Abarat: Days of Magic, Nights of War Mafia (Endgame)
- MagnaofIllusion
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- MagnaofIllusion
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First I've corrected the grammar for you.
Second clearly nothing gets by you ... I'm voting for you because part of my informed Townie status gives me some info and of the choices I am presented you are by far my favorite option to lynch. Yes, I'm choosing you over Bella (who will flake and get replaced by Glork so that's a huge upgrade) and Chesskid."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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VOTE: Bella
By far the worst reaction to my revelation. Sorry but the information is out there and wagoning me isn’t going to make it go away. Sucks for you!
If not for my information I’d probably be voting Shin for Post 57 and Post 59 back to back.
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Petapan wrote:if you're pulling lol epic reaction test shenanigans you're not going to get anything from me
Well you do get that this in itself would be a reaction if I was reaction testing (which I’m not) right?
So if you are saying you are Day aligned you have at worst a 50-50 shot between Chess and Bella. Do you think the odds on Shin flipping scum are greater than that?
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KWDrunkie wrote:> bitches about post restriction
> reasonless RVS vote
> wastes another post in the post restriction to switch to a different reasonless RVS vote
??????????
Would you find a reasoned RVS vote more to your tastes?
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RedCoyote wrote:The fact that chesskid isn't an IC is disappointing.
Now seeing the role PM and the indication that they are indeed Lovers (which wasn’t clear IMO previously) I would certainly have changed my vote and picked different partners for Reg. Losing two competent players to a single Nightkill is a bad deal."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 72, Bella wrote:I'm pretty sure I'd have to be unaware that you're an ill-informed moron for that post to qualify as a "revelation".
Well aside from the awkward construction and pointless insults ...
The Wisdom of the Spires flows through my mind. I'm hardly "ill-informed". At least one of you is scum. At this point I think it is you ..."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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In post 76, chesskid3 wrote:MoI why out this page 1, instead of using your brain and slowplaying?
Tl;dr it's a stupid gambit and I don't want the next 20 pages of this thread to be about it so just abort now kthx
Stop making assumptions Chesskid ...
It's not a lulz gambit. I'm 'informed' and as such get a bit of information about the set-up ... in that there is at least one scum in the three of you. Now it's not overwhelmingly powerful (in that 33% chance is only slightly better than 28%) but it is useful.
What exactly would be the point of slow-playing? The information isn't changing. There is no real upside to waiting to see what happens. I die before I reveal it? Town loses that chunk that it got immediately in my role PM. Wait until two of you die and flip Town to say "Ahah ... player X is scum"? That can still happen even if I am dead. The only thing to be gained via slowplaying is "LULZ, I ROCK" cred which I'm really not interested.
Preview Edit -
Bella saying you will flake and that Glork is a huge upgrade over you to the thread (you can't even begin to argue this) isn't an insult but a statement of fact."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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I like that the bonus votes are clearly reflected in Hito’s VCs.
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Regfan wrote:RC: I find his RVS vote on OAFE without commenting on his miller claim to be somewhat scummy.
This is a good point I didn’t twig to when reading.
@RC– did you read the thread prior to your RVS vote?
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Once wrote:I think People today should be voting peta-bella-chess or moi. There should be no other possible lynch's today. in the interest of this I will UNVOTE: .
Dislike this. It’s an accurate representation for me (minus the self-voting part) but I question why you voted for Hindu at Post 51 then …"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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Last post until the next Refreshing VC …
@Chamber-head of Flash– as soon as you get a read on Minimum’s posting (specifically CES) please share it with us.
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@Fate– since you want interactions …
Why is Nuwen Town for her single post with only a vote for Shin if Shin isn’t scum?
Why is Bella Town?
What about Staeg?
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Reg wrote: Peta, I'm not seeing the strong scum read you are on Shinori. He's super defensive, I'll give you that but I don't think that's a scum-tell in this particular case. I'll relook at it in the morning though but today I'd rather deal inside of MoI/3 names which unfortunately means having to convince Fate he's wrong about MoI.
Reg – don’t bother arguing with Fate over his read on me. He’s too prideful about being able to read me to be influenced by anyone else’s thoughts on the matter. Just make your own thought heard even if he is hogging the vote …
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Magister wrote:MoI, does your role pm with the 'wisdom of the spires' just list the name of those three players in this game, or does it give you name, (flavor name/something else?).
Reg wrote:MoI, does your ability specify if the 'scum' inside the 3 has to be a Night player or is it possible for it to be the Commexo rather than Night?
Since these are tangentially related I’m addressing them at once …
My role PM (and here I am paraphrasing very broadly) is as such –
First is a bit of text I assume is from the novels about my character.
Next is paraphrase that gives tells me my role and gives me some flavor.
Next is my Informational Ability that is ‘Wisdom of the Spire’ which has another bit of what I assume is Novel text. It then explains that I know that between Bella / Chesskid / Petapan that at least one of them is not aligned with Day.
Next would be any other abilities I might or might not have followed by my wincon.
So to directly answer Reg – it isn’t certain that my list contains Night aligned. Just that at least one is Day aligned. Furthermore the wording suggests that a single non-Day flip from one of them does not automatically clear the others."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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In response to Karen’s Post 99 --
So to directly answer Reg – it isn’t certain that my list contains Night aligned. Just that at least one isN’TDay aligned. Furthermore the wording suggests that a single non-Day flip from one of them does not automatically clear the others.
I’ve Bolded the typo that I think should have been clear from the context … but there you have it.
Karen wrote: hypothesis: MoI is town gambiting,OAFE sees this as a way to potentially line up 2-4 mislynches and pounces
I very much like where you are going with the bolded … my intial reaction was just that.
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@Fate= you want to be obnoxious (regarding Post 96) be my guest. You wanted interaction and you got questions. I’m not going to bother anymore if this is how you want to play it.
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Agar wrote:And you don't think there would be fakeclaims provided?
And certainly there’s no possible reason for people to seek out that information …
VOTE: Agar
I can roll with this.
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Minimina wrote: MoI is always afraid of dying N1, so he'd be pretty stupid to spread misinformation and have town lose the game after his death as a result.
So Mina … how do you possibly extrapolate that line of thought?
Minimina wrote: ii. Why the over-the-top reaction to Regfan's post? Was it because you got a really strong town read on him?
I have a question about this Mina … what was your motivation in asking this question?
--"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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Once wrote:MOI, are you saying that you were in fact gambiting, if so, I hate you forever......
Petapan wrote: Reg - i'm pretty sure MoI retracted his claim, implicitly
Nope. I have not. Claim is valid. Please link to me the posts that you are suggesting indicates I say otherwise.
I don’t know which of you is more scummy here …
A. The player who immediately went “Must lynch in these 4 today” and then looks upset if he’s getting heat for it; or
B. The player who initially suggested it was ‘good info’ and voted Chesskid, more or less immediately switched to Shin and said his read was better than a 50/50 shot, and then is hoping I was fake-claiming.
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RedCoyote wrote:I don't know if that necessarily means we should halt the entire day and choose between the three though.
