[OLD] Open Setup Ideas and Discussion

This forum is for discussion of individual Open Setups, including theoretical balance.
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Post Post #7250 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 1:03 pm

Post by mith »

I could calculate that, sure. Maybe later tonight, I'm out of time right now.

[edit]I expect it will be much closer to Vanilla (21%) than Vengescum (43%).[/edit]
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Post Post #7251 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 3:47 pm

Post by mith »

Actually, a Vengecop setup might be interesting too (lynched player gets to investigate someone with the result revealed to everyone) - it'd be somewhat comparable to an all-Vengeful setup, with a trade off between having to spend a lynch on a revealed scum and clearing townies instead of killing them.
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Post Post #7252 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 3:52 pm

Post by Wake1 »

How does this Setup look, guys?

Town Macho Tracker
Town Doctor
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT

Ice Mafia Cop
Iced Mafia Traitor
Ice Mafia Goon
Ice Mafia Goon

Fire Mafia Cop
Fire Mafia Traitor
Fire Mafia Goon
Fire Mafia Goon
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Post Post #7253 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 4:02 pm

Post by mith »

In post 7246, BBmolla wrote:
Dying Docs


3 Mafia Goons
10 Vengedocs (Protect a player the night after their lynch)

Is there a way to find out the EV for this mith ^


Actually, the EV for this is
exactly
the same as Vanilla. The issue is that with an even count, you have worse lynch odds than with one less townie, and this outweighs the potential benefit of getting a second protection.

Consider:

1:2 - 1/3
1:3 - 1/4 (lynch mafia) + 3/4 * 1/3 * 1/3 (lynch town, protect town, 1:2) = 1/4 + 1/12 = 1/3

2:3 - 2/5*1/3 = 2/15 = 30/225
2:4 - 2/6*1/3 (lynch mafia, 1:3) + 4/6 * 1/5 * 2/15 (lynch town, protect town, 2:3) = 1/9 + 4/225 = 29/225
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Post Post #7254 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 4:32 pm

Post by mith »

If I've got my formulas right, a 3:10 Vengecop game has EV of 45%. It's actually slightly better (for the town) than Vengescum, slightly worse than RotV LyLo for lower player count (but overtakes it eventually).
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Post Post #7255 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 4:52 pm

Post by mith »

Actually, there are three different variants I can come up with, based on how the Venge-investigation happens:

1. Result is revealed before Night happens. (Mafia can then kill the target, so there is never a confirmed innocent during day unless the Mafia decide to leave one alive for some reason. 3:10 is 38%, and overall is somewhat worse than Vengescum.)
2. Result is revealed after Night happens. (Mafia
might
kill the target by chance. 3:10 is 44%, overall better than Vengescum.)
3. Result is revealed before Night happens
and that player is protected from the Mafia's kill for that night
, to ensure a confirmed townie always exists after a townie lynch. This is sort of a combo Vengecopdoc mechanic, and has the EV above. (I only calculated it by mistake, forgot the Mafia's chance of killing the target in 2.)

Dead Boy Detectives


3 Mafia Goons
10 Vengeful Cops (on being lynched, get one investigation, the result of which is revealed publicly at the start of the following day)

7p: 2:5 (35%)
9p: 2:7 (53%)
11p: 3:8 (31%)
13p: 3:10 (43%)
15p: 3:12 (54%), 4:11 (28%)
17p: 4:13 (37%)
19p: 4:15 (45%)
21p: 5:16 (32%)
23p: 5:18 (39%)
25p: 5:20 (45%)

Variant 3 is only 1-2% different for these... and I kinda like that it guarantees a confirmed innocent, especially since that confirmed innocent will likely be one of the more suspect players.
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Post Post #7256 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 5:02 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 7252, Wake1 wrote:How does this Setup look, guys?

Town Macho Tracker
Town Doctor
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT

Ice Mafia Cop
Iced Mafia Traitor
Ice Mafia Goon
Ice Mafia Goon

Fire Mafia Cop
Fire Mafia Traitor
Fire Mafia Goon
Fire Mafia Goon


You do realize fire and ice currently is: 8x VT, 1x Doctor, 2x Ice Goon, 2x Fire Goon

You are basically saying that adding: 3x Vanilla, 1x Macho Tracker balances the addition of two new scum for each faction.

