Open 279 - Rusty Guillotine Mafia - Game Over!


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Post Post #194 (isolation #0) » Tue Feb 08, 2011 4:09 pm

Post by zoraster »

aw fate. so good to play with you.
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Post Post #199 (isolation #1) » Tue Feb 08, 2011 5:32 pm

Post by zoraster »

Simenon is scum. He points out a case on someone then immediately hedges with a potential meta-defense. His fixation on Ythill posting thoughts about the setup before posting thoughts about the game is bizarre and a half-ass attack.

I agree about crypto. Town.

I'm less sure about the consensus on Ythill, but that hardly matters. He's not our lynch for now.

VP Baltar comes across as mildly scummy to me at this point. But I see little reason to drive his wagon for now.

Luck isn't as scummy as people have made out, I don't think. That's a gut call, but I think people are stretching to make it stick. That's fine in the beginning, but I see more promising avenues.

Concission is combative without providing any real help to the town. I suggest people go back and actually read his "contributions" to the game. It's not just that he's had trouble getting purchase on the game as can happen, but it's that he's trying to seem active by picking some pretty pointless things to quibble over. Admittedly, his posts have come earlier on in the game. I'm looking for improvement from him, but I'm saying scum for now.

So for me that leaves Concission and Simenon as the best lynch candidates. I'd love to hear more from Jarti and to a lesser extent RedC and Almaster.

But for now, I'm good with:

VOTE: Simenon
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Post Post #228 (isolation #2) » Wed Feb 09, 2011 9:53 am

Post by zoraster »

So I went through all the players today after sleeping on my initial read. One thing that stands out to me is how after a full read I couldn't really remember a thing Shadow Dancer had said. I figured he had been inactive because I barely noticed her presence. So I isoed him.

He has TWENTY-FIVE posts. That's over 10% of all of the posts are his. Admittedly, this COULD just be a problem I'm having. But try and read her. Go on. It'll only take a minute or so.

What the heck is he doing? There's such a thing as helpful setup speculation or even helpful theory discussion or discussion on town strategy. But then there's this. Which is picking and choosing when to interject without actually having to make much in the way of a judgment on any particular player. That's what he's doing. He's made a half-ass effort of tunneling on Anti, but it doesn't feel very sincere to me. Regardless, he's succeeded in being entirely unmemorable, and I think that feels rather intentional.

I stand by my Simenon read, I'm feeling less compelled by my Concission read today but it's worth revisiting. However, I think this is the way the game needs to go:

VOTE: Shadow Dancer
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Post Post #229 (isolation #3) » Wed Feb 09, 2011 9:54 am

Post by zoraster »

EBWOP: any hers should obviously be hises
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Post Post #232 (isolation #4) » Wed Feb 09, 2011 9:59 am

Post by zoraster »

Fate wrote:
Ythill wrote:
@VPB:
I used to be an arguer. I've since found that it doesn't help me find scum. Quite the opposite, actually. There are still places where I will argue with people but this isn't one of them. I didn't state my case against you to debate it with you, I stated it because people were asking me to and I figured they wanted to get a read on me.

I am not "so convinced" that Conc is town, I just think he's somewhat more likely town than scum. And I'm still not explaining why.

@Fate:
Oh, I forgot about that one. But I don't see how that's relevant to your jibe. I found scum 2/3 days that I was alive.
I'm just saying, if your reads are WRONG or TERRIBAD, its more likely you're town than scum.

Good lord zoraster just voted SD. And he was doing so well too.
How can you get a town read from SD???? I admit my first reaction when I read the game wasn't "scum scum scum" but it certainly wasn't town.
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Post Post #235 (isolation #5) » Wed Feb 09, 2011 10:12 am

Post by zoraster »

Fate wrote:I've played with SD multiple times. I've mislynched him as scum. I've been his scumbuddy.

Etc.
So what would he do if he were scummy? Play well? Attract attention?
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Post Post #358 (isolation #6) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 10:04 am

Post by zoraster »

Waiting to hear from AGM. Convince me of your towniness, AGM. Or don't. You're not in my top 3 to lynch right now, but I'm perfectly happy to put your head down where the blade's coming.
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Post Post #361 (isolation #7) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 10:24 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:So he's not someone you're really interested in lynching, but you don't really care....:?
Sorta.

