Mini 1840: Watch Dogs Blitz [Game Over]
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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hello everyone. i didn't have a chance to read the full game before night ended, so i'm doing that now.
there's a bit to catch up on, so if anyone has any important events i should know about that they want opinions on, tell me so i can pay attention to them.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i still have no context for any of this, but that question looked to me like what Panther was reading it was. 'are you confident about your result, and should we listen to you?'
i don't see a problem with that, Varsoon.
also, hello! :>-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i wouldn't discount the possibility.
1821: why did this come to mind, Infinity? trying for a mislynch in such a manner is as dangerous as fakeclaiming a guilty.
still not caught up, don't have time. but i'm here during class, if you want me to look at specific things.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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no reason to fakeclaim that one is able to roleblock phone actions. that'd be stupid.
Stargazers, you have what amounts to a guilty on SlySly. yet you're voting Creature because he got a guilty result on you? even though it's been brought up that redirection or framing could be possible? i don't buy it.
did i misunderstand something?
add the points earlier, that it would be ridiculous for Creature as scum to frame you in this manner when he would likely be lynched the next day.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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oh. happy scumday, SlySly.
nice action claim there, but it had little to do with what i was asking Stargazers. the point is they claim to have roleblocked you on the night of a no kill and don't seem very suspicious of it.
Stargazers: why is a Creature/SlySly scumteam unlikely in your mind?
i can't point to any games i remember right now, but i'm sure i've seen those elements used on this site before. especially in games where (according to Creature's claim) results are given without player names.
'Not Chara visited no one last night' is a different result from 'your target visited no one last night'. one of them leaves the possibility for redirection or framing.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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lane: i assumed that, if true, it would simply block phone use. including text-messaging, hacks, etc. why wouldn't it block hacks?
Sly: that's still a claim of what you did. it wasn't needed, is the point.
Maria: did you? maybe Nahdia said they thought they weren't on a team.
pedit: what the hell.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i think their role is only non-consecutive if they do both types of blocking. not sure, that would be a good question.In post 1884, Infinity 324 wrote:@stargazers You guys claim non-consecutive right?
If maria is town, slysly is scum 100%. I think a framer/redirector is more likely than creature suiciding to kill a non-consecutive roleblocker, but creature specifically doesn't have to be the rolecop. Scum just has to have a rolecop on their team.
pedit: what does that mean, Dunn?-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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...ok, Sly. so we just disagree. claiming no action is still giving information about your role, and i don't want to argue semantics with you. that's like claiming VT and defending yourself with 'oh, but i didn't claim a PR'. it helps scum narrow things down.
explain your self-vote. i can't see a reason for it beyond stirring the pot.
Dunn: oh, right. i'd forgotten the name of that action.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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town don't normally volunteer to lynch themselves when they get guiltied. especially with talk of roles messing with night actions. i mean, really?
well, maybe Sly is just like that. considering his signature. i still don't like it.
pedit: but yes, that. a roleblock + a no kill is not irontight for a few reasons, but it's a solid guilty.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i want to catch up before we start deciding lynches. there are a few things at play here.
also, Sly might be town.
lane: there are other explanations. i'm having trouble keeping up with this discussion and reading at the same time.
i would lynch Stargazers, if i had to choose right now. but i want to read.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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Sly: i looked at your Dunn case. i don't think pushing town on day 1 is particularly scummy by itself. did you find their reasons to be contrived?
also, i'm terrible, sorry. i've been busy and still have not caught up. but entirely based on day 2, i would still lynch Stargazers. and Panther is town.
Sly needs to stop voting himself.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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this post also had a question for you.In post 2071, SlySly wrote:
As soon as the votes are where they need to be, on Stargazers, my vote will move to the right place.In post 2070, Not Chara wrote:Sly: i looked at your Dunn case. i don't think pushing town on day 1 is particularly scummy by itself. did you find their reasons to be contrived?
also, i'm terrible, sorry. i've been busy and still have not caught up. but entirely based on day 2, i would still lynch Stargazers. and Panther is town.
Sly needs to stop voting himself.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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that wasn't really a response. town push town a lot. you have to tell me why Dunn wasn't misguided town, or else say why all (or most) of the other Gamma votes were towny ones.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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2062. i like the pressing here and asking for clarification, it's something i find myself doing a lot.
i need to find time to read though, because at this point i'm missing a good portion of the game.
