[OLD] The Balance Quiz

[forbiddanlight]

1. What is the Town EV (probability of the Town winning) for each setup?

a. 1:11 Vanilla

85%. Mostly a shot in the dark, but 5 mislynches is HARD

b. 2:10 Nightless

96&%. Eight mislynches is HARDER

c. 3:9 Double Day

67% Four mislynches still favors town, but is a little easier to handle. It's close to the general standard of 3 mislynches in a 12 player game

d. 4:8 PairedLovers

Mafia only need 2 mislynches, but each mafia lynch increases that by one...But I'd say town actually ends up having a 45%ish chance

2. In each setup, what does X need to be in order for a 10:X setup to be as close to a 50-50 balance (each side has a 50% chance of winning) as possible?

a. Vanilla

10:50. Still going with 5x town

b. Nightless

10:25. Need quite a few mislynches, but there's a lot of soak/spoiler]
c. PairedLovers

10:25. 2.5x seems best.

d. PairedLovers Nightless

10:16 easily. The mislynches are always doubled in nightless, but 10:13 is a bit...bad.

e. PolyLovers

10:16/18. It's tricky. One good lynch for town, and BOOSH. But you don't want to make it too easy for mafia. 3-4 mislynches is good .

f. Treestump

10:30. MAYBE 10:25. You get a lot of opportunity to lynch townies, and it's harder to determine number of mislynches.

g. White Flag

10:60. 18 mislynches to win. Town needs 9 good lynches...it should be interesting.

h. Double Day

10:25 2.5x is best IIRC

3. Put the following setups in order from lowest Town EV to greatest Town EV (least likely for the Town to win to most likely):

e. 4:7 Nightless
a. 2:5 PairedLovers
c. 3:9 Treestump
g. 5:12 PolyLovers
b. 2:10 Double Day
f. 4:8 PairedLovers Nightless
h. 5:64 White Flag
d. 3:32 Vanilla

So, how bad did I do?

EDIT: OOPS...let me fix the numbers...I misunderstood...and can't read.

[Max]

I've just realised in some of mine I misunderstood the rules, polylover I presumed that the mafia was polygamist and that the town were all standard lovers

[Max]

Results?

[Thok]

Results?

Mith posted them on page 1 already.