all my logic I've made thus far is correct, he is scum. Which is why I placed a vote on him so I can see how he reacts to it, and if I want to lynch Syr/Storm over him or not.In post 104, Parama wrote:why is gamma scum,
Truthfully, Gamma is a dead null right now, but by POE he's scum. I want him to change my mind.-
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this methodology has not debuted in this game, however this is th first time i'm using it from the get-go. it's only recent logic i've created, but i'm doing this from the get-go, because micros have less slots than all other lobbies. doing this in say, a large normal, would be suicide.In post 100, implosion wrote:Transcend, was there any particular reason you chose this game to debut this new methodology?
When did you decide you'd be playing this game in this way? Right before making post 49?
i actually did decide to do it right before post 49 as i had a pretty strong tr on comm, and a few team reads i wanted to eliminate.
like i said, my mission isn't to deduce the scum team right now, it's just to decide what the odds are of x being scum if y is true, voting there if the odds are true, and seeing if it takes me to the promised land or not.-
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Jsyk if you're obv towning in these walls of text, that's your fault
Still not reading any of them
Say less for God's sake, it's not hard to condense-
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Transcend
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If all my townreads are right and my team reads are right then there's 100% a scum in {Gamma, Syr}-
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Transcend
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Storm:
I'm one of the most bizarre players you'll meet
As either alignment
I don't want you to town read me based on a previous game-
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193 is town gold btw
Gamma might have site flaked
My vote was only for pressure so ima vote here again.
VOTE: implosion-
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I tr tweet, comm, storm
I don't team read Parama and implosion
I tr Parama and fos implosion
Eliminating all teams with my 4 town reads, and kain-imp
I'm left with
1. Gamma-imp
2. Gamma-Kain
3. Gamma-Syr
4. Imp-Syr
5. Kain-Syr
5 duos.-
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Transcend Survivor
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Transcend Survivor
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Transcend Survivor
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I'd lol hammer if i weren't the person I'd end up lol hammering.In post 211, Stormcloud wrote:I want to join both the Transcend and implosion wagons for additional pressure and intrigue but I'm not sure if anyone in this group would lolhammer, and I DO NOT want discussion cut short like that.-
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In post 212, Morning Tweet wrote:If you can convince us of that, those analysis posts you're making might actually become usefulSpoiler: EVIDENCE
Pedit: no, i don't lol hammer myself. I only hammer myself if i give up.-
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See i think it's implosion over Parama. Walk me through scum!para?
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Transcend Survivor
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Ok my turn
I tr Comm
I tr tweet
I tr storm
I lean town on Parama
Null on kain
Null on syr
Null on Gamma
I sr implosion
My wall > Your wall-
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I wish syr would commit to a vote
It will probably be me since he has a town boner for implosion-
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But then again
Some town are really bad
Everyone thinks that town are all perfect little angels sent from heaven above that will gloriously scumhunt and play pro-town the whole time
The reality is, scum plays like that more often. Not saying town can't play like that and scum can't play like Comm is but my general vibe is he's reckless town eager to find out information.-
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And truthfully, I'm eager to get information asap as well. Even if it's my flip and i get spoiled, i like piecing the puzzle together rather than taking forever to find where the f*ck the corner piece goes.-
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Transcend Survivor
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Losing all motivation to try, but i already subbed out a Bork game so I'll just eat a d1 lynch-
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