Newbie 1756: Spoiler PT

[ThinkBig]

Ah - I thought that was manuel that did that.

Loopdan is probably going to be tomorrow's lynch.

[ThinkBig]

I'm surprised my read on accountant was right. I knew something was off about him.

[ThinkBig]

My problem that I've noticed is that my reads are correct, but I tend to second guess myself

[borkjerfkin]

My

every town player ever's problem that I've noticed is that my reads are correct, but I tend to second guess myself

the struggle is real. it's hard to know when to reassess and when to stick to your guns.

[borkjerfkin]

i am kind of a shit scumhunter, so i do what i can as town, and that is usually to fly my town flag high.

I have been mislynched on this site once in 4.5 years, and that was in a game where i was deliberately trying a more opaque playstyle. Sometimes showing town who not to lynch is as good as finding the right people to lynch.

[borkjerfkin]

This does sometimes lead to my scum game being a bit weaker to people who know me

really

well, but never underestimate people's level of uncertainty on you, even when it looks like you're nailed.

[borkjerfkin]

that opening post

might

be a misstep by accountant. it's hard for me to predict because of my inherent confbias, but that looks like a maybe too telegraphed attempt to lynch morning tweet before he actually reads anything and is kind of ignoring the fact that jaereed was town AF yesterday.

I think the only person who is probably gonna speak about about that is Tweet herself, which won't be good enough. We'll see. Giving scum about an 80% chance to win here.

[borkjerfkin]

aha. Loopdan caught it too.

[ThinkBig]

Accountan scum slipped.

[borkjerfkin]

not sure i'd call it that, but it definitely puts him at risk

[borkjerfkin]

I see LYLOs of (Tweet, Manuel, Norska) and (Tweet, Manuel, Loopdan) to both end in a Mafia win unless resets happen.

[borkjerfkin]

Thats gonna be gg

[Transcend]

GAME. OVER.

[ThinkBig]

Norska could not have replaced out at a worse time. I predict that she may be lynched for that which will cause a scum victory.

[borkjerfkin]

if tweet and loop both vote acct, and scum both vote norska, that slot will vote away from itself, lynching scum. We'll see.

[ThinkBig]

From all of that, Accountant gets "stubborn town". Ehhhh... I dunno. Seems like a premature read there off the cuff. Not sure that makes it a Manuel/Accountant team exactly, but I can't say that I like either of them off of that engagement.

Get them!!

[borkjerfkin]

Yeah he is killin it so far

[ThinkBig]

Hopefully he can turn the game around for town.

[ThinkBig]

Adios accountant!

[borkjerfkin]

don't count your chickens just yet

[borkjerfkin]

I see our mod is hanging around. Mild ill feelings from that.

Probably gonna rector later tonight unless accountant or loopdan can make a case for tweet-Manuel tho.

[ThinkBig]

[borkjerfkin]

I'd never even considered that I might behave differently depending on Accountant's alignment here.

If I am giving any info with my very rapid VCs, it's hopefully just "you are close to a lynch"

[borkjerfkin]

I think accountant is playing this pretty well -- paranoid me who doesn't know everyone's alignment could be led to think this is one giant crossbus

Wonder if manuel would kill tweet; I think tweet looks very good from today's progression.

[ThinkBig]

I agree. If I was scum, tweet would be my kill.

If I didn't know Accountant was scum, I'd seriously think it was TVT