Open 559:Diffusion of Power - Game Over!
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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Has anyone ever seen a scumwagon form so quickly on day one? Balance of probability tells me salmanca is probably town, though their reaction was odd to say the least.
Don't particularly like insanity's 'fos' on salamanca, pretty sure everyone is looking at them with suspicion at the moment. I'm more inclined to think the people bandwagoning away on salamnaca are more scummy than he is.
what's a mentoring hydra? one partner does most of the work and the other observes?-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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tbh, it was more like I don't like 'fos' in general, if you find someone suspicious vote for them? and in this case, it looked like insanity was trying to sound like they were battling with whether sala was scum or not, but in actual fact was going to vote for them all alongIn post 108, U SUX wrote:Was going to post waaayy earlier but my internet went out.
This is basically the reason I didn't put Salamence at L-1 when I had the chance. That being said...In post 94, BoroPhil wrote:Has anyone ever seen a scumwagon form so quickly on day one? Balance of probability tells me salmanca is probably town, though their reaction was odd to say the least.
Ok, insanity is suspicious because she's not fully committing to Sal, but then you turn around and say the wagon is scummy? Doesn't that kind of behavior hint at the same kind of uncertainty you were talking about? I don't follow.In post 94, BoroPhil wrote:Don't particularly like insanity's 'fos' on salamanca, pretty sure everyone is looking at them with suspicion at the moment. I'm more inclined to think the people bandwagoning away on salamnaca are more scummy than he is.
I do follow you, however, on how shitty it is for people to be pushing Salamence more for unvoting himself. Reinoe especially looks bad. That doesn't clear Sal IMO, though. My gut says Salamence was flailing, so it could always be powerbussing scum-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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I guess it's not surprising that you pick the other 2 to target from the 3 I pointed out. why are they scum and you aren't?In post 195, insanity018 wrote:Do not misrepresent me, U SUX. At no stage have I tried to 'get something started' on BC. They are a town read. All I did was point out something that I found slightly odd and explained the two ways that I interpreted it.
I don't really agree with you about these posts being particularly town (or scummy for that matter). I like 180 though.In post 151, Burning Crystal wrote:U SUX
Sal is town because of #18 (has an opinion he sticks to), #46 (sticks to unpopular opinion) and #60 (again providing analysis with clear reasons) and #105 (clear explanation). Sal is not a player of many words.
If Salamence is town, I think that one of Victor/Doctor is likely scum and
UNVOTE: VOTE: Victor
definitely seems off to me.
@ShadedMelee, thoughts on the game would be highly appreciated.-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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Sala does need to post some more. Ok, we think his spaz out was town, but that's not enough, you might actually want to contribute now?
bjc - I'm happy to go along with the idea that your self-voting could not possibly have come from scum, but a) your desire for rushing and b) your apparent certainty about scum gives me bad feelings.
why are we voting for elk?
and why aren't we voting for insanity?-
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remind me why they've claimed scum? because they obviously haven't?
how does that compute with '[prepping] a vote on [you]'?bjc - I'm happy to go along with the idea that your self-voting could not possibly have come from scum
I actually come from a site where deadlines are 2 days long max. and I appreciate having that bit longer, particularly on day one-
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elk has made 6 posts, doc has made 8. looks to me like you are going after easy targets. the only one who has made as little is insanity, so I guess you could aim the same thing at me, but Insanity (and doc, Victor) jumped on the sala lynch so they strike me as the best targets.
so, if your conclusion was doc, I might agree, but why have we switched to elk? just because he hit on your early play? I think it's town, but lets face it, it isn't that obvious?-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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that's two quite fast wagons we've had now that have accelerated for no real reason. I'm really struggling to see what is so bad as well about 278 especially as Y_and_B has essentially contributed nothing but fluff.
and anyone suggesting they are 'compromise' voting at this stage is just looking for an excuse to get a vote down on an easy wagon. we've got loads of time left. why not argue your case on U SUX more?-
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bjc, did I miss the bit where you were confirmed as town?
SM's 323 is pretty much spot on. YB and Victor are a good top two - when I re-ISO YB it really is quite a leap from 176 when US has 'scumslipped' to 196 when they weren't 'ready to lay my life down'. when you add this to the sucking up to byc/Titus and now the bandwagoning, it's a good call.
YB - at 321 you say you have contributed your reads. where?
SM - would like to hear your thoughts on Insanity and Doctor though - they would be my 4 scummiest atm, with Insanity still out in front.
