So either way you believe it was a mistake on Realeo's part? I agree with that much, for sure. Is your rationale for thinking it's slightly more likely to be scum due to the fact that, while scum
can
scumhunt in this setup, they still have less incentive to do so than town does? Like scum would be less motivated to scumhunt and so more likely to scumread for reasons that don't make sense for the setup?
As far as the WhyMafia and Judge interaction goes, I think it comes down more to the context. WhyMafia didn't say anything about Judge's vote until someone else gave him town points for it. At that point he disagreed with that sentiment and said he had the lurker vote as scum. That's as far as he went with it and even went as far to say it didn't warrant a vote on its own. From that I got the impression that WhyMafia didn't have a strong read on Judge one way or the other.
The way I see it, the game was pretty stagnant and lots of people were either straight up inactive or posting mostly filler. Judge was vocal about his disdain for this on multiple occasions but wasn't seen doing much about it past consigning himself to the fact that the lynch would be "basically a guess." He then voted one of the inactive players saying they "needed to post more." WhyMafia asked him how that helped the game progress and Judge got snarky back rather than explaining the rationale. This already bothers me because when given an actual question about the action he took "to progress the game" he chose to get defensive about it rather than just explain it, which I don't think was warranted by the interaction. As I pointed out before, Judge was the first one to get aggressive.
I think Judge's countless posts about the state of the game and a random vote on one of several inactive players serves to
look
like he cares about progressing the game, but the way he has reacted to people who question him or his intentions shows that it's the appearance he cares about and not the result. I also believe that's what WhyMafia was feeling when calling the lurker vote scummy and, considering he only did that after someone else tried to call Judge town for it, I don't get the impression that he was trying to push Judge for it at all.
For that reason, WhyMafia comes across as caring more about the game progressing and Judge cares more about keeping up appearances. This is why I think WhyMafia looks townier and Judge looks scummier. There's still a lot of strange things in their interactions and things they've said that confuse me no matter what their alignment which is why my read on them is mixed rather than solid, but that's how I currently stand on it.