Let us now see the reactions.
Mini 850: Werewolves in the WAMB! - Game Over!
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after 2 posts there is nothing clear, Bolingbroke. I don't see any reason to vote anyone right now: moreover, Snow_Bunny is prolly simply an aggressive player. But since you are starting a chain, which may be interesting, I will try and make the situation as chaotic as possible.
Vote: Bolingbroke
Let us now see the reactions.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Ehi thanks man now I feel way better!!!banana 563 wrote:lewarcher82 wrote:strange as it might be, I guess we might soon need votecounts... this is a very aggressive startup... hey, how come no1 votes me??? I feel quite cast asideUnvote, vote: lewarcher82
I'm a kind person.
@Looker : you divided groups basing on what?Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Come on, Snow IS funnyRaskol wrote:
Hesitance to believe what? That he hadn't posted, or that I gave him three votes? Not exactly controversial points which you need to be careful aboutLooker wrote:Please, don't take my hesitance to believe you as squeamishness. Why exactly should we be bandwagoning at this point?
unvoteIt's time for your second post of the game, sir.
vote toro
As to why: the RVS just isn't complete without a random bandwagon. It doesn't matter who it's on. It's the best way to start getting info, voting patterns, etc. Basically, a wonderful way to jump-start things.
You're just mad at me because I let you know you're not funny. :pSnow_Bunny wrote: I swear officer! From Raskol's apartment there were coming some strange wolf-howling sounds. I'm scared!!!!
Also, lying is generally considered bad, even if you're only joking. Just fyi.
Moreover, a little RPG is always welcome. And it is a good strategy to confuse people, btw.
About BW's: I do not see why we would need one. I have been playing several versions of Mafia for 3 years, even if I am new to this site, and I really think daystart BW are unuseful. Be patient and we will find scum. Please, let us not rush, we have still time to hammer.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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I kno, but in a 12 people game with possibly 3 scums and a 3rd party killing role, a 3-person BW is theoretically exposed to a scum hammering, since L-0 = 7.Raskol wrote:
Who said anything about hammering? Not all bandwagons lead to a lynch, you know.lewarcher82 wrote:Be patient and we will find scum. Please, let us not rush, we have still time to hammer.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Depends on the way they do it, man. Perhaps they could start the BW, have a couple of people join and then hammer: this could last even 24 hours or more and no1 would notice.
Well, I have seen stuff like that before, thats all...
hope you do not mind if I keep my vote on you.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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I agree: groups are still pointless. I would say that the possibility that DJ C is scum seems quite high to me.Looker wrote:Boling's Post 41 - I don't know if this is a joke or not or whether it's even important, but I'd like to get it out into the open before it snowballs. The reason I voted cirdua in the post after raskol was because i thought i had already unvoted in my previous post, which is why it caught me by surprise when lew said he was getting confused. Don't know if that clears anything up but I just wanted to at least have put it out there. Anywayz...
Banana's Post 43 - The groups are pointless at this moment. Just talk to whoever you want to talk to and ask whatever questions or imply whatever scumminess. The field is open for you to explore. But while I have you reading, can I ask you a question...?
What's the possibility or, rather, probability of either Toro, ConfidAnon, or DJ C being scum?Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Actually the probability is the complementary to 1 of the probability that all thebanana 563 wrote:Probability that at least one ofnpeople is scum =
n(1/s)
Wheres= number of scum playing.
I is well good at maths.nplayers are not scum. If we aremplayers, and we take a group ofn, the probability that at least 1 is mafia will be given by:
1-Σ1nc/(m-i)
wherecis the number of not scum players. In other words, you take the first and he has c/m probs of being clear, you take the second and he has c/(m-1) probs of being clear and so on.
P+¬P = 1
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...and I posted a Σ instead of a Π. My bad. Ok, then:
1-Π1nc/(m-i)
which closes the question... Sorry banana.
anyway, I am still not joining a bw, and I will not take part in the "groups" strategy. I am keeping my vote right now.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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terribly sorry, this was wrong again... I am tired tonite...lewarcher82 wrote:...and I posted a Σ instead of a Π. My bad. Ok, then:
1-Π1nc/(m-i)
which closes the question... Sorry banana.
anyway, I am still not joining a bw, and I will not take part in the "groups" strategy. I am keeping my vote right now.1-Π1n(c-i)/(m-i)
and enough, or u guys r totally justified in lynching me for being boringUsed to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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fine, I am right, ban is wrong, and now let's go back to the game.
yes, banana is voting me out of kindness...
Looker, why are you voting DJC, someone who is not even here? what if he is a power role and does not kno it yet? He cannot even react, since he does not exist... I assume we better wait: he is being replaced.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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When I overcompensate, I do it better than this.ConfidAnon wrote:
The last line of this post bothers me. I might be overanalyzing, but it sounds likeability scum overcompensating for their vote. (i probably didnt say that right, but its kind of hard to verbalize my thought process right now, long day.)lewarcher82 wrote:Depends on the way they do it, man. Perhaps they could start the BW, have a couple of people join and then hammer: this could last even 24 hours or more and no1 would notice.