Where did I ever claim we should do this? Seriously I’m not advocating at all that we should at all be forced to lynch between the three. The information is just that … information. Even if I die it is something every member of Town has free and unfettered access to when seeing flips of the three down the line. I know for me getting it out there and using the subsequent reactions to help me get reads was the most Pro-Town way to approach things. You disagree.
RedCoyote wrote: :/
What is the point of this? Seriously. I don’t care if you don’t believe now or not. The fact remains – the information will eventually bear out. Why is having the Commexo (or however you spell it) in the three as opposed to Night a bad thing?
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Reg wrote:Mina, if you know that Hito dislikes millers is there any particular reason your vote isn't on OAFE right now? Also how confident (A percentage will suffice) are you in there being no miller in this game due to that knowledge?
My line of thinking – Hito not wanting to use a Miller in a Mini Theme (which IIRC the last game was) doesn’t necessarily mean he would not use one in a Large Theme.
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Llama wrote:
If this isn't a 'the sooner you kill the scums the better for everything' game then it is a weird game indeed.
First explain what this is supposed to mean because all Mafia games ostensibly are this.
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Nuwen wrote: In the meantime, let me tell you what I see.
Um you voted him at Post 63. Why is Post 86 your reasoning for Shin being scum? What did you see before that?
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Post 159 is a perfect example of why I can’t wait for Bella to flake and Glork upgrading the slot."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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In post 164, Nuwen wrote:You've said you don't have a ton of flavor background on this game. I do. The Abarat series is quite dear to me and I've read through it dozens of times. When you mention "three" and "the wisdom of the spire," some very specific denizens of the 25th hour come to mind, and none of them are in a matrix of 1-1-1 or 2-1 or whatever. We're all well-aware that flavor doesn't dictate wincons, but I get the feeling that the things you're thinking don't mean what you think they do.
Um you are jumping to the incorrect conclusions here. I'm not saying that the three in my role PM are associated with the Spire. I'm saying I am and the 'Wisdom of the Spire' is my ability. I have no idea what flavor my three in one have."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 171, AGar wrote:What good does it do to seek out "Hey who would theoretically be scum?" if there's a high chance of mod-provided fakeclaims? Hito isn't a shit-mod, he's not going to put an entire scumteam into position to be lynched because their rolenames were obviously scum. If that were the case, the easiest way to go about this would be mass-name-claiming. This is the problem I've had with his posting thus far - it seems highly pointless to be doing what he's doing rather than paying attention to the game. A vote does not always mean I am 100% set in the ways of him being scum, it never has. Vote is the town's most powerful tool, and if you aren't voting someone for some reason, you're wasting what you have.
Again the fact that there are reasons aside from people claiming IN THREAD for someone to want to know the flavor names most likely to be scum (for example ... Chris Carrion) seems to escape you.
No-one has said that scum don't have fake-claims (because the Mods specifically said they did) or suggested that somehow scum would be lynch via rolename claims alone. That you are resting your whole stance on a premise that no-one has argued or thinks is scummy.
I also appreciate the lesson on voting. I am voting someone I think is scum. So I think I've got a handle on it."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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MOD – I’ll be LA from 4pm EDT today until Monday morning for my usual weekend family duties.
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Agar wrote:What happened to your "1-of-3" deal you abandoned oh so quickly when a wagon sprung up, eh?
Nothing happened to it. The information is out there. I appreciate your rather scummy effort to somehow paint me voting a scummy player outside that group as abandoning it. The information is public and isn’t going away. There are at a minimum 3 other scum outside that group (and realistically it probably is 5). Why again shouldn’t I vote for one of them who is obv?
Do you want to come out and directly say I'm scum? You've skirted the issue enough (saying you think I'm faking and the above sideways swipe).
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Bella wrote:Prepare for a long wait.
You don’t flake as scum?
Or is this prepping us for the length of time it will take for you to do something other than whine petulantly and active lurk?
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RedCoyote wrote:Will there be?
I don’t know .. you tell me … are any of your partners in that group? (yes, this is sarcasm with those with no detector equipped).
RedCoyote wrote: You realize this means wemaybe on the same team for once in God only knows how long.
So there is not doubt what team Fate is on. He’s Mod confirmed Day-aligned. The fact that you use the bolded makes we want to vote you immediately. But I’ve been burned by Town RedCoyote using stupid language choices that made him obv-scum before (AGM’s Nuke Game Version 3).
So explain to me why you used May in that sentence.
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Once wrote:That would be what I was looking at when I thought you were admitting to gambit. if your not is there any reason not to be voting for one of those three today, help me out here I feel like I'm missing something.
I like Karen’s thought process in suggesting your attempt to restrict the votes only within myself and the three is scummy and looking to mine some mislynches. Especially if you are Night and the scum in that group is Commexo.
The odds that more than 1 of those players are scum (and thus Mod handed me effectively two guilties pre-game) is small. Furthermore the information is still valid on Day 2 and beyond. No reason to run through the list simply because it exists. Now if two of those players flip Day then I’m basically locked in to vote the last. But until that point I’m going to scum-hunt as usual. There are other scum out there besides the 1 in 3.
So why don't you give us some paraphrased reasoning why you are a Miller ..."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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AGar wrote: Actually I'm just trying to confirm my suspicion that you're just pulling a retarded gambit, like I said when I first read your post.
Then you are wasting time and energy trying to prove your personal ego point valid when it is doomed to fail. It’s not a gambit and frankly the amount of energy you are expending proving ‘points’ that aren’t scum-hunting (your ML point where you completely misread his post and then continued as if he wasn’t making sense when he did) is why my vote is where it is right now.
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Llama wrote:Bella is hella town,
Explain. In your own words, preferably not in some soft, wordy say-nothing way."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.- MagnaofIllusion
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@Fate– read the thread. It would do you good. That issue was addressed pages ago. I’m not repeating myself for you and I’ll go back to ignoring you now since I know you are Town. You had a chance to get me listen and carefully weigh your reads and blew it with your crap-ass “MOI IS AN ASSHOLE HASSLING CUTE LITTLE BELLA SHES TOTES TOWN”. Poor decision mate …
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Minamum wrote:I thought it was clear I meant you would retract your claim before the end of D1 if you were gambiting town (unless you wanted me to murder you after the game). Otherwise, the truth might die with you, which could potentially screw the town over. Therefore, people should stop wasting their breath debating it.
Ok .. my problem is the ‘leading to a loss’ line of thought. No-one is going to forget that I claimed my Informed status Day1 regardless of my flip. Hell … I don’t see how everyone getting a mass case of amnesia regarding my information the second I die would mean a loss given these players are still in the game and can be scum-hunted normally.
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Llama wrote:I havent' actually read most of the posts in this game yet, but once I do I'll post a list of reads.
Yeah, this isn’t Llama Town.
VOTE: Llamarble
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AGar wrote:Do you disagree it would be beneficial for a scum player to aimlessly seek flavor knowledge in an attempt to "look town"?
Yes. Frankly it’s stupid to suggest he was doing that since no-one has given him a Town reads simply for that and the only reaction the he did get was your “It’s scummy”.
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RC wrote: Liking Flash,chess, Staeg, and UT.
Explain the bolded reads. What specificly do you like about them?
