ROLE MADNESS: Dead Thread

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1175 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:09 am

PGO would have been good in this game, town powers were almost all +EV, part of why I needed to swing three guys around to make more balanced. Still rooting for sk.

CCC · Post Post #1176 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:12 am

Something just struck me.

There are 14 players left alive.

Five of these are anti-town (one SK, one Red Mafia, three Blue Mafia).

If a Town player is lynched today, and then there are three kills (I'm guessing Red Mafia will continue to try to hide), and all three kills hit Town, then there may well be as many anti-Town as Town players by tomorrow.

If Red Mafia stops hiding and hits Town tonight as well, then there may just possibly be more Anti-Town than Town tomorrow.

I mean, no single

faction

will have enough to win, but tonight could be quite the turning point.

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1177 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:12 am

Yes tonight will be interesting regardless.

CCC · Post Post #1178 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:13 am

What's +EV?

I don't know all the terminology yet...

McMenno · Post Post #1179 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:20 am

I mean if almost50 died tonight scum would be a lot better off -.-

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1180 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:21 am

expected value. I.e. It's a role that's actively helpful. PGO is an anti town role generally, so -EV. Ditto stuff like compulsive bus driver, or a vig who takes bad shots (usually vig is +EV htough swingy)

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1181 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:22 am

A50 should have been blue shot last night. Just mechanically obvious.

CCC · Post Post #1182 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:41 am

In post 1180, mhsmith0 wrote:expected value. I.e. It's a role that's actively helpful. PGO is an anti town role generally, so -EV. Ditto stuff like compulsive bus driver, or a vig who takes bad shots (usually vig is +EV htough swingy)

Ah, right. That makes sense, thanks.

mhsmith0 wrote:A50 should have been blue shot last night. Just mechanically obvious.

I imagine that it probably would have been, had a certain someone seen fit to share his investigative result with his scumbuddies...

Still, given his accuracy today, I think he'll be in this thread fairly soon.

Transcend · Post Post #1183 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 1:28 pm

Holy shit a50 is a god.

Skelda · Post Post #1184 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 2:27 pm

There are so many scum in this game and I feel like Town has lynched really well, it seems strange that they could wind up having as many members as scum so soon.

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1185 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 2:42 pm

Multi ball, no cross killing and few kill overlaps or protects, especially early. Plus a lot of vig misses, and normally by now the sk would have had decent odds of eating a lynch.

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1186 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 2:43 pm

Also, don't forget that most of towns lynches have been result of investigative results, whitch town got in spades.

Klingoncelt · Post Post #1187 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:05 pm

In post 388, Blanche wrote:
and what's with titus calling rachmarie grandma :/ she needs to drop that it's kinda mean

It wasn't Rach, Titus was calling me Grandma, it's my username at another site.

Klingoncelt · Post Post #1188 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 5:38 pm

In post 600, Wake1 wrote:...do Mathblade and Titus always go after each other when they're in games together?

Yes. Yes they do.

Remember the RitP game at USMB?

Klingoncelt · Post Post #1189 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 7:35 pm

In post 1161, mhsmith0 wrote:Sk killed Klingon.

Any particular reason why?

Klingoncelt · Post Post #1190 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 7:38 pm

I had Elyse pegged as Scum about 5 minutes into Day1.

Creature · Post Post #1191 (ISO) » Sat Sep 10, 2016 11:09 pm

We might make this if town doesn't massclaim too soon. I wonder why they didn't yet.

CCC · Post Post #1192 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 1:51 am

I don't see how a massclaim would stop us. All the Blue Mafia guys need to do is drop the "mafia" part from their titles and claim what's left, and we'll all fit right in.

Creature · Post Post #1193 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 2:13 am

I am afraid they'll start associating our claims with the flipped red scum.

Creature · Post Post #1194 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 2:14 am

Maybe we have a decent chance as half the players alive are easy mislynches and competent players are quickly dying.

CCC · Post Post #1195 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 7:32 am

In post 5543, RachMarie wrote:lol ccc did not stand a chance his own team bussed him town wanted him lynched and red team also wanted him lynched

(Really, under the circumstances, it was sensible for my teammates to jump on the bus...)

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1196 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 7:36 am

In post 1189, Klingoncelt wrote:
In post 1161, mhsmith0 wrote:Sk killed Klingon.
Any particular reason why?

Mason I think. Sk diary not super long as this point.

mhsmith0 · Post Post #1197 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 7:38 am

Actually...

Spoiler:

Titus · Post Post #1198 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 11:21 am

In post 1195, CCC wrote:
In post 5543, RachMarie wrote:lol ccc did not stand a chance his own team bussed him town wanted him lynched and red team also wanted him lynched

(Really, under the circumstances, it was sensible for my teammates to jump on the bus...)

Yeah. Sorry for the slow roll. I wanted town at the front.

Zachstralkita · Post Post #1199 (ISO) » Sun Sep 11, 2016 12:39 pm

In post 1183, Transcend wrote:Holy shit a50 is a god.

we're constructing giant statues of him to worship