Well, I have seen stuff like that before, thats all...
hope you do not mind if I keep my vote on you.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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"Lewar" was sleeping and just turned the computer on... I have not being waiting for the others to vote, if this is what you mean. And your argumentation is pathetic. Answer the question everyone is asking: why did u rolefish? Why among every1 should slepz be a PR?Looker wrote:Not only am I going to call bullshit on that post, but I'm going to have tovote Lewarfor being opportunistic scum. A few votes I can take, but when they start pilin up over shit-ass reasons, that's when I get suspicious.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Post 88 is no answer. I am not scum. If you are not, too, then you are playing poorly. That is all there is to it Looker.
And since I am not a pr, I invite town to decide: if you do not think Looker is playing poorly, please BW me and lynch me. I am leaving my vote on Looker and post only to answer direct questions.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Defining an argumentation pathetic is not the same as calling my mother pathetic or insinuating that my nation has something wrong. You can write what I post is stupid, but you cannot call me stupid. This is my policy. Now I really wantLooker wrote:Snow's Post 100 - You're absolutely right but it's hard to have fun when everytime I try to take a risk and do something, I get called pathetic, scum (which isn't that much of an insult really), or stupid town. I mean, I know I'm not the smartest girl in the bunch but that doesn't mean I appreciate someone calling me names all the time.
Lew's Post 102 - You are out of your frickin' mind if you think you're going to insult somebody and expect nothing back. If that's the kind of person you are and that's the kind of energy you put out into the world, that'sexactlythe kind of energy you're going to get back, so all that trying to sober up and put on a stone face - I don't care. If you don't want nobody saying anything off-the-wall to you, keep your insults to yourself.
ConfidAnon's Post 104 - I know, I know. Insults are bad and it's making me want to avoid the thread, but, I mean, how do you handle stuff like that? Do you be nice even though the other person isn't? Do you apologize even when you didn't start it? I don't know and I really don't want to get into it. I really don't.
But about that question. You act as if coming to an agreement is going to take forever with that word, that "eventually" word.
unvote
vote DJ C
And back to Snow, I'm sorry, dude, but that lame reason is like my only one. As far as I can tell, we haven't found any scum yet, only personality conflicts and that's it, so back to DJ C it is.the mod to post a reply to all this asking everyone, including me, to quit insulting AND complaining. This is a game. Could be a clever game if played by clever people. And I am confident we all are.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Oh my God Looker, do you see the difference between saying:Looker wrote:
Come on, Nannerz, give me a break, everybody's voting for me. I had to pickbanana 563 wrote:
Not me.Lewarcher wrote:This is a game. Could be a clever game if played by clever people. And I am confident we all are.
Looker did an OMGUS. That's naughty. Tut tut.sumbody.
Okay, calling me a liar. Lewbanana 563 wrote: No one said anythink about DJ being a likely power role, you're making that bit up.
didsay that the only reason I was voting DJ C was because he was possibly a power role...deja vu. Maybe because I'm explaining this to everybody repeatedly...or at least it feels that way but whatever.
Here
I get way too much flak. I guess I'm too conspicuous.lewarcher82 wrote:fine, I am right, ban is wrong, and now let's go back to the game.
yes, banana is voting me out of kindness...
Looker, why are you voting DJC, someone who is not even here? what if he is a power role and does not kno it yet? He cannot even react, since he does not exist... I assume we better wait: he is being replaced.
A) the absent player might be a power role and cannot defend himself;
B) the absent player IS LIKELY to be a power role?
Please man. Please.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Ok ok people stop. I have suggested that we stopped insulting AND complaining. Now I ask theModfor aVotecount, and please,Mod, could youcreate a new post with it? I don't like to have to count the posts every time to see when you counted. Thx.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Thanks Mod.
Now, I hope the other players agree on the Votecount being posted in a new post. If it is only me, feel free to do it the other way.
Now that the personal fights are definitively over, I will give up my policy of answering only direct question.
Here my considerations about this game.
1) I do not see any scummy behaviour, the only exception being thepossiblerolefishing by Looker.
2) nevertheless, ConfidAnon was distributing FoS (me, Looker: the posts are 76 and 77) and at the same time he is not voting. If he FoS Looker but does not vote him, it is possible they are both mafia.
3) the "mathematical" posts by Banana are formally inaccurate, but it is true that isolating groups will be helpful in the future. I'd say we keep that move for tomorrow.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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@Conf: Mod was already called and he asked to stop "the flamefest". I cannot help observing that you did not read very attentively all the posts, except mine.
For what regards the fact that looker may be a scummy town, I agree, but since we all have been talking nonsense for 24 hours, it is hard to say... I stillFoS Conf and Looker.
But now I would like to read the opinions of all the others, if possible.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Yes, this is true. Thanks for remember me. I almost forgot the Lolwell stuff.
Besides:
1/p/s = s/p
s/p =probablility that 1 player is scum
n(s/p) = ns/p = ntimes the probability that 1 player is scum
this is NOT the probability that at least one ofnplayer is scum.
Since the number of scum is finite you need to consider stocastic dependance, hence:1-Π1n(c-1)/(m-i)
But nevertheless, it will be convenient to use your method starting from tomorrow.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Ok. Good answer. I am not trying to paint anyone as scum, and I am actually almost convinced you are not now (I did a reread). I just want to ask you a few questions.