Fire and Ice works well due to its simplicity of the multiball setup, but when you start adding more scum, you are going to need a lot more town (at current rate you would have needed about +5 VT instead of +2 and likely need to get rid of macho modifier.
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Post Post #7257 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 5:06 pm

Post by Wake1 »

I am slightly confused. Some suggestions are that the Setup is Town-Sided, and others say it is Scum-sided. Of the Macho modifier is ridden it will be 'Follow the Tracker.'

May we start from here and work up, please?

Town Macho Tracker
Town Doctor
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT

Ice Mafia Cop
Ice Mafia Goon
Ice Mafia Goon

Fire Mafia Cop
Fire Mafia Goon
Fire Mafia Goon
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"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
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Post Post #7258 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 5:11 pm

Post by ika »

my argument is too many VTs. it will become too boring for many imo

make it a C++ variation type thing would probally be a better idea if you want large numbers
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Post Post #7259 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 5:23 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 7258, ika wrote:my argument is too many VTs. it will become too boring for many imo

make it a C++ variation type thing would probally be a better idea if you want large numbers


I hear you, and that's one issue on the mind. C++ variation is confusing to me, and I'd rather keep it all as one set list..

Town Macho Tracker
Town Doctor
Town Macho Ice Cop
Town Macho Fire Cop
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT

Ice Mafia Cop
Ice Mafia Roleblocker
Ice Mafia Goon

Fire Mafia Cop
Fire Mafia Roleblocker
Fire Mafia Goon


The Roleblockers would help take care of any claiming early on.

Do you know if we're allowed to use unique/original PRs in Open games?
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Post Post #7260 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 7:08 pm

Post by BBmolla »

Interesting. Thanks for taking it a step further.
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Post Post #7261 (ISO) » Wed Sep 10, 2014 7:10 pm

Post by BBmolla »

I think in practice, vengecop would be a bit more townsided than percentages show, just due to town always picking scummiest players and forcing scum to kill them, leaving towniest players alive at the end.
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Post Post #7262 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 4:49 am

Post by Wake1 »

In post 7260, BBmolla wrote:Interesting. Thanks for taking it a step further.


Thank you!

I like the thought of the dual roleblockers, because it really nails down any claiming nonsense. That, and those RB possibilities make it interesting. They wouldn't be able to RB each other either. That'd be kind cool if
Fire Mafia
RB'd
Ice Mafia
who tried to NK or Cop another member of
Fire Mafia
. Hm... Tactical...

Do you think I should leave it as is, or try to tech in some weaker PRs to make it more interesting?

What if instead of a Town Doctor were used, two elemental Docs were used instead? And/or add in elemental 1-Shot PGOs, too?

I'd like to make the game as duality-based as possible. Elemental counterparts.
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Post Post #7263 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:04 am

Post by mith »

In post 7261, BBmolla wrote:I think in practice, vengecop would be a bit more townsided than percentages show, just due to town always picking scummiest players and forcing scum to kill them, leaving towniest players alive at the end.


Agreed... It does add an interesting layer though, in that the scummy players are the ones getting to investigate, and possibly confirming as innocent players who
they
thought were scummy. Often the players who get lynched are under fire because their suspicions don't align with groupthink.

Vengewatch might be an interesting one too, and closer to what you were trying for with Vengedoc.
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Post Post #7264 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:31 am

Post by mith »

3:10 Vengewatch is 30%... Still closer to Vanilla, but not a bad option. 2:7 is 41%, 2:9 is 51%.
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Post Post #7265 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:45 am

Post by TierShift »

mith, all of your setups seem to aim towards a ~40% town EV. I know that EV theoretically should be below 50%, but do you think that holds true?
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Post Post #7266 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:52 am

Post by ika »

In post 7262, Wake1 wrote:
In post 7260, BBmolla wrote:Interesting. Thanks for taking it a step further.


