prez infinity mafiascum 2016: the general creaks into action

Drench · Post Post #250 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 3:25 am

March 9th

1 day until U.S. Virgin Islands (Republican)
3 days until District of Columbia (Republican), Guam (Republican), Northern Mariana Islands (Democratic)
4 days until American Samoa (Democratic)
6 days until Ides of March Primaries (Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina)
244 days until the Presidential Election

Headlines

A whole lot is in the paper today so let's just get into it.

Abbott

and

Serduchka's

Super Tuesday performances still are at the top of the paper. But

Negarir's

Super 2uesday dominance is up there just as high, along with Super Saturday's likewise performance.

Reckoner

taking Michigan literally gets more coverage than Spire nailing Super Saturday and any of the other wins on the Democratic side last night. And, of course, withdrawls still are up there:

Khan, Defender, TSL

.

Spire

and

Negarir

are enjoying good coverage off their Fox News Sunday appearances, while

Serduchka

did a bit of comedy on Colbert.

Negarir

thinks he's right on corruption (his position: Democrats are corrupt), and gets

Sen. Angus King

in his corner. Meanwhile,

Abbott

gets an endorsement from

Gov. Alejandro Garcia Padilla

, which is super timing since Puerto Rico literally is over.

Spire

lastly gets

Gov. Pete Ricketts

.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long or during special updates. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: News cycle strength

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: Scandals

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

REPUBLICANS

DEMOCRATS

Next time, on this thing!:

Two debates. More elections. 39 days. 18 people. One survivor.

xRECKONERx · Post Post #251 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 3:34 am

CONTESTED DEM CONVENTION WHEN

Drench · Post Post #252 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 3:59 am

i'm sacrificing a goat right now to stop spire

xRECKONERx · Post Post #253 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 4:34 am

if i could just drop out & endorse serduchka i would

the serduka/reck dream joint ticket

xRECKONERx · Post Post #254 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 4:35 am

spire is going to stomp on our fucking nuts soon

inspiratieloos · Post Post #255 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 4:58 am

I think Spire is staying in the race because of the high projected polling/delegates and everyone else is staying because they hope Spire will drop.

D3f3nd3r · Post Post #256 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:00 am

That wasn't nearly as Super as I remembered.

Majiffy · Post Post #257 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:39 am

I'm just happy to be here

ForWhomTheJellyRolls · Post Post #258 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 9:50 am

I'm just happy I finally won a state.

ISO · Post Post #259 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 10:05 am

i'm just happy to see that, as i suspected, i am the opposite of a politician

Drench · Post Post #260 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 5:48 pm

Suspension of Campaign V

Wednesday, March 9th, 2016

First blood in the Democratic race.

The world, indeed, just was not ready.

Peanuts

(D) has suspended his campaign.

Peanuts

never truly managed to break into the upper echelons of the race. Only winning one state--and late in his campaign, with no prospects for further victories--the writing was on the wall for some time. And

Peanuts

' delegate count was similarly lackluster.

Peanuts

, notably, was by far the most left-wing candidate in the race at the time of his withdrawal. While most candidates shift positions,

Peanuts

' own positioning stuck out like a sore thumb, and perhaps his failure to adapt to the primary electorate cost him valuable votes, valuable delegates, and valuable fundraising opportunities.

Peanuts

will make it slightly easier for a candidate to achieve a majority of delegates on the floor. But it's still not guaranteed.

Peanuts

' best opportunity was to, somehow, gain more delegates than

McGriddles

(a plausible scenario) and leapfrog on the floor. But he was never going to earn more than a thousand delegates.

Next time:

Hey there was a Democratic debate.

Drench · Post Post #261 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 5:54 pm

March 10th

0 days until U.S. Virgin Islands (Republican)
243 days until the Presidential Election

THE EIGHTH

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

DEBATE

Wednesday, March 9th, 2016

It was, honest to god, a close debate amongst the top three.

McGriddles

, of course, was not one of those, and his limp attack against

Spire

fell absolutely flat. Better faring in the Attacking Spire category was

Serduchka

, who, to be honest, savaged him. And

Spire

's attempt to respond in kind was really shit and only helped the former.

Reckoner

was also there, failing to feel good about himself. But, in the end, it was

Spire

. It's always

Spire

.

1. Spire (7 points)
2. Reckoner (6 points)
3. Serduchka (5 points)
4. McGriddles (1 point)

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Thursday's papers:

Wow Can't Believe

Spire

Won The Debate.

Negarir

is smooth talkin' Fallon on his show thing.

McGriddles

loves hating corruption.

Abbott

wins the endorsement of

Gov. Rick Snyder

.

Serduchka

calls for military spending to be cancelled which, like, no.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

REPUBLICANS

DEMOCRATS

Next time, on this thing!:

Virgin Islands and a Republican debate. On the same one. Good one, Reince.

Drench · Post Post #262 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:04 pm

U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS (

REPUBLICAN

)

ayy lmao

Nine delegates, no threshold, which means you need roughly

11%

to snag one. Here we go fellas.

