Newbie 2101 | Better Call Saul | Game Over
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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@meg, I get that the bbt wagon came off off a shit post, but I don't think it's been the worst post this game! I don't think it's like, lock scum, which the wagon suggests.
@peta, Tell about ym read on you? I just don't see lock!town in the way other people seem to. I don't think you are scummy, just not town. I don't think I implied it's due to activity, the read on you from others, as hard as furtive thinks but I do think it's part of it.
@bs, bulb was a weird one to read because his posts were kind of all over the place. I have meg as nully.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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@peta, there's been a fair few posts from furtive, juice, even meg that I haven't liked: I haven't done as in-depth a go through as rad, but I wasnnt seeing much that made bbts post stand out as a particularly awful take: and if he'd been around more to chat it over, I'm not sure the wagon jumps up that quick..in terms of bad votes on it, everyone reacts fairly the same, but furtives vote is just dropped on and unchallenged.
@rad, it's mainly wagon analysis for later - his has been a massively active wagon, juice was on and off it, megs been on it for ages, peta's vote is everywhere, even the counter on esire that grew quite quickly is interesting. It isn't a 'if bbt is X than someone is y' thing at all, you are right, it's more 'this feels useful for later' - remember when bbt was scum in the newbie and I did a quick vca and bbt looked awful in hindsight?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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To clarify - I wouldn't be surprised whatever bbt flips, I have them solidly as null as there isn't much content. If he does flip scum, I think it's safe to say there's a bus , because those votes felt fairly quick as it would be a good lim to gain town cred on.
P-edit, @ meg, does my post not answer? I don't have time to iso dive right now. But I think furtives worst is definitely inorganic.
I thought we had a three days left?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Who's the he here?In post 290, petapan wrote:fwiw i thought on it and the stuff i felt was unaligning for bbt/esires isn't that good so i would retract that, only two players i would say are for sure town if bbt is scum are meg and BS. (and i think he's more likely scum than not and if he's town i'm pissed at him for replacing in and playing this way)
@fp, why? Ask me questions about it maybe?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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^ good voting
@fancy, I didn't get a chance to respond at day end but wanted to clarify - it wasn't distancing, more resignation - the bbt wagon elim looked really inevitable by the time I'd replaced in, and I had no strong feelings on the slot. What I was trying to say but don't think I was clear about was that whatever bbt flipped I found furtives vote on them the worst..
@furtive, why ignore esires in your list, the other half of bbt's hero solve?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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This, furtive. Just wanted to see if you had a response-
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In post 327, FancyPants wrote:
Because if you are paired we'd like your opinion for the record.In post 326, furtiveglance wrote:
Why? You said you don't scumread them either. So neither of us would be trying to convince the other.In post 324, Bellaphant wrote:Still: can you walk me through your read on esires?
I didn't pick rad as scum in that newbie. @rad, any other completed scum games?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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@fancy, hard disagree - in newbie 2091 my top scum read did a massive graph of voting patterns, very similar to what furtive did, but it looked way more work than it was and again drew some very weird conclusions (like, a vote was a vote whether it was in RVs or not, it didn't account for mutual town reads voting together, in fact that got painted as scumny iirc, etc.). They flipped scum. Furtives post remind me so much of it because it doesn't really /show/ anything ,apart from as others have pointed out, that juice wasn't really here. Plus it just happens to support his rad/Bella/meg already theory? So you not see that as Sus?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Probably the most useful thing to do is take the slots one by one. If I've missed any questions or comments to me, let me know.
Fancy pants - top town. Was town yesterday, one of the only two slots I was really happy with, even more town today. I really like their approach to furtive's big post - it could feel a bit chaotic (they defend it to me, they scrutinize it a bit, they defend it a bit, they think a bit, they assert their town on furtive), but it's really obvious where their head is at.
Rad - next town. Especially the last few pages. Might be a a tiny bit swayed by effort but this looks like the rad I played with in the newbie, even down to the slightly odd tone to furtive about being dramatic.
Big gap.
Nulls, I guess? Bs00 - I really liked their day one, mainyl.foe tone and some questions. They aren't here today. People have said their bbt vote is bad, but it seemed ok to me.
Scummy
Meg - I find this slot hard to read, I've seen them as town and scum and found it hard to tell the difference. I feel like I should've vibed with their furtive case more than I did.
Esires - wasn't wowed by their day one, they aren't here.
Furtive - still hate their bbt vote. Still think the resemblance between their pairs post and abd's voting graph is huge, both in content and conclusion. Don't like the fact that furtive is saying that he was 'right all along" when his conclusions have changed, Ans then saying 'maybe my town reads are wrong ' - it feels really weird to confidently say you are right but leave yourself an out at the same time.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Furtive, you confuse me so much. Reading through the conclusions, I kinda see where you are going, but then the place In your reads list doesn't seem to match what you've just said - this sticks out most for esires and bs00,- can you talk to me a bit more about them?