Don't like doc's 326 - only 2 scum reads which does smack of trying to play safe a bit, and then has the two of the three most active as townreads. trying to curry favour?
however, bjc's 330 in response turns into a pretty horrendous post - considering he is currently on a terrible wagon.-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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looking forward to this btwIn post 315, theelkspeaks wrote:Prod received, VLA lasted a bit longer than expected. Catching up now.-
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do you intend to be non-busy at any time during this game?In post 382, VictorDeAngelo wrote:PTAP. Busy weekend, Far too much time focusing on football to play, so I'll be around either late tomorrow or Monday.-
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In post 109, U SUX wrote:Decisionz decisionzzzzz
I kinda want to lynch Sal anyways so we can look at the wagoners and pushers in more detail, buuuut some auxiliary scumminess has popped up around it and I wonder if town might be better served by jumping on that
For now my tentative lynchpool is:
Sal
reinoe
insanity
maaaaybe elk
maaaaybe Docthorr
We couldbenefit from all players actually being here to give their angle on things.reaaaalllly
@Mod: it seems you weren't counting Sal's self vote before he unvoted. Was that a mistake or are you a mod who doesn't count them?
before we speedlynch anyone can we see if we can work out who his partners are? I'd also like to hear from him first as well.In post 170, U SUX wrote:New lynchpool:
elk
Victor
insanity
Docthorr
insanity just acquires a cleverer flavor of scumminess if we are thinking Sal probtown, her failed attempt at getting something started on BC indicative on not wanting to be on the easy wagon but not being able to find a scapegoat.
Unsure about reinoe, that interaction with Sal springboarding off of Doc's vote did seem scummy, but he rightly called Y&B out on his bullshit play of his own accord, and seemed genuinely interested in settling his differences with BC over Victor.
Dunno about Y&B themselves either.
SM is an empty slot that's hopefully getting filled soon
BoroPhil is null lean town, no major contributions from him yet
Officially in Hershey Kiss' pocket for D1.
Think that's everything I haven't explained.
Sala went from scummy to probtown in the reads. although reinoe also moved. consistent scum reads on elk, insanity and doctor.-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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Well townreads are
ShadedMelee
Young and Beautiful (assumed conftown)
Burning Crystal
bjc (probable conftown)
one from
[doctor, elk, insanity]
as I think Usux would have put one of hit buddies in his consistent scum reads. insanity would be my pick from them
which leaves
Salamence20
Hershey Kiss
Assuming sala is telling the truth, I'd say hershey.
everyone else?-
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I'm fine with the first two but why BC? Because they haven't agreed with you on everything?In post 490, bjc wrote:Hershey, Doc, and BC all die and I'm pretty sure it's game over. I need to read D1 real quick to confirm.
If you said hershey, doc, insanity/elk I'd agree with you.
I still have lingering doubts over Sala, but he actually made a very good point at 485. Insanity's end of day posts made me feel a lot better about him as well.
Can we not hammer Hershey though until elk and doc actually get a chance to speak? They haven't posted in here for 6 real life days ffs.-
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Would scum really do that?In post 516, Hershey Kiss wrote:If I was scum trying to stay alive I'd say I was Night 2 cop with a guilty. But my role says I act on Night 4 and that's the truth and you'll know that when I'm dead.
I think they would be more likely to pick a strong looking town player and 'clear' them - which is why I have lingering doubts on sala. The negative to scum is you effectively clear the other player one way or the other, though if they are obvtown that doesn't really matter. I'm not sure bjc is/was obvtown, but he's obviously very active.
Surely an even easier play would be to claim N1 or N2 doc. Then you could pick anyone and you wouldn't inadvertently clear anyone.
The worst scumplay would be to pick a future cop night - but it would be the most tempting play to them as it tries to give people a reason to keep them alive. Which is what I think you have done.
VOTE: Hershey-
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1 post in 2 days. what are your reads?In post 520, theelkspeaks wrote:I agree that Hershey's weasel half-claim is a little troubling. Why say you act on N4 if you're not going to claim whether you're a cop or a doc. Furthermore, claiming a Night 4 cop makes it difficult, though not impossible, that you will survive until then. After all, we don't know on what days the doctors will have protects.
Also, I just want to say that Day 2 came and went so very quickly. But I guess that's what happens when there's a claimed guilty result?-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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BC - bjc has to be conftown doesn't he?
Sala cleared him, so either Sala and bjc are scum together or bjc is town. surely scum wouldn't run the risk of outing two of them like that?
Salacouldbe scum though - clear the most active town looking player and gain massive towncred. but again, I'm thinking that is surely a massive risk at that stage?
Having said all that, elk/doctor are good lynches today. Low on activity, and now elk puts in the faux concern about the quick days?
VOTE: elk-
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BoroPhil Mafia Scum
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because it's quite clear you want to go after him and I couldn't work out why considering he was conftown. which he obviously isn't now.In post 553, Burning Crystal wrote:BoroPhil, why are you asking if bjc must be conftown?There's no remaining cop clear on him so no, he does not. Sal revoked her claim to have checked bjc. I just explained WHY I pushed Sal there.
Sal could engage in that gambit for a multitude of reasons as either alignment. It needs more pressing.
Right now, this head is content to sit back for awhile and watch the wagons work.
~Titus
This head is VLA until Tuesday. My other head has carte blance to do whatever, but I will skype from time to time with him. Don't think you're sneaking ANYTHING past me.
which changes things a lot - but more in sala's case than bjc's I would say-
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I also like this post, perhaps bar the lynch pool. I still think bjc is probably town but the fact he hasn't been cleared brings him right back into it. I'd still have elk ahead of bjc, but that's more for what he hasn't done rather than what he has done.In post 559, insanity018 wrote:
This is a lie. You were the first one to put down a vote on Hershey.In post 551, bjc wrote:I lost sight of him and went with the flow/got complacent. Who gives a shit?