Spoiler: The U.S. Virgin Islands Republican Caucus; Thursday, 10th March, 2016

cool beans anyway there was a debate on the exact same night let's check in with that

Drench · Post Post #263 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:11 pm

Events up to March 12th

2 days until District of Columbia (Republican), Guam (Republican), Northern Mariana Islands (Democratic)
4 days until the Ides of March Primaries
242 days until the Presidential Election

THE TENTH

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

DEBATE

And then there were two.

Negarir

has always performed well in debates,

Abbott

has always been shit. Does not take a genius, especially when neither attacked, and both boasted.

1. Negarir (6 points)
2. Abbott (1 point)

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Friday's papers:

Of course,

Negarir

is at the top for winning the debate. It's kinda

Negarir

day, to be honest, with his primary wins and a stint on Colbert also dominating positively. Two more senators endorse Republicans:

Sen. Mike Crapo

is for

Abbott

and

Sen. Susan Collins

is for

Negarir

. I'm not sure if the Democrats even did anything today.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

No maps because:

Next time, on this thing!:

A sixth withdrawal.

Drench · Post Post #264 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:20 pm

Suspension of Campaign VI

Friday, March 11th, 2016

It has been a wild week.

McGriddles

(D) has suspended his campaign after a string of disappointing results.

With

Peanuts

exiting, it was really only a matter of time until

McGriddles

followed suit. His results were comparable with the former, in a sense; they both polled low, they both didn't manage to dominate debates, they both weren't on track for good delegate totals. In the end, it was inevitable.

McGriddles

had a funding problem, as well, with only $179k in the bank and $35mil raised, at the low end of the Democratic scale. And while others may be in similar financial situations, they have the votes to show for it:

McGriddles

did not. Whilst he did win Texas, it was the only bright light in a sea of more disappointing results. And the Texas delegation will make the majority of his 313 delegate haul.

Where

McGriddles

' votes go now is a mystery. A two-horse race between

Serduchka

and

Spire

threatens to become a three-way battle to the end, depending on where the 20%-30% votes of the two suspended candidates go. The future is as unpredictable as ever.

In the event of a contested convention--still a possibility, although with three candidates now in the race, we reach the point where the 500~ delegates suspended only become important in narrowly specific circumstances--it's unclear where

McGriddles

' loyalties lie. His relations with other candidates are not incredible. Who he chooses to pledge delegates too, if required, is unknown.

Next time:

i got some elections for y'all fam

xRECKONERx · Post Post #265 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:27 pm

huehuehue

Drench · Post Post #266 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:49 pm

Events up to March 12th, 2.0

0 days until District of Columbia (Republican), Guam (Republican), Northern Mariana Islands (Democratic)
2 days until the Ides of March Primaries
241 days until the Presidential Election

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Saturday's papers:

Press F to pay respects to

McGriddles

.

Reckoner

shoves a union up his ass in respect on Colbert, to the applause of many.

Serduchka

totally loves corruption you guys, or at least that's what she said in her speech that she fucked up.

Negarir

is On the Record and okay.

Abbott

gets the endorsement of

Gov. David Ige

.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

As above.

Next time, on this thing!:

D.C., Guam, Northern Mariana Islands. Yo.

Drench · Post Post #267 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:00 pm

THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND GUAM (

REPUBLICAN

)

D.C. has 19 delegates and a threshold of

15%

. Guam has nine delegates for nothing, which means you need at least

11%

. The stakes are truly high.

Funny enough, in real life, the D.C. Republican contest is a convention, but it's a primary here. Also, Guam literally has nobody, so it's literally one vote = one delegate. Let's go.

Spoiler: The District of Columbia Republican Primary; Saturday, 12th March, 2016

guam more like fu(a)n

Spoiler: The Guam Republican Caucus; Saturday, 12th March, 2016

The Dems did something in the Northern Mariana Islands, let's go check that out.

Drench · Post Post #268 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:09 pm

NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS (

D

)

11 delegates,

15%

threshold, 39 days, etc

Spoiler: The Northern Mariana Islands Democratic Caucus; Saturday, 12th March, 2016

American Samoa is tomorrow, progressive results right after, and then a dash to the Ides of March.

Drench · Post Post #269 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:15 pm

Events up to March 13th

0 days until American Samoa (Democratic)
2 days until the Ides of March Primaries
240 days until the Presidential Election

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Sunday's papers:

Negarir

takes the two Saturday contests, to the surprise of nobody, and does something cool on O'Reilly.

Spire

has a nice chat with noted communist Rachel Maddow, and

Abbott

has

Gov. Butch Otter

in his corner.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

REPUBLICANS

DEMOCRATS

Next time, on this thing!:

American Samoa, Democratic edition.

Kublai Khan · Post Post #270 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:18 pm

In post 267, Drench wrote:Also, Guam literally has nobody, so it's literally one vote = one delegate. Let's go.

Wait, what? Why is there single-digit election results? It's got a decent-ish population...

Drench · Post Post #271 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:21 pm

Kublai Khan wrote:
In post 267, Drench wrote:Also, Guam literally has nobody, so it's literally one vote = one delegate. Let's go.
Wait, what? Why is there single-digit election results? It's got a decent-ish population...