Keep in mind your post 77:
1) Why didn't you vote Looker if you FoS'ed him?
2) Does the fact that I am strongly supporting Looker's lynch imply that You do not FoS him anymore?
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Ok Looker, I have to admit I cannot read you. You keep acting a strange way. Someone wondered whether you are a jesterplayer... five people are voting you. Last time I posted about your strange behaviour in the game, your reply was:
Could you please post a little more words? That would be helpful.Looker wrote:But...I...
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I do not have any preset mental standards. I will read your posts in the other games as soon as I have time, in order to have an idea of your general style. By tonight (GMT + 1) I will either say why I keep voting you or I will simply unvote.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Sorry, a moment of weakness.Snow_Bunny wrote:
May I ask why? If you don't like the game, you can always ask for a replacement.lewarcher82 wrote:Why does it say "Mafia Scum" under yours?
Ok, enough, JereIC, please, Modkill me.
Now, I read some of the posts by Looker in other games. He usually makes jokes, which is ok, and he is not acting differently from the way he normally acts. Also, this would not be the first time he votes someone "so that he wouldn't be forgotten".
I do not know if this is any help. I keep my vote on him because, as long as he keeps posting jokes instead of discussing the game, I have to assume his goal is to confuse town.
I hope I was clear enough. This is my point of view. Sorry if I am wrong.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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This is the very basic of testing reactions. The point is that Looker's strategy of jokes,Slepz wrote:Voting does not necessarily imply wanting to lynch. You can use votes for pressure as wellif it is a strategy, is the best way to react to pressure: makes it look as if he didn't care...
ps: I am using "he" because gendre is not specified. I sure hope this is not a gaffe.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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You are right Boling. We should try to forget about Looker right now. But the problem is that, since everyone has been speaking only about him (or maths, sorry LoL), it is quite hard to say who is scummy.
Assume Looker is innocent: then prolly some scums are on the BW. But I cannot track down any buddying in the posts so far.
There was a BW before everything happened. It was on Lowell. How about Lowell? How about the people who jumped on Looker after he left the BW? This is also a path, isn't it?Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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I am surely interested in reading my scumminess in detail.
For what I know, your FoS on me was based on a scummy line in post 75, but from posts 76 and 77 I did not evince that I was your top suspect, as you now say. At that time, you acted as if your top suspect was Looker.
Now you have once again something to say about a last line of a post of mine. The "Sorry if I am wrong" is a consequence of the chaos generated by the "noise" discussed by Boling, not a result of my "scumminess".
I would like to know who else thinks these two sentences of mine make me scummy.I have no problems in dying now, I am not a power role.
I gave up my FoS on Confid 3 pages ago, and I now think he may be town. I beg you all to take any decision you like, but remember that one between Looker and Lowell is prolly scum (this is the consequence of what I wrote in post 155; notice also that Looker and Confid never collided).
Good Luck and Good night, cuz here it's quite late now (sometimes you think it's scum, and it was just time difference, see post 93).Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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@toro: I explained what I thought after Boling's clever post.
I am still voting Looker, so your question is pointless. I just said if Looker is inno, prolly Lowell is scum.
Now I am tired, and I really go to bed. Read my post 158, reread the game. And then do what you want. But someone is going to feel very humiliated for having fallen in such an easy trap.All Confid's posts were directed against me.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Too bad for me that no one understood what I was saying in my mathematical posts LoL. I did not correct them out of some attempt to look town-sided. I corrected them because they were mistaken (it kind of hurts me to leave something wrong written on the web, especially if there is a signature of mine).
I would like to say this is a well constructed frame, Confid.
In the Looker's threads I read, the game is still running. This is why I tried to cautiously and theoretically consider the option that Looker was innocent. That was enough for you to jump on me. Too bad I didn't even change my vote!
I now see that there are several player who think I am scummy: either Looker's strategy worked, or I made some mistake, probably I posted too much.
Please go on and kill me (I assume we have a myslynch), butif I am inno, do not assume Looker is innocent too: we are not buddying, I keep my vote on him and he remains my FoS.
What I wrote about his innocence was an attempt to test different scenario's.If Confid is town-aligned, he is overconfident in his ability to read my psychology: I refuse to consider my behaviour scummy. It is a result of Looker chaotic style.
Now please, this day has lasted too long. Go on and lynch me (I assume we have a mislynch). I am bothered by thelittle savior attitude of Confid, and by the fact that I have been framed. I hope you all will be, tomorrow. Please note that, as I said, all, or at least 90% of the posts by him are about me:he is either scum or playing poorly.
About the "bold-faced lie": the "noise" was already there before Boling's post, and for the sake of smartness, people, I have been the very one who tried to cope with it and investigate Looker's position. This accusation is nonsense, I did not say "the apology is a consequence of Boling's post". Summing up:since I was the one who posted more about Looker's behaviour, I am scummy. Are you guys really THAT fail?
I will answer questions from now on (as long as I do not get too bored or annoyed), without moving my vote from Looker (unless something interesting happens).Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Because, whatever you did, it is going to work.Looker wrote:O, and final question.
Why are you so suspicious of me?