I am having a hard time with your liking UN but later in the post you say you want to see more from him. Those don’t seem to mesh."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 320, Minimum wrote:Yes, I know I called MoI town for his claim, but this is a horribly lazy excuse to vote someone (omigod, you admitted that you're not caught up with the game! Clearly, you're not Llamarble town, so let me make you the leading wagon, now). What makes me paranoid is that your AGar vote was equally half-assed and opportunistically timed.
Hey Minamum ... you don't get to throw stones about NOT sharing full reasoning behind votes when you keep referring to how your partners wants to keep things on the Down-Low regarding your reads ... Just an FYI"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Regfan wrote: MoI, I know you might find this annoying but answering the question will make Fate and my interaction a lot easier. I'm fairly certain that your role is knowing that between Bella / Chesskid / Petapan that at least one of them is notaligned with Day and confirmation that I'm right here will clear a lot up.
You are correct … at least one of the three of them is NOT aligned with Day.
I thought my response to KW’s post showing it was a typo should have made that clear. My apologies (to you Reg) if it did not.
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Minamum wrote:CES says that Llamarble is an extremely suboptimal D1 lynch, for the record.
Why is that again? I know in White Flag Mafia CES never floated anything of this sort of thought process … we wanted Llama scum dead right form the start.
Minamum wrote: What makes me paranoid is that your AGar vote was equally half-assed and opportunistically timed.
So exactly what part about AGar focusing completely away from scum-hunting (attacking ML’s flavor question as scummy when he can’t come up with a clear scum motivation for such (IMP) and his obsession with my Information when it should be clear it isn’t something I’m ever going to say “Lulz, Gambit” on) as I’ve explained makes my vote half-assed again?
Minamum wrote: You quoted one sentence of Llamarble's and said he'd never say that as town. I found your reaction completely overblown given that I don't think falling behind during the first RL days of a game is that uncommon. And the timing and presentation of the AGar vote had a similar feel (although in that case, I thought your attack was more justified): a weak point with little conviction against the whipping boy du jour. From my POV, those votes look either like lazy bussing or opportunism. Hence why they break my brain when I have no clue why you'd fakeclaim.
Again … your lack of seeing me directly comment on Llama doesn’t mean I haven’t had my eye on him since his first post doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. If you want to continue to push the “lack of clarity indicates shitty bussing / opportunism’ by all means go ahead. It’s pointless and stupid but indulge yourself in arguing against half your slot if you want.
Llama’s ISO is filled with posts that I don’t see coming from a Town-Llama perspective. I’ve played with him as Town in Atomic Mafia (he was part of a hydra with Grey and I was Town) and WinVitiational (I was scum). And he was on my Team Mafia team (which you directly know) and I got to see his Team QT posting about his difficulty in replicating his Town playstyle up close and personal. Let’s look at some of what I’m seeing that I find indicates scummy Llama (aside from what I quoted when voting him which was the capper) –
Llama at 52 wrote:Haha when I try to post more concisely / less vomitflowy it ends up looking like my first whiteflag post.
Ah well you can chew on that wifom. Seems like a good thing to add to early D1.
Why is adding WIFOM a good thing for Town? If he was Day aligned the Night are already going to know he isn’t on their teams so it’s not like it is fooling them. It would only serve to make things harder on his Team (unless he’s Comexxo ).
Scum who knows he can’t replicate his Town game easily (which I know he believes) knows this post is going to look like a scum-Llama post. So he adds this in for the “Oh, scum would never say that …” factor.
His hop on the Shin wagon at Post 69 also strikes me as bad. I’ve seen scum Shin up close. His posting here is 500% more sane than when scum-Shin caught the slightest pressure and flailed. Granted he may have improved dramatically since then but I don’t think Shin posts at the level he has with this playerlist if he is scum.
Llama at 100 wrote: MoI's claim is weird, but if he makes it a 100% NO REDACTION claim I'll play along to lynch 1/3.
I can buy its existence in the setup from Hito.
Disconnect here … if he can buy the existence of my claim why was it ‘weird’?
Llama at 125 wrote:Your lone vote on me is already clouding my thinking because instead of scumhunting tonight I'm writing a response to you and whoever that other guy was.
Um whut? He’s worried about a single vote enough that it can ‘cloud his thinking’ and thus throw off his scum-hunting? That’s absurd. I’m leaning on my Winvitational experience with him here … there as Town he laughed off pressure and was laser focused on pointing out scum.
Llama at 191 wrote: I'll actually read the game fairly soon.
Llama at 242 wrote: I havent' actually read most of the posts in this game yet, but once I do I'll post a list of reads.
And here we have the topper for me … these say “I’m not paying attention”. Do an ISO of him and look at his posts. The amount of opinions he shares do not look like someone who has missed most of the game. I see these as “Excuse to change whatever position I previously held because LULZ, NOT READING” justifications being primed.
Finally his “Deeper Read” list that he begins at Post 314 is not how Town Llama does things. Town Llama gets his reads and pushed them. What he's doing here is bascially active-lurking. Note so far he hasn't even managed to hit someone he actually suspects with reasons why. Town Llama would have put them right at the front IMO.
So yeah, I’m quite satisfied with my vote."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 354, Nachomamma8 wrote:If you have this information, then why on earth would you move your vote from that group of three?
Are you even thinking this through? This information doesn't mystically disappear if I die.
If I didn't have ElPresidenteCAPSO screaming about how Townie Bella was I'd be pushing her since her reaction was by far the worst. But he's made that an non-starter wagon so what do you expect me to do? Sit not hunting for other scum?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Nacho wrote:The information doesn't mystically disappear, sure, but that doesn't mean that you should ignore it. Setting aside a 33% chance of hitting scum if you lynched randomly to pursue a Llama lynch is a pretty big fuckup.
Nope. You aren’t looking at the big picture.
Lynching in the group randomly leads to a 33% scum flip percentage (assuming only 1 scum there but that’s what seems most likely).
This is a 24 person game. Two of those are confirmed Town. Any Day aligned player knows they are such. That means there are 6 scum in 21 players from any Town player’s POV. That means lynching randomly in the population as a whole gives a 28.5% chance of success.
The difference is 4.5% which isn’t so significant that I should be ignoring players outside the three. And given that my top scum read in the group Bella is ‘off limits’ I don’t see why looking at scum reads in the population as a whole is bad play.
Nacho wrote:As for Fate standing in your way, I don't remember you backing down from anything ever, so I don't really see how that's a problem for you now...
Why should I be bothering to fight with Mod Confirmed Town over a scum-read he’s calling obv-Town when I can be looking for the rest?
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Karen wrote:I'll be a bigger part of this soon, scout's honor. The recent week has pretty much consisted of "wake up -> job hunt -> prepare stuff for this semester -> relax and play a few games of LoL -> roommates get home & drinking commences -> pass out as the sun rises -> repeat", so there's not really a lot of room in there for me to catch up. I will read up and post my thoughts by Thursday, scout's honor.
At this stage coming on the heels of Team Mafia I’m willing to lynch Reck who makes excuses for not playing the game.
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Chesskid wrote: chesskid isn't putting much time into the game
when all his site-posting is one liners because he's busy as fuck?