2079: i don't know whether to be flattered or annoyed, because i haven't put very much of myself into this game yet. :>
but seriously, what does this mean? it's not really a read so much as a statement of 'Chara isn't doing anything stupid'.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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oh, right. Sly, when i reread i'll be paying attention to that. doing a quick check of your ISO, this scumread on dunn just seems to have come from nowhere with only the revelation that Gamma is town + a post involving a winking emoticon being factors to change it.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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Sly: who did Dunn bus? Stargazers? or are you using bus to mean voting town?
yet, i do sort of like your answer. it doesn't make dunn look more like scum, but it makes you a bit more likely to be town.
pedit: wait, what? you just said they could be a team. does that not imply a scumread?-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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Sly: oh. my bad on missing that, thank you.
Infinity: my read on panther is mostly from tone right now. i know it's fakeable, but i like the way he asked. better stuff when i catch up.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i've found the 'lining up lynches' tell to be a bit weak. if scum wanted to lynch Creature for being wrong... why not accuse him after Stargazer's flips town?In post 2152, Grapevine wrote:
It reads more like lining up lynches to me.In post 1807, Not Chara wrote:i still have no context for any of this, but that question looked to me like what Panther was reading it was. 'are you confident about your result, and should we listen to you?'
i don't see a problem with that, Varsoon.
also, hello! :>
No shit Panther's willing to deal with the consequences of what he said--trying to insist "Oh but it you're wrong we get to lynch you, too" is awkward. Like I said, it seems like setting up for a town v town where both get lynched.
[snip]
-V
speaking of, what are your reads on Creature and Stargazers? why do you think both of them are town?-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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do you still think this?In post 2151, Expedience wrote:A town roleblocker that isn't Stargazers that blocked the scum kill
Yea, Infinity explained it after I asked.
it's kind of a stretch that this town roleblocker wouldn't try and get their guilty lynched.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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Expedience: i keep forgetting about the Last Will mechanic. i should stop doing that. good answer.
and i agree with you regarding grapevine. that they saw a guilty and thought both the accuser and accused were town is a weird jump to make from the beginning.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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not lynching anything over stargazers today.
actaully, when Expedience requoted infinity(?)'s post that started all of this, i found the wording odd. i remembered it as a normal question, but on the reread it was strangely casual, like he was expecting a town Stargazer lynch and to grab a Creature mislynch on the backhand.
especially now that it's been explained, grapevine shouldn't be getting votes for this. i've only read this page so i'm not sure if they have them, just a guess based on Varsoon's words on this page.
going to bed.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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to add to the above: it wasn't a 'how confident are you' kind of feel, or a 'we'll lynch you if stargazer flips town, you know that'. it was more like 'hey there, if we lynch stargazer and they're town, can we lynch you?'
i'm likely not articulating myself well. if you want clarification, see you tomorrow.
this is more in relation to grapevine than infinity. mainly, i can see where varsoon is coming from.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i'm still swamped.
but there isn't any way i'll be replacing out here, so you're stuck with my low activity.
someone ask me a targeted question and i'll see if i have time to answer. i'll attempt to catch up more while Aquanim is doing the same. apologies. :<-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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alright. i'm finally,actuallycaught up. let's chat.
i have reads, of varying confidence. and i'm aware of the approaching deadline. but for a few reasons (having to do with information from my read of the thread), i'm going to wait for replies to messages first.
a bottom line is. i don't want Stargazers lynched.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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House-slot is nowhere near obvious town.
Creature's early play was terrible, and faking a guilty on a scumpartner is only another kind of bus.
your early play was also awful, but i find the likelihood of you immediately outing that i'd claimed traitor to you as scum to be really, really unlikely.
pedit: i was hoping you'd believe it. i knew you were scumreading me, so i thought there was a fair chance of it working. that, and this game having private communication makes traitor an enticing possibility for scum. it'spossiblescum would immediately not believe me due to knowing their own roles and numbers, but if we assume 3 scum in 13 players, traitor is possible.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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for a while, i was toying with Stargazers being town. for some reason, i remembered Creature entertaining the possibility of a redirector/framer, and i thought he was possible he took a leap to do fake guilty town when popular opinion is 'no sane scum would do so'. when i'd finished catching up, i realized i was wrong about that. so i don't believe Creature is scum with Stargazers town. there's no way.