And now do not paint me as the one who "jumped on you". Five people voted you, I was the last one only because cuz I live in Germany. In post 156 you stated you understood my vote: now you do not understand it anymore?
I answered the question. I am now 10% pissed. When I reach 100%, I will vote myself and stop posting.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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No, honestly I do not believe you could. This is no offense: I think you are just a goofy player (I repeat: no offense), not an evil genius. But I was starting to explore different hypothesis (Lowell) and Confid jumped on me.Looker wrote:No, I understand the vote, but do you honestly believe I could compose such an intricate web of deceit and insanity in which to entrap you? What you're talking about is some serious shit, dude. I mean, i would've loved to have intended it and have been scum, but, as it stands, it looks like you're giving up for no reason. no one's going to kill you, they're voting me. how did it work? and whatisit?
A very interesting scenario would be the following: Lowell, Confid and perhaps Snow as scum.
I re-read Confid huge setup against me, and I am now 100% pissed. I thereforeUnvoteandVote: Lewarcher82.
I beg all the townies to seriously consider what I have written abou Confid, the silent Lowell and Snow (how does she justify FoSing me and voting Looker?).Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Bad move, whatever you are and from any point of view: now they are definitely thinking I and you are buddying.Looker wrote:But seriously, can we please lynch DJ C now? It seems like we can't lynch anybody else, or is that just in poor form? Is it? Is it bad to lynch somebody who's not here (yet, hopefully)?Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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you posed two contraddictory questions, how could I even answer? I am just frustrated by the way this day was, and I see no way to deconstruct Confid's setup against me. I have pointed out who my FoS are now: this is the only coherent scenario I can draw after the mess of pages 3 to 6.FoS: Snow, Lowell; almost-FoS: Confid.
Naturally, this scenario is coherent because I know I am town. And the only way I have to persuade you all that I am town is to get lynched. You want me to unvote myself? If I will do, I will probably vote Snow, becaus Looker's posts 178-179-181 almost convinced me he is not scum, after all.
(plus, u hold me a grudge because I deconstructed your mathematical model LoL just kidding)Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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I explained why I think it is necessary for me to die. Please do not forget my FoS, tho.
If on the other hand anything should suggest me to change my mind, as I told some hours ago I would vote snow.
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no.
[1] (s/p)(p-s-1/p-1)(p-s-2/p-2) and so on (your formula would give a 3/4 chance that exactly 1 of 3 players is scum in a p=12 s=3 game. A little too much, huh?)
[2] (s/p)(s-1/p-1)(s-2/p-2)...(1/p-s+1)Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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@Slepz: I have not panicked. I explained why I am convinced I will be lynched. Call it lack of trust, I think the only way I have to show you what the situation really is is to be lynched. Again, remember my FoS: Snow, Lowell and perhaps Confid.
Moreover, there is hardly a scenario with Confid and Looker on the same team (not impossible, just unlikely).
For future reference: I never do reverse psychology and I never panick.
About answering questions: Confid did not ask me questions, he mounted a case against me, and as I told, 90% of his posts are dedicated to paint me as scum.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Nothing to say about this. I was just asking a question, as Confid correctly observs.ConfidAnon wrote:It's interesting to see how people react when a little pressure is on them. Anyways, it's time for a post-by-post analysis to see if my thoughts on lewarcher hold up. (started typing at post 164, in case anything gets posted in between this.)
This is his first post of substance, nothing scummy here, but just saying that I think it makes Looker/lewarcher as partners less likely.lewarcher, 26 wrote:Ehi thanks man now I feel way better!!!
@Looker : you divided groups basing on what?
As above, right, although I do not find that vote of mine so brilliant. I was just provoking, but this is part of the game, and Confid correctly understands what I was doing.ConfidAnon wrote:
Not a bad vote there, nothing wrong with it.lewarcher, 32 wrote:Unvote. Vote: Raskol
you seem to have a pretty good idea about whom you wanna vote... so early... how come?
Actually, my one-on-one interaction with Looker was based on Looker accusing me of jumping on a BW even though I was FoS'ing him before the BW started and I actually voted as soon as I woke up, and later it was based on the fact that Looker insulted my mother and my country. I know that all could be a very smart conspiracy to look enemies, but I would never ask Looker to insult my mother and my country to win town's trust.ConfidAnon wrote:
Alright, I know I just said that Looker/lewarcher was unlikely, but I take it back. He's had a lot of one-on-one interaction with looker in thread, and this is only page 2. Snow Bunny's observation was very good.lewarcher, 33 wrote:oh Looker, please, pay attention, let us not start forgettign to unvote. This generates confusion.
My speed was not speed at all, and I am tired to repeat it. I FoS'ed Looker the night before, I voted him the morning as I woke up. I live in Germany, my timing zone is different. People from the states should look at a map of the world sometimes.ConfidAnon wrote:
This post is very odd when compared to his speed jumping on the Looker wagon.lewarcher, 42 wrote:Come on, Snow IS funny
Moreover, a little RPG is always welcome. And it is a good strategy to confuse people, btw.
About BW's: I do not see why we would need one. I have been playing several versions of Mafia for 3 years, even if I am new to this site, and I really think daystart BW are unuseful. Be patient and we will find scum. Please, let us not rush, we have still time to hammer.
