Open 655: Fire and Ice Mafia OVER


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Post Post #196 (isolation #0) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 8:39 am

Post by Creature »

Got a town PM
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Post Post #201 (isolation #1) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 8:53 am

Post by Creature »

The weather is good. Is it too hot or too cold there?
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Post Post #203 (isolation #2) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 8:58 am

Post by Creature »

My vote is in the right place.
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Post Post #205 (isolation #3) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 8:59 am

Post by Creature »

Tenshii town
Io town
Drone probtown
Blix900 townlean
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Post Post #206 (isolation #4) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:04 am

Post by Creature »

I noticed I am townreading everybody on my wagon, let me see something.
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Post Post #207 (isolation #5) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:04 am

Post by Creature »

Don't want to remove any townread there.
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Post Post #208 (isolation #6) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:06 am

Post by Creature »

Expedience can also join this list.
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Post Post #209 (isolation #7) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:07 am

Post by Creature »

Guess Firebringer's computer either overheat or freezed.
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Post Post #213 (isolation #8) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:18 am

Post by Creature »

In post 211, Charloux wrote:
In post 203, Creature wrote:My vote is in the right place.
So you caught up and deduced that i am scum in ~15 minutes after replacing in? No comment.
It's easy to difference your scum and town play.
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Post Post #216 (isolation #9) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:13 am

Post by Creature »

Why can't people be more readable?
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Post Post #219 (isolation #10) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:16 am

Post by Creature »

In post 217, MariaR wrote:
In post 216, Creature wrote:Why can't people be more readable?
I had to stop and laugh for a good second seeing you said this,
Don't worry, eventually I'll lynch you.
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Post Post #221 (isolation #11) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:16 am

Post by Creature »

In post 218, Firebringer wrote:Creature is very readable.
But to answer your question creature, what fun would it be if it was easy?
At least so I can have a decent couple of posts to read.
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Post Post #236 (isolation #12) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:25 am

Post by Creature »

VOTE: MariaR
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Post Post #244 (isolation #13) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:30 am

Post by Creature »

Nvm, that slot is scum.

VOTE: Dunnstral
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Post Post #246 (isolation #14) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:32 am

Post by Creature »

In post 243, Tenshii wrote:@Creature Please explain your reads.
Oh let me see, your posts sound like these weird ones you make as town.

Io is a meta read.

Drone is a gut and another reason I can't tell (really, it's not worth questioning it).

Blix900 is pushing discussion, I like it.

Charloux looks like how he plays as scum (jester-y) rather than town (shy).
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Post Post #248 (isolation #15) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:37 am

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lol Dunnstral already gave up.
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Post Post #251 (isolation #16) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:40 am

Post by Creature »

In post 249, Tenshii wrote:@Creature Elaborate more on your Tenshii,
Micro 647
Io,
Mini Normal 1827 and Newbie 1690
and Blix read?
Spoiler:
In post 99, Blix900 wrote:Eh, what the hell.

VOTE: Kop
In post 104, Blix900 wrote:
In post 102, Harkonnen97 wrote:lazy town
The best read I've seen all day.
In post 105, Blix900 wrote:
In post 100, Expedience wrote:So you don't think Harkonnen is scum anymore, Blix900?
Nah I still read him as scum, I just felt like wagoning.
In post 106, Blix900 wrote:
In post 101, Harkonnen97 wrote:blix ur fucking scum mate
I want you to take a pic of your face when I flip town mate
In post 107, Blix900 wrote:
In post 102, Harkonnen97 wrote:i wouldnt be scumreading him if he kept his vote on me. i would be reading him as dumb/lazy town then. but the fact that he so easily stopped scumreading me means he was just acting and he was picking at my post just for the sake of having a scumread.
Or I was attacking you to see how you would react? Dude you seriously don't have a problem with the English language, give yourself some credit if you actually think you're bad at English.
In post 109, Blix900 wrote:
In post 108, Harkonnen97 wrote:not dumb like you.
Any reason you're insulting me? Feeling the heat?
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Post Post #252 (isolation #17) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:41 am

