Open 734: Paris Mafia (13-player variation) - Game Over
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
- For Whom the Bell Trolls
- For Whom the Bell Trolls
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
- For Whom the Bell Trolls
- For Whom the Bell Trolls
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Summary of 1158:
Lynching Thor gives us a 31.25% chance of a town win.
No Lynching gives us a 19.4% chance of a town win.
This is based entirely on objective math. Provable math. If you want me to explain why it's true, say so. If you're having trouble understanding the premise, say so. Just saying "It can't happen" and handwaiving away the posts I make where I prove that it can is entirely useless.This is a Parachute.-
Thor665
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Thor665 Papa Smurf Thor665
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I didn't realize that - that increases town's wincon in my version though.-
Kmd4390
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Kmd4390
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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innocentvillager
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innocentvillager HeSurvivor innocentvillager He
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I onvioisly havemt read everything but i feel like people are just arguing about setup strata and ill just go along wih whatwvwr, i just dont have the time for this rn
In all seriousness should i replace out? I dont want to cost us the game bc im not really engaged and able to keep up. Sorry about this-
Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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If you're legitimately unable to play you should always replace out. If you can play stay in. As simple as that.
Basically, where we're at is that we should lynch thor, it's optimal play for mime to target in {you, Fink, GL} and it's optimal play for mafia to shoot whichever one of those three is their strongest mime read, assuming everyone agrees that I'm functionally confirmed town for dropping the mime wincon to 6% and arguing tooth and nail for the strategy with the best antimafia odds since yesterday.
If we can't all agree that I'm functionally conftown, mime should target in the same pool plus me, but mafia should be shooting at Eragon.This is a Parachute.-
Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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I guess the scenario in which mime roleblocks you tonight would also count, but again, that requires gamethrowing, so...In post 1179, Jingle wrote:It does not.
There is no situation in which we no lynch and the town regains majority without the mime dying to a mafia shot.This is a Parachute.-
GuiltyLion
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GuiltyLion he/himSurvivor GuiltyLion he/him
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Eragon
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Eragon
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Eragon
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Eragon
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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If mime realizes I’m town then you’re still alive literally 50% of the time.In post 1185, Eragon wrote:At least I’m done with this game
@mafia if you leave me alive I kingmake you over mime every time
Target in your mafia pool. Which hopefully doesn’t include me, to increase the chances of auto win.This is a Parachute.-
Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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FWIW, if you suspect me to be mime it doesn't change the strategies away from what I described. It only matters whether anyone (the mime) actually believes I can be mafia at this point.In post 1182, Jingle wrote:I'm functionally conftownThis is a Parachute.-
Eragon
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Eragon
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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Kmd4390
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet. Kmd4390
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Vote Count
Thor665 - 2 - fink, jingle, Guiltylion
No Lynch - 1 - Eragon
Not Voting - Thor665, innocentvillager
With 6 alive, it takes 4 to lynch
Deadline is Friday October 12 at 4:30pm EST
Eragons vote came 12 minutes after deadline and does not count, resulting in a no Lynch.
Deadline for night actions is Monday October 15 at 8pm ESTKMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
Kmd4390
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Kmd4390
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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Eragon
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Eragon
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Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls Jingle
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