Mini 493: Methodical Mafia - Game Over!


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Post Post #550 (ISO) » Tue Sep 25, 2007 8:43 pm

Post by Mr Stoofer »

Vote Count


Nocmen: 1 (Erg0)
Erg0: 1 (Nocmen)

Not voting: Cogito Ergo Sum, distad, VitaminR, Mr. Flay, BrianMcQueso

Four
votes to lynch!


I'm sure you all know me well enough by now, to realise that unless the activity picks up dramatically in the next 24 hours, there will be a deadline.
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Post Post #551 (ISO) » Wed Sep 26, 2007 12:46 am

Post by Erg0 »

Mr. Flay wrote:Nocmen, though. Anyone who perked up at my mention of lynch-or-lose (which is actually fairly unlikely, since it presupposes that both the Lynch today and both Nightkills will miss scum, out of seven chances) might be scum, and Nocmen's been pushing for "vote early, vote often" ever since that post of mine.
Minor point: most likely, only the SK's kill needs to miss scum tonight (since the mafia won't kill themselves), so one mislynch + one SK kill on a townie = lose if we've got 2 mafia left (and my math is right). It may not be as unlikely as you think.

Having said that, if we have 2 scum and an SK then we've got a 3 in 7 chance of lynching scum today, so it's not inevitable by any means.
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Post Post #552 (ISO) » Wed Sep 26, 2007 12:48 am

Post by Erg0 »

EBWOP: For clarity's sake, that last sentence should read "if we have 2
mafia
and an SK then we've got a 3 in 7 chance of lynching scum today".
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Post Post #553 (ISO) » Wed Sep 26, 2007 9:19 pm

Post by Mr Stoofer »

Mr Stoofer wrote:
I'm sure you all know me well enough by now, to realise that unless the activity picks up dramatically in the next 24 hours, there will be a deadline.
One substantive post ≠ activity.


Deadline:
2pm BST Friday 5th October
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Post Post #554 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 5:35 am

Post by Mr. Flay »

Erg0: Good point. Does that actually make No Lynch viable? If there are 4 pro-town now, it would up the chances by one that we'd still be alive tomorrow, but I'm not sure it's worth it just to get another round of night actions.

Xdaamno's vote on VitaminR in the lack of any other bandwagon strikes me as really weird, still.
Vote: VitaminR
- I could probably be persuaded to vote Nocmen at deadline, but it seems like he just made an honest mistake there.
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Post Post #555 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 5:36 am

Post by Mr. Flay »

Mr. Flay wrote:Xdaamno's vote on VitaminR in the lack of any other bandwagon strikes me as really weird, still.
That makes no sense, even to
me
. That should read, "vote on VitaminR in the face of an utter lack of other votes on him at the time" (i.e. no bandwagon there, and we were facing a deadline)...
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Post Post #556 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 6:45 am

Post by BrianMcQueso »

vote: Cogito Ergo Sum


Active lurking, etc.

*shrug*
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Post Post #557 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 7:04 am

Post by BrianMcQueso »

unvote: Cogito


I just realized I wasn't happy with that vote.
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Post Post #558 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 7:18 am

Post by Mr. Flay »

In 19 minutes? What changed?
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Post Post #559 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 12:56 pm

Post by BrianMcQueso »

I went back and re-read to try to find something I found scummy about Cogito and failed.
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Post Post #560 (ISO) » Thu Sep 27, 2007 12:57 pm

Post by BrianMcQueso »

EBWOP: Not to say that he's completely innocent or anything, just nothing extraordinary stuck out.
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Post Post #561 (ISO) » Fri Sep 28, 2007 2:14 am

Post by Mr Stoofer »

6 days, 23 hours, 46 minutes until deadline!
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Post Post #562 (ISO) » Fri Sep 28, 2007 10:08 am

Post by VitaminR »

Mr. Flay wrote:Erg0: Good point. Does that actually make No Lynch viable? If there are 4 pro-town now, it would up the chances by one that we'd still be alive tomorrow, but I'm not sure it's worth it just to get another round of night actions.

Xdaamno's vote on VitaminR in the lack of any other bandwagon strikes me as really weird, still.
Vote: VitaminR
- I could probably be persuaded to vote Nocmen at deadline, but it seems like he just made an honest mistake there.
I like your reluctance to vote Nocmen (I'm a little unsure too), but I'm baffled by your vote. Xdaamno's vote was strange, yes, but I don't see why that suddenly makes me a good guess for scum. What do you think he was trying to do?