Also, I don't think your read sharing thing between me and bulba is true/fair - I was implying that I thought peta was scummy (controversial, but everyone piling on a tr actually felt a bit Sus, I didn't see it /that/ much), so your point about the night kill also feels weird. Also, people scum reading you isn't that weird, sorry
With the bbt thing, I just felt the elim was invevitable - and I do think that wagon is really interesting. If you aren't scum, then I'd look much harder at the other votes on it.
I dunno, can you come poke holes in this? I find your shorter posts really scummy, I find some of your longer explanations really weird and self reinforcing, which I think is my biggest issue with the stuff about the partners, but then some things you say I find myself agreeing with.
Ugh.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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I get that and I liked it, what threw me was then placing them above rad/making them your second and third town read. Slots that I have that many q's on end up feeling more scummy over all to me - hence you and meg.
Ok, fair. I think what I have been trying to say Ans haven't expressed well was that I don't think anyone 's day one covered them in glory, apart from fancy pants. I think big!brain scum Bella, instead of killing her scum read, leaves a slot that's been town read for what actually looks like activity as an easy mis-elim at elo. But that's wifom. I wasn't trying to position my read as clearing me from the kill, that would be silly.
That feels like the most hole-pokey read of the situation, but I guess I did ask for it: re the wagon. But again, fair, although why do you think 'info' is redundant? It was wagon and vote analysis that sold me on bbt scum in the game we played with rad. (Also you made me laugh, which I have found does the to come from town slots, but that's a shit reason to tr someone )-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Ok,back to interrogation!In post 450, furtiveglance wrote:Yes UK. No buses stateside? And yes I like board games. I see you trying to buddy me talking about nice things!
Why is wagon info useless?
Why esires and bs00 above rad on your list?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Ok, I think you read a lot of weird/scummy intent into things I've said - I didn't say what you proposed around the nk and I haven't said that about the vote: I think vca is really useful especially in the later game. I understand that just pointing at a town wagon and going 'ooo' is bad, but again, that's not what I did - I didn't really understand the wagon in the first place and it would be really weird if the wagon was pure - the whole wagon felt opportunistic. At the time, I disliked your vote the most because it felt it had the least context, but I remember rad saying you were just really confident, which I didn't pick up. My next step is to go back and re-read the reasons on my own.
@rad, any questions my way?-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Ok, sorry, I'm not being clear - the wagon still baffles me. It was bad. I think at least one vote hopped on to a wagon that ordinarily wouldn't have gone through in a game with less replacements, or more activity.
Eh, I thought rad said you said you were sure bbt was scum and that was actually pretty town.
I'm not pushing you. The more I talk to you the more I think you are town. I'm still getting a lot out of discussing.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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@ fancy, I have meg as my most certain scum, because in being swayed by furtive - I'm aware I could be being hoodwinked but I felt like he was engaging with me in good faith earlier but without trying to overly appeal to me or pocket me.
It's weird for me because I was reading this game before replacing in and I basically wouldn't have been surprised for anyone to get a red role, even my slot. I town read you, And my other strong tr had one really bad start of day poat and is getting replaced. So I'm trying to mainly work from day two and you, rad and furtive are the most active by far, so I am worried that I'm just poe-ing 'the rest'. I think I'm more scared of rad than you are.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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I'll get back to fancy later
@rad - until recently I wouldn't have been able to answe that - I hadn't rolled scum in years, but I've had some res role PM's now. I'm doing surprisingly well (deptuy cultists it was Poe, I think only meg's alt actually scum read me), I think what's changed the most in my scum game is I now way more actively try to 'look' town - years ago there was an ic called Thor, and he said basically 'forgot you are scum in the day time and push whatever you normally would ' - because most townies do scummy things!
In terms of tone, I used to be more aggressive as scum, because it got me town read! People automatically seem to read my posting style as scummy, which is frustrating when I'm town because I think my thoughts are really clear and obvious and then people yell at me for not answering them. This recently happened in a town game where I drew a fucking spider graph to explain my thoughts and posted a pic in thread!!
Which links to the next bit - no, furtive came across as towny while talking to me about themselves. I felt there was enough push back on my slot for him to be solvy, without him being defensive. It has nothing to do with meg at all. Furtive was my highest scum read but now he isn't, so I'm left with meg + the replacements.
I should've termed this more as a Poe - my scum pool is very mixed with my null pool. I need to go back and read megs day one and an waiting for the replacements before this firms up - I've found it a lot easier to find town today than scum, but my scum reads are more that I don't have compelling reasons to tr them. I'm fairly concerned this isn't right as an end game solve, but I don't think I'm looking outside of the Poe solve of the replacements plus meg today.-
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viewtopic.php?p=13455953#p13455953. Context - the Nancy hydra kept misinterpretating something I thought I'd made really clear but hadn't, so we shouted at each other a lot.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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This too feels a bit deja vu.
