Coin Game - Game Over

DarkLightA · Post Post #56 (isolation #1) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 6:03 am

You should also note (in case you haven't played before) that the second round goes significantly lower than the first.

DarkLightA · Post Post #58 (isolation #2) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 6:06 am

I'm sacrificing myself and submitting 1 coin for the common good. Everyone is welcome to submit 2.

DarkLightA · Post Post #60 (isolation #3) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 6:07 am

Actually submitted 70

DarkLightA · Post Post #61 (isolation #4) » Sat Sep 24, 2016 6:08 am

Let's all go for 70 and kick out harkonnen?

DarkLightA · Post Post #82 (isolation #5) » Mon Sep 26, 2016 9:55 am

i submitted 22

DarkLightA · Post Post #84 (isolation #6) » Mon Sep 26, 2016 11:50 am

Damn why didn't i think of that

DarkLightA · Post Post #86 (isolation #7) » Mon Sep 26, 2016 12:14 pm

Someone should submit -3. That's the ultimate strategy.

PS: Can you submit negative numbers? Asking for a friend.

DarkLightA · Post Post #91 (isolation #8) » Tue Sep 27, 2016 3:40 am

I'm betting 17. Good to get ahead in life I guess.

DarkLightA · Post Post #97 (isolation #9) » Wed Sep 28, 2016 8:52 am

I'm expecting bids no lower than 700!

DarkLightA · Post Post #108 (isolation #10) » Sat Oct 01, 2016 4:49 am

I think so. At the very least I will be voting 24.

DarkLightA · Post Post #127 (isolation #11) » Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:11 am

Can the prices stop climbing plz? Thx

DarkLightA · Post Post #132 (isolation #12) » Mon Oct 10, 2016 7:22 am

Playing it safe might be the way to go.

DarkLightA · Post Post #137 (isolation #13) » Mon Oct 10, 2016 10:19 pm

Jesus this is getting real

DarkLightA · Post Post #151 (isolation #14) » Fri Oct 14, 2016 6:47 am

Ice cold, but I love it.

DarkLightA · Post Post #157 (isolation #15) » Tue Oct 18, 2016 3:33 am

DarkLightA · Post Post #160 (isolation #16) » Tue Oct 18, 2016 10:56 am

Oh brother!

DarkLightA · Post Post #169 (isolation #17) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 8:35 am

gl harkonnen!

DarkLightA · Post Post #170 (isolation #18) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 8:37 am

i'm rooting for you even if no one else is!

DarkLightA · Post Post #173 (isolation #19) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 8:59 am

I'm waiting

DarkLightA · Post Post #175 (isolation #20) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 9:06 am

Lol

Feeling the love

DarkLightA · Post Post #179 (isolation #21) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 11:13 pm

Root for the overdog guys

DarkLightA · Post Post #189 (isolation #22) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 2:05 am

gg all! That was a very fun round

DarkLightA · Post Post #193 (isolation #23) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 3:09 am

I did some data logging while playing:

Some definite trends. Notably, the difference between refunded bids increased quite consistently with 2/round for much of the first half of the game. Also interesting was the points where this difference increased consistently with 1/round². When this trend slowed down (points 14 and 15 on last graph), it almost screwed me: seeing it jump up again at 16 made me think it was somehow catching up to the past trend, and I expected it to rise about 8 in the round labelled 17. Instead it rose 11 and I got the refund. However it was just luck that I wasn't eliminated that round.

In terms of strategy I think the best thing is to aim for a safe bet. Expected refunded value + a few coins. The refunded amount isn't worth the potential elimination/tiebreak, especially if it's shared.