Maria looked vaguely town. but on Nahdia's side of things, i like them less.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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summary of House slot.
i originally had him as town for his interpretation of lane's townslip. (for the record, i also agree that lane is very, very likely town)
then, 343 and 344.
it's true that it doesn't count as whiteknighting, what House did. he has good cause to read lane as town.
then 348 and the one directly after. House really felt like he needed to defend himself over defending lane, despite calling him town because of the slip. why would you need to point out that you happened to question one of lane's posts? House is definitely townreading lane here, so there's not really a good reason to say 'damn lane, didn't expect this defensiveness' in the first place. but it's fine on its own. then he calls back to it... i don't like it at all.
there's also his interactons with Gamma. more on that when i get a minute.
pedit: ok, i see where the difference lies. i should have specifically said power-bussing, the kind that assures your scumbuddy would be lynched.
pretty sure i said i wanted gazers lynched.
unless you're referring to what i said right after i said i was caught up? that was to see if i could bait an answer out of stargazers. i claimed traitor to them as well. you answered first, so it ended up being moot.-
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what does this post mean?In post 2370, Creature wrote:Either way you probably won't have to lynch me unless scum is confident I won't wreck their faction down with my results.-
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1161, i don't like at all.
for this:
1178 and 1184. there's really no consideration that Gamma is inadequately explaining himself, or even that he genuinely feels that way. House has to explaintoGamma why his thoughts don't make sense, which, really, you'd only need to do if Gamma was town, not scum. then. 'i don't get why'. if you don't get it, why would Gamma do it as scum, either? this isn't hindsight is 20/20. i'm not saying players who misread Gamma are scum. Mathblade, i'm pretty sure is town, they were just really off-base.
but the way House was pushing it doesn't feel like someone who thought that player was scum. i think he was fine with lynching Gamma because he was justified in following his townread on Mathblade. 1378. it gives him reason to start the push. this is difficult to explain, because Gamma's logicwasflawed... but there's no accounting for mistakes being made, it all boils down to blindly trusting Mathblade.-
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i know that's why House did it. i'm wondering why he felt the need to defend himself. did he feel threatened by Dunn? it's like it's just there to be a token showing of House questioning lane. but it's not real questioning, it's just calling lane out for something House didn't even believe made lane scum. the whole way it fell made it feel fabricated to me.
the thing with Creature's bus is that, you're right. it's definitely much stronger than simply going through with a vote on your scumbuddy. the motivation is the same. murder your scumbuddy -> achieve towncred.
going to go grab Creature's posts when i have time, because my point here is that Creature was giving me bad feelings during my reread, and i don't think getting a guilty on Stargazers (assuming they flip scum) overrides that in the least.
i can't speak for how a lot of players have failed to consider scum motivation. but House ignored both scum and scum motivation and was purely using a logical error as a reason for scum Gamma. that's about as shallow as one can get. logical =/= town, and House should know that. (the same with the reverse)
as for everyone townreading my scumreads: i'd have to check again. now that i'm caught up, i can properly have conversations about this. it's difficult to look at today's scumreads due to the guilty hanging over us.
actually, speaking of: i don't like Creature outing his guilty immediately. there was no need for that at all. it just makes the day that much more useless for analysis. not sure if that's alignment indicative for Creature because i can understandwhysomeone would out their guilty quickly.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i really can't understand what you're trying to say with your 'as town' comment. rephrase?In post 2377, Creature wrote:Let's see what happens when I claim a guilty on my buddy:
As town, scum is very likely going to kill me because they don't want to have a high risk of being caught just to save a mislynch. As scum, town will worry about why I wasn't killed for the reason I said.
I also run the risk of being counterclaimed.
as for the second. highly townread players survive to late game often. but i don't want to expand on this right now, there's no need. especially if i'm incorrect about you.
and your last point is another that is better to not be talked about.-
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i don't. he took that one point and compounded it.
if you have House as town, explain why, or quote where you explain?
and talk to me about your other scumreads. grapevine, Panther, Expedience?-
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all of the scumteam at once?
how would these players know what i messaged to the others?
i'm pretty sure Infinity was the only player online.
it's possible Stargazers wrote a post in the scum PT about it, but... Infinity's reply was nearly immediate. i doubt he knew what i said to you and Stargazers. i'm very comfortable with that townread. i got good use out of it for that.
so, unless you're scumclaiming, (i mean, it's possible... haha) Stargazers is the only scum player i claimed to.
what i'm wondering is why, in 2379, you didn't say 'Chara claimed traitor to me as well'? did you assume that the rest of the thread would just figure it out?-
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i thought i posted a response to this, but i guess i didn't.In post 2391, Infinity 324 wrote:If you want me to quote a ton of posts where people failed to consider scum motivation in this game, I'll do it. It's a very common mistake to make as town. There's a reason why my sig has to exist.
