Most likely revisiting an old topic: 3 Town Vs. 1 Scum

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LlamaFluff
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Post Post #27 (isolation #0) » Wed Jan 11, 2017 3:53 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

I think the best way to look at it is in the sense of:

Is there one player, that if they were the one that was NKed, your reads on the remaining players would not change. If there is a player who if they got NKed your pick for scum would not change, then you should not no lynch because they are the most likely player to die and you are in the same position without anyone you are confident in being town.

If you ARE in a situation where your reads could drastically change regardless of who dies, then you should want to no lynch.

Basically its the question of: Does the obvious NK dying change anything?
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Post Post #34 (isolation #1) » Thu Jan 12, 2017 3:22 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 33, callforjudgement wrote:If there's a player who's mechanically confirmed, and no reason to believe that they can be protected, that's a good reason to lynch right away.

If they aren't mechanically confirmed, but just widely townread, make scum kill them. You might be surprised.
Still depends on some things. If there are two players who fit that bill, its probably bad to no lynch since one would die and it wouldn't have much impact on the game. If town read A is scum they just kill town read B.

If scum has got themselves in the "confirmed" town spot in a final four, it probably depends who else is alive if it actually does anything. If there is a general consensus that Player A is town, Player B is probably town, and players C and D hold scum... not as useful.

If you have three players who are likely to be lynched, then you might move more towards that category. Depending on who the town player who is read as town though is, still might not work. As scum in that situation where I am in the group of 3, if I read that the town player sees me as favorable and there is another player that I view as a threat (right reads, sway with conf-town, strong player, etc) you can argue killing them is right.

Its not set in stone, but I think when there is a consensus town it makes the most sense to just assume they are town. The question is which situation is more likely

1) They are scum and actually get lynched
2) They are town and scum manages to WIFOM town into lynching them in F3

I think outside of a situation where there all other three players could easily be lynched, you just move forward in F4 with a player that the rest of the game is comfortable calling town.
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