Yeah, I have no idea tbh. I think they fucked up. They did the same thing with Colorado if you remember, so I don't know if it's because of real world 2016 events or what.

AMERICAN SAMOA (

D

)

11 delegates,

15%

threshold, 39 days, etc, 2.0

Spoiler: The American Samoa Democratic Caucus; Saturday, 12th March, 2016

Up next, progressive results, final updates before the Ides of March, and then Florida will be Florida (and OH/NC/MO/IL, I guess).

Drench · Post Post #272 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:25 pm

Spoiler: Progressive Results

Kublai Khan · Post Post #273 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:27 pm

In post 271, Drench wrote:
Kublai Khan wrote:
In post 267, Drench wrote:Also, Guam literally has nobody, so it's literally one vote = one delegate. Let's go.
Wait, what? Why is there single-digit election results? It's got a decent-ish population...
Yeah, I have no idea tbh. I think they fucked up. They did the same thing with Colorado if you remember, so I don't know if it's because of real world 2016 events or what.

Huh. I was looking up primary results for Guam. They are always in the low numbers. I guess they choose delegates beforehand and then only delegates vote?

Drench · Post Post #274 (ISO) » Fri Feb 24, 2017 7:37 pm

Kublai Khan wrote:
In post 271, Drench wrote:
Kublai Khan wrote:
In post 267, Drench wrote:Also, Guam literally has nobody, so it's literally one vote = one delegate. Let's go.
Wait, what? Why is there single-digit election results? It's got a decent-ish population...
Yeah, I have no idea tbh. I think they fucked up. They did the same thing with Colorado if you remember, so I don't know if it's because of real world 2016 events or what.
Huh. I was looking up primary results for Guam. They are always in the low numbers. I guess they choose delegates beforehand and then only delegates vote?

iirc that's definitely what happened in colorado which i guess flowed on to one delegate = one vote or something, and also colorado had unbound delegates so technically voting meant absolutely nothing. quick google says the same happened in guam so maybe that's why

Events up to the Ides of March

1 day until the Ides of March Primaries (Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Missouri, Illinois, Northern Mariana Islands [Republican]
8 days until the March 22nd Belt Primaries (Arizona, Utah, Idaho [Democratic], American Samoa [Republican])
239 days until the Presidential Election

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Monday's papers:

Can you believe that Super Tuesday is STILL up there (and yet not really doing much, it's literally just a neutral slant).

Negarir

is back on O'Reilly and Fox News Sunday and better than ever, and also campaigns on terrorism in North Carolina (anti-, obviously).

Abbott

has

Sen. Brian Schatz

,

Serduchka

wins

Sen. Deb Fischer

,

Spire

gets the endorsement of

Gov. Rick Scott

,

Negarir

takes

Gov. Phil Bryant

, and

Abbott

's wife gets protested at an event. Poor Margie.

Tuesday:

The Russians have begun to withdraw from Syria, which is pushing both the Syrian Civil War and the fight against ISIS to the forefront of the news.

Spire

is basically high on the spectacular leadership he's gonna bring on Colbert, while

Negarir

doesn't fall for a single gotcha question on Meet the Press. It's a quiet day, because RNC proportionality rules expire tonight, and someone's going to benefit, and who wants to make news when we can all talk about that instead. And, final note, the

Koch Brothers

are interested in endorsing someone. Be the quickest, and you'll win a Hidden Immunity Idol, usable until the Final Five.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

REPUBLICANS

DEMOCRATS

Next time, on this thing!:

THE IDES OF MARCH (and republican nmi)

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	57.8%	940	5 dels	+21.9%
Abbott	42.2%	687	4 dels	+7.0%
Total		1,627	9 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	59.7%	1,696	11 dels	+18.9%
Abbott	40.3%	1,143	8 dels	+6.3%
Total		2,839	19 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	55.6%	5	5 dels	+17.5%
Abbott	44.4%	4	4 dels	+5.3%
Total		9	9 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Serduchka	41.3%	78	4 dels	+12.4%
Spire	33.9%	64	4 dels	-1.1%
Reckoner	24.9%	47	3 dels	-0.6%
Total		189	11 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Serduchka	46.4%	110	5 dels	+13.9%
Spire	27.4%	65	3 dels	-1.8%
Reckoner	26.2%	62	3 dels	-0.3%
Total		237	11 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Abbott	40.2%	5,030,523	556 dels
Negarir	23.8%	2,975,762	281 dels
Khan	11.1%	1,389,345	127 dels
Defender	13.0%	1,625,703	113 dels
TSL	10.0%	1,255,983	77 dels
Mothma	1.9%	242,511	5 dels
Dels left			1,313 dels
Total		12,519827	2,472 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Serduchka	31.9%	2,765,444	651 dels
McGriddles	21.1%	1,824,899	313 dels
Reckoner	18.4%	1,594,304	209 dels
Spire	12.7%	1,099,334	199 dels
Peanuts	15.9%	1,376,113	198 dels
Dels left			3,195 dels
Total		8,660,094	4,765 dels