Open - 430 RedPanda's SWitch mafia Game Over Flattened Elmo

[RedPanda]

DarkLightA replaces dazzy.

Thank you darklight

[Natalie]

Hey darklight, are you the SK?

[DarkLightA]

Thanks for the warm welcome, Natalie. No, I'm not

I just have to read up a bit. I'll post my thoughts in a second.

[Natalie]

Well that's good.

Code is probably the SK.

[DarkLightA]

Okay, for now I've just gone through just the posts by the people left in the game. Here are my thoughts:

absta101: Immediately strikes me as a possible suspect. Basically all his posts up to the point where No-Lynch was considered an option were all accusations, while he never even mentioned town-readings. Once some people started suggesting No-Lynch he seemed to jump at the idea, going from "I prefer to lynch today." (289) to "VOTE: No-Lynch" (295) in a matter of a day. The latter had no explanation. However, after this point he seems genuinely interested in finding out who the townies are, which makes me feel that he's possibly innocent. SK reading: 50%

Code_X: Certainly a hard one. His short, sweet comments about everything doesn't really give me a reading either way, but my gut says that he's town. One of the important reasons for that is his introduction of the No Lynch idea in Day 3, which I just don't think a SK would do. Maestro (replaced) hasn't really contributed anything, so I can't tell from his posts. However, I think Code_X would be more active if he had the SK role, and Maestro would probably also be more engaged in the game. I'm giving him a SK reading of 20%

Elmo Teh AzN: Much too reckless for my liking. He seems to jump from one to another, based on loose, inaccurate reads. This might just be his style of playing, but I certainly think it makes him seem suspicious. I'd like to say, like the previous two, that the No Lynch idea makes him less suspicious, but I can't really. It just seems like he's just jumping onto what the majority thinks. SK reading of 70%

Natalie: I can't help getting a town reading. She seems really interested in scum hunting, and seems to do a great job at being active. I don't have too much more to say. Slight suspicion at her handling of the No Lynch situation, wanting to lynch immediately rather than waiting, but that's fair enough. I'm unsure, but for now I'm giving a SK reading of 30%

So right now I think Elmo is the most suspicious.
Any comments?

[Natalie]

I can see where you are coming from with the Code read. I'm fine with lynching Elmo today.

So it's down to Elmo, Code, and absta. My lynch preference is in that order.

[DarkLightA]

Okay, let's look at the options:

We're five left. If we were to no lynch today, we'd be four. At this point no lynching would lead to LYLO.
If we lynch someone today, we'd be in LYLO tomorrow.

Okay, that was just a mental note for myself. We have to lynch someone today.

Mod: Is the SK allowed to not kill anyone during night-time?

[Dazzy]

Here. Don't replace me bro. =\

Sorry

[Dazzy]

Oops

[RedPanda]

yeah the SK is allowed to not kill anyone during night.

[DarkLightA]

Okay, thanks RedPanda.

[DarkLightA]

I'm giving Elmo 24 hours to respond to my comments, in order to avoid being voted for.

[Elmo TeH AzN]

My problem with your reads is think about it like this. We're relying on you being town. And how sk you know what the SK would do? And my style is scummy its how I play. But to get such a high reading there and say a NL is something an SK wouldn't do is just playing the "Oh X does this but not Y"

My problem is you seem to want to say I'm the SK.

To everyone: Who is your top scum read? As well.

[absta101]

Elmo and Code, town will win if we get one more town read. I want to know what you two think about assuming Dazzy is town and lynching both of you.

[absta101]

We don't need no scum reads. Only town reads. I have Nat only so far.

[DarkLightA]

My problem is you seem to want to say I'm the SK.

That may well be the weirdest thing I've read in a while.

Absta, please enlighten me on the whole three-town-readings thing. I don't quite understand.

[DarkLightA]

Okay, I've processed Elmo's response a bit more:
Of course he feels threatened by my analysis, but I feel it's a bit deeper. He brings up "We're relying on you being town". He has never mentioned this before, but it's been mentioned by others. It doesn't really make sense either. How does me being town help? For all it's worth, you should be 80%-20% about me, townie-SK. Why are you relying on ME?

"And how sk you know what the SK would do?" - I've only analyzed the posts from a neutral standpoint, and reported on what strikes me as something a SK would do.

"And my style is scummy its how I play" - I never said you were scummy; we're looking for a SK here. And you seem to have taken it quite personally.

"But to get such a high reading there and say a NL is something an SK wouldn't do is just playing the "Oh X does this but not Y" " - Actually, the whole No Lynch thing was one of the most important points in my analysis. You see, a SK would be preferring to lynch on that day, seeing as that would make it LYLO for him/her the next day, rather than having to survive another two days without a slip-up. It's a major town-tell to suggest something like that, which is one of the reasons I have a strong feeling that Code is town.

"My problem is you seem to want to say I'm the SK." - I have no idea how to even react to this. It makes no sense.

"To everyone: Who is your top scum read? As well." - You.

[absta101]

@Dark

We have two lynches left in this game. If we mislynches twice we lose but that's okay. We have a plan.

From my perspective:

I know i'm town for a fact.
I have a strong town read on Nat. That leaves 3 people left, you, Code and Elmo.
To win we have to make sure scum is out of the town group and on the lynch list (doesn't matter if he's the first or second lynch). The best way to do this is to find one more strong town read. I'm debating wether that'll be you or Code.

Important question: How would you feel if we took Code as the third townie and lynched you and Elmo?

[DarkLightA]

Right.. I think that's a rather odd approach to this situation, but I understand. However, I think we should then focus on finding two suspicious people rather than three townies.

Regarding your question, I'm not sold on anyone being townies right now, so no, I wouldn't be okay with that. Especially given that you're my number two suspect (see above list).

However, I'd gladly lynch Elmo today, but I need some more time/posts first to gather my thoughts.

[RedPanda]

Vote Count #20

with 5 alive it takes 3 to lynch.

Code_x - Natalie (L-2)

Elmo TeH AzN - Code_x (L-2)

Not voting

- Elmo TeH AzN, absta10, DarkLightA

[Code_X]

Hi, sorry for my inactivity over the weekend - had a personal emergency to deal with. Will catch up tonight.

[DarkLightA]

absta does seem to contribute more in games where he has an "anti-role"...

[absta101]

huh?

[DarkLightA]

Heh, I just looked at a game where you were a SK, and you seemed to contribute more actively.

[Elmo TeH AzN]

Heh, I just looked at a game where you were a SK, and you seemed to contribute more actively.

Link?