There's no reason to waste a good wagon. I'm being honest: he's not someone I feel particularly good enough about to defend, and right now he wouldn't be my choice, but I'd be willing to lynch him myself if it comes to it. It means the ball is in his court to convince me (and of course anyone else) one way or the other.
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Post Post #363 (isolation #8) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 10:29 am

Post by zoraster »

crypto wrote:what

Why not push for a better lynch?
What makes you think I'm not planning on it? I want to see where the Almaster thing goes and I'd at least like to hear from him before pushing a better lynch. But I'm being clear: he speaks with his head on the line.
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Post Post #365 (isolation #9) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 10:55 am

Post by zoraster »

crypto wrote:So you just want to force someone who you don't even have a remotely strong scum read on to claim (truly pro-town), for kicks and giggles, instead of diverting onto a better target.
I never said claim, did I?
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Post Post #367 (isolation #10) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 11:24 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:Well, he is at L-1 and you said you're willing to lynch him...so obviously he is going to claim. I'm not sure what you mean zoraster.
Maybe I should have been clearer, but I didn't want to guide his response. But I didn't want him to claim straight off. But the last time he posted, he had TWO votes on him. So presumably he's got to have some reaction to the wagon that's formed that can give me some insight into his alignment.
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Post Post #381 (isolation #11) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 1:43 pm

Post by zoraster »

Shadow Dancer wrote:But Baltar is still town, Ythill...

And who's already talking about claiming and hammering? I thought this was agreed on as a pressure waggon? Alma should defend himself and contribute some reads, as far as I am concerned.
Wagons simply do not have pressure if there's no threat of lynch, however removed, behind them.

Anyway, the claiming talk came from crypto (who seems to honestly have thought I was calling for a claim, which was understandable) and Ythill (who probably should not have actually thought I was asking for a claim but wanted to act like I was anyway.) It didn't come from anyone who could have wielded the hammer.
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Post Post #389 (isolation #12) » Fri Feb 11, 2011 2:05 pm

Post by zoraster »

crypto wrote:
zoraster wrote:[crypto (who seems to honestly have thought I was calling for a claim, which was understandable)
No, I didn't think you were calling for a claim. I meant that he would claim regardless of what you wanted, because it's standard procedure for a player to claim when put at L-1. Regardless of whether or not you wanted a claim, you, as one of the players putting him at L-1, would have been the reason for his imminent claim
despite your lack of interest in lynching him
. Why force a player to out his role when you don't even think he's scum? This is anti-town. Scummy? Not sure yet.
Wait, wait. I didn't put him on L-1. He already WAS at L-1.
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Post Post #479 (isolation #13) » Mon Feb 14, 2011 10:03 am

Post by zoraster »

Well, I promise I didn't catch up and only then read my role PM. I'm here to play the game, and not reading a role pm is antithetical to that. Mafia relies on honesty to work (meta-honesty that is... obviously not in game honesty) If I'm scum, I might try to write my posts forgetting that I'm scum, but I would never not read my role pm.

In any case, my stance is largely the same with a few changes: Shadow is scummy for much of the same reasons as before. On concission I don't really have any new information. Simenon comes across as somewhat more town than I had previously believed.

Those were my previous top 3 that I was referring to in a previous post.

I don't believe AGM is scum. His content after he came back seem to be fairly town.

Luckay's comment about considering ythill to be so town that he's a mason is ridiculous, and I'm wondering if that's not some buddying up.

I'll be glad to see more of Glad, seems fairly townish right now, but I'll need more to tell.

RC is also starting to bother me with the really quick clip quotes. I know his style often involves more point-by-point than I ever like to do, but his seem less designed to find scum and more to seem like he's inspecting.

As for other town reads: crypto remains so. VP Baltar i'm leaning town on at the moment (as opposed to mild scum before).

Conclusion: Shadow remains my number one lynch choice, but I'd be willing to entertain discussion on Concission, RC and mayyybe Luckay.
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Post Post #486 (isolation #14) » Mon Feb 14, 2011 10:20 am

Post by zoraster »

sounds good to me.

