Scumleague FF 2015 (Locke, Yiley, TD37!)

[PokerFace]

League 2 Week 9

[Wraith]

Taking reasonable offers for Big Ben is anyone is interested.

Man I'd be interested if I wasn't spread so thin already.

[T-Bone]

Hey LL if you wanna go ahead and bench like...your entire team, that would be swell.

[Locke Lamora]

It would be kind of a disappointing way to lose my streak. Otherwise I'd totally be on board.

Before we get into Week 10, here's L1 Week 9:

Lamora's Lynch Mob 88.94

-65.16 Tally Whackers

Mr Toad's Wild Ride 134.84

-89.70 Rob
KMD's Raiders 79.02-

131.16 Beavers Love Wood

Mask of Zorotter 84.78-

90.98 Heifer Skelter

Wrath of Romo 100.86

-90.82 JPPs4FingaDethPunch

Bone's Scum-Boners 113.96

-76.48 InstaGraham

Updated odds!

Playoff

Lamora's Lynch Mob 99.94%
Mr Toad's Wild Ride 99.36%
Rob 77.32%
Heifer Skelter 42.64%
Tally Whackers 31.98%
JPPs4FingaDethPunch 23.10%
Mask of Zorotter 19.58%
Wrath of Romo 5.92%
InstaGraham 0.04%

Relegation

Bone's Scum 98.98%
KMD's Raiders 87.44%
InstaGraham 61.54%
Wrath of Romo 54.44%
Beavers Love Wood 45.66%
Mask of Zorotter 29.42%
Tally Whackers 16.12%
Heifer Skelter 6.30%
JPPs4FingaDethPunch 0.06%
Rob 0.04%

[T-Bone]

but...but....greatest.....comeback....in....fantasy....ever....sniffle

[Rob14]

I have a .04% chance of relegation? lolno

[Rob14]

This week is extremely important for me. I'm still missing Matt Forte, but I'm going up against Heifer, who is currently leader of his division and is in the wild card hunt if he's ever knocked off of that spot. Meanwhile JPP is facing Tally, who's been doing poorly. I think JPP is pretty much a lock for this week. I'm projected above Heifer, but I have low confidence in my team this week for whatever reason. I'm starting Blake Bortles at QB vs. Baltimore. Solid matchup and he's put up some good numbers, but I'm never comfortable starting the Jags QB.

[Rob14]

Meanwhile, trade deadline is tomorrow I think. Last call - anyone interested in any WRs? All of them are on the table.

[AGar]

Believe in the 1.02% T-Bone, believe!

P-Edit: Rob, you and I could theoretically lose out and be relegated, haha. Also, I need this week to swing things to my favor.

[D3f3nd3r]

Welcome back to "D3f's Season Falls Down the Drain Because He Can't Pick Defenses"

[Zachrulez]

Big Ben available! Time is running out! Act now!

[Rob14]

Big Ben available! Time is running out! Act now!

I'll take him!

On a serious note, Decker showed up in the second half. He kept my week alive, I think, because a 0.70 pt week from him is not something I think I could recover from in a week where I expect some of my big players to come in under projection. At least I won't lose this week because I started him over Diggs.

[Locke Lamora]

Rob - as long as you're not mathematically eliminated, there's always a chance, and as Agar says, both of you could lose out and be relegated. 0.04% is so small that for all practical purposes you can say you won't go down, but it's possible. If anything, it's probably slightly too low, as all the spreadsheet knows is the results so far (which I'm thinking about adding to but then it does get more complicated), and so the highest scoring teams fare better than they would by Yahoo's projections.

[Nero Cain]

The problem with points against as a measure of SOS is that it doesn't tell you how much SOS actually affected the teams

You do realize that these are not the same thing right?

Welcome back to "D3f's Season Falls Down the Drain Because He Can't Pick Defenses"

Other than maybe a few, defense is p much a crapshot. Most teams seem like they are capable of putting up big numbers here and there so you are looking for defenses that are going to get sacks/turnovers.

[PokerFace]

Andrew Luck getting hurt again sucks. Its a good thing Bortles is doing well and has a nice schedule moving forward. AFC South is a division full of bad defenses that he gets to play multiple times.Its a good thing Bortles is doing well and has a nice schedule moving forward. AFC South is a division full of bad defenses that he gets to play multiple times.

I'm starting Blake Bortles at QB vs. Baltimore. Solid matchup and he's put up some good numbers, but I'm never comfortable starting the Jags QB.

Because of Big Ben's first injury I traded Palmer to Zach as I figured Luck would be fine and Palmer would only last about as long as Big Ben was out. Palmer has lasted longer than that and Ben and Luck have looked bad"

According to Yahoo Bortles has the 4th highest remaining games projections among ALL qbs. That is more than Carson Palmer, more than Big Ben, more than Andrew Luck. The Guy I took in round 2 is NOT my starting QB. All the risk's I have taken have paid off and the least risky thing of taking Luck has not paid off. My team belongs in the Bizzaro World!

[Wraith]

Until just now I had absolutely no clue how your team was doing so damn well - now I know it's because of Devonta Freeman.

[Flameaxe]

Welcome back to "D3f's Season Falls Down the Drain Because He Can't Pick Defenses"

This year hasn't been kind for defense matchup playing.

[D3f3nd3r]

Welcome back to "D3f's Season Falls Down the Drain Because He Can't Pick Defenses"

This year hasn't been kind for defense matchup playing.

My first game I picked the wrong team because "I have no faith in the Jets to score!"

This week I picked the wrong team because "I have no faith in the Jets to not score!"

[PokerFace]

Until just now I had absolutely no clue how your team was doing so damn well - now I know it's because of Devonta Freeman.

I traded for him after week 3 when I was 1-2. I'm now 6-3. I took a risk that he was gonna be the guy in Atlanta based on what I knew about kyle Shanahan and coleman and freeman being given the #1 depth position. Zach had AP and LMiller. He didn't need a running back. Lewis was playing well for me Murray, Yeldon, Jennings were not at the time. I can't start both Luck and Palmer at the same time and can't wait for murray, yeldon, or jennings to be consistant. So I made a trade that I believed would be benefitial and it was. I traded what I had a good supply of QB's to Zach who had no QB (Big Ben was injured and Bridgewater is not an every game QB).

[Rob14]

Some would say Bridgewater isn't an any game QB.

[Axxle]

oh dang, there goes the trade deadline.

[Axxle]

Didn't see these posted yet:

L3W7


L3W8


L3W9

[T-Bone]

I dream of Manning getting pulled with -1.8 points. Come on Broncos...DO IT

[Rob14]

Pulled with -2.6 points, actually. The real question is what they do now. Do they keep Manning in, who's given them quite a nice record, or do they go with Osweiler? Their defense is dominant enough that Osweiler probably gives them the better chance in playoffs. He's unlikely to do amazing, but all he really has to do is avoid mistakes, manage the game, and let the defense help the Broncos pull away.

[Zachrulez]

So my kicker ends up getting 21 points and the only reason I used that particular kicker was because my starting kicker was on bye. I'm just going to pretend like that was a masterful decision though.