mini 1410: mafia in the unknown (game over!)
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Revenus
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As for people calling me out on not scumhunting yet; we're barely out of RVS and I'm feeling out the players so I don't see a need to park my vote yet.
The replace questions/meta is stupid;town gets replaced more often because there are more town slots; I think Cheery said this; points to cheery. Don't use this as a basis to vote people, it's dumb as people can replace out for any number of reasons.
Chevre is really off to me right now; based off this
In post 37, Chevre wrote:Norlkaz - Sorry I didn't make it more specific; what did you mean by such a request?
Shepherd Book - I'm going through a time where my thoughts on this game (the whole of Mafia, not just Mini 1410) are conflicted. I'm just very unsure whether or not there are truly psychological differences in town and non-town players, especially in a game where the stakes are very low. Therefore, it seems that odds are more trusty right now, but I cannot be sure where I will go from here.
It feels like he's somehow setting himself up for later for a wierd play...I don't know, it's just strange to say this when its pretty fucking obvious that there are differences between town and scum.-
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In post 59, Norlkaz wrote:Consider yourself a mafioso reading over a new game. Is the thought "gee, this is some nice scumhunting" liable to pop into your head / make you happy? UVApe appears to have read the thread and then written down things it made sense for a townie in his position to think as he thought them. One true psychological difference between town and mafia is that most mafia simply have a filter in place. I feel quite good about UVApe and am uninterested in lynching him today.
Great post, many town points for Norkalaz-
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Revenus - If there are obvious differences between town and non-town, why do we mislynch from time to time?
Because town is stupid.
@Rev
Why did you wait until your fifth post of the game to make a vote? You jutted into the Chevre/Norlkaz, showing you were, in fact, reading it closely. Closely enough to comment on a response, even if it was probably sarcastic, by Norl to a question from Chevre. To comment there, you probably had to find something wrong with his response, but you didn't place a vote.
I'm confused; I placed a vote RIGHT after I posted/commented on the situation. What the hell are you talking about?-
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That said, why didn't you vote Chevre then? It was RVS, and you thought what she was saying was strange, doesn't that warrant a vote?
I was on my phone when I posted that, for whatever reason I missed Norklaz's post.
As for why I didn't vote Chevre then, I prefer my actual-non RVS votes to have a little more weight behind them.
And yes, I know RVS is something, but it's more like very little of something. I don't think I've ever looked at someone's RVS vote to make a call on their towniness/scuminess.-
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In post 95, Norlkaz wrote:In post 90, Revenus wrote:unvote
concerned at the fact this wagon sprang up so fast i don't want no quickhammers
I actually find quickness of a d1 wagon to be rather the opposite of a cause for concern.
I have observed and been part of several games in which town lynched mafia rapidly in succession with alternative wagons barely appearing.
Fast lynches on town seem less common, especially considering the relative preponderance of townies in the game.
I have some ideas about the reasons for this phenomenon, but regardless of those the fact that it exists is a reason I am perfectly happy to proceed with a fast lynch on Chevre.
I should mention that the neural patterns I have built up via mafia experience (seeing the same thing multiple times from mafia positively reinforces a pattern, from town negatively) are firing when I read Chevre's posts and telling me that Chevre will flip scum. This is also known as gut, and while I can communicate some of the patterns, getting their full complexity across (i.e. when is a player doing X scum and when is a similar behavior town) is often difficult. I am not infallible, but I do have an unusually high rate of getting these things right.
I was expecting you to justify your scumspicion on me by sayin something logical like "oh ur just covering ur ass since u don't actualy want ur scum partner to die" or something that would make sense with your earlier thing of calling me scum.
BUT NO. You instead justify your case by saying it's somehow pro-town that quicklynches happen. What? If we mislynch in this scenario it fucks town since we have much less time to discuss things and establish links (and lackthereof) between players. I'd actually like to see you link examples of games where quick lynches happened. Anyways, serious FOS at ROFL for this antitown line of thinking.-
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In post 89, roflcopter wrote:well, i've read. use less words people.
norkalz and restfermata are town
vote: chevre
iaaun is his partner
You want to actually explain yourself?-
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Let's see; getting townreads from ego(edo, whatever), shepherd for their calling me out so far and then backing off in a natural manner.
Cool Dog gives me town vibes as well, although I'm not quite sure if it's just him or him+cheery because I keep confusing the two.
Norklaz had a great post, followed by a really strange scummy post, but then again given his overall play so far I'll slide him into the town pile.
Chevre of course is scummy as all and has been playing very unnaturally, but I don't like how fast his wagon has grown...we'll see how he responds to some of the allegations thrown his way.
Rofl needs to explain his reads next time he posts or I'm going to be jumping on that wagon.