I already answered this, even if Confid ignores my answer. This is no overcompensation. I was actually trying to explain my position about BW's.ConfidAnon wrote: Post 46 - Nothing to comment on.
I already commented on this, but I'll state it again so the entire case is all here in one post. The last line of this post sounds like scum overcompensating for a vote.lewarcher, 49 wrote:Depends on the way they do it, man. Perhaps they could start the BW, have a couple of people join and then hammer: this could last even 24 hours or more and no1 would notice.
Well, I have seen stuff like that before, thats all...
hope you do not mind if I keep my vote on you.
I am a freaking nerd, I work with languages and math, I love this stuff and I posted it. Some people like to post stuff about their taste in music, I like to post about maths. Moreover, I did not start this. It was Banana who posted a wrong formula.ConfidAnon wrote:
Noting that math is pointless to discuss in this game, and discussing it distracts from scumhunting. Others are guilty of this too, to be sure, but this analysis is only about lewarcher.lewarcher, 61 wrote:Actually the probability is the complementary to 1 of the probability that all the n players are not scum. If we are m players, and we take a group of n, the probability that at least 1 is mafia will be given by:
1-Σ1nc/(m-i)
where c is the number of not scum players. In other words, you take the first and he has c/m probs of being clear, you take the second and he has c/(m-1) probs of being clear and so on.
P+¬P = 1
QED
Well, as I told, I love maths. Sorry for that. I have no other explanation.ConfidAnon wrote:
More math. The little update at the end, telling us that he's staying the same, feels contrived, almost as if he's trying too hard to appear like he's scumhunting, if you understand what I'm saying. (Sometimes stuff makes sense inside my head, but I don't verbalize it right. If that ever happens, tell me, and I'll try to rephrase it.)lewarcher, 66 wrote:...and I posted a Σ instead of a Π. My bad. Ok, then:
1-Π1nc/(m-i)
which closes the question... Sorry banana.
anyway, I am still not joining a bw, and I will not take part in the "groups" strategy. I am keeping my vote right now.
yes, that is what I meant, but I have to admit I posted some more tonight, after Banana decided to answer with formulas to a little joke of mine, a joke I marked using a smiley.ConfidAnon wrote:
More math. Note that he said "enough," which I take to mean as he's done with math.lewarcher, 67 wrote:terribly sorry, this was wrong again... I am tired tonite... 1-Π1n(c-i)/(m-i)
and enough, or u guys r totally justified in lynching me for being boring
No, I am just childish, dandy and immodest. As for the question, I voted Slepz because I was still testing reactions.ConfidAnon wrote:
Nothing wrong here.lewarcher, 70 wrote:fine, I am right, ban is wrong, and now let's go back to the game.
yes, banana is voting me out of kindness...
Looker, why are you voting DJC, someone who is not even here? what if he is a power role and does not kno it yet? He cannot even react, since he does not exist... I assume we better wait: he is being replaced.
Because this is turning into a wall of text, I'll bold all questions I have.lewarcher, 71 wrote:Unvote. Vote Slepz.Why did you vote for Slepz in this post?We've been out of the rvs for a bit, so an unexplained vote is fishy.
Posts that contain nothing but wifom and are used to defend oneself are very scummy. This is one of those posts.lewarcher, 91 wrote:When I overcompensate, I do it better than this.
In my opinion, this post bothers you because I FoS youConfidAnon wrote:
I don't know why, but this post bugs me. GAH! I hate it when you think somethings wrong, but you don't know what it is. Anways, moving on.lewarcher, 92 wrote: Moreover, if you think I am scum, you should vote me, Conf.
As for me, I am glad to see that my policy of switching votes lead to an attempted rolefishing. Therefore:
Unvote. Vote Looker.
FoS: Conf
Tbh, this is the post in which I decided to join the BW on Looker, so I already answer about this choice of mine. It's the timing zone stuff, you know?
I made a mistake. I really thought we had found a scum, Looker, and I claimed townie out of enthusiasm. I have no further justification.ConfidAnon wrote:
Questioning looker, nothing bad here.lewarcher, 95 wrote:"Lewar" was sleeping and just turned the computer on... I have not being waiting for the others to vote, if this is what you mean. And your argumentation is pathetic. Answer the question everyone is asking: why did u rolefish? Why among every1 should slepz be a PR?
There are a couple wierd things about this post. One, he unneccessarily tells us that he is not a pr. He had no reason to say this at this point in the game, he was not coming under heavy fire. To me, this looks like scum trying to reinforce the idea that they are town by offering themselves up for a lynch, like he did later on in the post.lewarcher, 96 wrote:Post 88 is no answer. I am not scum. If you are not, too, then you are playing poorly. That is all there is to it Looker.
And since I am not a pr, I invite town to decide: if you do not think Looker is playing poorly, please BW me and lynch me. I am leaving my vote on Looker and post only to answer direct questions.
There was a personal issue going on between me and Looker, this is why I specified why I was voting him.ConfidAnon wrote: And at the end, he feels compelled to tell us that he's leaving his vote on Looker. It's another pointless update, and feels like scum making sure we know that they are doing the town thing by voting someone scummy. One could also argue further, saying that he could be placing the emphasis on the vote because he is trying to bus Looker, and he wants everyone to know he is voting scum. Overall, this post is really scummy.