Post by Creature »

In post 249, Tenshii wrote:@Creature Elaborate even more on your Tenshii, Io, and Blix read?
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Post Post #253 (isolation #18) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:41 am

Post by Creature »

In post 252, Creature wrote:
In post 249, Tenshii wrote:@Creature Elaborate even even more on your Tenshii, Io, and Blix read?
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Post Post #255 (isolation #19) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:42 am

Post by Creature »

In post 253, Creature wrote:
In post 252, Creature wrote:
In post 249, Tenshii wrote:@Creature Elaborate everything until you get RSI on your Tenshii, Io, and Blix read?
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Post Post #257 (isolation #20) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:42 am

Post by Creature »

Yes, I am, just don't make me explain everything to the last detail.
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Post Post #260 (isolation #21) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:43 am

Post by Creature »

Some like this:
In post 35, Tenshii wrote:
In post 14, Harkonnen97 wrote:^scumbuddies distancing xd
And yet no vote
In post 30, Harkonnen97 wrote:i already have 3 townreads and 1 scumread.
In post 32, Harkonnen97 wrote:no

i was just kidding. i wanted to look smart.
Failed attempt at looking like smart town

VOTE: Harkonnen97
In post 31, Expedience wrote:Am I the scumread?
Also FoS Expedience for asking about himself instead of just the reads in general
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Post Post #261 (isolation #22) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:44 am

Post by Creature »

In post 258, Tenshii wrote:I don't get how my posts give off a town vibe/weird vibe either. And you're just stating games, not really saying why they are similar.
That's what you said in another game (I think).
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Post Post #264 (isolation #23) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:50 am

Post by Creature »

Both
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Post Post #265 (isolation #24) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:50 am

Post by Creature »

Because I feel you make these posts as town (I don't know your scum meta though).
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Post Post #267 (isolation #25) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 10:54 am

Post by Creature »

Because so far I was always right.
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Post Post #302 (isolation #26) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 1:35 pm

Post by Creature »

In post 300, Tenshii wrote:I voted Creature because his townreads have little/no substance behind it.
Not a scum tell.
In all of my completed games, scum has townread me for weak reasons.
My reason isn't weak though, you can't understand.
And in one of those games, Creature was scum and townread me just like how he's townreading me now.
Scum!me is me trying to imitate how town!me would read others.
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Post Post #306 (isolation #27) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 2:00 pm

Post by Creature »

Like you questioning my townread on you solidified it quite more.
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Post Post #307 (isolation #28) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 2:01 pm

Post by Creature »

but seriously, no town member ever had you as town for something like meta?
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Post Post #311 (isolation #29) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 2:11 pm

Post by Creature »

Because I had a feeling this is your town game, can't explain feelings.
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Post Post #316 (isolation #30) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 2:20 pm

Post by Creature »

How's questioning a townread a scum tell?
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Post Post #330 (isolation #31) » Wed Oct 05, 2016 2:40 pm

Post by Creature »

Oh no, 649!MariaR strikes again.

VOTE: MariaR
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Post Post #347 (isolation #32) » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:03 am

Post by Creature »

Inb4 this game gets an entirely new playerlist.
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Post Post #348 (isolation #33) » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:04 am

Post by Creature »

1. Creature
2. Firebringer
3. Io

4. MariaR
5. Tenshii

6. Charloux
7. Expedience

8. rJXr
9. Dunnstral
10. Drone

11. Narurider*
12. Blix900
13. Kop
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Post Post #353 (isolation #34) » Thu Oct 06, 2016 7:09 am

Post by Creature »

Nvm, that post 99 is bad.

