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Post Post #3600 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:08 am

Post by mhsmith0 »

Votecount 2.06
ssbm_Kyouko (3)
, , ,
SlickDilinger (7)

EchoVision (1)
,
Dunnstral (3)
, , ,
Not Voting (3)
, , ,

Day two deadline is Saturday January 28, 12 PM PST. (expired on 2017-01-28 13:00:00)

With 17 alive it takes 9 to lynch!
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Post Post #3601 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:34 am

Post by Lil Uzi Vert »

In post 3599, Human Sequencer wrote:@uzi I did get back to you
In post 767, Human Sequencer wrote:
This isn't a scumread I think is particularly likely to come from scum. It reads more like townIrcher coming up with a bit of a stretchy scumread than scumIrcher doing the same.


Same. Reads far more like townIrcher going down the wrong track, as opposed to scumIrcher trying to start a wagon or something. Based on an understanding of Ircher's personality (I hesitate to use the word 'Meta' again, lmao), I read his tunnel on Debi genuine.

[/post]146[/post]
Ircher picks up on the same thing I did 18 pages later. His logic is valid, and this incriminating Wraith is something I can (and did) absolutely get behind. If Wraith flips scum, Ircher is likely town, and Wraith is one of my higher scumreads atm.


Ircher wants to hear Dunn's opinion on Debi's slot. Town motivation is understanding Dunn's read on Debi for two reasons
1. Try and sort Dunn
2. Try and sort Debi
Ircher takes the points of other players' on board while formulating his reads, and the only scum motivation is 'Trying to look like town' and 'Understanding Dunn's perspective to manipulate him better'. I don't see the latter coming from scumIrcher at all, and I don't think this is the way scumIrcher would go about the former.
Worth noting Dunn never elaborated (not that that necessarily incriminates Dunn) and that Ircher never pushed him for it.


I really doubt scumIrcher would bother to mention this, unless Creature/Ircher is a scumteam and Ircher was interested in using this particular post for towncredit later, and I really highly doubt that's the kind of thing Ircher would do.


Reads genuine. He believes in his conviction, and does some minimal backpedaling, admitting that perhaps he was a little forefront with it, but still believes in it logically, which is a good sign. The logic is sound, and I doubt scumIrcher would do his half-backpedal without going the whole way and admitting that he was wrong to begin with.


Ircher again proving that he's interested in how other people read his scumreads. Supports his questioning earlier w/ Dunn.


Same.

At this point, I'm pretty convinced Ircher is town. Does anybody else wanna point me to any posts they find particularly incriminating they made? Uzi in particular. I hope my logic was written well enough for you to understand.
Weird. I'm trying to figure out how I missed it.

--

I don't agree with your take on his . I believed the history Gin said he had with Pine and at the time I didn't see a reason for him to go out of his way to explain his RVS vote. Wanting a justified vote is NAI and the way he points it out read like he was trying to plant doubt early on.

I already expressed my dislike for his push on Debi but to reiterate, it ultimately read like a poorly thought out attempt to go at LHF. Wraith's vote was just idiotic but I didn't get any scum intent from it. Just someone who skimmed and believed they got the general idea of what Debi was talking about and didn't agree with it.

is fair.

Not sure what to make of but I don't see it as AI. How did your town read solidify or grew from that post?

His backpedaling on the Debi push doesn't do it anything for me other than just describe a bit why I felt the push was bad. I just don't see how he could think the way Debi came to her conclusions on the setup lead him to believe she's scum.

--

What do you make of his reaction test when rb claimed IO, his vote on Titus when there was some talk of her meta, and his no lynch vote at the end of D1?
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Post Post #3602 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:51 am

Post by Wraith »

This game became so lethargic I'm starting to forget some of my reads. Probably should have posted this earlier.

I think Echo is town for the following posts:

Spoiler: Echo Townread
In post 3089, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3051, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:
In post 2992, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:I feel like this wagon is ignoring the info Gin's fakeclaim gave us. Working on a wallpost about the votes onto Gin's wagon atm.