Well then replace out if you are too busy and put someone willing to post and be readable in your slot."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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So I wonder how long Bella is just going to avoid this thread since?
Now that Regfan is willing to go to bat with me I think this is warranted -
VOTE: Bella"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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All this discussion about “Why would Town get stronger for lynching correctly?” line of argument used as justification for voting Once is pointless MD Material.
Tit for Tat Mafia ends the discussion. Town gets an advantage for lynching correctly (lynching the Mafia Jailkeeper activates the back-up). Scum gets an advantage for killing correctly (Rolecop comes over the the Mafia side). The “gets better with a lynch” mechanic is alignment neutral unless someone wants to point out examples of hito actually using said mechanic for one side and not the other.
Anyone who voted simply based on the claim and didn’t suspect before has a high chance of being scum if Once is Town.
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AGar wrote:Fuck, I'd rather you lynched me than Bella so at least something can be gained from that.
So are you scum who knows Bella is Day and one of the others is your partner and are playing the White-Knight game or are you scum with Bella hoping to defuse the possibility of a growing wagon? Since my read on her is scum I'm thinking the second.
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Shmugen wrote:Hm. Millers are hard enough to believe and impossible to prove, but a miller that takes night actions?
I’m willing to vote Shmugen based on this.
Dark Side of the Moon Mafia – recent game with a Miller Vig. It’s certainly not rare for Mods to provide Millers with additional powers. In fact someone mentioned that previous in thread a game with multiple Millers with powers. But if Shmugen was reading you should have seen it also thus nullifying this "Hmmm, doesn't make sense post" from a Town perspective.
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Bella wrote: This is a problem that arises when a player decides it's cool to throw baseless insults at people whenever he mentions their names. It's hard not to react angrily and appear scummy when someone is so dedicated to baiting you into it.
Frankly I find it hard to believe that all it takes to get you to look scummy and act like a petulant 12-year old is to bring up your well documented flaking history. Gut says it is just an convienent excuse for you to not provide content by being all “Grrr Angry at Mean ol MoI”.
Bella wrote:Question: Given the list of people you read as town, why not a vote for me? Logically speaking, if you think MoI is town, that would suggest that you believe his claim. Believing that both chesskid and Peta are town would thus indicate that you believe I am scum, and would have a stronger case to make against me, no?
So here Bella is questioning Nacho from the standpoint that my claim is true (and thus I am Town). Yet her vote still is on me.
My vote is in a good place."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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@Regfan– I understand you have a Petapan Town read based on his play elsewhere. My question to you is this – reading his posts here on MS I don’t get the “I’m lost, lulz” play as something I would expect from him. Because I’m having a hard time reconciling these elements …
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Bella wrote:The problem here is that I don't have a "well documented flaking history", as you put it. I have a well documented history of lurking, and you have a skewed perspective based on aught but your own ignorance.
That’s interesting. I’ve had you on my personal Mod Blacklist for awhile for repeated game flaking under your Izzy account. You can feel free to call it ignorance if you want but I’m certainly happy to go and dig up all the occurances of said flaking at led me to put you on my blacklist if you want to continue this charade of pretending said history does not exist.
Bella wrote:Nowhere in that statement do I make any comment on *my* opinion of your claim. Nacho stated you were town. Nacho must thus believe your claim. If Nacho believes your claim, why isn't he voting based on it? Is this clear enough for you?
I'll move my vote when I'm ready to put it on scum. Otherwise, I like where it is.
First I appreciate you acknowledging you don’t have your vote on scum now and that you are more happy to vote via butt-hurt than looking to fulfill a Town Wincon.
Here’s a question for you – why should Nacho be voting based on my claim if you aren’t? It’s a valid question in that you as hypo-Town have a 50/50 shot of getting non-Day by voting either Chess or Peta. Nacho only has a 33% chance since he doesn’t have your hypo-inside advantage. If the answer is “I’ll vote as such when I am ready” then why can’t Nacho do the same?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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AGar wrote:Also for fuck's sake, get your own personal grudges out of the game. You've struck up personal attacks on players rather than attacking their play - if you're town which I unfortunately think you are, fucking cut the bullshit and actually get back to playing the game. It's not entertaining when you try and be Cyberbob in a game, it's really fucking annoying.
But that’s not the truth and you know it. My suspicions of Bella came 100% from her reaction to my play, her complete lack of actual scum-hunting, and her play not reflecting her beliefs.
I believe she’s using ‘outrage’ as a mask for not scum-hunting. She basically just admitted that she knows she isn’t voting scum but is happy to idle her vote there. Look at her ISO. See how many cases of actual suspicions you can find. In her response about you she even shied away from calling you scum just that you were ‘less Town’ than someone else which is basically fence-sitting. She isn’t looking to lynch scum. She’s looking to survive."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 457, Llamarble wrote:MoI did you read Abarat Mafia?
Also sorry I forgot to include you in the PRs list.
I scanned it around the time Faraday was uber-trolling after being found out. That was pretty much the extent of it.
I'm not sure exactly what the second sentence is supposed to mean."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 461, Llamarble wrote:How could that possibly be your initial reaction.
If OAFE is scum, and you're telling the truth, he knows there is a scum in the pile and thus isn't lining up MLs.
It sounds like you're reading reactions to a gambit.
Please explain and come clean if you made this up, because it's messing with my evaluation of everything.
How do you not get that as a valid reaction. Aside from Karen miscounting the number of mislynches (should be 2-3 not 2-4) the theory is valid. Scum have the numbers to help manipulate the lynches enough that it is entirely possible for the following circumstance to happen -
Lynch Option 1 - flip Day
Lynch Option 2- flip Day
Lynch MoI - Flip Day
Lynch Option 3 - flip not-Day
That's the effective "Get 3 Mislynch" scenario I immediately saw also. We know that the two Mod confirmed voices certainly don't agree on reads so Night acting unified can certainly skew things. That's basic Mafia play and you know it to be true. It's also conceivable (I don't think likely, but possible) that the Not-Day is Commexo and in that case Night scum have a vested interest in driving the lynch into that group and that group only until a Commexo flips occurs.
What isn't logical about that line of thought?
Furthermore even if I was gambitting how is it possibly "messing with our reads"? I'm 100% serious in this question. You could pretend that I never made my claim and operate as normal. Nothing in the Wisdom that precludes you from doing this. The information will bear out sooner or later. I don't care when necessarily as I've made sure it isn't lost. I'm still quite wary of the fact you are so thrown by this."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 490, Staeg wrote:I wuv you too, Fate
VOTE: Staeg
All the points made have merit. This strikes me as further indicative that Staeg isn't Town. I've seen Town Staeg play with Fate before. He's an unabashed lackey and bootlicker. He claims he can't read Fate so just treats him as Town. When Fate questions him he kicks in with AtE about not wanting Fate to lynch him. And this is in games he DOESN'T know Fate's alignment. Here he does. I'd expect alot more buddying out of Staeg-Town to Mod-confirmed Fate Town. Yet he's not ... as if he doesn't want to risk getting called out for it. And the suspicion Fate is throwing his way has been met with nothing. When Fate points this out Staeg drops this little gem. Not what I expect from Town Staeg dealing with known Town Fate."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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All these Tierce votes I find confusing. So you start off the Day voting for the person that Staeg scum was happy to hop on without a hint of an actual reason why? Frankly doesn’t make any sense. Tierce will contributed without ‘prodding’ … this isn’t Road to Rome.
