MS Time Capsule: Predict the future, impress your peers

[Ranmaru]

5 years?

No more mafiascum due to energy crisis

uh, hydras become tridras with 3 per account
oh, and not just Listmods get fancy coloured usernames. I'm expecting a blue, purple, orange and ultraviolet

I have done this before.

@Ani: I would rather keep vt's. They fun.

[animorpherv1]

Oh god no. VTs are my most hated role.

[crypto]

This is depressing.

[DarthYoshi]

^All of the above is a moot point because the world is ending December 22, 2012...at least, that's what Fox Mulder told me.

My bets are on a resurgence of old-school roles--Mad Scientist, Caterer, at the like--because, you know, retro is always in. Except when it isn't.

[Andrius]

Katsuki will beat Andrius in almost every game they play together.

The fuck?
God forbid we ever meet in the future.

ReaperCharlie will be a tolerable member of the community.

No.

Might do one of these later.

Well, I had a dream VPB replaced Kinetic, and Stars Aligned IV was won by the Alien faction. Percy lived.

[Korts]

- People will continue to nominate

Jumped The Shark

as a title for The Fonz on a roughly annual basis. The Fonz will not have received a title.

iamausername eventually accepts iamatitle, DemonHybrid goes on a rant about title puns, ReaperCharlie makes a snarky comment about pedantry and a long-absent Oman, Oman threatens to retire, Ythan tells ReaperCharlie to shut the fuck up and get the fuck out, Cyberbob tells Oman the same; first the title thread, then 62, and then GD devolves into constant spam wars regarding first titling policy and then e-peen size, and so ultimately iamausername is responsible for burning MS down altogether. Again.

And this is just next week.

(Also I will find a way to blame you for all the shitposters)

[Nobody Special]

I really don't feel as though I've been here long enough to accurately discern what will happen in the future.

[ReaperCharlie]

I will leave but will keep contact with five scummers via online gaming specifically so that Vi's prediction will come true.

And I, for one, welcome our new androgynous overlords. Hail.

[Espeonage]

In four years RC will announce his retirement. He will make a GD thread asking for five people to send him emails once a month for the next year. He will at the end announce a comeback and quote this thread.

[dramonic]

Can we make a 1 year prediction thread and predict ReaperCharlie's disappearance there?
5 year seems so far away =(

[animorpherv1]

Hmmm.. I read Vi's predictions. I like them, and may try to implement the instantaneous night thing in my future games, just to get that started.

The Mish Mash Population will grow for a period of time (the next one to two years), before said trolls screw the site over. Come about May/June 2014, the trolls will try to take over the site, causing my aforementioned site break, which will make all areas of the site either widdle into nothingness or grow into unheard of amounts.

[animorpherv1]

Oh yes.

A new thread will be made shortly (～1 week) after this thread is dug up.

[Kdub]

Cops, docs, and roleblockers will be used much less frequently. I wouldn't be surprised if newbie setups moved away from those roles at some point.

Someone will have attempted to run a game with 100+ players (Team Mafia sequel?).

The mini modding queues will grow unacceptably long, leading to some sort of reform. The time on-site required for a player to mod their first game will be increased to 6 months. Setup reviews will become mandatory and enforced for all queues except the open queue.

Kise will be modding Square Enix Mafia XXIII-2.

Several things that are currently considered bastard modding will be regarded as fair and acceptable.

There will have been a game that breaks 7000 posts.

[animorpherv1]

Oh yea. 7000 post breakage will either be dram, Tar or Percy (specfically Stars Aligned).

[SpyreX]

I agree with Hoopla that Papa Zito and StrangerCoug are potential exceptions, leaning more toward Papa Zito simply because of the SpyreX connection.

Que?

----

* Vote Counts will be integrated directly into the forum.
--- Trolls will screw up said vote counts for a while, then get bored.
* Cop will become the new cult. Cult will still be bad.
* Truly balanced theme games will still be few and far between.
* The average time of a game will decrease - current "fast" games like BaM will be the norm/slow games.
* Mith will step down. Flay will be gone. Kison will still bless the site with neat tricks. DGB will be the shadow ruler and the other powers of admin-land will be delegated out.
* Hoopla will leave after a piece of truly majestic statistical analysis that will be the guideline for balance for the forseeable future.
* NaR will be a site standard. How things work in NaR will still be argued.
* The "jeep tells" will work again very reliably.
* There will be a way to have a truly anonymous forum for speed games.
* The entire Screaming Death Clan will be all but absent from playing.
* Ani will win the Paragon trophy.
* Vi will be the new MeMe
* Chess Mafia 2 will be running.
* A 100 person game will be ran to completion.

[Espeonage]

* Ani will win the Paragon trophy.

And I thought my chesskid list mod prediction was out there.

[Tarhalindur]

Hmm.