He proposed shooting amongst 6 players and 5 of those players ended up voting him, making up half of his lynch wagon. We know texcat was scum and was within Gin's sights. We should be examining the others' reasons for voting Gin to see if we can uncover a blue mafia member there, and looking at how others reacted to tex being a target
The intention of my post was to express that I think the Wraith wagon is a bad choice and we should reexamine Gin's wagon and fakeclaim to see if anything stands out as scummy. Ideally we look for a pool of blue mafia suspects today and lynch from in there in hopes that if we miss, red mafia will still shoot at our pool in hopes of hitting blue. We can look for red suspects too to try to direct blue's shots at red but it would be best to try to lynch blue today imo
why are you so worried on killing blue, why don't we just
kill fucking mafia
In post 3141, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3130, rb wrote:
In post 3102, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3101, Alisae wrote:Also nice OMGUS
In post 3099, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3097, Alisae wrote:Yeah. Echo is a lynch that needs to happen.
VOTE: EchoVision
Their vote on Gin was scummy as fuck.
There were 9 other people on the gin wagon with me, why are you saying that my vote in particular was scummy?
Yours and Texcat's votes were scummy off the top of my head. Texcat legit hammered the fakeclaim vig and you hopped onto the fakeclaim vig and didn't even consider his claim.
that's cause i knew his claim was straight bullshit. weren't you on his wagon for a while too??
How'd you know it was bullshit though?

I didn't say anything but stayed on the wagon to see what happened, but what did you see?
if I remember correctly, the way he claimed vig was by saying these are the people I will shoot. even if you are a real vig, you don't do that. that's just straight stupid. it just seemed so fake and made up that unless he was a deceptive God it was bullshit
In post 3144, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3139, Dunnstral wrote:???

Vig's shoot people, that's not the same at all
it's really nothing to do with the shooting part. think of it this way: if you claim cop on d2, you have your n1 results to back you up. if you claim vig, the only thing you have to prove you as vig is the kill that you did, but anybody can claim that they killed them and fabricate a reason behind it. the results of a vig are visible to everyone when the day starts saying who they killed. it's just too easy to claim and get away with...
In post 3150, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3145, Dunnstral wrote:uh, it's the opposite, anybody can claim an investigative result. In order to claim a kill it has to have happened in the first place. If somebody else is a vig they just shoot the fake claimer... why do people think fake claiming vig is a thing? It's not
I guess you're right, anybody can claim a fake investigative result. cause you just did! And you're kind of counter claiming yourself there. you're asking me how I knew his vig claim was bullshit, and you're saying that fake claiming vig isn't a thing. good job dude.


tl;dr I think Echo is town because he reacted well to Dunn's fake Cop result.


I also think Dunn is town. It would be really stupid for scum to fake the result like that. Plus I get a town vibe from some of his earlier posts as well. So Dunn vs Echo is TvT IMO.

I still don't know why this Slick wagon is derailing. If there's a Vig and he doesn't end up lynched, I nominate him for a shot tonight since he's clearly decided to not be helpful or participate in any way.

Finally if the alternative wagon to Slick is Kyouko I'm up for that. I still hate the following posts by him:

Spoiler: Kyouko Scumread
In post 2992, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:I feel like this wagon is ignoring the info Gin's fakeclaim gave us. Working on a wallpost about the votes onto Gin's wagon atm.

He proposed shooting amongst 6 players and 5 of those players ended up voting him, making up half of his lynch wagon. We know texcat was scum and was within Gin's sights. We should be examining the others' reasons for voting Gin to see if we can uncover a blue mafia member there, and looking at how others reacted to tex being a target
In post 3045, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:
In post 2420, TheRealGin-N-Tonic wrote:So, out of All Alone, Zach, Slick, Echo, Debi or Texcat please tell me who'd you like me to shoot and who you think the shot would be most wasted on.

