It should be clear from the context what I meant but in my last post clearly I should have said that jee has no reason to reveal who he protected last night rather than who he investigated.
At this point, from my point of view, there are really only three people who could be our final scum: Deer, Nachomamma8 and Pulindar. Taking a look at each of the three player spots in turn here's what I see:
Deer
: The first mention he makes of Ellibereth is to excuse his being on an early wagon because he's new and might not know any better (
Post 47.) After Deer's initial vote that lead to that early bandwagon he really doesn't do anything in the way of expressing his suspicions until
Post 84 but rather spends some time defending against attacks. Actually that vote for jee in Post 84 is essentially just based on his self defense. From there to the vote for DarkLightA we've got some more defending of Ellibereth against SensFan's slip idea (
Post 140) but the only reasons that I seem to find for the vote are that DarkLightA hasn't explained things well enough and the whole DarkLightA always finds SensFan suspicious thing. By the end of the day Deer's stance is that he doesn't think that Ellibereth looks innocent and that he'll have no trouble going after him next.
On day two he Deer opens with suspicions of Ellibereth and jee but he wants to hear from Ellibereth before he casts a vote. He doesn't get around to voting for Ellibereth until his hammer (
Post 341) which in only comes after SensFan has already claimed cop with a guilty on Ellibereth. Deer didn't cast any other votes on day two but did apparently now find Ellibereth's place on the early day one bandwagon suspicious which seems to be a change from his initial reaction. When Ellibereth claims cop Deer is instantly ready to move suspicion away unless there's a counter claim.
On day three I actually like that Deer doesn't want Mr. Finch to claim unless he's under more pressure; that's the right move for town to want.
Post 391 is interesting as it's the first time in the entire game where it looks like Deer is making a real effort to make cases on anyone that I can see. He spends a fair amount of energy defending SensFan (and by default going after Nachomamma8) on day three which is interesting to me. Towards the end of the day he's back on thinking that jee is suspicious and that lynching him is a better choice than a no lynch (despite the fact that night actions were pretty likely to clear up the status of at least one of the claims via one of us getting lynched) though he did seem fine with lynching Nachomamma8 instead if that was an option.
Nachomamma8, Tuberkulos , Kami-Sama
: Kami-Sama wasn't really around enough to do much of anything. It's noteworthy that in his three posts he did manage to list Ellibereth as his number one suspect but he got around to doing more than FoSing him. Tuberkulos was even less of a part of the game. That leaves Nachomamma8 as the only real actor from this player spot.
Nachomamma8 enters the game after Ellibereth has already made his cop claim day two. He starts out with an attack on SensFan for tunneling on Ellibereth and some praise of Ellibereth's scum hunting. From there on, day two he pretty much keeps constant pressure on SensFan until SensFan's cop claim at which point he switches immediately to Ellibereth and sounds surprised that SensFan would think that he would readily believe him.
Day three we've got an initial defense of jee against Deer's suspicion and a vote for Mr. Finch with a guessing game for the reasons which Nachomamma8 apparently forgets the reasons for before explaining them. After that we have a week where nothing really happens and then he's back to attacking SensFan again. It's interesting that his vote stays there even when he's saying that lynching an un-counter claimed cop or doctor is the worst thing that could be done in that situation. I hate the plan he suggests in
Post 445 (i.e. agreeing to help lynch the un-counter claimed doctor with the expectation that people will then lynch the un-counter claimed cop the next day unless they can refute his argument.) I like that he's the first one to seriously push for the no lynch that ended up happening.
Pulindar, Mr. Finch
: Mr. Finch is another player who found Ellibereth's early bandwagon on RPG*Twilight suspicious but used an FoS rather than a vote (though he was willing to cast a random vote earlier and in fact unvoted that to put down the FoS.) He does address the issues that come up and seems to be both talking about theory as well as his suspicions which is a nice mix. His interactions with Ellibereth don't feel as though they're substantially different than his interactions with anyone else. The biggest complaint I have about his early play is that he doesn't get around to his first non-random vote till
Post 138 but with the activity he's showing that's pretty minor. The accidental hammer is interesting but mostly because he'd talked about DarkLightA relatively little.
Ellibereth seems to hang around the top of his scum lists without ever getting voted though some of that is happening while Ellibereth has an un-countered cop claim on day two. I pretty much like what I've seen from Pulindar thus far though I'm interested in seeing the longer posts he's hinted at. Hopefully he'll get them in before his drive.
Thoughts
: Of the three I like the Mr. Finch/Pulindar spot the best. It seems a fair amount more likely to me that our scum is one of Deer and Nachomamma8. Both of them have stretches where it looks like they're defending Ellibereth. Both of them vote for him for the first time as soon as his cop claim is countered by SensFan. Both spent a fair amount of time day three attacking un-counter claimed power roles and advocating their lynch. Where Deer was largely a non-presense during the first couple days of the game Nachomamma8 replaces into a spot for which his predecessors were even less around.
If the day were ending now I'd be willing to be the hammer on either of the two. I guess I find Deer slightly worse but it's really not by a lot.
@Deer, now that jee essentially has to be the doctor has that changed your opinion about my likelihood of being the cop?
@Nachomamma8, do you often forget what your case was going to be on someone you're casting a vote for? Do you even remember if you were voting for Mr. Finch for something you really thought was suspicious of was there some chance that it was a pressure vote of some sort?
@jee, at this point I'd like to hear your take on the state of the game; you pretty much have to be the doctor so I'd like to see you take an active role in leading the discussion as you're the one we know we can trust.
@Pulidar, if you've got the chance before you go I would like to see that post you had ready for yesterday. In any case, good luck with the drive. The closest I've done is to drive a moving truck from Madison to Seattle on my own but at least I was doing it during the summer rather than during a terrible terrible storm season.
-Zorblag R`Lyeh