Note that at this point I'm getting tired, so I might not sound as smart xD.
Nothing to comment on here.lewarcher, 106 wrote:Defining an argumentation pathetic is not the same as calling my mother pathetic or insinuating that my nation has something wrong. You can write what I post is stupid, but you cannot call me stupid. This is my policy. Now I really want the mod to post a reply to all this asking everyone, including me, to quit insulting AND complaining. This is a game. Could be a clever game if played by clever people. And I am confident we all are.
Again, he emphasizes the fact that he is voting Looker because he thinks he is scum. Townies don't normally feel the need to reiterate over and over again the reasoning for their vote. Scum do.lewarcher, 107 wrote:and besides, I am not voting Looker cuz I think he insulted me, I am voting him cuz I think he is a werewolf.
Perhaps my style bothers you. I was just trying to sum up data.ConfidAnon wrote:
Nothing wrong here.lewarcher, 112 wrote:Oh my God Looker, do you see the difference between saying:
A) the absent player might be a power role and cannot defend himself;
B) the absent player IS LIKELY to be a power role?
Please man. Please.
Nothing scummy here, even though I find it mildly amusing that he tells people to stop complaining and includes a complaint in the same post.lewarcher, 116 wrote:Ok ok people stop. I have suggested that we stopped insulting AND complaining. Now I ask the Mod for a Votecount, and please, Mod, could you create a new post with it? I don't like to have to count the posts every time to see when you counted. Thx.
Your argument for point 2 is completely valid, but point one kind of bothers me, but it's not something that I can use as evidence because it's personal opinion.lewarcher, 118 wrote:Thanks Mod.
Now, I hope the other players agree on the Votecount being posted in a new post. If it is only me, feel free to do it the other way.
Now that the personal fights are definitively over, I will give up my policy of answering only direct question.
Here my considerations about this game.
1) I do not see any scummy behaviour, the only exception being the possible rolefishing by Looker.
2) nevertheless, ConfidAnon was distributing FoS (me, Looker: the posts are 76 and 77) and at the same time he is not voting. If he FoS Looker but does not vote him, it is possible they are both mafia.
3) the "mathematical" posts by Banana are formally inaccurate, but it is true that isolating groups will be helpful in the future. I'd say we keep that move for tomorrow.
I actually had been discussing for a lot of time with Looker about nothing at all, so I do not think this post is scummy at all.ConfidAnon wrote:
We have another reiteration of his stance from five posts ago. I've already explained why I find this scummy, no need to say it again.lewarcher, 123 wrote:@Conf: Mod was already called and he asked to stop "the flamefest". I cannot help observing that you did not read very attentively all the posts, except mine.
For what regards the fact that looker may be a scummy town, I agree, but since we all have been talking nonsense for 24 hours, it is hard to say... I still FoS Conf and Looker.
But now I would like to read the opinions of all the others, if possible.
Yes, more math, just because Banana insisted on his formula. Why don't you quote the posts I am answering to, as well?ConfidAnon wrote:
Wait, more math? You implied that you were done with math several posts ago, and now you are helping further a distracting discussion about math? Not good.lewarcher, 126 wrote:Yes, this is true. Thanks for remember me. I almost forgot the Lolwell stuff.
Besides:
1/p/s = s/p
s/p = probablility that 1 player is scum
n(s/p) = ns/p = n times the probability that 1 player is scum
this is NOT the probability that at least one of n player is scum.
Since the number of scum is finite you need to consider stocastic dependance, hence: 1-Π1n(c-1)/(m-i)
But nevertheless, it will be convenient to use your method starting from tomorrow.
They look related to me. I am not eager because I am bored by this phase of the game; since I am just FoSing you, you do not need to worry if you are not scum.ConfidAnon wrote:
Nothing protown or scummy here.lewarcher, 128 wrote:Towns lie sometimes, Snow. What you know is just that scums always lie. Which makes your derivation a sample of "fallacia consequentis".
Logic and maths are being severly harmed during this day 1.
I wanna be modkilled.
There's nothing scummy here, but it irks me. It's like four completely unrelated sentences randomly placed into a post.lewarcher, 140 wrote:@confid: I am not eager. Actually, this game is not that exciting. I am not voting you, so what is the matter? If you are not scum, it will become evident sooner or later.
A feeling. And the fact that you had hardly posted at all, so I could not find anything really scummy. Moreover, you had not started this setup on me, yet. Once you did, I changed my mind again.ConfidAnon wrote:lewarcher, 142 wrote:Ok. Good answer. I am not trying to paint anyone as scum, and I am actually almost convinced you are not now (I did a reread). I just want to ask you a few questions.
Keep in mind your post 77:
1) Why didn't you vote Looker if you FoS'ed him?
2) Does the fact that I am strongly supporting Looker's lynch imply that You do not FoS him anymore?
ThxWhat exactly led you to change your mind on me?
