Mr. Flay wrote:Nocmen, though. Anyone who perked up at my mention of lynch-or-lose (which is actually fairly unlikely, since it presupposes that both the Lynch today and both Nightkills will miss scum, out of seven chances) might be scum, and Nocmen's been pushing for "vote early, vote often" ever since that post of mine.
Minor point: most likely, only the SK's kill needs to miss scum tonight (since the mafia won't kill themselves), so one mislynch + one SK kill on a townie = lose if we've got 2 mafia left (and my math is right). It may not be as unlikely as you think.
Having said that, if we have 2 scum and an SK then we've got a 3 in 7 chance of lynching scum today, so it's not inevitable by any means.