- The site will have seen at least two more server moves and probably another software upgrade.
- Site game limits will exist. Vote count automation won't, especially given the issues with tons of vote-manipulating games (coughMindScrewcough)
- The site will be at either around 18,000 or 30,000 players, depending on the economic situation (if Internet infrastructure/access is suffering from economy woes/resource depletion, expect the former and a drop in membership after the 5-year mark).
- AlmasterGM will be one of the mods of legend (same lines as DP/Vi/dram/Percy/SpyreX/self), and if he's still on site everybody will keep bugging him to run another Defcon game (same goes for Percy and Stars Aligned, SpyreX and Star Control, and myself and Mind Screw). He'll probably have taken a break from playing on site, and will either have returned or be on the brink of returning.
- Percy will eventually reappear but only briefly.
- One to two new mods of legend will appear each year. The standard mechanic for becoming a mod of legend (first Mini Theme a wild success) will not change.
- Minis will be either 13 or 14 players.
- The Mini queues will be about twice as long despite continued restrictions on new mods.
- The Large Theme and Large Normal queues will develop into actual Mini-style queues, and probably sooner rather than later.
- A new speed or micro queue will appear to satisfy new mod demand, likely in 2-3 years. It will be about as successful as the current Open queue, but probably at the price of the Open Queue's popularity.
- I will continue to propose splitting flavored normals from variant mechanics. It will still have gone nowhere.
- The number of roles acceptable for Normals will continue to go down, despite proposals to add new roles. Cop+Doc combo will no longer be acceptable in Mini Normals (good riddance).
- We STILL won't be able to balance Cults.
- List mods: farside/hasdgfas will be gone. VRK may still be around, same with Zito. Kinetic will still be here unless real life interferes, same with SC. Vi will be a list mod; I may be as well, assuming that my hiatus is a one-time event.
- Still around: Yos2, DGB, Glork, Mr. Flay (occasionally). Harder to call the 07-08 crew, and I'm not well versed enough in the 09-10 crowd to even try with them.
- Chesskid/vezokpiraka/etc. will have left the site and been replaced by new players of the same mold, much like Natirasha and zwetschenwasser before them. Some (like dram) will graduate to respectability.
- Other mods still won't figure out that one of the reasons why I keep designing new roles is to try to clear the way for other mods to use new ability types. (Main exception: Mao mechanic; I approve of and encourage Mind Screw Gaidens, but I'd prefer if the main series is left to me.)
- I will eventually run out of design space in current Mafia and shift over towards flavor-based games using more traditional roles (or vanish).
- 100-plus players will be tried; it will fail miserably and/or be a Parallel Universe/Team Mafia style game. Longest thread may happen, but it won't be a Tar game (I'm too kill-happy).
- There will be a sitewide ability resolution standard for normals, likely NaR. Some mods (including myself) will be holdouts, usually those with their own ability resolution standard (such as my in-development Fundamental Resolution Class). Some mods will [REDACTED] after inspiration from [REDACTED].

[Yosarian2]

- There are currently 24 whitelisted roles for Normal Games. In the future there will be 35.

Based on past trends of simplification and dumbing down of normal games, I'm going to predict that by 2016, there will only be 2 roles left permitted in normal games, town and mafia, and there will be a strong movement to ban the mafia role from normal games as "unfair".

[Hoopla]

Based on past trends of simplification and dumbing down of normal games, I'm going to predict that by 2016, there will only be 2 roles left permitted in normal games, town and mafia, and there will be a strong movement to ban the mafia role from normal games as "unfair".

Don't be silly! Normal games are super progressive, and have thousands of options. I think having all the roles and role modifiers listed there is what makes it feel smaller. To emphasise this point - in the 50 games prior to the Normal Guidelines being drafted, only 16 out of 50 games contained a role that wouldn't be allowed by today's standards or would be added under the unique role clause, and most of them were things like Universal Backup/Venegful/PGO/Day roles - all of which are on the fringe of normalcy and will probably be whitelisted one day. For reference, 9/30 completed games under the Normal Game Guidelines have used unique/variant roles - and mods typically use their quota in Large Normals too, which is just as much as what we were doing before the guidelines anyway. There have been a rise in mods using role modifiers like X-shot, Even/Odd Night, a rise in Neighbourhoods and a rise in mods using other normally town-aligned roles for mafia abilities. There's also been a rise in mods prepared to create 7-11 player games. We're definitely getting just as much, if not more creativity, along with the handy perk of improved balance (hopefully).

[Espeonage]

I'm going to make a prediction that this thread will be laughed at.

[xRECKONERx]

* The entire Screaming Death Clan will be all but absent from playing.

This made me tear up.

[Empking]

- Small Open games will either be a thing of the past or the queue will change to force people to run them. If the latter, it will happen soon after Farside retires.
- People will still act like 2:10 isn't mathematically hideously town favoured.
- Innocent Child will be far more popular.
- Cop will mantain its current level of popularity.
- The site will never be as good as it was pre-2008 but it won't be any worse than it is currently.
- Alignment changing roles will be allowed in normal games.
- Third party roles will be allowed in normal games.
- Jesters and Survivors will no longer be used. In general though, third party roles will mantain their current level of popularity.
- Multiple scum teams will either be more popular or almost unheard of.
- Spiritual sequals of old games will be semi-common.
- The title fairy will no longer exist. It will be replaced by general title by number of posts. This will not be retroactive.
- Hydras will change dramitically in popularity.
-

[Tragedy]

Third party roles will be allowed in normal games.

Doesn't Serial Killer count as a 3rd Party? There's always one in normal games.

[Parama]

The only one I can honestly make:

Andrius still will have never played in a game I've modded, and vice-versa.

[Empking]

Third party roles will be allowed in normal games.

Doesn't Serial Killer count as a 3rd Party? There's always one in normal games.

Third party roles will be allowed in normal game not limited to just serial killers.