Ignorance Is Bliss

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Smocaine
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Post Post #0  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 06, 2017 4:03 am

Anyone else find that they win more games when wrong than when they are right?

Ellibereth
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Post Post #1  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 06, 2017 4:04 am

That means you're not trying to be in charge when you're wrong which is a good thing.

Now just try to get in charge when you're right. :)
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Alisae
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Post Post #2  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 06, 2017 4:05 am

No because mafia is an easy game
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Smocaine
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Post Post #3  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 06, 2017 4:07 am

In post 1, Ellibereth wrote:That means you're not trying to be in charge when you're wrong which is a good thing.

Now just try to get in charge when you're right. :)

Should I try to be wrong more often so that I win, or would that be gting?

Ellibereth
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Post Post #4  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 06, 2017 4:29 am

plz don't ruin game
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mastina
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Post Post #5  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 06, 2017 5:59 pm

In post 0, Smocaine wrote:Anyone else find that they win more games when wrong than when they are right?
There's some basis in reality to this.

It's called "scum nightkill the competent townies".

If you're right, you get nightkilled.
If you're nightkilled, you can no longer prevent the town from being absolute morons and doing things you would never let them do.

If you're wrong, you might avoid the nightkill.
If you avoid the nightkill, then you can influence the lynch.

But, of course, this is only the grain of truth to what you are saying, because it goes without saying that if you are wrong, then you being alive and wrong is +EV for the scum. (Since you either become a mislynch on BoP grounds thanks to having been wrong, or you push a fight which is tVt.)

Still. In certain games, this is absolutely the case. If you're wrong, but you can work well with someone who isn't wrong and the nightkill is placed elsewhere as a result, you're more likely to win; if you're right and the scumteam fears you ARE the person who works well with those who're wrong, you are nightkilled and thus prevented from doing so.

Would highly recommend never lying about your reads and never deliberately trying to be wrong and never trying to avert the nightkill and so on and so forth though. Because if you try that then you absolutely deserve the inevitable loss headed your way. :P

Creature
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Post Post #6  (ISO)  » Thu Dec 07, 2017 5:32 am

Players underestimate nightkilled players too much.
*ignored*

Gamma Emerald
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Post Post #7  (ISO)  » Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:27 am

Mini 1910 in a nutshell for me: was wrong on scum big time but got carried hard
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