VOTE: Concission

I think that's 5 for L-3.
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Post Post #488 (isolation #15) » Mon Feb 14, 2011 10:25 am

Post by zoraster »

crypto wrote:
Fate wrote:damn

guess i will have to kill u then
ur doin it again

o zorotser i roll ym eyes at u!!
koay!
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Post Post #548 (isolation #16) » Wed Feb 16, 2011 6:14 am

Post by zoraster »

AGM wrote:He had just posted a breakdown in #479 and Concession was only mentioned in passing. Then two more votes come down and zoaraster is all aboard? Scummy.
The post you're referring, 479*, had this to say in addition to reference back to my previous read on Concission (where I called him scum):
Conclusion: Shadow remains my number one lynch choice, but I'd be willing to entertain discussion on Concission, RC and mayyybe Luckay.
I don't think I'm being inconsistent there, although I admit not much "discussion" went on.
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Post Post #549 (isolation #17) » Wed Feb 16, 2011 6:57 am

Post by zoraster »

oh, that asterix was just supposed to refer to a note at the bottom that says something like "if you refer to a specific post number, could you link to it too?"
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Post Post #556 (isolation #18) » Wed Feb 16, 2011 9:55 am

Post by zoraster »

Is a wall necessary? Say what you're going to say, don't make people not read it by drawing it out.
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Post Post #560 (isolation #19) » Wed Feb 16, 2011 9:59 am

Post by zoraster »

LuckayLuck wrote:A wall is necessary because the goal is to get people off of Concission onto another target(s), which I certainly wouldn't be able to do without supporting evidence.
You won't be able to do it when people ignore your post because it's too long; didn't read either.
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Post Post #628 (isolation #20) » Fri Feb 18, 2011 6:00 pm

Post by zoraster »

I'm here, sorry. I keep meaning to take a good hard look at RC (and now Jarti), but kept getting side tracked with other games. It's my number one priority for tomorrow morning.
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Post Post #661 (isolation #21) » Sat Feb 19, 2011 3:31 pm

Post by zoraster »

Okay. It took about half a day longer than promised, but here it is:

The RC wagon is terrible. I thought he was a little scummy before, but his responses have been anything but. I'm pretty convinced that those on his wagon are either (a) scum, (b) town too lazy to actually read the game but see RC as an easy target to take out and/or (c) getting into a huffy battle with him (i.e. GLaDOS). In any event, RC's comments are altogether too sincere for me to think he should be the lynch today.

We should not be lynching RC.

We SHOULD, however, be lynching Shadow.

VOTE: Shadow Dancer

All the wrong signals with the RC vote in Post 645. I’ve found Shadow scummy all along, but his push on RC is the worst out of everyone’s.

Luckay is starting to wear on me. I still can’t get over the gut feeling that he’s being sincere, but I think this push on Jarti and Glad as a scum pair is ridiculously early. Sure, it’s plausible, but plausible is not the same thing as convincing. And I feel like Luckay’s “certainty” that they’re both scum is driving the whole logic he feels behind each being scum individually (despite his posts otherwise).
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Post Post #663 (isolation #22) » Sat Feb 19, 2011 3:54 pm

Post by zoraster »

crypto wrote:I hope everyone else picked up on how Concission baah-I'm-a-sheeped Luckay's case and bullshitted knowledge about Antitown's meta.
sorry, crypto. I'm not sure I understand what you're saying here.
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Post Post #665 (isolation #23) » Sat Feb 19, 2011 4:18 pm

Post by zoraster »

Not that we should have to take the full time, but we have over a week, VP.
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Post Post #693 (isolation #24) » Mon Feb 21, 2011 5:13 am

Post by zoraster »

it's been over a week since you even acknowledged Shadow, VP, and that was to call him "null" in a list with everyone. It's not my fault there aren't other wagons to form if you won't even take the time to figure out whether alternate wagons are better.