Furthermore all the “who did Llama hide behind speculation” regarding Nacho doesn’t make much sense given his last post said this …
Llama wrote:Yeah Nacho's latest post pair is pretty solid.
He was on that list partially because he just doesn't post as much as scum and hadn't posted much thus far.
That doesn’t say “Hmmm, I’m hiding behind this guy” at all.
Meanwhile you guys are ignoring the pleading Llama did with me to call off my Informed claim if it was fake, as shown here.
Llama wrote:As for what it can mess up, now that I'm pretty sure you weren't lying I'm going to be spending a lot of time studying that group of 3.It's just much easier to figure out 'there is guaranteed to be one scum in these 3' than 'there are 6 scums in these 18.' If it turns out you're gambiting I'll be upset over all the time you made me spend in a wrong frame of mind. Unless you're scum in which case I'll be like 'Wow MoI played a great D1.'
I’ve bolded the portion that I think is most relevant. Given that Chesskid was his most scummy read of the three and his play is lurk-tastic non-Town Chesskid I think he's a good vote on this basis.
VOTE: Chesskid
Finally on the Send … I don’t know that it is a good plan to send someone unless we have solid information on two different scum via Nightplay. Otherwise we are potentially just forcing a claim from Day.
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ML wrote: Yes.
Don’t mess around. If you have reasons why I should be voting Minimum (who I have minor scum read on) don’t play patty cake. Out them so we get an accurate lynch.
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Petapan wrote:marble dropped green names on 4nxeity, bella, flash, and ludi. i think ludi's probably town, and he seemed to be really confident on flash as town.
VOTE: Flash
So I see you don’t understand how a properly played Hider works …
Llama’s not stupid. He’s not hiding behind a Town read. He’d be hiding with a scum read to either nail them as such or confirm them as Town for later.
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Minimum wrote:He could've been hiding behind OAFE.
Yeah, no. This is the sort of explanation for a hider death I expect to see from scum. Llama was pretty clear that he found the claim credible. He didn't hide there.
Minimum wrote: Yep. You're not allowed to be suspicious of me, Ludi.
Lulz. Nope."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 577, Minimum wrote:That's just the basic Tracker-SK interaction?
In post 588, Minimum wrote:Hiding behind a scum read without a breadcrumb is really dumb. I know 'marble found OAFE's claim credible; hiding behind a town read is totally valid here.
In post 590, Minimum wrote:OAFE was neither, so that's fine.
Hey look ... Minimum's contradicting himself!
On one hand it's basic SK-Tracker interaction that anyone should understand that the Commexo would shoot Once. Then he 180s and says it makes sense that a Hider would hide behind such an obvious Nightkill target. But wait, OAFE wasn't an obvious Nightkill target.
Nope.jpp. Scummy Cognitive Dissonance ho!
Minimum is scum trying to keep Day from lynching his partner in the three!"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 587, Quilford wrote:Yeah okay I'm definitely not voting for chesskid at this stage.
Why? Shin is a VI. The fact that he didn't replace out when he got heat immediately is actually a Town-tell."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 599, Quilford wrote:Um, they're more scum than they originally were when I listed them as scum before?
Was this somewhere not on the last page? I must have missed it then because all I saw you do was call him 'Lord Scumhunter' which is not at all clear to me that you were indicating that he was actual scum."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 602, Minimum wrote:He makes plenty of sense as nightkill in retrospect; I don't think that necessarily means Llamarble would've avoiding hiding behind him and OAFE still wasn't an optimal nightkill the way Quilford said.
He claimed Tracker / Miller well before the flip. Llama even said he thought it was a credible claim. Frankly no way that Llama would be hiding behind a Miller whose claim he thought was believable. You can continue to try to spin that fairy tale but anyone with brains sees it for just that - a farce.
Llama's not going to bother to confirm a role that with the lynch on scum would be a prime target (since he had two claimed uses of Tracker) for the Serial Killer. Which you again have said is pretty obv."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Quilford wrote:Hahahahaha. What a terrifically unsure-how-to-respond-to-partner-implicating-me reaction. "When Staeg flips, I can point to this post to show that he wasn't weakly bussing me all game"... as Staeg's earlier posts show:
So your theory is that Staeg laid out exactly one name in his farewell post (Shin) and it was obvious distancing and just happened to be targeted at one of the weakest players in the game.
And you don’t consider it WIFOM in the least?
Quilford wrote: This is just really, really bad distancing so that Staeg could get towncred if Shinori's wagon ever went through. Please please lynch it.
Um Post 513 was made after the point where Staeg’s lynch was pretty much assured. I understand your point but there is no way he posted that to get cred if Shin flipped when he was already flipping.
I’m not really sold on this as it stands. Minimum or Chesskid look to be much better lynches FMPOV."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Looking at Staeg’s ISO–
Could be convinced AGar might be a partner. Post 151 looks like the kind of casual dismissal I’d expect from a partner seeing him getting wagonnned.
Anxiety is more likely to be Town. Staeg isn’t sophisticated enough a player to make Post 156 where he tries to undermine a read based on gut from a partner. It especially makes me feel like the ‘Shin is obv-partner’ isn’t likely as the read that he was trying to discredit was a Town read on Shin Post 153
Staeg at 199 wrote: Oafe, the reason for not voting one of those 3 is that we have a better shot at hitting scum elsewhere (see: shinori).
Yes, I do live in Latvia, not to be confused with Latveria.
Staeg at 219 wrote: Pretty sure RC is town and one/two of anx/chess are scum.
These two quotes say to me that my Chesskid vote is in the right place. He says there is a better chance of catching scum outside the 1in3 but in his next post drops an unsupported ‘chess is tentative scum’ statement that he never follows up on. The only interaction he has with Chess is to say “You are mean” when Chess chimed in on his lynch. Furthermore it’s a tentative read so he can push Town Anxiety first.
Staeg at 438 wrote: Okay no I'm retarded
I'll help you along with that wagon; still think shinori's scum
unvote
Vote: UT
Yeah Tierce is Town. Especially if one of Flash or Minimum flips Night."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 613, Flash wrote:Day 1 you seemed to care about what I thought of Minimum(CES), why has that changed?
No I wanted to see if there was any actual substance to your "I can read CES" posts. Your response saying "I'll be dead Night 1" is pretty much fluff FMPOV.
So I forget ... did you vote Tierce today?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Shmugen wrote:Keep in mind that Staeg was informed when you begin to wifom who he was distancing/bussing.
Why is that fact important Shmugen?
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Quilford wrote:MoI it also just happened to be the player who Staeg was weakly bussing all day. He said it so blase, so casually, that for someone whose only points against their suspect were gut he was far too 'confident', as it were. It reeks of inside knowledge.