Let's start with 4 and 5 - I don't know about rad but when I replaced in the elim felt inevitable. It even felt like bbt had given up fighting it .as I said to furtive, I don't think it was a good wagon at the time, but it was happening. I'd just replaced in, I wasn't going to spend a huge amount of effort that felt useless. Lazy? Yeah, maybe. Scummy? No
6 - I say town to mean everyone, this is a reach. Also, you and bbt just talked about furtive and esires and I didn't get it, of course in gonna ask furtive about it.
7 - this is the same point. Of course I'm gonna poke at everyone's reads..
In terms of your summation, it's just wrong - I made it really clear that it was frutives vote post that tipped me over the edge..
Re the case, it felt nit picky. Bit like this one!
I don't find furtives scum read massively compelling, I don't think I've said that?
I've just done this. I've done it before. I'm not ignoring your questions..
Now for round two...m-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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2) yes, and? I do like vca..we didn't have a better alternative vote at the time. Town gets info from elims. It's starting to feel like the expectation from you here is I replaced in and ....led a whole new elim? Why does the same not apply to rad? Legit question.
3)I didn't say that. I just clarified this to rad.-
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In post 269, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Had to double check this was the right game before I posted after seeing Rad and Bella posts.
I'm really struggling to find the time for Mafia at the moment and I honestly don't mind being hammered.
Find it really weird I was meant to have a strong position on the elim.-
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Because their read also happened out of nowhere? And because one of their main points, which seems to be 'bella didn't push a different wagon to bbt which is convenient for scum ' !which you also made but at least you were funny) hasn't been applied to rad.
Town can be wrong but I look for progression in my reads - I want to understand why something is happening. This push doesn't really feel much to do with anything that's actually happened/I've done, their read on bulba flipped massively and the only thing that seems to have changed overall is that you don't feel like a viable wagon but a few people are now Sus of meg.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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@ rad, I was reading bs2000 as town mainly for vibes when catching up, but their progression there is super weird. Compared to furtive's, actually, which isis really clear. I think the pairing stuff is nai, i think it's a newbie tell rather than a scum tell - it happens quite a bit in newbies where more experienced players have to interject about why it's unhelpful to partner hunt with no info.-
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Ok, I had a bit of time so re-read day one focusing on meg, then meg in iso. Someone (furtive?) Said their iso feels thin, Ans yeah, that's the conclusion I've taken away.
Their early game (it's still page four but it's 20+ posts into their iso) there isn't much happening - a fair few statements like '
Effectively. It's obviously not solid in any sense, but its enough to be a little offputting.' which feel fence sitty.
They start the bbt push, in response to a perceived lack of effort on bbts part. Some weird interactions around the fancy and bs slot. Lots of questions, but also lots of....pot shots? Like to rad. Twice at rad actually.
It's really hard to come away from the iso with a really solid idea of megs stances.-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Fancy made a case on me /my predecessor that was fairly thin, I'm not sure really why furtive is voting me, I think some of it is he reads my posts in the worse possible light! I'm waiting for fancy to come back and discuss.
I think a few people/slots had a really bad day one - as seen by the bbt elim really, which hasn't helped with scum reads. Rad is town, but is low key scum reading my slot due to my predeesor but also has questions about yours, corwins slot was ok Ish but their replace in has been weird, furtive had a good chat with me that made me think he's prov town, fancy was really widely town read but their case in me is just .... strange, Ans meg is also under a bit of scrutiny-
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Bellaphant Jack of All Trades
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Can you explain?
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This is really fence sitty but I think both of Roden Ans corwins opening content is a little off, there's stuff that feels valid in both but also bad takes in both. corwin is misrepping your game almost comically, but it isn't a real push, and rodens point about esires is kinda right - they were the other wagon to bbt, but their day one wasn't stand out bad and having them be auto pushed for a day one that wasn't great for anyone is a bad take.
@fancy, no response to my response? No response to 'ehy am I more Sus about the bbt wagon than rad, peta or even bbt?'-
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1) my reads aren't great right now, I want a bunch more content from the replacements. I'm never as throwy with my votes as some people.
1a) linked to this, im bored of talking about what I said about bbts wagon.
2) that's just me. I've already said to rad about my tone and interactions being hard to read sometimes. Is there anything specific from that game else?
Red stuff - both of these things can be true, it's not a contradiction. See 1a
Good point @ fancy, talk more about the hero solve?
But I did want info from you
I don't know what calling cap means, but ok. I am uninspired by your read.-
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But I've talked about it and talked about it to fancy. It's a fallacy - I'm not going to turn round and suddenly have a better answer than the one I've given, and I don't think not leading an alternative wagon is a fair expectation at all, coming from someone on the wagon! And apparently no one wants this from rad, who also replaced in. No wonder I'm bored and frustrated.-
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It's not having it both ways if my feelings at the time were 'meh'. I can't change that. It's wifom but if I was scum surely I'd have something better to say about it .
I am talking about others. I talked a fair bit about meg. I wish fancy had given me more to respond to than 'i was drunk when I cased you' because I do feel more productive talking to people. I've shared initial thoughts on the replacements.
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