Mafiascum.net

In post 22, BBmolla wrote:

Renata

has been eliminated. She was a

Town Bot

.

Next round up shortly

In post 23, BBmolla wrote:

1. Hagano

votes

2. Kelli

2. Kelli

votes

6. Beata

3. Ginette

votes

1. Hagano

6. Beata

votes

2. Kelli

7. Vasyl

votes

3. Ginette

8. Wilburh

votes

2. Kelli

9. Heidemarie

votes

2. Kelli

10. Juta

votes

7. Vasyl

11. Dwi

votes

7. Vasyl

12. Abdul

votes

11. Dwi

13. Maryana

votes

1. Hagano

Vote Count

Kelli

(4):

Hagano

,

Beata

,

Wilburh

,

Heidemarie

Hagano

(2):

Ginette

,

Maryana

Vasyl

(2):

Juta

,

Dwi

Beata

(1):

Kelli

Ginette

(1):

Vasyl

Dwi

(1):

Abdul

Kelli

has been eliminated. She was a

Town Bot

.

Spoiler: Bots Remaining

1. Hagano

3. Ginette

6. Beata

7. Vasyl

8. Wilburh

9. Heidemarie

10. Juta

11. Dwi

12. Abdul

13. Maryana

In post 24, BBmolla wrote:

You all have three days to vote out a bot.

Countdown: (expired on 2021-02-03 22:21:00)

Once again deadline will be flexible though.

If you did not play previous day you may join if you please.

Without looking too closely, I notice that Wilburh still can be scum with anyone

I agree, Wilburh sounds like a good vote to me.

VOTE: Wilburh

Hmm yeah

VOTE: Wilburh

oh, i should VOTE: Wilburh

Cool that seems pretty definite I’ll update this once I’m at my computer

Vote Count

Wilburh

(4) Snakes, Something_Smart, tris, Farren

Juta

(1) Ircher

Next round up shortly

votes
votes
votes
votes
votes
votes
votes
votes
votes

Vote Count

Abdul

(4):

Hagano

,

Ginette

,

Beata

,

Maryana

Ginette

(2):

Vasyl

,

Dwi

Jutal

(1):

Heidemarie

Hagano

(1):

Juta

Vasyl

(1):

Abdul

If ya'll don't elim a Mafia bot here, it's up to the bots to elim a Mafia Bot or you all lose.

time to get serious

We shouldn't eliminate anyone, right? We only have one shot to get this right before we potentially lose. If we make the bots go first, we'll have more information.

is that an option?

Juta's a bad choice here.

Of the seven remaining not-Juta bots:

Juta can't be scum with Maryana; Juta voted for Maryana on D1.
Juta can't be scum with Vasyl; Juta voted for Vasyl on D2.
Juta can't be scum with Hagano; Juta voted for Hagano on D3.
Juta can't be scum with Heidimarie; Heidimarie voted for Juta on D1 and D3.

That leaves Ginette, Dwi, and Beata.

Dwi can't be scum with Ginette; Dwi voted for Ginette on D3 (and had one guaranteed-Town option in Abdul). So Juta/Dwi/Ginette is out. Only two possible teams with Juta: Juta/Dwi/Beata, or Juta/Ginette/Beata.

Both those teams have Beata, and Beata has plenty of available scum-partners.

Dwi: has to join a wagon. So far, Dwi has not been on the winning wagon - so in every case, Dwi could have voted for a known Town Bot, but did not. Ergo, if Dwi is scum, Dwi did not vote for a partner.

Of the seven remaining not-Dwi bots:

Dwi can't be scum with Maryana (d1 vote).
Dwi can't be scum with Vasyl (d2 vote).
Dwi can't be scum with Ginette (d3 vote).
Dwi can't be scum with Hagano (Hagano's D1 vote).

Leaving Juta, Beata, and Heidimarie. We already know Juta/Dwi/Heidimarie is out because of Juta, so Dwi has only two possible teams - Juta/Dwi/Beata, Dwi/Beata/Heidimarie.

Three possible scumteams having (at least one of Juta/Dwi).
- Juta/Dwi/Beata
- Juta/Ginette/Beata
- Dwi/Heidimarie/Beata

Dwi is also a bad choice.

Hagano's looking pretty good too. Like Juta, another random voter.

Dwi: D1 vote
Maryana: voted for D2 (has to choose between three, but had three different not-self to choose from)
Ginette: voted for D2 (odd numbers, but Ginette had four non-self odds to choose from)
Juta: voted for D3 (random, lots of choices).

That leaves Beata, Heidimarie, and Vasyl as potential partners. Vasyl and Beata can't work together (Vasyl voted for Beata D1), so possible teams here with Hagano are:
Hagano/Beata/Heidimarie;
Hagano/Vasyl/Heidimarie.

I'll let ya'll no lim if you want, should have started with 14 anyway

Maryana's already cleared from working with anyone we've listed so far (Hagano, Dwi, Juta), but can't clear herself from associations with anyone else (Beata, Vasyl, Heidimarie, Ginette)

Of those four, Vasyl isn't with Beata or Ginette (due to Vasyl's votes; Vasyl's always had three to pick from, so must have had at least one Town to pick from if scum). If Maryana is with Vasyl, it must also be with Heidimarie. Otherwise, any of the other combos are good.

Maryana/Beata/Heidimarie
Maryana/Beata/Ginette
Maryana/Vasyl/Heidimarie
Maryana/Heidimarie/Ginette

Then at that point, we're down to four left. Teams with just three of Beata/Vasyl/Heidimarie/Ginette - Vasyl's out of that entirely from the logic above, which leaves Beata/Heidimarie/Ginette as the last possible team.

Possible teams:

Juta/Dwi/Beata
Juta/Beata/Heidimarie
Dwi/Beata/Heidimarie
Hagano/Beata/Heidimarie
Hagano/Vasyl/Heidimarie
Maryana/Beata/Heidimarie
Maryana/Beata/Ginette
Maryana/Vasyl/Heidimarie
Maryana/Heidimarie/Ginette
Beata/Heidimarie/Ginette

Ten possible teams.

Hagano: 20% scum
Ginette: 30% scum
Beata: 70% scum
Vasyl: 20% scum
Heidimarie: 80% scum
Juta: 20% scum
Dwi: 20% scum
Maryana: 40% scum.

If we're going to vote, Heidimarie looks like the best bet here.

Could someone check my logic? Did I miss anything?

I'm seeing a Juta/Beata/Ginette and not a Juta/Beata/Heidemarie team.

VOTE: no-elim

Ircher, I'm curious why you keep voting Juta.

Yup, you're right. copying error. -10% scum chance for Heidimarie, +10% scum chance for Ginette.

VOTE: no-elim