Yes, I was trying to help Looker because Looker seems unable to help himself and I wanted to know if the BW was right.ConfidAnon wrote:
The argument could be made that he is subtly helping Looker here, but right now that pairing doesn't seem very likely, and this is about lewarcher anyway.lewarcher, 144 wrote:Ok Looker, I have to admit I cannot read you. You keep acting a strange way. Someone wondered whether you are a jesterplayer... five people are voting you. Last time I posted about your strange behaviour in the game, your reply was:
QUOTE OMMITTED
Could you please post a little more words? That would be helpful.
The games are still running, this is why I did not present this argument as conclusive.ConfidAnon wrote: Post 146 and 148 I have nothing to comment on.
lewarcher, 151 wrote:Sorry, a moment of weakness.
Now, I read some of the posts by Looker in other games. He usually makes jokes, which is ok, and he is not acting differently from the way he normally acts. Also, this would not be the first time he votes someone "so that he wouldn't be forgotten".
I do not know if this is any help. I keep my vote on him because, as long as he keeps posting jokes instead of discussing the game, I have to assume his goal is to confuse town.
I hope I was clear enough. This is my point of view. Sorry if I am wrong.In the games that you read, what was Looker's alignment?
Honestly, I am trying to answer everything, but this sounds kinda mental to me. I was just trying to understand if we were right BWing Looker.ConfidAnon wrote:
1. I'm pretty sure she's a she.lewarcher wrote:This is the very basic of testing reactions. The point is that Looker's strategy of jokes, if it is a strategy, is the best way to react to pressure: makes it look as if he didn't care...
ps: I am using "he" because gendre is not specified. I sure hope this is not a gaffe.
2. This posts reinforces the lewarcher/looker idea. You start out saying that Looker's strategy is jokes, and then add a clause making us think you could be wrong. Sounds similar to this: the parentetical is inside lewarcher's thoughts for this example.
"This guy's strategy of jokes (OH WAIT, I SHOULDN'T KNOW THAT IS STRATEGY IS JOKES EVEN THOUGH WE ARE SCUM AND WE TALKED ABOUT IT, BETTER MAKE IT LOOK LIKE I DONT KNOW), if it is a strategy . . . "
No, this screams that the reasons why we were BWing Looker were probably not valid. This does not imply he is not scum.ConfidAnon wrote:
Saying we should ignore your suspect? This screams that you two are together.lewarcher, 155 wrote: You are right Boling. We should try to forget about Looker right now. But the problem is that, since everyone has been speaking only about him (or maths, sorry LoL), it is quite hard to say who is scummy.
Assume Looker is innocent: then prolly some scums are on the BW. But I cannot track down any buddying in the posts so far.
There was a BW before everything happened. It was on Lowell. How about Lowell? How about the people who jumped on Looker after he left the BW? This is also a path, isn't it?
I already answered this, but I can repeat my answer: the noise was already there and affecting my posts before Boling mentioned it in his post. This is not a lie. I did not write that my reaction was a reaction to Boling's post.ConfidAnon wrote:
This quote contains a bold-faced lie. Can you find it?lewarcher, 158 wrote:I am surely interested in reading my scumminess in detail.
For what I know, your FoS on me was based on a scummy line in post 75, but from posts 76 and 77 I did not evince that I was your top suspect, as you now say. At that time, you acted as if your top suspect was Looker.
Now you have once again something to say about a last line of a post of mine.The "Sorry if I am wrong" is a consequence of the chaos generated by the "noise" discussed by Boling, not a result of my "scumminess".
I would like to know who else thinks these two sentences of mine make me scummy. I have no problems in dying now, I am not a power role.
I gave up my FoS on Confid 3 pages ago, and I now think he may be town. I beg you all to take any decision you like, but remember that one between Looker and Lowell is prolly scum (this is the consequence of what I wrote in post 155; notice also that Looker and Confid never collided).
Good Luck and Good night, cuz here it's quite late now (sometimes you think it's scum, and it was just time difference, see post 93).
All jokes aside, boling's post came after your apology in 151. Therefore, it could not have been in consequence to boling's post.
Now I have answered all the questions, I think. I repeat myConfidAnon wrote: This is all I have to say for now, because I'm getting tired and I'll start sounding stupid. Tomorrow I'll give you a summary.[/b]FoS: Snow, Lowell, perhaps Confid.
One final note, Confid: all your "I am tired" and "perhaps I am not able to verbalize" can be accused of being an overcompensation, exactly as the sentence of mine you accused of that. Funny, huh?Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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@Snow: I just unvoted. I considered my sacrifice a good sacrifice, then I changed my mind, after a couple of peole told, more or less, that if I am town I should not give up. So now I am defending myself and I am not voting myself anymore. Oh, and please, read all posts before you ask mod to replace me. I posted answers and unvoted. Thank you.
@Confid: Yes, please, read my answers.
ThereforeMod, I am not trying to ruin this game and I am not voting myself anymore. Moreover,I did not do anything against rules: I am convinced of my FoS's and I wanted to prove I am town by dying.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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I cannot but quote you, Confid: everything can be called overcompensation. Your arguments are as weak as mine, but you had the luck of posting them first. Now I am as clueless as anyone else, I have only your instisence against me as an argument to support my FoS. And given your insistence, every single feature of my style can be painted as scummy. I regret what you called a "one-on-one" communication with Looker, since it is the origin of everything, but Looker really bothered me, regardless of what I now think his alignment is.