Or, simpler explanation: you're scum. Possibly with Shadow, but I try not to play that game too much on D1.
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Post Post #700 (isolation #25) » Mon Feb 21, 2011 6:32 am

Post by zoraster »

gee. I get to pick from two "Baltar Approved" lynches. Wonderful.
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Post Post #702 (isolation #26) » Mon Feb 21, 2011 7:51 am

Post by zoraster »

the only reason concission has more votes than SD (and thus is a "majority wagon") right now is because of YOU, Baltar. If you actually reviewed SD and found him scummy and voted for SD, SD would have more votes than concission.
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Post Post #704 (isolation #27) » Mon Feb 21, 2011 8:35 am

Post by zoraster »

That's fine if there actually IS one. All I see is a total lack of analysis of SD. As I stated before, Baltar has refused to even utter SD's name in the past week, much less actually consider him as possible scum worth lynching.

But whatever, if you want an inactive game of sheep because anything else is "dicking around," fine:

VOTE: Concission the better lynch of the two. I'll check back in on day 2 and see what the wise men have decreed to be the lynch possibilities.
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Post Post #706 (isolation #28) » Mon Feb 21, 2011 8:42 am

Post by zoraster »

Shadow Dancer wrote:Is that now a "Conci's scummier"-kinda lynch or but a "Conci's more dispensable" one?
Both.
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Post Post #728 (isolation #29) » Tue Feb 22, 2011 9:07 am

Post by zoraster »

Almaster obviously didn't bother read the past few pages as his post makes no sense in context.
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Post Post #736 (isolation #30) » Tue Feb 22, 2011 2:54 pm

Post by zoraster »

okay. Top suspect:

VOTE: Shadow Dancer
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Post Post #805 (isolation #31) » Thu Feb 24, 2011 6:08 am

Post by zoraster »

VOTE: Simenon
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Post Post #810 (isolation #32) » Sat Feb 26, 2011 10:09 am

Post by zoraster »

that's not how the vig works. It only works during the day.
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Post Post #916 (isolation #33) » Mon Feb 28, 2011 12:47 pm

Post by zoraster »

all right. just finished getting lynched, ready to focus on this game, sorry about that. Reading now, will be posting within the next few hours.
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Post Post #933 (isolation #34) » Tue Mar 01, 2011 6:12 am

Post by zoraster »

RedCoyote
opens my scum reads as of now:
Right now I'll tenatively vote: Fate. Glados is right about one thing. Someone had to have been either really lucky or really good at reading for PRs. Fate makes a big show about how he doesn't read anything thoroughly and works heavily on his intuition, but I know for a fact that this cat is clever. I think he saw the very thing Glados mentioned about Ythill. There are a couple of other people I think may have picked up on it as well, but I think they're much more townie sounding than Fate has been.
This is the type of thing you say when you’re really reaching. He’s voting Fate because fate is clever and whoever shot the tracker was clever? That’s pretty weak, and I suspect RC just wanted the detail of the reasoning to go unnoticed.

That said, I actually find Fate’s analysis on RC kind of underwhelming. If anything the fact that RC reads Fate as town in one instance and scum in another points me toward town trying to make sense of it all rather than inconsistent-scum. RC’s later response (Post 926) to Fate also rings a bit more true than his previous actions. So even though I remain suspicious of RC, he’s not getting my vote at the moment.

VP Baltar
is scummy as all get out as well. The concission thing is done. What does Baltar really have to gain from it other than he wants to seem like he’s keep up with lynch momentum to seem townie. I don’t agree with crypto at all here: Baltar does not come across as town at all, although I’d love to hear why Baltar is “logically” town from crypto.

Almaster
rounds out my top suspects. Take a look at his response to Baltar:
Excuse me, buuuut why am I actually scum? As far as I remember, you're still rolling with that, "AGM had to catch up, which means people had already made arguments he made" thing, which is really, really weak. Please update reasons for read, thanks.
This seems fake to me. Maybe it’s some confirmation bias, but I read it as either him trying to interact with Baltar’s bus or trying to play the put off townie. Either way makes him scum.

The whole bolded text thing (Post 918) is particularly obnoxious. I think Almaster is pretty scummy at this point. This doesn’t feel like a town frustrated at someone pursuing him… I didn’t really the sense there was a lot of pressure on at this point. It seems like scum who’s been caught or scum who’s trying to manufacture outrage. Either way, it comes across as bogus, and that’s scummy.