I'll take the best case I find and we'll work from there day 2 given the flips we get.

P.S. You won't convince me to shoot outside this pool of players.
In post 2914, mhsmith0 wrote:
Votecount 1.Final
Alisae (1)
,
TheRealGin-N-Tonic (10)

drealmerz7 (1)
,
Ircher (1)
,
SlickDilinger (2)
, ,
EchoVision (3)
, , ,
No lynch (1)
,

Day one deadline is Sunday January 15, 4 PM PST. (expired on 2017-01-15 17:00:00)

With 19 alive it takes 10 to lynch!
[/size]
In post 2421, Alisae wrote:Gin I've said this multiple times, Texcat.
>They are my strongest scumread.
>Grey came off to me as not playing his towngame.
>They think they're lynchbait when they aren't
>Their reasoning for voting me is very weak.
Alisae isn't Red for this post imo, could still be Blue but I'm leaning more towards town on him. There was also a point when I called some people out for not putting their votes on "useful wagons" when we had 2 large competing wagons and 2 smaller competing wagons between Alisae and Texcat:
In post 1976, mhsmith0 wrote:
Votecount 1.14
Alisae (2)
, ,
TheRealGin-N-Tonic (6)
, , , , , ,
drealmerz7 (7)
, , , , , , ,
texcat (2)
, ,
Not Voting (2)
, ,

Day one deadline is Sunday January 15, 4 PM PST. (expired on 2017-01-15 17:00:00)

With 19 alive it takes 10 to lynch!
[/size]
All Alone, Zach, HS, Kyouko, rb, Wraith, drealmerz all either SRed Gin or didn't believe his claim I think. That leaves Slick and Echo. Those are my top suspects for Blue mafia based on that reread, if there was a Blue Mafia in Gin's vigpool. I'd rather try to get Red to shoot at them than mislynch a lurker, but I'd go Slick's way today. Not Echo today I don't think. I didn't find anything conclusive in there but I feel like my reads are in a better place now than they were before I went back to read

I may have misunderstood but it seemed to me like HS was saying Wraith if multiball because he thought Gin was scum? Not sure, will see what HS has to say about the multiball flip.
In post 3051, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:
In post 2992, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:I feel like this wagon is ignoring the info Gin's fakeclaim gave us. Working on a wallpost about the votes onto Gin's wagon atm.

He proposed shooting amongst 6 players and 5 of those players ended up voting him, making up half of his lynch wagon. We know texcat was scum and was within Gin's sights. We should be examining the others' reasons for voting Gin to see if we can uncover a blue mafia member there, and looking at how others reacted to tex being a target
The intention of my post was to express that I think the Wraith wagon is a bad choice and we should reexamine Gin's wagon and fakeclaim to see if anything stands out as scummy. Ideally we look for a pool of blue mafia suspects today and lynch from in there in hopes that if we miss, red mafia will still shoot at our pool in hopes of hitting blue. We can look for red suspects too to try to direct blue's shots at red but it would be best to try to lynch blue today imo
In post 3052, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:If Wraith is mafia he's probably red, and blue will shoot him tonight, so no need to lynch him right away
In post 3082, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:laughed at "vig rb"

Maybe swap the days on Echo/Wraith because Wraith might get shot by blue mafia tonight anyways
In post 3096, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:There's nothing to overlook, blue is a convenient way to refer to the opposite of red. Wraith would get shot because Blue is looking for Tex's partners

@Echo - I think it's optimal to keep the scum factions as evenly matched as possible to keep them scared of each other. If red gets lynched today there will be 0-1 red left and 2-3 blue left as we enter the night phase. I want blue aiming at red and red aiming at blue, I don't want either of them aiming at town/PRs.
What makes you think I'm worried about what happened? I just explained why it's unlikely that there is a vig because Dunn and I were talking about the plausibility of Gin's claim and how Gin could have possibly known if there was a vig or not.

