Place your bets!

[Alexander]

A game of limited information like Mafia naturally lends itself to betting. Why didn't anyone think of it before, I wonder.... let's do it.

So, here's what we are going to do:
1. Register here to participate.
2. Each participant automatically gets $100 in their account.
3. At any time, you may place bets related to any game that you are not in. All bets are placed by PM to me. Here are some examples of allowed bets:

"I bet $10 on Fritzler being mafia in mini 398"
"I bet $11 on MeMe being nightkilled N2 in mini 401"
"I bet $25 on town winning newbie 666"

4. Once you have placed your bet, I will PM you back your expected payoff. For something overwhelmingly unlikely (eg. attempting to guess all 3 mafia in a mini that has barely started), you may be paid 20-1 or even higher. For something more mundane ("town will win"), the payoff will be much smaller, probably 1-1.
5. If you don't like the payoff I am offering, you may withdraw the bet. However, you may not withdraw 2 bets in a row (if you withdraw once, you may not withdraw your next one).
6. Once a bet is won or lost, I will post an update in-thread.

Additional rules:
- I will only accept bets on minis and newbie games. Large games are too complex for me to read through to determine the payoff.
- For obvious reasons, I cannot accept bets on games I am in, or games I am modding. (For reference, I am in Mini 282 and Mini 251, and I am modding Mini 278).
- For equally obvious reasons, I cannot accept bets on games you are in, and games you are modding.

Place those bets, ladies and gentlemen!

[Alexander]

Well, if you did it during the invitational, that's good. I'd like to have an ongoing running feature rather than a 1-shot.

So... who wants /in ??

[Alexander]

Shucks, so it didn't work the first time. Let's make it work this time. Who wants to be in? remember, you can bet on any event in any game.

[Alexander]

If you go broke, you are out of the game ... but you can rejoin and get a new batch of $100, how's that!? Neat, huh?

Anyway, whoever is /in, automatically has 100, and can PM me with bets (I guess posting bets in-thread is bad style)

[Alexander]

Good grief, how many games are you in?
PS: you may also bet on games in which you died, but only in condition you were an uninformed role, such as vanilla townie.

[Alexander]

All bets are by PMs to me. I will not reveal the bets until they are won/lost.
And yes, I specifically stated above that the games I am playing/modding are excluded. Hope it's fine this way and no games integrity is geopardized.

Cogito Ergo Sum placed 4 different bets for a total of $80, by the way.
EDIT: make this 3 bets for $60, as he declined the payoff on one of them.
Now, who else wants to play?

[Alexander]

People, please DO NOT bet on large games with more than 12 players. Those take a bit too long for me to read through to determine the ods (even if I only need to skim).

I will accept the bets made so far, but all new bets, on newbie and mini games ONLY. TIA.

[Alexander]

Sure, why not.
The house reserves the right to protects itself by setting payoffs appropriately, of course.

[Alexander]

You may bet on games in which you died, but only if you were a complete vanilla.

[Alexander]

There is a problem with such strategy:
You don't get to participate at all in any bets until your first bet is resolved. So, if your goal is to play as much as possible, you'd better split into several smaller bets.

[Alexander]

And we have our first resolved bet, ladies and gentlemen!

The following was placed two days ago:

AniX will post somthing about XFiles and use the word "Fuck" tomarrow.
i put $20 on that bet, if i can.

rajrhcpfreak finds himself $20 poorer... the house would like to thank AniX for his judicious avoidance of the F-word.

[Alexander]

raj finds himself $20 poorer, betting on 7 themed minis starting in February.
CES wins $80, betting $20 on the newbie 196 lynch scene on page 7. (4-1)

Carry on.

[Alexander]

I never accepted that bet (anything involving Fritzler and females is too unpredictable for me to bet on/against)