--
Anyway, there we go. That’s what I’ve gotten out of the past 5 or so pages. Therefore:

VOTE: AlmasterGM
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Post Post #936 (isolation #35) » Tue Mar 01, 2011 7:22 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:Zor, you think I'm potentially scum with either of your top suspects?
1. You ARE one of my top suspects, not scum WITH one of my top suspects.
2. I don't know where in the world you got this idea. Where did I indicate you were scum with RC? The only indication of this whatsoever was trying to get a hold on AGM's reaction, and that didn't say I thought you were scum with him, just that it seemed a possible explanation of why AGM was reacting the way he was.
Also, why is "the concission thing done"? As far as I can see, nothing was resolved regarding concission. Is she a town read for you at this point?
I'm fairly neutral leaning town on Concission. From my standpoint, concission seems resolved for the moment whatever your feeling on the matter, so let's move on to greener pastures.
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Post Post #941 (isolation #36) » Tue Mar 01, 2011 2:48 pm

Post by zoraster »

PLUS ALL THE STUFF YOU DID YESTERDAY.
What stuff?
VP wrote:re:concission - please answer the first (and most important) question. Why has your opinion on concission changed? if I am missing something you already said about it, please point me in the right direction.
The following response may sound familiar.

@VP- we're not lynching concission today. move on. I don't know if he is scum or not, but I'm also not concerned with it at this moment because it's not happening today.
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Post Post #942 (isolation #37) » Tue Mar 01, 2011 2:49 pm

Post by zoraster »

Mod: I'm going to be V/LA March 2-5th


I don't know if i'll have internet access or not, but my time if I do will likely be spent on my moderated games.
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Post Post #1070 (isolation #38) » Mon Mar 07, 2011 5:08 pm

Post by zoraster »

What are you trying to say when you say it "makes no sense"? Do you think scum is driving things? Do you think town is being lazy? what?

Oh, and I'm back from V/LA and reasonably well caught up. Waiting on SD.
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Post Post #1080 (isolation #39) » Tue Mar 08, 2011 4:39 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:I think I figured out who Concission is possibly. -__- if I'm right, I will only say that you haven't been so good at reading me in the past.
Boy you're scummy.
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Post Post #1088 (isolation #40) » Tue Mar 08, 2011 6:25 am

Post by zoraster »

LuckayLuck wrote:
zoraster wrote:
VP Baltar wrote:I think I figured out who Concission is possibly. -__- if I'm right, I will only say that you haven't been so good at reading me in the past.
Boy you're scummy.
What prompted you to accuse VP Baltar of scumminess here?
Well, I've already accused him before. But in this instance it's because he's saying to Concission, "hey look, friend... you've been wrong about me being scum before, so you're probably wrong here, you know?"
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Post Post #1125 (isolation #41) » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:58 am

Post by zoraster »

I'm good with either lynch. I was waiting for SD to come on before hammering, honestly, but then people unvoted because........ i have no idea why. And while at first I thought waiting for Glados was a good idea, it's outstayed its usefulness. It is time to lynch.

The fact SD has basically tried to let suspicion die on him by avoiding posting is pretty scummy in its own right.

But here's a big question for everyone out there: Why is AGM voting for me? Is he so convinced that SD is town that he's unwilling to try and push a lynch other than his own? It's this more than anything that's keeping me from switching to SD (given what appears to be strategic lurking).

For that matter Glad and VV need to cut it out and vote for one of the two wagons.
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Post Post #1140 (isolation #42) » Thu Mar 10, 2011 8:45 am

Post by zoraster »

Shadow Dancer wrote:@Zor: Before sliding back behind every one else on my waggon - you still did not explain what threw me off your scumlist all of a sudden at D2 daystart.
Some other people seemed scummier.
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Post Post #1149 (isolation #43) » Thu Mar 10, 2011 10:29 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:I actually think it would be more informative for VV to toss the hammer since we don't know his alignment. Glados should definitely advise, but VV picking could be quite informative.
The problem with this is that we essentially have to wait a day longer than normal for this to pay dividends, now that our vigilante has shot.
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Post Post #1152 (isolation #44) » Thu Mar 10, 2011 10:46 am

Post by zoraster »

no use crying over spilled milk.
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Post Post #1208 (isolation #45) » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:32 pm