Echo - Do you think Dunn and I are red or blue?


tl;dr His major fixation on finding "Blue" Scum and strange confidence that one scumteam will shoot me tonight makes me think he's Red Scum looking to lynch someone from the rival team.


In fact, that's plenty more justification to vote him than Slick at this point, IMO.

UNVOTE:

VOTE: Kyouko
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Post Post #3603 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:52 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

Uzi holy shit why can't everybody just be more like you. IF YOU WANT TO ENGAGE WITH ME ON MY READS THIS IS HOW YOU FUGGIN DO IT PEOPLE

very clearly comes from an Ircher who has experience with this before. Creature is a very distinctive and unique player, and I doubt what he's saying is incorrect. If that's the case, what conceivable reason could scumIrcher have from mentioning it?
I understand that the absence of a scum motivation doesn't necessarily make a post completely townie, but in this particular instance I just highly doubt scumIrcher would say that. It's the kind of idea I could realistically see townIrcher formulating in his mind and sharing to the thread just because it's on his mind. I think that's far far more likely than scumIrcher being all manipulative, especially considering how he's played in games with me in the past. I'm glad you reminded me of these posts, because now I've remembered Ircher slot is pretty much conftown.

RB vs. Ircher was hilarious, weird and confusing all at once. I get the feeling Ircher was just really fuckin confused, and when he got a handle of the situation didn't want to lie about what he was doing and felt like 'well I just didn't understand' wouldn't be a valid defense for his actions. Yeah, it's survivalistic play, but in this particular instance I believe it's NAI at best because that's exactly how I expect Ircher would react in that particular circumstance as town. Ircher does weird and confusing things sometimes-- Look at the end of D1 in the mini normal Alisae, All Alone and I played recently for his softclaim, and perhaps you'll understand my reasoning a little better.

His titus vote just seems like a nice place for him to park his vote while he waits for something worse to come along. I don't think there was much thought to that vote tbh.

Ircher doing weird things for questionable reasons also kinda waives the whole 'No Lynch' thing. I think he was trying to do something along the lines of 'Get Gin confirmed' because he was scared of taking any drastic actions.
nah
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Post Post #3604 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:52 am

Post by Wraith »

Again on Kyouko, Echo actually said it best:
In post 3089, EchoVision wrote:
In post 3051, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:
In post 2992, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:I feel like this wagon is ignoring the info Gin's fakeclaim gave us. Working on a wallpost about the votes onto Gin's wagon atm.

He proposed shooting amongst 6 players and 5 of those players ended up voting him, making up half of his lynch wagon. We know texcat was scum and was within Gin's sights. We should be examining the others' reasons for voting Gin to see if we can uncover a blue mafia member there, and looking at how others reacted to tex being a target
The intention of my post was to express that I think the Wraith wagon is a bad choice and we should reexamine Gin's wagon and fakeclaim to see if anything stands out as scummy. Ideally we look for a pool of blue mafia suspects today and lynch from in there in hopes that if we miss, red mafia will still shoot at our pool in hopes of hitting blue. We can look for red suspects too to try to direct blue's shots at red but it would be best to try to lynch blue today imo
why are you so worried on killing blue, why don't we just
kill fucking mafia
And combine that with Kyouko being all for an Echo lynch today that just cements by read of both.
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Post Post #3605 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:55 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

I still don't know why this Slick wagon is derailing. If there's a Vig and he doesn't end up lynched, I nominate him for a shot tonight since he's clearly decided to not be helpful or participate in any way.
What makes you think there's a Vig in multiball after a night with only one kill?
nah
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Post Post #3606 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 6:55 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

Or rather, what makes you think that's even conceivably possible?
nah
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Post Post #3607 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:01 am

Post by Wraith »

In post 3605, Human Sequencer wrote:
I still don't know why this Slick wagon is derailing. If there's a Vig and he doesn't end up lynched, I nominate him for a shot tonight since he's clearly decided to not be helpful or participate in any way.
What makes you think there's a Vig in multiball after a night with only one kill?
I said "if"
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Post Post #3608 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:05 am

Post by mhsmith0 »

As this would now be the fourth prod, Debi is being force-replaced for inactivity.
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Post Post #3609 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:07 am

Post by Severa »

I could vote Wraith over EchoVision.

