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Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:13 am
by Flavor Leaf
In post 11495, Nashville Dreams wrote:
VLA 48 hours


Here's the situation, we're both working.
Wolves and mafia get kills tonight if not limmed.
Limming wolves puts us in prisoners dillema. 4 1 1.
Nightkills can become 4 0 0
2 1 1 or 3 2.
Limming mafia puts us in 4 2. Which becomes 3 2.

Safer play is to eliminate mafia.
Mafia want a wolf limmed or town.
Wolves settle for town but want mafia.
This math doesn’t take into account the reads of the players, and who wouldn’t get night killed in the scenarios.

Klick never gets nightkilled here. Scum essentially have to go for each other.

Wolves absolutely never risk me being Mafia and winning this game. I am shot by Wolves 100% of the time.

MafiaNash shoots Menalque/TicTac here, MafiaMenalque shoots Nashville/TicTac here.

It is always a win if Sword and Freedom are town.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:16 am
by Flavor Leaf
And you could say “what if scum don’t shoot there”

Then they risk the other scum killing them.

It just is a do or die for them, they are literally forced into it.

The only mishap is if Wolves don’t shoot me, and shoot the Mafia instead, which is even better because it’s an instant win without going to the next day phase.

It benefits both scum teams now to come after me here and play the night phase because any other situation ends in a town victory.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:20 am
by Flavor Leaf
@Freedom/Sword - Would you sheep me on TicTac? As someone who cannot be a Wolf. I feel TicTac is 100% obviously a wolf.

Here’s the situation if I were Mafia here. I would obviously shoot Menalque thinking they are more likely the other wolf. Menalque would shoot me. Game over. Town win.

If Nashville was a wolf, I was Mafia. Nashville shoots me, I shoot Menalque. You all fade Nashville tomorrow. Game over. Town win.

Now I’m town, Menalque Wolf shoots me, NashvilleMafia shoots Menalque. Fade Nashville. Town win.

Nashville Wolf shoots me, Menalque shoots Nashville. Fade Menalque. Town win.

I’m every single scenario that is likely to happen, town win by fading TicTac.

Absolutely nobody shoots Sword, Klick, or Freedom here because it loses them the game/leaves up to hopeful chance.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:23 am
by Flavor Leaf
I’m not gonna do the situations where we fade Menalque/Nashville, but essentially, it all works out the same.

People assuming Mafia miss here are scum. Full stop. Especially if you think that I would miss as Mafia.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:30 am
by Sword of Ducks
actions sometimes speak louder than words

VOTE: tictac

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 10:19 am
by Cephrir
votecount 7.1
Menalque (1) | Flavor Leaf
tictac (1) | Sword of Ducks
Nashville Dreams (1) | tictac

Not Voting | Freedom, Klick, Nashville Dreams, Menalque

With 7 alive, it takes 4 to politely ask someone to leave.

Deadline: (expired on 2022-07-05 11:18:00).

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 11:24 am
by Freedom
In post 11498, Flavor Leaf wrote:
@Sword - Freedom - do you two understand why Wolves always shoot me tonight if a Mafia is unflipped? Even if we flip ND and they flip Mafia, wolves shoot me over Klick.
Because you are a Monk and the Werewolves think that you are Mafia.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 11:27 am
by Freedom
In post 11502, Flavor Leaf wrote:@Freedom/Sword - Would you sheep me on TicTac? As someone who cannot be a Wolf. I feel TicTac is 100% obviously a wolf.
Sure.
If it's between Mena, Nashville and tictac, I might as well vote for my highest read.
VOTE: tictac

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 1:18 pm
by Flavor Leaf
VOTE: TicTac

I think this always is a Wolf.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 8:21 pm
by Klick
I mean I do too really. But voting tictac today is literally just doing Mafia a favour. It does nothing to limit the pool of potential Mafia for Wolves to kill in.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 8:27 pm
by Flavor Leaf
In post 11509, Klick wrote:I mean I do too really. But voting tictac today is literally just doing Mafia a favour. It does nothing to limit the pool of potential Mafia for Wolves to kill in.
how?

Menalque/Nashville as Mafia always would kill the other. If you think I'm Mafia, I would always kill Menalque.