VOTE: Blix900
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Post Post #387 (isolation #35) » Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:09 am

Post by Creature »

Btw, Expedience is town and I feel this is different than the game where he was buddying me.
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Post Post #392 (isolation #36) » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:34 am

Post by Creature »

The way he avoided the Charloux wagon and never commented on him, I wouldn't be surprised with a Charloux + Kop scum team.
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Post Post #395 (isolation #37) » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:36 am

Post by Creature »

Oh nvm, I wasn't voting Charloux.
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Post Post #396 (isolation #38) » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:36 am

Post by Creature »

Blix900 is posting elsewhere.
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Post Post #399 (isolation #39) » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:38 am

Post by Creature »

But you're the only one voting Io.
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Post Post #403 (isolation #40) » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:44 am

Post by Creature »

In post 397, Kop wrote:I glimpsed over the whole wagon forming, and didn't feel anything to contribute towards it.
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Post Post #429 (isolation #41) » Sat Oct 08, 2016 2:23 am

Post by Creature »

I'm happy with VOTE: Charloux
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Post Post #430 (isolation #42) » Sat Oct 08, 2016 2:23 am

Post by Creature »

L-2 btw

Still recommend you count the votes.
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Post Post #434 (isolation #43) » Sat Oct 08, 2016 4:37 am

Post by Creature »

4 more hours until another prod.
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Post Post #435 (isolation #44) » Sat Oct 08, 2016 4:37 am

Post by Creature »

I'd like to L-1 Charloux.
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Post Post #476 (isolation #45) » Sun Oct 09, 2016 2:00 pm

Post by Creature »

Nothing's really happening.
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Post Post #477 (isolation #46) » Sun Oct 09, 2016 2:00 pm

Post by Creature »

It's funny because if scum is being wagoned, only one can save them besides themselves.
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Post Post #503 (isolation #47) » Mon Oct 10, 2016 9:35 am

Post by Creature »

If I could use my PC...
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Post Post #526 (isolation #48) » Tue Oct 11, 2016 4:35 am

Post by Creature »

In post 522, malpascp wrote:Also I love the way he says "IF I flip town", not "WHEN I flip town".
lol malpascp thinks this actually means something.
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Post Post #562 (isolation #49) » Tue Oct 11, 2016 2:15 pm

Post by Creature »

Hi Not_Not_Mafia
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Post Post #598 (isolation #50) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 5:52 am

Post by Creature »

Damn, I forgot this game.
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Post Post #599 (isolation #51) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 5:52 am

Post by Creature »

But it looks like half the players also forgot the game.
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Post Post #606 (isolation #52) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 9:13 am

Post by Creature »

Actually I have no resistance to Kop wagon.

How many votes he's currently at?
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Post Post #608 (isolation #53) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 9:40 am

Post by Creature »

VOTE: Kop

L-1
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Post Post #622 (isolation #54) » Sat Oct 15, 2016 12:56 pm

Post by Creature »

VOTE: Fluffynuggets
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Post Post #634 (isolation #55) » Sat Oct 15, 2016 3:41 pm

Post by Creature »

I'd rather hunt ice mafia
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Post Post #644 (isolation #56) » Sun Oct 16, 2016 12:03 am

Post by Creature »

If we lynch fire mafia today, tomorrow we're most likely going to a 6:2 (maybe without the doctor).
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Post Post #645 (isolation #57) » Sun Oct 16, 2016 12:04 am

Post by Creature »

If we lynch ice mafia today, we're going night with 7:1:1 and scum has a chance of crosskilling.

Even if we mislynch, there's a chance that scum will crosskill (also it's ideal for the last fire goon to kill an ice goon).
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Post Post #653 (isolation #58) » Sun Oct 16, 2016 3:24 am

Post by Creature »

Nah, if we lynch Fire today, our chance to win will be very small.
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Post Post #659 (isolation #59) » Sun Oct 16, 2016 8:34 am

Post by Creature »

Then we'll have to find an ice goon and then find associative.
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Post Post #670 (isolation #60) » Sun Oct 16, 2016 10:49 am

Post by Creature »

In post 668, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 653, Creature wrote:Nah, if we lynch Fire today, our chance to win will be very small.
If scum don't cross kill we have to lynch scum EVERY DAY in order to not lose

??? That's busted
If we get to 1:1:1

Nolynch, scum will be forced into a dilemma where they can either kill the townie, or kill the other. If both kill each other, town win.