I think that there is a good chance that at least one of bjc and Salamence is scum. Of the two, I still think that Salamence is more likely.
Salamence:I cannot see the town motivation in faking that innocent on bjc.Particularly when bjc was a constant null to scum read for him during Day 1. So, with this in mind, it makes no sense for town Salamence to do a complete 180 between days 1 and 2 and start sheeping bjc's reads.
Bjc: I'm uneasy about the way he is setting up lynches.
Lynch pool:Salamence/Doctorr/bjc
but the bolded is surely spot on - I was wondering if there was even less scum motivation in claiming then un-claiming, but of course the motivation is to put the pressure back on bjc.
overall, I'd say my read on insanity has flipped full circle in this game-
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and this is pathetic, town or scum.
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wasn't really pressure though was it (like you say, that would have been L-1)? it was just at not getting his own way and/or people listening to him and that could be either way.In post 576, bjc wrote:Elk - does sal really seem like the type that would replace out because of pressure?
Why not replace out early when he was put to L-1 (or before then, or even shortly after)? Those statistics related to newbie games do not apply here.-
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I think if Sala was still here I'd be voting for them which begs the question why aren't I now. I'm just not convinced that scum would replace out in those circumstances though I think I have been surprised by that before.
There really was very little town motivation to do what they did (the fakeclaim)-
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In post 596, bjc wrote:It is insulting to Sala to think one couldn't handle "the pressure" of a few blokes asking about a faked inno.
I CAN understand, however, replacing out because you can't stand arguing with a brick wall (titus). Oh boy can I side with that!
Just stop. I don't understand why in many games town members try assuming that the scum team have a collective IQ of 30. Really guys? And if it isn't town it's scum driven. So enough with Sal's slot. Doctor/insanity goes today, I think. I would prefer Doc as I'm most convinced with him. I'd rather shuffle through the mess of Elk/insanity/everyone else tomorrow.
your 2nd paragraph could equally apply to scum. you are just describing frustration, I don't see how that is alignment indicative?-
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These were USUX's scum reads. One of [elk, insanity, doc] is surely scum as like you say, scum tend to have one of their buddies in their lists.In post 463, BoroPhil wrote:In post 109, U SUX wrote:Decisionz decisionzzzzz
I kinda want to lynch Sal anyways so we can look at the wagoners and pushers in more detail, buuuut some auxiliary scumminess has popped up around it and I wonder if town might be better served by jumping on that
For now my tentative lynchpool is:
Sal
reinoe
insanity
maaaaybe elk
maaaaybe Docthorr
We couldbenefit from all players actually being here to give their angle on things.reaaaalllly
@Mod: it seems you weren't counting Sal's self vote before he unvoted. Was that a mistake or are you a mod who doesn't count them?
before we speedlynch anyone can we see if we can work out who his partners are? I'd also like to hear from him first as well.In post 170, U SUX wrote:New lynchpool:
elk
Victor
insanity
Docthorr
insanity just acquires a cleverer flavor of scumminess if we are thinking Sal probtown, her failed attempt at getting something started on BC indicative on not wanting to be on the easy wagon but not being able to find a scapegoat.
Unsure about reinoe, that interaction with Sal springboarding off of Doc's vote did seem scummy, but he rightly called Y&B out on his bullshit play of his own accord, and seemed genuinely interested in settling his differences with BC over Victor.
Dunno about Y&B themselves either.
SM is an empty slot that's hopefully getting filled soon
BoroPhil is null lean town, no major contributions from him yet
Officially in Hershey Kiss' pocket for D1.
Think that's everything I haven't explained.
Sala went from scummy to probtown in the reads. although reinoe also moved. consistent scum reads on elk, insanity and doctor.
elk/doc is where I'm leaning.
having said that, I don't think your case on doc is much of a case - analysing nightkills is always WIFOM and only the fact he was continuously in his lynchpool makes me think one of them will be scum.
then it comes down to who looks the scummiest, more PoE than anything - since insanity looks town - Elk just hasn't got involved, looks like typical lurking scum to me (although admittedly Doc isn't much better, 15 v 20 posts or something?-
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how certain are you?In post 607, theelkspeaks wrote:Going off the U SUX's reads' list tell, I want to vote for docthor,because I know that insanity and I are town.However, doing so would put him at L-1 and after the last two days' speedlynches, I'd rather not make an L-1 vote yet. Consider this willingness to vote Docthor.-
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where did you crumb?In post 668, Prof Fridays wrote:Titus, I'm the Night 4 Doctor. Crumbed on my third or fourth post (somewhat unintentionally; I thought the mod made a mistake, but I misread the rules, haha). If you have information, this could be gg.-
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I've never seen it before and I've been here 19 months had to look in the wiki.
I don't think Sala would have put a fake cop result on his buddy, so that's why I'm inclined to clear bjc. I think Prof is trying to suck up to BC now which would indicate BC is town. and unless I'm horribly wrong insanity is town.
POE leads me to you along with Prof.-
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