If I haven't mentioned you then you need to step it up and be more town.-
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Except people are stupid and if they quickhammer, somehow half the time town finds a way not to lynch them for quickhammering because of "wifom" "Why would scum ever quickhammer knowing that they'd get lynched, blah blah blah". People don't have the balls to autolynch people who quickhammer half of the time, and people don't have the balls to PL, so I don't trust town to get it right in this situation.
We have 11 days left; why do you want someone at l-1 or l-2 so quickly? If we get him to l-1 and force a claim here's what's going to happen; everyone is going to scramble off and throw someone else to l-1 and we'll still have 7 days left with our thumbs up our asses. I don't want to hand scum PRs to shoot at ok?
If activity were better, I'd be more ok with a Chevre lynch, but we have people like ROFLcopter running in and going "lol i don't need any reason to post reads vote:chevre"
It's unsettling.
We have way too many people posting way too little.-
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Going to put RestFermata in the town pile for that great post.
As for Cooldog, he loses points for following Cheery onto my wagon for reasons Rest pointed out; if me being scum is contingent on Chevre being scum, then why lynch me first? You mislynch, then you go back the next day and go hurr durr well Chevre is scum anyways. That's poor thinking.
Ok, we'll throw Cooldog back into the null pile. Cheery is the lone dog leaning town now.
Cheery:Don't construe me wanting to have more time in the day as the same thing as waiting 7 hours before deadline. If we have 2 or 3 days left and are set on a lynch, I'm fine with a hammer then, but it's dumb to say we shouldn't use the time we have.
Norklaz; I haven't gotten around to reading those games yet, but if it's like you say, then I can buy why YOU feel that quickhammers are ok, but personally I find the more we have to review for players the better we can draw connections between flipped scum and their buddies lurking amongst town. You can go back in the town pile.
Contrived. Quickhammering is principally an end-game tactic. Quickhammering DOES put the offenders under a lot of scrutiny no matter what. I can sort of see how a person who plays a game where people refused to lynch the quick-hammerers could feel like it "always" happens, but I can also easily see how scum might make up an excuse like the fear of a quickhammer in order to defend hopping off a teammate's bandwagon, and defend that position with vague anecdotal evidence. I'm with CooLDoG's previous position on this--if we find out that Chev is scum, I'm willing to bet that you're a part of that team.
I hate using previous game meta, but I always hop off wagons of people who get to l-1 too early (which I thought he was at).
Nevermind that we had 3-4 votes on him over the span of 2 pages and we have people like rofl/zhero/iaaun etc who have barely posted at all so far. If any of them are scum and we quicklynch, we have nothing to gain off Chevre's flip, at all.-
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Do we actually have enough time to lynch someone else constructively if the first time we have someone on L-1 is 3-4 days before deadline and tthat person is then deemed to not be lynchable afterall?
Fair enough.
As for CoolDog; you've constructed yourself quite a logic loop there; in this scenario for you, Chevre is scum no matter what, and because Chevre is scum, I'm therefore scum. Yet you want to lynch me first, even though for you, my scumminess is directly related to if Chevre is scum or not.
Clarification; you jumped on Chevre's wagon because you claimed you think he is scum. That's fair. Then you jump on *my* wagon because you say we're scumbuddies. However, your logic of lynching me first is dumb if the only reason you think I'm scum is that I'm somehow trying to protect Chevre. Why? Because the original reason you think Chevre is scum is independent of whether I'm scum, and so therefore your logic of "if rev is scum, then chevre is scum" is flawed.-
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Doesn't change the fact that you are dumb for worrying about a quick hammer. You simply didn't want to be on your bud's wagon because you got scared that it would have pushed over. Noob scum mistake. If you are going to bus you had better not get cold feet half-way though. That's the golden rule of busing, you iz in it till the end.
Yeah except, no, since I'm not bussing anyone, try again. I never said I suddenly don't think he's scum, I just don't want the wagon to build up that quickly. Learn to read. If I had been like "oh look, I don't think he's scum anymore" you might have a point, but I never fucking said that.-
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The most probable thing that happened here is that scum daykilled norklaz because he was very very right about a lot of things; I don't really buy rest as scum (for now) but instead will be looking for people who aren't Boshka/Chevre who WIFOM the daykill when it's very very obvious why scum would daykill a player. If norlkaz was completely wrong about everything then there's no reason scum would shoot him.-
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In post 174, iamausername wrote:i'm fully aware that i am heavily implicated if it turns out that i'm wrong about chevre and i have made my peace with that eventuality because i'm clearly not wrong about chevre because restfermata is screamingly obvious scum
I'm gonna say that it's probably boshka/chevre, and then one of the lurker/null people from norklaz's list. I actually like rest's content so far and I haven't seen anything really scummy from you-
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Going to iso everyone real quick; feel free to correct me if I miss anything on you.