If we get to 2:1:1

One townie candidates to get lynched, scum goes night with 1:1:1.
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Post Post #671 (isolation #61) » Sun Oct 16, 2016 10:53 am

Post by Creature »

If we lynch the last fire goon today, we're going to have a semi-mountainuous 7:2 with a nightstart.
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Post Post #712 (isolation #62) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 9:44 pm

Post by Creature »

Toooold you.
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Post Post #713 (isolation #63) » Wed Oct 19, 2016 9:55 pm

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Now we have two associatives to work with.
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Post Post #719 (isolation #64) » Thu Oct 20, 2016 5:06 am

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So it's currently 5:1:1, even if it doesn't look like, we're in a good spot:

Always calculate the number of players left in each faction.
5:1:1
4:1:1
3:1:1
If the game is currently in one of these states, you can aim to get scum without straight out losing (note that you'll have to find the other scum too).

When it's 2:1:1, one town member should volunteer to get lynched:
- Scum won't volunteer because then they'd auto-lose.
- If scum doesn't vote, he basically outed his identity to the other scum.
- With a town lynch, we'd go night to 1:1:1

1:1:1
If it's day, aim to nolynch. If one scum tries to push your lynch so both scum can tie, vote him. If scum are aware they'll be voted if they do it, they'll avoid doing it so they don't lose.
Scum are going to be stuck in a dilemma:
- If both scum decides to kill the other, town wins.
- If both scum decides to kill the town, the townie won't die.
- If one scum decides to kill the other while the other decides to kill the town, then one of them will win. But I find it unlikely one scum will target the town when it's basically handing the other scum the win.
- If scum keeps no killing, keep nolynching. "Happily ever after" draw is better than a loss.
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Post Post #720 (isolation #65) » Thu Oct 20, 2016 5:11 am

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Actually, I think it's better to nolynch during 3:1:1.
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Post Post #727 (isolation #66) » Thu Oct 20, 2016 8:25 am

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Remember when you thought my "our winrate is" was scummy and was wrong?
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Post Post #733 (isolation #67) » Thu Oct 20, 2016 8:44 am

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Yeah, this should be a new Logical Fallacy.
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Post Post #740 (isolation #68) » Thu Oct 20, 2016 8:55 am

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VOTE: Not_Mafia
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Post Post #764 (isolation #69) » Thu Oct 20, 2016 12:59 pm

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If it's 5:1:1 or 4:1:1 we lynch anyway. If it's 3:1:1 or 1:1:1 we nolynch. If it's 2:1:1 we lynch town (aka one town member offers to get lynched).
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Post Post #820 (isolation #70) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 5:31 am

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I recommend nolynching if it's 3:1:1. If we mislynch there, we would go night with 2:1:1, where scum killing each other or killing the same town is less likely, meaning town is most likely to lose there.
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Post Post #826 (isolation #71) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 5:40 am

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Happy with Lowell lynch
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Post Post #828 (isolation #72) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 5:48 am

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I think I have an idea of who's most likely the Ice Goon.
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Post Post #840 (isolation #73) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 9:00 am

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Okay, so if Lowell's town, Io is ice goon and Charloux is fire goon.

You can kill each other now.
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Post Post #847 (isolation #74) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 9:05 am

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If scum manages to bring town to 2:1:1, as town, you should offer yourself to be lynched (like voting yourself).

Don't worry, scum surely won't try to get themselves lynched lol
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Post Post #848 (isolation #75) » Fri Oct 21, 2016 9:05 am

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What are you guys talking about? I'm the doctor.
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Post Post #927 (isolation #76) » Sun Oct 23, 2016 10:07 pm

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Told you to nolynch when 3:1:1
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