Open 771: Pollock's Flag [endgame!]
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka
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OkaPoka Survivor
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I know your a busy dude but given that this is lylo (we mislynch we lose) and it seems that despite everyone locking your predecessor as town, you've been left alive and dodged a multitude of nightkills for a very obvious reason if you are town here. I'd ask you to subvert the playerlists expectations of you now and just stick around a little longer for each session your on i guess, and just be more active this phase in general in sorting down the rest of the list.
deadline is 7 days and that's not much time to get to know you since I don't have repertoire with you and town has managed to mislynch three times in a row so we need to pick up the slack a bit here
i cant do much unless you put in a bit more as well-
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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anyways this is taking too long
amrun + aaron could make sense
amrun + uncrowned makes the most sense
amrun + woodchuck is unlikely but possible
aaron + woodchuck is the most unlikely but most posible
woodchuck + uncrowned does not make much sense
aaron + uncrowned makes less sense
therefore in my eyes amrun is the best lynch, it safeguards against the top three most likely scenarios-
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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For you woodchuck:
Here's why I am worried about Amrun + AaronFrost.
So the gamestate is lylo whiteflag, either side lynches the other side, they win. Scum don't bus today, they need to ensure a mislynch to win.
Anyways in my catchup, I noticed some veryodd peculiaritiesabout the game.
D1 you guys had the TSH lynch on scum, and as a result of that lynch Amrun was cleared because it looked like TSH was pushing Amrun. However I did notice that you guys were heading towards the end of the day which made it seem like TSH was basically the inevitable lynch thus, I don't think its fair to clear Amrun in that scenario, in fact I think that it actuallypointsto Amrun being scum, because I think TSH was just antispewing Amrun. He also adds on AaronFrost as the people he tries to "thunderdome" with which I found quite odd initially leading me to find at least one of AaronFrost/Amrun has to be scum.
At the end of day 1, basically the gamestate read as Amrun,AaronFrost,RB(woodchuck) were the three cleared townies, yet something very odd happened n1, Looker was killed.
The Looker kill I find suspicious because 1) he wasn't on the scum wagon 2) nobody was very clearly townreading him 3) he wasn't a clout kill because he wasn't carrying the game
I did find a mention about him being a late game player but in my experience scum teams don't make that kill without extensive meta and I haven't really heard of Looker before even with his join date and I suspect maybe Amrun is the only person who has.
So that means Looker kill was in most likelihood 1) Low - info kill or 2) Fear kill
But clearly, Looker was not a low info kill. The easier low info kill is someone like rooroo, but rooroo is mislynchable you say, well so is Looker! What Looker provides that rooroo doesn't is that he has posted some reads
Note anything odd about these reads? He goes against the grain on Amrun and AaronFrost, killing him silences the one slot that doesn't townread the two slots that really shouldn't have been cleared. I think if scum were planning to win this game and Aaronfrost and Amrun were town, they would've killed AaronFrost/Amrun and left Looker to push the other, but they didn't and now Amrun has been a universal townread for a majority of this game without being nightkilled.S {Amrun/rooroo | AaronFrost | TSH | Uncrowned/rb/Pink Ball/Creature/Blatant Scum} T
Additionally, of course, we have Eddie Cane who reps in and wants to lynch Amrun and he doesn't get the lynch. Then Eddie Cane gets nk'd. Now let's say just hypothetically Amrun is town in this scenario. That would mean scum is in me,uncrowned,aaronfrost,woodchuck agreed? I want to clear myself here, I really don't see why town would be efforting this hard in a dead game, especially when I'm being townread by enough slots to make my lynch impossible. That makes it from your pov woodchuck, the scum team uncrowned,aaronfrost (and for others, woodchuck can be in that pool) and I don't see any combination of these players nightkilling Eddie Cane over me IF we can presume that Amrun is town, because 1) I am an unknown variable 2) You have a very clear cut path to victory by letting an Eddie Cane v Amrun dynamic play out.
However, the side that really doesn't want Eddie Cane v Amrun to play out is a scumteam combination that involves Amrun, Amrun knows that Eddie Cane can typically get the lynch he wants. I know that Eddie Cane can get the lynch he wants. But I'm pushing Amrun as a lynch so you can clear me from Amrun as well. I don't kill Eddie Cane here, I kill woodchuck and then autosheep Eddie to a win. If you want links I can give you links of why Eddie Cane will get the lynch he wants especially if he starts getting a decent amount of townreads.
tl;dr its probably amrun + uncrowned, but its also most definitely amrun like 95% of the time so lets just lynch amrun over uncrowned-
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OkaPoka Survivor
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okay I got sidetracked I'll give you a rundown on why Amrun + Aaronfrost could make sense
Uncrowned has literally been a top scumread by the collective town for the entire game, it makes a lot of sense to walk into today as scum needing a viable mislynch and setting things up, so from the perspective of AaronFrost it's safe for him to mark Amrun as his second scum likeliness if he can get an uncrowned lynch and the fact that there seems to be no resistance to an uncrowned lynch makes me think that Uncrowned could just be a designated mislynch. However I also think its not that likely for basically this entire town to have been wrong which is why my top scumteam is still Amrun + Uncrowned, I just think lynching Amrun is the much much safer play and better play.-
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OkaPoka Survivor
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OkaPoka Survivor
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