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borkjerfkin
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Post #0 (isolation #0 ) » Mon Nov 21, 2016 3:14 am
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by borkjerfkin » Mon Nov 21, 2016 3:14 am
1. Accountant - Mafia Goon
2. Charloux - Town Doctor
3. Manuel87 - Mafia Roleblocker
4. Morning Tweet - Vanilla Townie
5. MisaTange - Vanilla Townie
6. NorskaBlue - Vanilla Townie
7. thatsit - Vanilla Townie
8. Transcend - Vanilla Townie
9. WeCanSimplyBeOurselves - Town Cop
Last edited by borkjerfkin on Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:11 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Post #1 (isolation #1 ) » Mon Nov 21, 2016 3:15 am
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by borkjerfkin » Mon Nov 21, 2016 3:15 am
cop's soft means that town requires a successful lynch on the roleblocker today to get any use out of the cop if scum is paying any kind of attention
Once doctor claimed, scum knows it's cop/doctor, so they know exactly who cop is now. Any scenario where RB lives allows scum to neutralize both roles. hitting the RB allows one night of follow the cop.
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Post #2 (isolation #2 ) » Tue Nov 22, 2016 3:28 am
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Nov 22, 2016 3:28 am
as expected scum know exactly what they're doing with the PR situation tonight.
bonus points if they managed to swing a lynch on Charloux on D3 since he's not confirmed town till Manuel flips.
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Post #3 (isolation #3 ) » Tue Nov 22, 2016 3:53 am
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Nov 22, 2016 3:53 am
Also I'm calling a Morning Tweet N2 kill now because I have a feeling she's gonna bust the scumteam up if they let her live too long
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Post #4 (isolation #4 ) » Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:23 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:23 pm
Scum is killing wcsbo and blocking char
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Post #6 (isolation #5 ) » Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:32 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:32 pm
You can post sure
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Post #7 (isolation #6 ) » Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:35 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:35 pm
Wcsbo is investigating accountant. He has good instincts (was the first person to treat accountant as anything but hard town) but seems to be prone to reevaluating too quickly to be transparent. Luckily for him he is confirmed town in this setup
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borkjerfkin
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Post #10 (isolation #7 ) » Fri Dec 02, 2016 4:27 am
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by borkjerfkin » Fri Dec 02, 2016 4:27 am
If transcend is lynched today I'm pretty comfortable calling this a scum win.
scum kills Morning Tweet, then throws out the "why isn't Charloux dead" card and the choice on D3 becomes between "was Charloux lying" and "scum designated mislynch thatsit"
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Post #12 (isolation #8 ) » Thu Dec 08, 2016 2:53 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 08, 2016 2:53 pm
tweet has towned all the towns and has the game by poe
She just needs to get people to listen to her
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Post #21 (isolation #9 ) » Sun Dec 11, 2016 4:27 am
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by borkjerfkin » Sun Dec 11, 2016 4:27 am
with charloux still around i saw a tweet kill happening, but all the replacements are scumreading her for some reason
accountant has done a great job of shooting down any blocs that might form; i think scum will probably just kill the obvtown doc, but they can p much do whatever and be ok
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Post #24 (isolation #10 ) » Sun Dec 11, 2016 2:25 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Sun Dec 11, 2016 2:25 pm
wasn't manuel who hammered you
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Post #28 (isolation #11 ) » Mon Dec 12, 2016 4:47 am
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by borkjerfkin » Mon Dec 12, 2016 4:47 am
In post 27 , ThinkBig wrote: My
every town player ever's problem that I've noticed is that my reads are correct, but I tend to second guess myself
the struggle is real. it's hard to know when to reassess and when to stick to your guns.
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Post #29 (isolation #12 ) » Mon Dec 12, 2016 4:48 am
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by borkjerfkin » Mon Dec 12, 2016 4:48 am
i am kind of a shit scumhunter, so i do what i can as town, and that is usually to fly my town flag high.
I have been mislynched on this site once in 4.5 years, and that was in a game where i was deliberately trying a more opaque playstyle. Sometimes showing town who not to lynch is as good as finding the right people to lynch.