Meh. I don’t get that. Staeg dropped a vote early on the Shin wagon and more or less parked it there while active lurking. I see it as a nice comfy VI place to park his vote that wouldn’t draw attention. And frankly it worked up until Fate more or less called him out.
Maybe I’m wrong but I don’t doubt enough to ignore what I am seeing …"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 622, Quilford wrote:You know that's not the only reason Shinori's scum right MoI?
I'm not basing my vote on him solely because he had scummy interactions with Staeg, lol
Yeah but frankly I that's all you have really lead with today. I haven't seen anything that says to me anything other than VI newb. I do have some concerns that his power-wagon didn't go through early but that's at best secondary importance to me.
You laughed it off but I was serious in saying that I think Shin-scum would have replaced out due to his early wagon."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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@Flash– the answer is obvious – to get a read on your play. What’s your point in asking? BTW – why were your votes so terrible Day 1?
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Shmugen wrote:@Magna: It means that in addition to 'Staeg was distancing from this person' or 'Staeg was bussing this person' we have 'Staeg knows something about this person' to deal with. I think it's unlikely that they had specific information on roles, as none of the flips look like 'Oh man, we'd better get rid of this' scum mentality, but it is another angle to consider.
Again … what impact does this have on reads? Do you think scum Staeg would have used the information to help shape the kill? How do you think it impacted his (minimal) day-play?
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Nuwen wrote:An external observer is telling you it's an issue.
Put CES on the phone, love.
Um it was CES. He’s being a putz about it. No way that is a Mina post."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 629, chesskid3 wrote:ok yeah I don't have time for this game
Replace kthx
or lynch lololololol
So you didn't have time period but only replaced when things point to you being scum ...
Die!"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Flash wrote:I can read CES better than everyone in this game. Hes killed me n1 the last 2 times he was mafia and I was town. He has claimed that he feels he has a better chance explaining me getting killed than he does of me not catching him. I'm not saying you should completely exonerate him based on the fact that I have yet to die, what I am saying though is that you should be looking at me for my read of him while I'm still alive, and right now I'm telling you suspicion on him should be dropped until I say otherwise.
Your faith is refreshing but you know I’m not going to really drop it just because you say so, right? Minimum’s recent posting is scummy and I’m not going to let it slide.
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@Anxiety– why are you voting Quilford. Please explain in your own words not a long series of quotes of other players."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Hindu wrote: Noone has even mentioned what I would say is my #1 town read so far.
So what? Frankly your top Town-read not being mentioned probably means people don’t find them suspect …
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Minamum wrote:Protip: catching scum is not combing through someone's posts to find two sentences that you quote with made-up context, and then screaming, "CONTRADICTION. SCUM! YOU'RE BUSTED."
Yeah, scum-hunting is allowing someone tracked to a kill to create a fake-claim and not lynching him which was key in letting scum win the game…. (am I doing the condescension right Mina?)
Let’s be realistic … it was hardly ‘combing through’ posts … they were made within 13 posts of each other. You seem to be suggesting I did akin to something finding some quote from Day 1 and trying to show how it didn’t align with a Town mindset to a quote from Day 3 (which is still valid scum-hunting BTW) which is rather absurd.
CES was trying to float that it is generally expected that a claimed Tracker with 2 shots of track is a danger to a Serial Killer. And that is correct. The discontinuity comes from him somehow suggesting that Llama (who is not an idiot) would disregard this and hide behind Once anyway. It’s a pretty ridiculous theory to float given what Llama said himself about Once’s claim – he found it credible. So CES is floating a theory that doesn’t make sense.
Trying to use insults and frame my post in a way that suggests my thought process as invalid isn’t very Town-Mina. In fact Mina Is the player who as Town decries insults (IMO) … Clash of Kings again comes to mind on this.
Minamum wrote:First of all, we actually weren't expecting OAFE to die before his flip on D2. Is there a reason that you decided to omit this relevant quote (which makes it pretty damn obvious Minimum never called OAFE "an obvious nightkill target", just speculated on why he died):
What are you arguing here? That CES’s did have any expectation that Once was a likely Serial Killer target with his claim? Highlighting the word probably in the quote you picked doesn’t change the fact that he again called it ‘Standard SK-Tracker interaction’. It isn’t something that he as Town wouldn’t have expected going into Night if this was the case.
So … is it a general expectation that a Serial Killer would kill a Tracker (as a threat to the Serial Killer) or not? CES can get on the horn and answer with a Yes or No.
Minamum wrote:Second of all, even if CES really thought OAFE was the obvious NK, maybe Llamarble would have thought differently. OAFE was under a lot of suspicion and still somewhat lynchable. Llamarble might not have realized that the tracker claim made OAFE a riskier hider choice. It's possible he tried to confirm a popular suspect whom he personally read as town. (Personally, I don't think there's enough information to be sure either way, but that's beside the point.)
Well maybe Llama was struck by Death Rays from Mars (had to use this classic Law and Order quote given the absuridity of this). Here’s the facts … Once being under suspicion is hardly relevant since Llama himself believed the claim. See Post 430 as a reminder for you.
Llama’s not dumb enough to have used the Hider role that badly. He would not be hiding behind a play he graces with a ProbTown read BEFORE Day ended.
Minamum wrote:It's just null speculation over night actions. Whether or not the theory makes sense has no relation to our alignment. It's not like Minimum claimed hider who'd hidden behind OAFE (well, assuming he didn't die), and then said something like, "OAFE was obviously going to be killed by the SK last night."
Nope. It is not all ‘Null’ speculation. CES posited that Llama ‘could have been hiding behind OAFE’ (Post 553 for the record) as his first line of discussion. Not that he hid behind Nacho (which makes more sense from Llama’s ISO than Once, although I personally don’t think it is what happened) but that he specifically hid behind the claimed Miller / Tracker who Llama specifically indicated wasn’t a likely target via ISO.
I see this a clouding the water type speculation as opposed to actually looking for answers and it’s why I find you guys scummy.
Minamum wrote: Did you actually believe that post when you made it, Magna?
Of course I did. Why would you ask such a pointless question? It’s pointless because the answer is going to be ‘Yes’ regardless of alignment so it’s just filler.
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AGar wrote:To bounce more off of Minimum, not only can anyone do that, but it really doesn't serve any good purpose. There are a million and one better uses for your time than to try and guess at who Llamarble might have hid behind and then try and post up a case from there.
Nope. A flipped Hider from a Non-Derp player means that ISOing him from breadcrumbs is a very useful activity. DGB’s Hider play in Dead Red Redemption (which shamefully got eaten by Tigers) was a perfect example of how an smart Hider plays the role.
AGar wrote:Shin's posting is just really bad, I'm not sure what to make of it. Pretty sure he's not Night due to the tail end of D1 from Staeg (scum gain more from a forceful push on their partner than a half-assed one, so so much more.). Could be Commexo, his posting feels all sorts of survivalish. Very reactive to events in the game, not very proactive at all.
[Stuff removed to save space]
VOTE: Shinori
This quite frankly is terrible. You aren’t a newbie … you very well know that specifically hunting for a Serial Killer when 4 Night players remain is correlated with being Night. I’m going to have to decide if you would be so brazen as scum to do so …"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 664, Minimum wrote:Nice try. You aren't going to get me to continue a wall-off with you, even by baiting me.