I really don't like this. I still think Mr. Flay is scum... everything about his posts is just off.

BMQ changing his mind seems sincere.
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Post Post #563 (ISO) » Sat Sep 29, 2007 6:13 am

Post by distad »

I'm leaning toward town for VitR. Xd had no reason to suspect that he would get killed during the evening and it seems like he was trying to create some suspicion for today on VitR.

Vote: Nocmen


I've previously stated my beliefs re: Nocmen and am now committing to them.
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Post Post #564 (ISO) » Sat Sep 29, 2007 10:40 am

Post by VitaminR »

Vote: Cogito Ergo Sum


I've been thinking about this game and I'm almost 100% sure he's scum.

1) His suspects have been Glork and BMQ. Glork we know to be town and I'm almost certain BMQ is too.

2) His reasoning for voting Glork was bad. Hyperbole is not a very good reason to vote someone. Also, the spat with Glork started because CES was poking around about Glork's Xdaamno vote (and, importantly, without giving his own opinion on it).

3) I know CES and something's off.
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Post Post #565 (ISO) » Sat Sep 29, 2007 12:37 pm

Post by Mr. Flay »

Unvote
- I can't get a good read on this game. Everything VitR does that doesn't involve me seems sensible. Will re-read again before deadline, right now I'm hot and cranky.
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Post Post #566 (ISO) » Sat Sep 29, 2007 9:18 pm

Post by VitaminR »

Mr. Flay wrote:Everything VitR does that doesn't involve me seems sensible.
It's 'cause I'm town.

I'm pretty sure distad, Erg0 and BMQ are town. Nocmen I'm unsure on, but I can see him as scum. My gut says Mr. Flay is scum, but distad's result makes me doubt that. CES is just scum.
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Post Post #567 (ISO) » Sat Sep 29, 2007 11:45 pm

Post by Erg0 »

I still like my vote on Nocmen. I also like the fact that distad followed up on his suspicions with a vote without having to be pushed to do so. I don't like the idea that we may end up with another last minute rush like last time (especially since I probably won't be online all day on deadline the way I was last time) so I'd like to see people state their preferred deadline targets as soon as possible.
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Post Post #568 (ISO) » Sun Sep 30, 2007 12:24 am

Post by VitaminR »

Erg0 wrote:I still like my vote on Nocmen. I also like the fact that distad followed up on his suspicions with a vote without having to be pushed to do so. I don't like the idea that we may end up with another last minute rush like last time (especially since I probably won't be online all day on deadline the way I was last time) so I'd like to see people state their preferred deadline targets as soon as possible.
I will switch to Nocmen if it's necessary, but right now I prefer a CES lynch and I think it's a better course of action.
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Post Post #569 (ISO) » Sun Sep 30, 2007 5:34 am

Post by distad »

I never like to vote based on who will or will not be around to discuss the game... CES clearly has not done this. I acknowledge your case on CES and will keep it under consideration as we get to the wire.
Show
I will likely be posting far less than I used to for personal/professional reasons.

* * *
Distad's Law: No posting after 7 drinks!
Open 36:
Um... I'm the champion of inebriated posting and I will challenge any comers to that.
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Post Post #570 (ISO) » Sun Sep 30, 2007 10:38 pm

Post by Mr Stoofer »

Vote Count


Nocmen: 2 (Erg0, distad)
Erg0: 1 (Nocmen)
Cogito Ergo Sum: 1 (VitaminR)

Not voting: Cogito Ergo Sum, BrianMcQueso, Mr. Flay

Four
votes to lynch!



Deadline:
2pm BST Friday 5th October!
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Post Post #571 (ISO) » Mon Oct 01, 2007 8:06 am

Post by Mr. Flay »

Where is everybody? In any case, I said I'd
vote: Nocmen
. My gut is telling me neither of the other wagons is good for us.
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Post Post #572 (ISO) » Mon Oct 01, 2007 10:46 am

Post by Erg0 »

Yay! Progress!

I'd like to get
something
out of CES before the day ends. We're going to have a hell of a time figuring him out if he's still alive tomorrow.
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Post Post #573 (ISO) » Mon Oct 01, 2007 10:51 am

Post by Erg0 »

Also, I notice that we haven't heard from Nocmen in a while.

Mod
can you please prod Nocmen and CES?
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Post Post #574 (ISO) » Mon Oct 01, 2007 9:30 pm

Post by Mr Stoofer »

Erg0 wrote:
Mod
can you please prod Nocmen and CES?
Done.

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