Post by zoraster »

LuckayLuck wrote:
LuckayLuck wrote:The mafia team is Shadow Dancer, zoraster, and Jarti. Bam.
I'm thinking I'm actually only 2 for 3 here.
:roll:
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Post Post #1211 (isolation #46) » Thu Mar 10, 2011 6:37 pm

Post by zoraster »

Fate wrote:OH LOOK WHO FUCKIN SHOWED UP
was this directed at me?
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Post Post #1225 (isolation #47) » Fri Mar 11, 2011 4:22 am

Post by zoraster »

good god. why are you making life difficult?
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Post Post #1228 (isolation #48) » Fri Mar 11, 2011 6:24 am

Post by zoraster »

Vigilante Ventriloquist wrote:
zoraster wrote:good god. why are you making life difficult?
gee. I get to pick from two "Zoraster Approved" lynches. Wonderful.

What about this is so difficult? There is still plenty of time until deadline to have people move their votes.
zing! Except we're talking about different things here. When I was pissed at VP Baltar, we had almost a full week left, not less than 2 days. Those are two very different situations to be in.
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Post Post #1230 (isolation #49) » Fri Mar 11, 2011 6:54 am

Post by zoraster »

Town.

If you "know" there's enough interest in lynching him, please list all of the players that would rather lynch Fate than either of the other two lynches.
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Post Post #1270 (isolation #50) » Fri Mar 11, 2011 6:33 pm

Post by zoraster »

Vigilante Ventriloquist wrote:
AGM wrote:I know we don't have the time to switch wagons right now.
Yes we do ;_;

The problem isn't that we don't have time. The problem is that everyone keeps saying we don't have time. If those people would put there votes where their mouths were instead of complaining about "OH NOES THE DEADLINE IS COMING UP", there would be
plenty
of time.

Pre-post edit: I thought this submitted 20 minutes ago, but it got ninja'd and I wasn't watching >.<
humor me. when you get over this principled stand and vote someone for the deadline, AGM or SD, who are you going to pick?
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Post Post #1336 (isolation #51) » Thu Mar 17, 2011 3:12 am

Post by zoraster »

same here. I'm actually reasonably caught up, but I need to give it a think.
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Post Post #1342 (isolation #52) » Thu Mar 17, 2011 10:43 am

Post by zoraster »

Justify naming me a scum power, not just scum Fate.
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Post Post #1345 (isolation #53) » Thu Mar 17, 2011 11:24 am

Post by zoraster »

Fate wrote:
zoraster wrote:Justify naming me a scum power, not just scum Fate.
This post says it all.

SO AM I RITE ZORASTER? WHICH ONE AREYOU?

KEKAKAKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
I'm the one who thinks you're not nearly as clever as you think you are.
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Post Post #1364 (isolation #54) » Fri Mar 18, 2011 4:06 am

Post by zoraster »

All right. was trying to decide whether to claim my role or claim VT and let you guys hammer me or whatever. However, given something I looked up (that I will not go into yet), I've decided it's best to go the real claim route:

I am the Redeemed Soul.
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Post Post #1366 (isolation #55) » Fri Mar 18, 2011 4:10 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:lol, nobody counterclaim please.

Why would you claim your actual role and not VT, zor?
The situation of the game merits it.
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Post Post #1368 (isolation #56) » Fri Mar 18, 2011 4:12 am

Post by zoraster »

The fact that even if SD is scum, there's only a 33% chance he's the mafia roleblocker paired with the fact our other power roles are dead.
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Post Post #1370 (isolation #57) » Fri Mar 18, 2011 4:19 am

Post by zoraster »

VP Baltar wrote:So you're saying you decided it was better to throw away any chance of having a confirmed townie because the odds of you getting roleblocked were high. Small chance of success > no chance of success.
I'm saying the value of claiming my actual role is not zero value. If someone else is the redeemed soul they SHOULD claim, then you lynch me. Then you have that ~20% chance that I'm confirmed town the next day, but this time it comes with caught scum benefits. If there's a CC but the RB isn't dead, then you have caught scum day after tomorrow, not as great but still acceptable.