House town is a really strong gut feeling I guess. I might try to quote some posts that stuck out to me
Most of my scumreads are PoE. Every time varsoon talks it makes my gut squirm and it doesn't feel like he's gamesolving at all. But grapes looks town to me. Panther is because he kept arguing to lynch gazers after it was clear they were being lynched and because...he's not doing as much as I think he should given how he seems to me as a player. And expedience I think is town tbh but PoE. Now that I went over it again I kinda want to lynch grapevine...it feels like grapes may have been trying to buddy me
I hate to admit it but...your gambit looks town. And I don't want to have to go over this game once again but I really should
i'd like to see you quote some town House posts, yes.
i'll take another look at Grapevine and Panther.-
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which question? sorry, i don't feel like looking for it right now.In post 2410, Grapevine wrote:Creature that's not an answer to my question dude.
why aren't you voting Stargazers?
pedit: a number of posts in your ISO talk about why you're scumreading Expedience. i liked the points.-
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are you planning on voting Stargazers at some point?In post 2412, Aquanim wrote:
Do you want to pursue this before the lynch?In post 2410, Grapevine wrote:Creature that's not an answer to my question dude.
grapes: and this would be why Creature is a good bet for scum.-
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Not Chara Mafia Scum
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i was originally just going to send one to Infinity. i decided to send the other two after thinking more about how a traitor would want to disguise their messages, so i framed it like i had multiple players i wanted to talk to about other things.
i also thought i might be able to learn something from how they each handled the different messages. if i could discern if two of them had private communication outside of the texting system, or not. the messages were tailored with that in mind.
it ended up only helping with Infinity. his day one play was really problematic, and i didn't like how it related to the Gamma wagon. but i can't see scum responding like how he did at all. there was almost no pause in his receiving the message and outing it.
his text reply back also goes hand in hand with that.-
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my claim didn't look fake. read my last post on the matter. the idea was to be as convincing as possible.
Infinity respondedimmediately, there was no hesitation. scum doesn't do that if there's a chance they have a traitor and they're actually making a reachout.
the text message back to me was essentially (not quoting): 'sorry bud, you messed up'. he actually thought i was a traitor.
i'm not sure if there's a vigilante. Mathblade is a weird vig kill, in my opinion.
Dunn, does your ability show all items that are/have been in the game, or just the ones that players are currently in possession of?
either Infinity protected Creature or scum killed Infinity.-
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i'm debating on hacking the Database as well, if it's possible. not sure. it's useful for trying to hack scum, but the Database possibly has a greater chance for success?
Aquanim needs to give concrete reads today. Infinity's bodyguard is a good reason for me to re-look at Creature when i have time, as well.
pedit: i see, thank you.
what's your read on Expedience?-
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what part of 'Infinity responded too fast to have heard from any scum PT' did you not understand?
Infinity's in thread reaction was also really town. you're willfully ignoring the thought i put into the claims.-
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Dunnstral, message me. i want to hack the Database, but i think i'll come up with nothing if it's the same slot.
i'm confident that lane, Dunnstral, grapevine, are town. SlySly is possibly town.
the rest, excluding Creature, i would lynch.
pedit: alright. i'm going to bed soon, in that case.-
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you're ignoring my words now.
you just said there's no way Infinity would believe the claim because i claimed to three people.
he wouldn'tknowthat i claimed to three people because he would have had no time to check the bloody PT if one of his hypothetical buddies had posted about it.
how on earth would he have known what the other two texts said?
message back to me was towny, reaction in the thread would not have come from scum. i've explained this.
i can't tell if you're being deliberately obtuse in not considering this from my point of view, or if you really can't conceive an opinion outside of your own.-
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- Location: basement
yes, i just said that.
no scum would protect a guiltied buddy at L-1, and there was also no reason not to lynch Panther with that guilty.
look at House's play, and look at Aquanim's lack of play and reads. that slot is scum.