IAAUN:His first post is great as he calls me town thumbs up but no in all seriousness I'd be null on this dude if norklaz's weren't vouching for him. thoughts on other players maybe? Slightly townish
Cheery: Hasn't really done anything except throw out questions and not really follow up on them. Also has voted me. Null/scum
CoolDog:Town for reasons I've already listed.
Chevre:post one; non committal let's roll a dice to see who's scum bullshit. Then his next 5 posts are very very mechanical sounding posts about how he can't tell if there's difference between town and scum or some bullshit.
Then the rest of his post are more questions relating to this. Either scum or highly autistic. I'm going to assume he's just scum.
RestFermata: Iso changes nothing on him. Like his content, like that he's asking good questions and following up on them, don't see the scumcase on him.
Zhero;worthless low post count, going to throw him in the scum pile on sheer virtue of being a useless turd so far. Also for somehow reading rofl as town when rofl had like 2 posts when Zhero said it was gut.
Rofl:Well, I guess if Norklaz is vouching for you, I'm cool with that, although I don't like the lack of posts. Null/town
Edo:Voted me for not participating in RVS. and then he posted
. Which is not true either, I partcipate when I want to. Anyways, somewhat scummy for keeping his vote on me even after discovering this.A quick check seems to show that not participating in RVS is your meta
Boshka: Either total noob or Chevre's scumpartner. Probably not the guy who shot Norklaz since he hasn't been on for a while. I agree that the whole "WHAT SHOULD I THINK ABOUT THE DAYVIG" thing is bad, but it's even worse because that's all he's really talked about besides some RVS bullshit.
scummy.
UVAPE: I'm getting absolutely nothing off this slot but I do find it ironic that he posted
We'll throw him in the potential scum pile for now based off of sheer inactivity/uselessness.Is a prod of Boshkas appropriate here , Mod?
Shepherd: Probably my second strongest townread next to Cooldog. Which isn't saying much because none of you are giving me much in the way of townreads. Leaning town.-
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In post 149, Revenus wrote:I can't tell if you're being a moron with your logic loop or scummy.
Probably the first, but then again, this is why scum lay low on day one so weaker players like you don't focus on them. It's cool.
Actually this was the last post I had about him.-
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There are two possiblities here. One is that he's scum insisting that his logic loop is right, and another is that he's stupid and doesn't realize how stupid his logic loop is. Looking over the rest of his play, I'm leaning towards the second one.
Also influencing my decision to call him town is because he's pretty active so far in a game where scum can feel free to idle cause obviously some town are doing that.-
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In post 116, Cheery Dog wrote:In post 110, Revenus wrote:
We have 11 days left; why do you want someone at l-1 or l-2 so quickly? If we get him to l-1 and force a claim here's what's going to happen; everyone is going to scramble off and throw someone else to l-1 and we'll still have 7 days left with our thumbs up our asses. I don't want to hand scum PRs to shoot at ok?
Would you rather us not put anyone onto L-1 until 7 hours to deadline?
We don't need to use all the time until the deadline.
VOTE: rev
Oh, so you were just voting me because I don't want a quicklynch?
What the fuck.-
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"if we get him to L-1",
No shit, why would I be using a general principle to refer to something that wasn't happening in this game.
I'm not you so I don't know why you care if what he is on, but as per normal with why people do stuff then has them ask that question about - towncred gains.
I actually reread this sentence 3 times and still don't know what you're trying to say.
Scum don't want their easy mislynches dead day 1, nor do they want to have to use a fakeclaim day 1 and have to fake wonder at living through the night.
Yea, except A. I'm on his wagon now, so your first point is bull, and B. I didn't want his claim THIS early, since then he gets a free pass for the rest of the day if he is actually scum. Your point about me wanting a scummate to fakeclaim is retarded, since in this setup, 95% of the time d1 fakeclaims will get caught.-
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Also, I assumed you thought Chevre was scum because the point of me potentially being his scummate makes sense logically. However, if you had a town/null read on Chevre to begin with, how the fuck would me not wanting a quicklynch or jumping off his wagon early make you think I'm scum. And then if you don't even think the quicklynch is why I'm scummy, your case logically makes no sense at all.-
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No shit, there's a specific instance in this game that aligns with my general philosophy regarding quickhammers so of course I'm going to point to the specific example in this game.You're talking about the specific instance and not that happening it general and doesn't make sense with your beliefs about how likely quickhammers occur.
Your question was pointless and I therefore gave a just as pointless obvious answer back at you.
So you're not going to explain what you were trying to say.
I'm leaning more towards you know he is town that him being a scum partner. The fact you're on the wagon again now doesn't change your history with him. Someone has been shot now, so taking an easy mislynch you might be willing to do now that the main pusher of said wagon is dead.
So because the guy who was so town that scum shot him was pushing a wagon, therefore this wagon is a easy mislynch? Explain this logic to me.-
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