If no one counterclaims, then I'm confirmed town anyway, just today rather than tomorrow.
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Post Post #1371 (isolation #58) » Fri Mar 18, 2011 4:20 am

Post by zoraster »

oh, and if no one ccs not only am I confirmed town anyway, but I'm confirmed without the necessity of lynching a townie to find that out.
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Post Post #1393 (isolation #59) » Fri Mar 18, 2011 5:47 am

Post by zoraster »

Fate wrote:Now ZORASTER, now that youre confirmed town and going to die tonight, you going to CONTRIBUTE
ANYTHING
to your win con?
Yup. I'm going to go back and take a new look at the game as I have time. Hopefully get it done by today. If not, it'll have to wait until Sunday as I'll have no access to my computer tomorrow.
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Post Post #1419 (isolation #60) » Sat Mar 19, 2011 2:05 am

Post by zoraster »

I'm about to leave for the day, but I do want to say this (before my comprehensive post on sunday): Arguing with me or being on my wagon is not scummy in and of itself. That said, I think VV brings up a good point: if Baltar is waiting for someone to CC me, why didn't he unvote? I do not remotely buy Baltar's "I forgot SD could vote." If town, i suspect Baltar was merely too in love with his own scum read to evaluate whether he was making the right move, and thus went for the snarky "yeah, sure you're RS..."

But what's bothering me a great deal is Baltar's defense here. It's kind of blatant OMGUS:
VPB wrote:Regardless, yes VV was not reading the thread and was looking for cheapshots, aka accuse VPB of voting zoraster so SD could hammer when no such thing happened. So, yeah, guess we both messed up but VV is much more significant imo.
This is ridiculous. It's not for you to say what's "more significant" or not. This looks like VPB trying hard to seem reasonable (by using words everyone ELSE should be using). To him, it should be cut and dry if he's town, obviously. His attempt to do the analysis for us, make our conclusions for us, is troubling here.

Anyway, I need to mull that over in the next day, conclusions will be made on Sunday. I'm on a mini-VLA today.
Nobody should be put at L-1 until I do. If someone does that, they should be lynched promptly.
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Post Post #1421 (isolation #61) » Sat Mar 19, 2011 2:28 am

Post by zoraster »

Ouch. My bad. I withdraw everything except the analysis part...

It's not that I think analysis is bad at all. I just think it is when it's a transparently in a language you'd never use normally in an attempt to sound reasonable. Anyway, obviously need a rethink about everything.
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Post Post #1457 (isolation #62) » Tue Mar 22, 2011 6:26 am

Post by zoraster »

all right, so sorry about my absence guys. I got engaged over the weekend and that's been a distraction and a time sink. Reading the thread now so I don't sound totally idiotic when I make my post today.
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Post Post #1470 (isolation #63) » Wed Mar 23, 2011 1:27 pm

Post by zoraster »

All right. I have reread. I have come to a startling conclusion: I was wrong on RedCoyote. He's town.

Why has attention turned away from AGM is the question of the day. I find particularly troubling the idea that I somehow "owned" Fate and VPB. How exactly? His analysis rings not-true. For example, his last post he puts: "Either they're [VPB and Fate] both scum (likely) or neither is. If one is scum, then the other one is getting hoodwinked HARD by the other." People are fooled all the time. I actually find it less likely they're in league together, but whatever. That's not my point.

My point is that AGM has continually posted in a way I think seems insincere. First, he seems mostly to want to pick fights, but not really make any analysis. Now that attention has shifted away from AGM, he's been content to limit his content (har har har). Yes, he was V/LA for five days, and I realize that's rich of me to say given the past week or so, but it stands. I think he's uninterested in what's actually going on in the game, and merely wants to say something that sounds informed.

Just to end that analysis, chew on the following:
AGM wrote:80% of the case revolves around RC being my buddy. Since I'm town, none of that makes any sense whatsoever.
Does anyone object to an AGM lynch? I understand that there are some Concission and VPB lynch lovers out there. I think VPB may make a good late game lynch, but despite Fate's bluster I think he has a point: now is the time to get rid of people that are providing less.