Thank you!

I like the thought of the dual roleblockers, because it really nails down any claiming nonsense. That, and those RB possibilities make it interesting. They wouldn't be able to RB each other either. That'd be kind cool if
Fire Mafia
RB'd
Ice Mafia
who tried to NK or Cop another member of
Fire Mafia
. Hm... Tactical...

Do you think I should leave it as is, or try to tech in some weaker PRs to make it more interesting?

What if instead of a Town Doctor were used, two elemental Docs were used instead? And/or add in elemental 1-Shot PGOs, too?

I'd like to make the game as duality-based as possible. Elemental counterparts.


theres a flaw in the rb/cop claimers idea your trying to set

the 2 town cops can ust claim cop w/o claiming who they find. it essensaly makes more wifom games. plus its entirely negated by just outright killing them but you have 2 cops who dont have claimed who they find so both teams are going to most likely do coin flips on who to kill and could just waste their time.

they could argubly both RB one kill other, but it still leads to same thing of they are still around
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Post Post #7267 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:57 am

Post by Wake1 »

Hm...

...hm.

Crud.

I'll nix the two Cops for now.

Thank you, ika and everyone. You've been really helpful in grinding this down and polishing it up. :)
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Post Post #7268 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:01 am

Post by mith »

3:10 Vengevig (that is, X Mafia Goons vs. Y Vengeful Townies) has some nice options:

9p: 3:6 (40%)
10p: 3:7 (46%)
11p: 3:8 (47%)
12p: 3:9 (51%), 4:8 (35%)
13p: 4:9 (36%)

Higher than Nightless for all but the last one; Nightless does eventually overtake it, but it gets that LyLo benefit that made RotV so strong.
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Post Post #7269 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:02 am

Post by Wake1 »

Town Macho Tracker
Town Doctor
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT
VT

Ice Mafia Cop
Ice Mafia Roleblocker
Ice Mafia Goon

Fire Mafia Cop
Fire Mafia Roleblocker
Fire Mafia Goon


- x2 VTs
+ x2 Macho Elemental 1-Shot BP VTs? (One 1-Shot Iceproof, one 1-Shot Fireproof) (Macho fixes Doc protection)
Last edited by Wake1 on Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Post Post #7270 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:08 am

Post by mith »

TierShift, I think EV of 50% (or higher) is perfectly fine... I aim for slightly lower because I find it makes it a more interesting game if the town is at a slight disadvantage, so that they have to overcome it with good scumhunting.

Note that for Vanilla itself, town has tended to do worse than expected, but for others (Nightless) town has done just fine with <50% EV (presumably because of the inability of scum to eliminate strong town players). We ought to mine some stats on this, really.
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Post Post #7271 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 12:06 pm

Post by BBmolla »

In post 7262, Wake1 wrote:
In post 7260, BBmolla wrote:Interesting. Thanks for taking it a step further.


Thank you!

I like the thought of the dual roleblockers, because it really nails down any claiming nonsense. That, and those RB possibilities make it interesting. They wouldn't be able to RB each other either. That'd be kind cool if
Fire Mafia
RB'd
Ice Mafia
who tried to NK or Cop another member of
Fire Mafia
. Hm... Tactical...

Do you think I should leave it as is, or try to tech in some weaker PRs to make it more interesting?

What if instead of a Town Doctor were used, two elemental Docs were used instead? And/or add in elemental 1-Shot PGOs, too?

I'd like to make the game as duality-based as possible. Elemental counterparts.

I was talking to mith actually <_<'
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Post Post #7272 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 12:06 pm

Post by BBmolla »

I don't understand what your goal is with the setup Wake, why not just play fire and ice.
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Post Post #7273 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 1:07 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 7272, BBmolla wrote:I don't understand what your goal is with the setup Wake, why not just play fire and ice.


Because that is different than the very dynamic and interesting game I am currently modding offsite.

These ideas are far different than one another.
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Post Post #7274 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:40 pm

Post by BBmolla »

What ideas do you want implemented in this setup in particular
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