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TierShift
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Post Post #1 (isolation #0) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 6:35 am

Post by TierShift »

I want to see if second votes will continue to be more town-dominated.

Looks interesting to point out trends but there's nothing that catches the eye as of yet.
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Post Post #3 (isolation #1) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 6:58 am

Post by TierShift »

If my math is correct, 92% of town lynches have scum on them.

You can indeed work with that.

Edit: wrong, recalcing
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Post Post #4 (isolation #2) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 7:05 am

Post by TierShift »

What's the percentage of mafia lynches?
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Post Post #16 (isolation #3) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 10:52 am

Post by TierShift »

Guys, my 92% of town lynches have mafia on them is wrong. The actual percentage is lower.

I took the amount of town lynches with no mafia on them (1/4*31%~8%) and divided that by all town lynches, for which I took the lynches with scum on it+townlynches without scum (69+8~77%). That is wrong, though, because there are mafia lynches with mafia on them, which now artificially raises the result. So to correctly calculate this, I need the percentage of town lynches.

Even if I calculate it like this, it's 90 instead of 92%. If we know the amount of bussing, I can give the accurate percentage.
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Post Post #18 (isolation #4) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 11:05 am

Post by TierShift »

I want someone to calculate town EV if all newbie replacements are PL'd. I think town winrate would shoot up by 5%.

So stop scumhunting, lynch replacements, thank you.

No throwing dice.
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Post Post #23 (isolation #5) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 11:46 am

Post by TierShift »

No gm, that is 8% of total lynches, not just town lynches.
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Post Post #30 (isolation #6) » Fri Sep 05, 2014 9:23 pm

Post by TierShift »

In post 25, goodmorning wrote:
In post 23, TierShift wrote:No gm, that is 8% of total lynches, not just town lynches.

There it is, my troubles return.
There's a reason I'm majoring in econ and not stats.

Okay, let me try to explain.

To get the percentage of town lynches without scum on them, you need to divide
the total number of town lynches wthout scum on them
by
total number of town lynches.
Okay?

I cannot find the total number of town lynches or the percentage of town lynches and I took a wrong percentage instead.
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Post Post #39 (isolation #7) » Sat Sep 06, 2014 7:16 am

Post by TierShift »

Which is extraordinarily close too random...almost too close.

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