VOTE: AGM

for what it's worth, my scum to town list goes like so:

Scum
---
AGM
VV
VPB
Concission
LuckayLuck
Jarti
Fate
RedCoyote
crypto
---
Town

If you think it should be one of VV, Concission, LuckayLuck, or Jarti instead of AGM, please post why and then why that person instead of the other people I just listed. If you can't answer that last part (e.g. why Concission instead of VV or AGM, etc) then you haven't done enough work to convince me.

Yes, I did exclude VPB from that list. Even though I find him scummy, today is not the good day to lynch him.
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Post Post #1478 (isolation #64) » Wed Mar 23, 2011 4:02 pm

Post by zoraster »

I call bullshit on all this "well if X is scum then Y must be town" thing. I don't mean it's totally irrelevant, but I don't think it should be the controlling factor in our decisions.
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Post Post #1486 (isolation #65) » Thu Mar 24, 2011 4:33 am

Post by zoraster »

...that's your response to being prodded?
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Post Post #1512 (isolation #66) » Fri Mar 25, 2011 6:28 pm

Post by zoraster »

Fate: Is SD distancing from RC?
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Post Post #1541 (isolation #67) » Sun Mar 27, 2011 12:58 pm

Post by zoraster »

I think SD is trying to sow WIFOM or something, but it hardly matters.

the deadline is tomorrow. I've given you the not-influenced-by-scum lynch of AGM. I have heard no case better than that for any of the people I mentioned as possibilities. Make your case now or vote AGM. It is time.
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Post Post #1547 (isolation #68) » Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:01 pm

Post by zoraster »

AlmasterGM wrote:/prod dodge.

Posting coming tomorrow night.
You mean AFTER the deadline?
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Post Post #1550 (isolation #69) » Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:14 pm

Post by zoraster »

Quit whining about having to vote for someone.
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Post Post #1553 (isolation #70) » Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:23 pm

Post by zoraster »

I cannot believe you're putting so much emphasis on who SD was attacking. How's this for damning even if we "have" to assume SD is scum: AGM didn't want to vote SD. Like, really didn't want to: http://www.mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopi ... 8#p2866398 follow that area of the thread.
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Post Post #1583 (isolation #71) » Mon Mar 28, 2011 7:31 am

Post by zoraster »

how about an AGM vote then, Fate?
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Post Post #1585 (isolation #72) » Mon Mar 28, 2011 7:33 am

Post by zoraster »

Scum
---
AGM
VV
VPB
Concission
LuckayLuck
Jarti
Fate
RedCoyote
crypto
---
Town
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Post Post #1589 (isolation #73) » Mon Mar 28, 2011 7:39 am

Post by zoraster »

I don't use just one factor for determining my scum list.

crypto I admit isn't coming across nearly as town, maybe he should move up... but that's only because he's been lurky. Crypto is usually pretty active scum or town, so I don't really see that as a scum tell.

As between you and RC, yes if it came down to it it's between you and RC, but my feelings between you aren't so strong that I want to lynch my 7th best scum read over my 8th best. At a minimum it requires me to try and get people to see the wisdom of the AGM lynch given my confirmed town status and then make a "game time decision" when we're a bit closer (although deadline is in 3 hours).
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Post Post #1590 (isolation #74) » Mon Mar 28, 2011 7:40 am

Post by zoraster »

oh, and as I stated before... didn't want VPB lynched today, but depending on flips, etc. tomorrow he makes a solid choice.
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Post Post #1592 (isolation #75) » Mon Mar 28, 2011 7:42 am

Post by zoraster »

fair enough
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Post Post #2410 (isolation #76) » Fri Apr 22, 2011 11:05 am

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Yeah, the mechanic makes it really tough for town to do much of anything.

I disagree with VP. I hate when deadlines are extended for very long, even when it's for replacements.
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Post Post #2411 (isolation #77) » Fri Apr 22, 2011 11:07 am

Post by zoraster »

oh...

1) what players thought of the set up

I thought the setup was fine, but I don't think it took into account just how hard it is to scum hunt under those guidelines. The tracker dying early didn't help, of course, but without any way of protecting him, he was of limited use anyway.

2) did they feel with the delay in knowing the roles that it may not fall under the Open guidelines
Yeah, it worked well as an open game.

3) would they play it again. If so why/or why not?

Probably not. It was an interesting idea, but not one I'm anxious to try again.
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