Why? Because firstly, I'm obviously not getting lynched today. Secondly, because you're getting nightkilled long before endgame, so it doesn't make a difference what my read on you is.
But you realize that since all three are dead, it's totally irrelevant whether Llamarble hid behind Nacho or OAFE, right? So it's not muddying anything, just a difference of opinions. Seriously, you should have just accused Minimum of IIoA or something.
CES can answer the question about SKs if he wants, although I don't think it makes a difference.
So to summarize ...
1. You'd don't feel you can actually refute what I'm saying so ... disengage.
2. You know I am Town. That I approve of.
3. You know you will not be Nightkill since you are scum but know I will so are banking on people not caring about my reads. Noted.
4. You want to keep trying to minimize the fact that CES's statements were objectively scummy and hope by dismissing things as a 'difference of opinion' it will go away.
Glad we could come to an agreement that I'm Town and you aren't."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 668, Shmugen wrote:I can feel myself mentally disengaging. Someone please drag me back into this with some questions.
Oh, the Espeonage tell ...
Here's a question Shmug ... who are your partners?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Magister Ludi 18
Nuwen 12
4nxi3ty 11
Bella 10
RedCoyote 8
Seraphim 8
sword_of_omens 7
Untrod Tripod / Tierce 5
So if you are on this list of players with less than half the number of posts of the Mod (40 at the time of this post) you probably need to step up your posting. Doubly so if you have 1/4 or less the number of Hito (hint ... that line starts with Bella).
If you are scum please continue as we can lynch you with clear conscious later ..."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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AGar wrote: But you're right, we should wait until the combination of Night+Commexo absolutely ravages our numbers before we actually start to look for Commexo. Figure this: We're going to lose something akin to 2 a night while both factions remain. You guys want to say "Hey, let's look for Night! Fuck Commexo, they can wait!" That's great, but what do you do when you don't hit Night and the two kills demolish our numbers? Then what?
Are you intentionally trying to straw-man? No-one has suggested we absolutely ignore scummy players because they might be Commexo. What people have suggested is that focusing on lynching Commexo (and I’ll get to this later in my response) when enough scummy players exist to put to the screws.
AGar wrote:Why ignore something that seems pretty fairly straightforward right now and instead go on a wild goose chase. Tell me, oh wise ones, what leads you all have off of Staeg's flip, since that's the only real reason I can see anyone saying "Oh well we're going to completely ignore Commexo and go for Night." - because you have strong association/interaction based reads off of Staeg's lynch.
Post 615 finds me getting several good Town reads and several scum reads (Chess and yourself) from Staeg’s ISO. Funny that you seem to ignore that post exists.
AGar wrote: Commexo isn't going to look for Night, and vice versa - they both help each other in big ways right now. As long as they avoid cross-fire, their relationship over the first few days is going to be fairly mutual in trying to keep each other from being found. At most, Commexo might try and snipe a few Night so he or she doesn't wind up in a situation where town is already done and now Night just has to find the SK.
Your ‘Scum are never going to cross-kill’ stance is rather bad since it assumes full knowledge by both sides of who the other is which is pretty ludicrous. Cross-kills happen all the time when players who are deemed to be Townie are killed and flip scum. It also assumes we have no Protective or preventative roles that can help keep the Day bodycount low.
Remind me again what your case for Shin being Comexxo is? Becauase what you posted in Post 650 doesn’t even come close to being what I would call a compelling push."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 674, Minimum wrote:...um...
...you...do realize there's a guaranteed serial killer in the game, right?
Insert face-palm pic here ..."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 679, AGar wrote:My "case" on Shin isn't some wildly amazing case. It's basically gut, if you really boil it down. I read his play and more than any other player, I get pangs of "This is what an SK is going to be doing right now." If you want more than that, you're shit out of luck.
So you are basically railing that everyone isn't jumping on Shin for 'gut'. Noted.
As to you knowing you are Town ... that's ever so helpful ..."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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So Tierce what should I make that you've managed to post a "Tierce wall of Obv-Town" with lots of reads and it conspicuously fails to comment on any of the 1 in 3?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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MattP wrote: Don't ever fucking discredit my reads like that.
Or what? You’ll push to lynch the Mod-Confirmed Town player?
Also why do none of your reads affected by Staeg who as we know is the only confirmed scum?
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Bella wrote: This guy lacks the zwettish vibe that chesskid has.
Look, active lurking useless fluff!
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AGar wrote:But yet I keep hearing "Focus on Night reads."
Well I think it is more accurately stated as “Don’t focus on a rather uncompelling case on someone you don’t think is Night based on them being Commexo” but perhaps I’m wrong …
AGar wrote: Well since I know I'm town, I'm not really taking your "analysis" for being worth much, now am I?
So as hypo-Town you are going to ignore the other three reads simply because you are scummy?
And this basically side-steps your original point that reads can be made from Staeg’s ISO when you called them ‘wild goose chases’.
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Tierce wrote:It's a catch-up wall. It also conspicuously fails to comment on a lot of other players, nor on Staeg's ISO and how it should affect my reads; I'm doing things by parts and want a general gist of the game so far before doing other stuff.
That’s great and all but it was a catch-up of the first 14 pages. Are you saying there was not a single thing from any of the three worth commenting on in that span?
Please finish your catch-up first before responding …
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Regfan wrote:- Is Nuwen really just in the town pile there because you don't see Shinori and Nuwen being partners because that's a terrrrrrrrrible reason to have her as town especially if you're not even voting Shinori right now. Similarly is RC just in the town pile because you think he'd spent more time phrasing his sentences as scum? Also you state that you didn't like Quilfords slots #29 so why isn't that slot in your scum reads?
This. Town-Nuwen is active and pushes for lynches based on her reads. Scum-Nuwen is passive and happy to let things fly by around her."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 723, MattP wrote:That is the fucking dumb response and if you don't know my intentions for saying that then you don't deserve an explanation
Yeah, you can eat rope. Pro-Tip - you aren't Glork. Stop pretending to be someone who expects to be treated like him."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Question to everyone – how much bussing do you think went on with the Staeg wagon? I ask because taking a look at it I realized none of the Nightkilled Townies were on it.
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Hindu wrote:I liked Chesskid more.
Why? He provided nothing of value to scum-hunting?
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MattP wrote: I don't like when people trash my reads like that, it prevents me from doing anything productive with them. I was excited to come into a game with a bunch of people on this playerlist and I think I've improved enough recently to do well and I expect to put a lot of time into the round but if I'm going to be treated like my reads are shit right off the bat then I don't want to.
No-one likes their reads being trashed. Fact remains posting anything like that at either Regfan or Fate is pointless. They are Town. They may be wrong but they are Town.
If you want to explain your Shin read in more detail if you feel strongly about it. I don’t generally find ‘nervousness’ very viable as a scum-tell (given he’s very newbish and in a game filled to the brim with strong personalities). I have an inkling why you might consider the Staeg post scummy but I’d like to see you specifically indicate why."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 733, Regfan wrote:MoI, if there's bussing on-wagon then it's probably Quilford. I don't think likelihood of bussing or not is really a super relevant tell in this particular case though since the lynch was essentially pushed through by Fate and majority of the votes that followed were sheeping of it. Also I'm not sure I like the Chesskid slot lynch anymore, Matts reaction towards me calling his Shinori!Scum read bad and towards you come across as fairly townish.