This is going nowhere, and I am a little sick of being interrogated but I will keep answering as long as this day is over.
As I told, I cannot imagine a scenario with you and Looker on the same side, and now Looker looks like a scummy townie to me, too. Since Snow started supporting you as soon as you came out from your hibernation, I herebyVote Snowas I told I would have probably done.
Good night.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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It is hard to be useful when I have to spend all my energies in answering questions. And if you really think I am town, then you should think I am useless, but you should also think Confid is harmful.Lowell wrote:A few highlights:
1-30s- inane banter
36- raskol explains lowell bandwagon [+]
55, 56, 60- banana wastes our time [-]
69- looker hunts lurkers [-]
100- snow votes looker for attacking lurkers [+]
105- looker votes DJC [?]
174- lewar self-votes [-]
unvote, vote looker
The case snow presented in 100 still looks good. banana is derailing a bit more than necessary (FOS banana), and confid and lewar are town, despite the latter being useless.
I do not agree with your FoS, even though Banana has become a fierce opponent of mine. But as I said in post 202 I am quite clueless, except I find Snow (and you and perhaps Confid) is scummy (I am surprised by Confid's post 203: is he really not scum, then?).
I have questions for you Lowell, since you are my second FoS:
1)where were you?
2)how is hunting lurkers a bad thing? You were quite quick in answering the prod... mmh
3)how is Banana scummier than me? I wasted time like him. Why would I be town?
Anyway, I would please askMod: Votecount, please, cuz I am a little lost.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Well, for instance because from my point of view this post of yours means nothing.
Because I do not believe in vibes, because, except my stupid idea of claiming (I already admitted that it was a mistake) there is no reason justifying your rambling (and a little naive, imo) speech on my scummy subconscious fear of PR's, because you have decided that I want to loose this game and you keep saying it, regardless of what I do, even if I stated I do not and I am now doing my best to convince I am not scum.Snow_Bunny wrote:
I do. Why? First, you claimed without being called to. Second, you think that only power roles are useful to town. ALL TOWNIES ARE USEFUL TO TOWN. Your way of thinking is too scummy, because scum usually feel threatened by power roles (well, because, only them can effectively lessen their chances of winning), not by vanilla townies.lewarcher82 wrote: I would like to know who else thinks these two sentences of mine make me scummy.I have no problems in dying now, I am not a power role.
What? Why? Why, why, why? Why should we just forget about a player that has heavy suspicions over her?lewarcher82 wrote:You are right Boling. We should try to forget about Looker right now. But the problem is that, since everyone has been speaking only about him (or maths, sorry LoL), it is quite hard to say who is scummy.
I'm starting to think that lewarcher and looker are partners. First, lewarcher is trying to bus him to gain some pro-town points, but then when things got serious, he decided to take the chance presented by Boling to save his partner. It's just a theory right now, but please pay attention to it. Lewarcher's latest posts had too much scummy vibe on them, and paired with the whole "back off from looker" thing it makes sense, don't you think so?
And because you want me dead at all costs, while at least Confid is asking questions to me.
here---,---@a rose for my FoSUsed to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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hi don. Look at Lowell's post #205 and go look at the posts he mentions. Read also the huge posts by Confid and my answers: you will find all the references to the important posts from the previous pages. That is everything relevant at the moment.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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Ok, fine by me. But I still want to know his answer at least to my third question.ConfidAnon wrote:Can't make a huge post atm (Wii), but I'd like to say that I've been in several games with Lowell, and he has always lurked. Therefore, his activity does not reflect his alignment.
Vote CountAccurate to Post 248
Looker(4) - Bolingbroke, Cirdua, Snow_Bunny, Lowell
lewarcher82(3) - ConfidAnon, banana 563, Slepz
ConfidAnon(1) - Raskol
don_johnson(1) - Looker
Snow_Bunny(1) - lewarcher82
Not Voting(2) - don_johnson, Toro
7 to LynchUsed to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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lewarcher82 Mafia Scum
- lewarcher82
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I think that:Looker wrote:Lew, what do you think?
1) The only player who (at the moment) seems completely pro-town to me is Boling;
2) There are of course no elements to say anything about don;
3) I do not know what you are.
4) Lowell can be an abitual lurker, but I am stiil waiting for at least 1 answer: what makes him think that I am town;
5) Every1 agrees I did some mistakes in this game, someone thinks I am scum, but Snow is trying to have me lynched at all costs. I FoS her. Moreover, she didn't even thank me for the---,---@rose.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again.- lewarcher82
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lewarcher82 Mafia Scum
- lewarcher82
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- Posts: 1568
- Joined: September 2, 2009
- lewarcher82
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lewarcher82 Mafia Scum
- lewarcher82
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Contentless, imo. I posted the reason why I FoS you.Snow_Bunny wrote: And, lewarcher: of course I want to lynch you (not at all cost, but I want). Why, isn't it natural for town to lynch scum? Also, your fos is still more omgus than anything else, and that doesn't help your case.Used to play a lot, haven't played for like 8 years, would like to play again. - lewarcher82
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