Mini Normal 2053 [Completed]


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Post Post #1675 (ISO) » Sat Feb 09, 2019 3:43 pm

Post by Weiss Schnee »

although it is an omgus? hmmm maybe not enough to clear, just a little surprising
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Post Post #1676 (ISO) » Sat Feb 09, 2019 3:44 pm

Post by Weiss Schnee »

shit I've newpaged myself

I should stop for abit
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Post Post #1677 (ISO) » Sat Feb 09, 2019 3:49 pm

Post by Weiss Schnee »

Kyouko if you're town you're going to have to show up to prevent your mislynch because your slot looks bad
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Post Post #1678 (ISO) » Sat Feb 09, 2019 4:35 pm

Post by Weiss Schnee »

In post 1433, Weiss Schnee wrote:
In post 1359, Jibril wrote:
In post 1130, Flavor Leaf wrote:I didn’t say Stan was my choice for the lynch.

Just letting it be there, that if you guys have a question needed to be answered and I’m not around to say it.

The answer is Stan1ey.
Ive been trying to decide how ai this post is

I mean stan town explains why jibril as scum doesn't shoot fl right?

Still working this line of reasoning and im not sure you're town rn
I knew there was something else here

if we can locktown stan, despite his rather shit early game iso, I think we win with kyouko --> creature

sorry for the continued spam but I was just reread stuff and came across this thought and was like, damn, I like it still
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Post Post #1679 (ISO) » Sat Feb 09, 2019 4:36 pm

Post by Weiss Schnee »

unless I somehow have it backward and jibril was just hoping FL would die on the stan check lol

that would suck

well that's why I'm spamming my thought process to see what you guys think :P

wish you all weren't asleep rn tho :(
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Post Post #1680 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 12:17 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1662, Weiss Schnee wrote:who did you block n2?
or
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Post Post #1681 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 12:18 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1663, Weiss Schnee wrote:although the chance of Creature scum after jibril's flip would mean both persivul and rb replaced out because... of theater?
It's against the rules.
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Post Post #1682 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 12:19 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1668, Weiss Schnee wrote:Creature if you thought Alonzo was scum why didn't you talk about him at all on d1?
because there was a nightkill and I assumed it couldn't be Alonzo doing the kill.
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Post Post #1683 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 12:21 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1677, Weiss Schnee wrote:Kyouko your slot looks bad
Said it a lot.
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Post Post #1684 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 12:33 am

Post by stan1ey »

@weiss my RVS vote was just a random vote. Ik that my early game was bad, that was a mix of me generelly not enjoying early game anyway, i prefer going off of peoples actions rather than meta or tone so i dont really do much early game anyway, plus i had a couple of really busy weeks at work and just wasnt really keeping up with the game anyway. but i think since then ive proved myself and as long as i dont get mislynched 3/5 players are confirmed, we have 1 scum left its a free win
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Post Post #1685 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 12:47 am

Post by stan1ey »

Lets just quick lynch ssbm, im pretty sure its him now and this games pretty much over
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Post Post #1686 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 4:01 am

Post by Creature »

ssbm being scum means I was 2/3

Hopefully I was right about it
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Post Post #1687 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:25 am

Post by Weiss Schnee »

Well I really want to hear or's take, he's been the strongest advocate of Stan as scum

Right now we have:
Kyouko :
Mumble did some distancing n1, but also tended to avoid the wagons of the other scum, which is a pattern some scum teams fall into (but not always)
Mumble kind of vanished d1, which is NAI for him afaik, but Kyouko basically lurked out of claiming to joges and now has basically checked out of this game but is posting elsewhere. The ellitell is often quite bad, but if she has just already written this game off as a loss that would explain the sudden drop in activity after the push for jibril being the vig target began
Not really a ton of solving outside of that from either player in this slot

Creature:
Setup spec suggests that masons + rolecop + 2-shot jailor + vig is a pretty heavy power structure for town, but without knowing if scum have a second tpr in addition to watcher I don't know for sure it is too much
I'm still struggling to understand why Alonzo claimed roleblocker vs me and Creature, and one theory is that he wanted to pretend to have a mechanical cross-claim with Creature so that whoever won got towncred (and I'd like or to say whether he thinks this is all just tinfoil or not)

stan:
If stan is scum then there was a pretty savvy cross-bus between jibril and stan; stan suggesting jibril for the vig shot and jibril suggesting stan as Flavor Leaf's "if I'm not here" lynch would make this one of the more impressive cross-busses I have seen recently if it is the case.
Early game iso is pretty bad, but the voting patterns for me very slightly point away from scum

I really wish I was at a point of "This one player out of the three never, ever flips scum" but I'm not at that point right now. I'm at various levels of surprise. I can see kyouko flipping scum very easily. I can see Creature flipping scum if he decided to channel his inner MariaR this game. I would be a bit surprised if stan flipped scum, because that's a pretty savvy cross-bus for like his... second? scum game on site. (or was it third idr)

Kinda hoping or comes in and says "nah Creature just never flips scum here" and then we can lynch kyoko and hopefully this game is just won at that point.
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Post Post #1688 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:58 am

Post by or »

Weiss, look at the setup for this game. viewtopic.php?f=53&t=77657
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Post Post #1689 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:59 am

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Do you think town power levels are similar?
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Post Post #1690 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:03 am

Post by Creature »

Rolecop isn't that powerful tbh. If there's no second scum PR, then basically it could at most catch one scum.
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Post Post #1691 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:04 am

Post by Creature »

also I dunno why mafia jailkeeper would be limited to 2-shot.
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Post Post #1692 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:11 am

Post by stan1ey »

Pretty sure ssbm has given up with this game, its over already cmon lets hammer him and finish
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Post Post #1693 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:22 am

Post by or »

I'll play the odds but I think ssbm is right VOTE: ssbm
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Post Post #1694 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:22 am

Post by Weiss Schnee »

It's mostly the masons that make me nervous. Rolecop here can identify mechanical townclears (vig, mason) which allows for there to be a mechanical townblock with 0% doubt. It's a lot of power even if the rolecop can't catch scum

But no, I have no idea how a 2-shot scum jailkeeper would at all make this scenario make more sense or more balanced. I'm kinda thinking kyouko flips like.... scum hider? Something to fuck with the vig more directly?

idk tho

I'm pretty okay with just flipping kyouko. I just want to know, if we're somehow wrong about kyouko, what town should do in 3-way, since it is likely or will be dead if we are wrong here (unless stan lied about being vanilla -- in which case, ballsy)
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Post Post #1695 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:24 am

Post by or »

Well you're conf town too since creature clears you.
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Post Post #1696 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:25 am

Post by Weiss Schnee »

But would you go kyoko-->creature or kyouko-->stan at this point?
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Post Post #1697 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:27 am

Post by or »

Hmm. Vig identifies himself and masons identify each other. Theres little reason that a role cop is even needed for this town block.
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Post Post #1698 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:28 am

Post by or »

Right now after going through iso a couple minutes ago I'd go with stan
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Post Post #1699 (ISO) » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:30 am

Post by Weiss Schnee »

True.

idk rolecop just sounds strong to me because it has the word "cop" and I get a straight answer from the mod about some part of someone's role

but it's possible I really am just overvaluing it in terms of balance, given goons act like quasi-godfathers

Watcher+Goon+2-shot JK vs. Mason-Mason-Vig-Rolecop

Actually I have a hard time seeing that, I'd be worried people would say it was scumsided

I guess... idk I'm starting to think we just do kyouko because it's just the right answer
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