The point of my focus is such ... everyone who died was not on the wagon. So if it seems likely that there was minimal bussing then lynching from the pool off-the-wagon is going to be a very likely goldmine for finding Night."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Minimum wrote:Including the "non-gambiting" disclaimer is weird if you were rejecting that possibility out of hand (and your intended meaning would've been clear from the context regardless.) On a related note, MoI's claimed role seems to be closer in spirit to a Knowledgeable Townie than the Informed roles of Abarat 1 since the latter just knew things about the set-up without any reference to specific players.
So it doesn’t make sense for Town-Tierce to have some level of doubt about my claim. Yet you give reasons in this post exactly why you have doubts yourselves.
:/
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Flash wrote:Tierce, what do you think of your activity level in this game so far?
6 posts over 2 days is 3.0 posts per day for Tierce.
25 posts over 14 days (July 10 to July 20 and July 22 to July 24) is 1.75 posts per day for Flash.
How do you feel about YOUR activity in the game so far?
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MattP wrote:It was confirmation bias. Shinori knew staeg was scum and picked a shitty reason to jump to the wagon
Newb scum don't do this when they jump to town wagons, they try to over justify the jump.
I disagree. Making a weak move onto a wagon that you know to be on scum makes no sense. You aren’t going to get any credit for it … in fact you are going to get hammered for possible foreknowledge and bussing as you are doing right here. If anything the hop onto the wagon by Quilford looks like a textbook case of "Hmmm ... let me hunt down things so I can present a case and not look like I'm just sheeping" for credit.
I do see what you are saying on his “I feel like I’m being set-up statement” – it doesn’t make sense from a Town perspective to feel such as the only way people should realistically come after him for Staeg’s statement is if Staeg is Town. But it really doesn’t make sense from a scum perspective either given that line of thought. I'm fairly non-plussed as I think it means he's sort of a VI.
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Reg wrote:Also I'm not sure I like the Chesskid slot lynch anymore, Matts reaction towards me calling his Shinori!Scum read bad and towards you come across as fairly townish.
Then is Bella or Sword your preferred alternate lynch I take it?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 532, RedCoyote wrote:Um, I have a couple of answers for Reg and MoI that will be forthcoming.
RedCoyote I see your content post did not address anything from Day 1. What happened to these answers?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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@Axiety–
Read Post 742 closely. Note the following –
Let's just say I'm getting A Storm of Swords flashbacks in more ways than one.
If there's a quote you'd really like a defense to, point it out. But this exchange isn't productive.
I’ll give you a little history here – Mina is referencing Storm of Swords Mafia in suggesting my behavior is reflective of it. That was a game where I, as scum, attacked a Town-hydra that Mina was a part of. So Mina is saying effectively the following:
“You play is reminding me of how you play as scum. This exchange isn’t productive”
Those are not thoughts that align themselves together. If she thinks I am reflecting scum-MoI in my behavior the exchange continuing should be of interest if she’s Town and scum-hunting. But instead she basically is saying “This is reminding you of that time you attacked Town-me as Scum-you. Drop it”.
Your thoughts?"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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Regfan wrote: Really wouldn't be surprised if nearly all of the scum-team is on this lynch.
That would put 3 scum voting MattP. Aside from Sword / Bella who would you tag as next most likely?
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Sword wrote: @ MOI , I did have just a quick question for you though…have you done any reading up on Abarat recently?
Define ‘reading up’. I went to the site listed by Hito in the first post to confirm whether or not my character had a picture and read the blurb there about my character.
Have I read the series? Nope. Have I read the previous game in any detail other than looking at Faraday’s trolling? Nope.
Why is your focus on who is scum based solely on the current top wagons Sword?
Why did you claim your vote on him was an L-2 vote when it put him at L-1?
Sword wrote: On my phone....
Unvote
I don't mind keeping the day going...
So you voted to L-1 but don’t mind the Day continuing?
VOTE: Sword
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Fate wrote:Do you have a scumread on Flash?
He’s null-scum to me at the moment. His ISO and comments at trigger my scumdar on a gut level.
Fate wrote: What is your read on Flash/Tierce respectively and why?
So you are seriously asking me for reasons? Lulz that’s funny.
Tierce is null-leaning Town simply for Staeg’s eagerness to jump on an Untrod wagon. Tierce is fairly easy to read as scum so with a bit more content this read will most likely change to either Town or scum with no Null involved.
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MattP wrote:She is a Scum Idiot, which is why his jump to the Staeg wagon makes sense. You're being obtuse right now. Her thinking is simple, she knows Staeg is scum, her being on Staegs wagon = towncred to her. If you're going to say she is a VI then treat her as such. Saying she is "going to get hammered for possible foreknowledge and bussing" wouldn't pass her mind because she is an idiot. It makes perfect sense from her line of thought to vote Staeg for any reason at the moment she did.
1. Try not indiscriminately mixing male / female pronouns when referring to the same person in the future. It makes your writing overall look less credible as the only reason for you to not use the Gender listed in Shin’s profile is to attempt to needle via being an ass.
2. You aren’t getting a Shin lynch today. Who else is scum? You should probably really get to ‘tearing Day 1 apart’ as a VT claim isn’t helping convince me to not re-vote you. Reg bought you a temporary reprieve and how long it lasts is dependant on your play.
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Bella wrote: Or not, 'cause I'm pretty sure making a statement on something you've already mentioned as part of a read on a slot doesn't count as "useless fluff". But whatever, it's not like anyone can expect better from you.
Um, no. The original Zwet comment was fluff also. Saying that Chesskid had a “Zwet feel” to him is meaningless as it is a playstyle element that has absolutely no bearing on the slot’s alignment. Zwet was a useless herp-a-derp regardless of alignment. You very much looked like you were reaching for any bullshit reason to not call him scum before which is not Pro-Town.
So you are saying "Well I fluffed earlier but now when I fluff again you can't call it fluff since it was about fluff I had already mentioned".
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Quilford wrote:PLUS they were counterwagons yesterday and AGar has made a bunch of scummy votes and posts whereas Shinori has DIRECT CONNECTIONS to FLIPPED SCUM.
Per my read AGar also has direct connections to Staeg. Why are those not relevant?
Please explain in more detail what you mean by “they were counterwagons” yesterday.
Quilford wrote: (Sidenote: Shinori's first two posts are him claiming newbscum. There is no way this is not a thing. MoI: remember ShadowGirl from IceGuy's mini? Tell me this is not exactly the same behaviour.)
Yes I remember that game. I don’t recall ShadowGirl posting in a manner reminicient of Shin here. I’ll review the game and my thoughts on her posts in the next day or so."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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In post 759, MattP wrote:I am Henry murkitt and am a regular citizen
MattP- Please confirm whether the regular citizen (or just citizen) appears in your role PM or not ..."I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
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