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Post #30 (isolation #13 ) » Mon Dec 12, 2016 4:49 am
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by borkjerfkin » Mon Dec 12, 2016 4:49 am
This does sometimes lead to my scum game being a bit weaker to people who know me
really
well, but never underestimate people's level of uncertainty on you, even when it looks like you're nailed.
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Post #31 (isolation #14 ) » Tue Dec 13, 2016 3:41 am
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Dec 13, 2016 3:41 am
that opening post
might
be a misstep by accountant. it's hard for me to predict because of my inherent confbias, but that looks like a maybe too telegraphed attempt to lynch morning tweet before he actually reads anything and is kind of ignoring the fact that jaereed was town AF yesterday.
I think the only person who is probably gonna speak about about that is Tweet herself, which won't be good enough. We'll see. Giving scum about an 80% chance to win here.
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Post #32 (isolation #15 ) » Tue Dec 13, 2016 4:59 am
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Dec 13, 2016 4:59 am
aha. Loopdan caught it too.
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Post #34 (isolation #16 ) » Tue Dec 13, 2016 5:13 am
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by borkjerfkin » Tue Dec 13, 2016 5:13 am
not sure i'd call it that, but it definitely puts him at risk
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Post #35 (isolation #17 ) » Wed Dec 14, 2016 9:54 am
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by borkjerfkin » Wed Dec 14, 2016 9:54 am
I see LYLOs of (Tweet, Manuel, Norska) and (Tweet, Manuel, Loopdan) to both end in a Mafia win unless resets happen.
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Post #36 (isolation #18 ) » Thu Dec 22, 2016 7:42 am
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 22, 2016 7:42 am
Thats gonna be gg
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Post #39 (isolation #19 ) » Fri Dec 23, 2016 2:43 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Fri Dec 23, 2016 2:43 pm
if tweet and loop both vote acct, and scum both vote norska, that slot will vote away from itself, lynching scum. We'll see.
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Post #41 (isolation #20 ) » Mon Dec 26, 2016 1:51 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Mon Dec 26, 2016 1:51 pm
Yeah he is killin it so far
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Post #44 (isolation #21 ) » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:42 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:42 pm
don't count your chickens just yet
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Post #45 (isolation #22 ) » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:43 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:43 pm
In post 1023 , mhsmith0 wrote: I see our mod is hanging around. Mild ill feelings from that.
Probably gonna rector later tonight unless accountant or loopdan can make a case for tweet-Manuel tho.
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Post #47 (isolation #23 ) » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:49 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:49 pm
I'd never even considered that I might behave differently depending on Accountant's alignment here.
If I am giving any info with my very rapid VCs, it's hopefully just "you are close to a lynch"
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Post #48 (isolation #24 ) » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:56 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:56 pm
I think accountant is playing this pretty well -- paranoid me who doesn't know everyone's alignment could be led to think this is one giant crossbus
Wonder if manuel would kill tweet; I think tweet looks very good from today's progression.
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Post #52 (isolation #25 ) » Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:15 am
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:15 am
If accountant votes tweet Loop Dan will literally be confirmed if he picks correctly
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Post #53 (isolation #26 ) » Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:17 am
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:17 am
I think whoever wins today probably just wins
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Post #54 (isolation #27 ) » Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:30 am
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:30 am
In post 48 , borkjerfkin wrote: I think accountant is playing this pretty well -- paranoid me who doesn't know everyone's alignment could be led to think this is one giant crossbus
Wonder if manuel would kill tweet; I think tweet looks very good from today's progression.
This situation is no longer in play since I posted it, mhsmith/Accountant team would have swarmed tweet by now after Manuel's vote. Accountant can literally only be scum with manuel or Tweet, so Tweet has to live tonight.
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Post #55 (isolation #28 ) » Thu Dec 29, 2016 6:31 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 29, 2016 6:31 pm
it'd be really funny if scum won due to NL today
I don't think that'll happen, but it's not a sure thing yet. I assume I'll be asleep when the vote is cast.
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Post #57 (isolation #29 ) » Thu Dec 29, 2016 7:55 pm
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by borkjerfkin » Thu Dec 29, 2016 7:55 pm
gg
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