(they're obviously scumpartners)
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Post Post #3610 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:08 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

Wraith most of the posts you quoted actually make me townread kyouko lmao
Especially shit like this
In post 2992, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:I feel like this wagon is ignoring the info Gin's fakeclaim gave us. Working on a wallpost about the votes onto Gin's wagon atm.

He proposed shooting amongst 6 players and 5 of those players ended up voting him, making up half of his lynch wagon. We know texcat was scum and was within Gin's sights. We should be examining the others' reasons for voting Gin to see if we can uncover a blue mafia member there, and looking at how others reacted to tex being a target
nah
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Post Post #3611 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:11 am

Post by Dunnstral »

willing to lynch echo after that recent display.
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Post Post #3612 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:12 am

Post by Wraith »

In post 3610, Human Sequencer wrote:Wraith most of the posts you quoted actually make me townread kyouko lmao
Especially shit like this
In post 2992, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:I feel like this wagon is ignoring the info Gin's fakeclaim gave us. Working on a wallpost about the votes onto Gin's wagon atm.

He proposed shooting amongst 6 players and 5 of those players ended up voting him, making up half of his lynch wagon. We know texcat was scum and was within Gin's sights. We should be examining the others' reasons for voting Gin to see if we can uncover a blue mafia member there, and looking at how others reacted to tex being a target
To each their own
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Post Post #3613 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:15 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

On the other hand when you actually read the iso you see just how fixated he is on red/blue mentality and his asspull theory on mafia shooting Wraith which makes me comfortable with my vote.
nah
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Post Post #3614 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:22 am

Post by Wraith »

In post 3609, Severa wrote:I could vote Wraith over EchoVision.

(they're obviously scumpartners)
Get in line. Quite a few players have expressed a willingness to lynch me, yet shockingly no wagon has materialized since early D1.

All bark and no bite I guess. Or fake scumreads.
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Post Post #3615 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:53 am

Post by drealmerz7 »

the last option!

they see you as a threat, wraith, they want you deead, but have no bite because obviusly it's too suspect to put a real push on you if it's not being led by a misguided towny
balance among all things
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Post Post #3616 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 10:09 am

Post by Zachstralkita »

Yall really got this man at L2. Come on folks
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Post Post #3617 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 10:09 am

Post by Zachstralkita »

Let's display some initiative and critical thinking skills
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Post Post #3618 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:17 am

Post by drealmerz7 »

dunn is happy lynching half the playerlist, let's kill him

and so is alisae

let's kill him
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Post Post #3619 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:21 am

Post by EchoVision »

In post 3080, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3076, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:What's the right path?
That's what I'm figuring out. Prob lynch wraith vig rb and investigate whoever; and lynch echo tomorrow
why the fuck would you vig rb he's an ic...
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Post Post #3620 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:22 am

Post by drealmerz7 »

because he's resolved to town being out of the game and it being his scum team against the other scum team, obviously
balance among all things
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Post Post #3621 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:22 am

Post by Creature »

Could do Dunnstral.
Sigh
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Post Post #3622 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:25 am

Post by EchoVision »

In post 3571, Human Sequencer wrote:
In post 3562, Human Sequencer wrote:echo is that the reason you originally disbelieved his fakeclaim?
sorry, was just focusing on the iso. but no I just found this looking at his iso didn't notice it before
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Post Post #3623 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:31 am

Post by EchoVision »

In post 3611, Dunnstral wrote:willing to lynch echo after that recent display.
why cause I actually have reasons to scum read you and you don't have shit on me?
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Post Post #3624 (ISO) » Thu Jan 19, 2017 11:33 am

Post by EchoVision »

okay now I'm going back through his iso again. I shall return.
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