Fading TicTac 100% ends in a town victory if scum Sword/Freedom are both town.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:08 pm
by tictac
In post 11509, Klick wrote:I mean I do too really. But voting tictac today is literally just doing Mafia a favour. It does nothing to limit the pool of potential Mafia for Wolves to kill in.
i did predict this was gonna happen, and u didn't think people would do that :lol:
leaf doesn't have enough NKs to both hunt wolfs and kill masons before 3p, so he
needs
this. and he is personable and i'm not.
s not the first or the last time that folks think using ones brain to come to actual conclusions is informed pow also.
still, one might think at least someone would have learned something when math flipped town joat, but i guess that's BOP.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 9:17 pm
by tictac
In post 11511, tictac wrote:personable and i'm not
i do wanna say, that is at somewhat deliberate on my part. pandering is just not a thing i enjoy at all, so i've not tried very hard to correct this flaw.
so don't feel too bad if it's a factor here, the fault is at least partially mine.

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 10:31 pm
by Flavor Leaf
Anyone else want to point out the reason why TicTac confirmed themselves as scum in that post

Posted: Wed Jun 22, 2022 11:22 pm
by Freedom
In post 11513, Flavor Leaf wrote:Anyone else want to point out the reason why TicTac confirmed themselves as scum in that post
Go ahead.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 12:38 am
by Menalque
I don’t see who else is maf other than FL

Maaaaaaybe ND in a world where ducks is wolf?

But most likely to me is still FL maf, wolves tictac + ND with an outside chance of ducks instead of one of the others

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:02 am
by Flavor Leaf
In post 11515, Menalque wrote:I don’t see who else is maf other than FL

Maaaaaaybe ND in a world where ducks is wolf?

But most likely to me is still FL maf, wolves tictac + ND with an outside chance of ducks instead of one of the others
So fade TicTac, and let me get shot by ND if that’s your solve.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:07 am
by Flavor Leaf
In post 11514, Freedom wrote:
In post 11513, Flavor Leaf wrote:Anyone else want to point out the reason why TicTac confirmed themselves as scum in that post
Go ahead.
They’re saying I need that by going after the Mason + Wolves, trying to imply I’m going after a town Mason, but going after a townie loses the game from a MafiaLeaf POV, so in that scenario I wouldn’t need just a Mason. I’d need a wolf.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:09 am
by Menalque
Idk why ur trying to convince me of anything when I’ve already said multiple times that I’m just here to sheep klick and give him my opinion if he asks

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:09 am
by Flavor Leaf
Tomorrow, only 1 of Menalque, Nashville, FL make it to that day.

You fade in the 1 of them that live, and if Sword/Freedom both town, it’s a win.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:11 am
by Flavor Leaf
In post 11518, Menalque wrote:Idk why ur trying to convince me of anything when I’ve already said multiple times that I’m just here to sheep klick and give him my opinion if he asks
Trying to test your lack of action.

You’re not trying to sheep Klick, you’re trying to sheep Klick onto me, there’s a difference.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:13 am
by Flavor Leaf
Like I’ve literally been one of the harder pushes on 4/5 of the flipped scum here, should be near mech confirmed town, and still getting pushed as Mafia.

That is why I’m still trying to convince other people. Frankly, it’s extremely frustrating.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:14 am
by Flavor Leaf
And i know most of it just comes from scum, but it only takes 1 or 2 townies to believe it for scum to pull it off.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:20 am
by Flavor Leaf
In post 11521, Flavor Leaf wrote:Like I’ve literally been one of the harder pushes on 4/5 of the flipped scum here, should be near mech confirmed town, and still getting pushed as Mafia.

That is why I’m still trying to convince other people. Frankly, it’s extremely frustrating.
Where the only possibility of me being scum is a world where I shot my own scum partner right after losing another scum partner as a Monk.

I personally feel I’m handling my frustration extremely well considering the situation.

Posted: Thu Jun 23, 2022 5:30 am
by Flavor Leaf
@Menalque - Explain your Sword and Freedom reads.

They have been my town reads since Day 1, and they're the two that just happen to be getting universally town read now?

So in your own words, I'd like to see why you town read both Sword and Freedom.