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Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2019 12:20 pm
by callforjudgement
In post 73, Jingle wrote:Your numbers have to be off (paragon win increasing would by definition decrease scum win %). I'll look at it in a little bit to see where.
The paragon increase only comes from the case where scum have lost anyway (and town have won anyway). So it doesn't decrease the scum win chance.

Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2019 12:30 pm
by Jingle
?

They have twice as many chances to win when town has been lynched (2/6 compared to 1/6) which means scum has 4/6 instead of 5/6 chances to win in that case.

When scum is lynched they have 1/4 + 1/3 (which is ~58%).

Add in the weights (.4 for a scum lynch and .6 for a town lynch) and you get .4 v .4 v.43 Where the overlap of 23% is a joint town/Paragon win.

Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2019 1:39 pm
by callforjudgement
My suggestion was to give the Paragons two chances only if scum was lynched D1.

Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2019 2:59 pm
by Jingle
Oh. In that case, please ignore the Jester behind the bedsheet. I am the great and powerful Oz! :oops:

Posted: Mon Jan 28, 2019 3:17 am
by ejjinami
actually, this
viewtopic.php?f=56&t=8144
looks like a fun setup

Posted: Mon Jan 28, 2019 10:13 pm
by Jingle

Posted: Mon Jan 28, 2019 11:20 pm
by the worst
alright i've loaded out the OP with a table of setups we're considering.
if anyone has any others just sing out and i'm happy to throw them in; if for example people are around and there's a particularly clueless mod (=> me) i guess having them somewhere increases the chances they'll be run. :lol:



obv. i've left out the usual suspects a la vengeful lovers mafia etc. but they'll no doubt get a fair thrashing

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 4:01 am
by Something_Smart
Here's a setup I made up a while ago that we could try (obviously, I'll be running it concurrently in the micro queue). I can make a discussion thread for it if people want.

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 4:01 pm
by TheGoldenParadox
/in for sure!

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 8:52 am
by u r a person 2
i am keen

Posted: Tue Feb 12, 2019 11:56 pm
by PvtUrist
It is time.

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 4:12 am
by Jingle
I suggest that we use this thread during the marathon to announce games, similarly to the upcoming game announcements thread.

I'll probably run BoP Mafia tomorrow afternoon if anyone is interested.

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 3:19 pm
by Invisibility
it is almost time!

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 4:54 pm
by the worst
i sent a courtesy pm to the people who /in'd just in case people like get email alerts/haven't been around the forum and stuff :)

yeah if people are planning to run opens and want some numbers, maybe advertising em in here as the great and wise jingle suggested is a good option. i've got some other folks who expressed interest in discord pings so i'll try and keep them adequately poked about what's going on.

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:03 pm
by OkaPoka
ego for pings

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:29 pm
by TheGoldenParadox
I plan to just rng the list of the setups and then mod like half of them
I'm sure y'all'be getting sick of me this weekend xD

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:31 pm
by the worst
how could I get sick of you? your avatar has already pre-hypnotised me *_*

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 6:10 pm
by Enter
I'm planning on running a Reservoir Dogs themed Double Day Unlimited Friday Night-ish (CST) where Mafia are the uninformed Majority

https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?ti ... _Unlimited

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 7:40 pm
by RadiantCowbells
So I kinda forgot the game was happening, but I've played this setup a couple times in sitechat before, (and modded them, too) and usually it doesn't matter who gets lynched first, just because if you get town, you get a confirmed townie, and most of the time by the first couple minutes based on who's working with who and so on and so forth. I saw the votecount and it looked like it was him or you. I knew if I voted you I'd either get scum and p much win, or I'd get town and you'd shoot him (killing scum). That's how it goes pretty much every time. So I flipped a coin that would only land heads up.

I get this setup mixed up a lot, though, with SS3 (and also every time I skim this I think townies are perma one-shot lynchproof) which is why I posted like I did at beginning of day 2. I know you know I'm town, cuz if you didn't think I was, you'd have shot me yesterday. Let's lynch RC and win this thing for the homies?

Posted: Wed Feb 13, 2019 7:44 pm
by PvtUrist
lol RC

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 5:48 am
by Jingle
viewtopic.php?f=24&t=78785

Burden of Proficiency mafia in ~4 hours. Hopefully we'll get enough peeps.

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:30 am
by the worst
Rogue Agent Mafia was just run as a 'surprise open' with a town win.
(ignore the radiantcowbells memes & double-win jokes; it was run entirely as described)

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:54 am
by Jingle
In post 3415, jjh927 wrote:What next for jjh927? Well, I have a dumb open setup idea that I didn't publish in case people mod metaed me for this game;

Spoiler: Currently Unnamed Open Setup Idea
2 mafia, who choose to be 1-shot framers, miller, or godfather. 7 town, who are either 1-shot framers, millers, or godfathers, with distribution depending on what the mafia picked to make 3 of each total in the game.+ 1 town rolecop and 1 town regular cop


Also a couple of ideas that are less effort than this game but still theme games. But I really shouldn't host any of them until I finish my dissertation.



Any guesses on the number of beans in the vegan bean chilli?

JJ wants to run this. Volunteer and pick a time, peeps!

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:56 am
by jjh927
In post 97, Jingle wrote:
In post 3415, jjh927 wrote:What next for jjh927? Well, I have a dumb open setup idea that I didn't publish in case people mod metaed me for this game;

Spoiler: Currently Unnamed Open Setup Idea
2 mafia, who choose to be 1-shot framers, miller, or godfather. 7 town, who are either 1-shot framers, millers, or godfathers, with distribution depending on what the mafia picked to make 3 of each total in the game.+ 1 town rolecop and 1 town regular cop


Also a couple of ideas that are less effort than this game but still theme games. But I really shouldn't host any of them until I finish my dissertation.



Any guesses on the number of beans in the vegan bean chilli?

JJ wants to run this. Volunteer and pick a time, peeps!
^

Posted: Thu Feb 14, 2019 3:08 pm
by the worst
8p vanilla 8-ball was also run by the awesome Jingle, with a town win!