Mini 1791: Mildly Dangerous Mafia [GAME OVER]

[BNL]

Expedience, why is Apricity town?

Because Dwlee is scum.

VOTE: Dwlee

This is just going to drag on isn't it.

I don't have the energy for a Compelling Case at the moment, and nothing is changing. Dwlee keeps posting like scum, Performer / zakk / other towns keep overanalyzing.

In other words, you're *soooo* confident that Dwlee's scum, you don't need to reread other people to compare their scumminess?

Btw, we all know you're scum (except maybe Titus), we're just not lynching you because it's not optimal to lynch in BGs.

[BNL]

Actually, I should remind myself of this:

Wait a minute I forgot Exp was voting Dwlee. That makes me feel better about Dwlee.

I think I'll wait for Apricity to post a bit more, and if nothing makes me like her posting that's where I'll likely be voting.

[BNL]

Wow OK, I just found a breaking strategy for this game which ensures a 100% win rate if Titus has even just one inno, and a 67% chance without it:

We first decide on a town in the VTs. If Titus has an inno, this is 100% certain, otherwise only 67%. Then we have
1 WBG
1 Town
2 VT
3 BG

Lynch a VT today, then have each BG protect one non-BG each. This will cause one BG to die, and we lynch the other VT tomorrow. Then, we force another BG death by doing another 1-to-1 mapping, which outs the scum BG.

If we lynch scum today, we can force a reduction in the BG pool via 1-to-1 mapping BGs to VTs.

In the case that scum kill whoever the fake BG is protecting, we lynch that BG, then the other VT on the last Day.

I have Performer town in the VTs. Once we can all agree to a VT town we can win.

[BNL]

Can you agree on Performer town?

[BNL]

We have 3 unconfirmed in the VT pool but we have only one mislynch left so that's why we can't guarantee a town win.

I'm fine with Titus' BG assignments except that I want Asphodel to guard Dwlee regardless of Apri's flip.

Let's see what Titus thinks and when we're ready, I'll hammer.

[BNL]

Titus. Is your N1 inno result still alive? If so, we've already won.

[BNL]

If apricity flips town:

Bnl on titus
Asphodel on BNL
Expedience on asphodel

Okay, so, if apricity flips town we don't put

any

bgs in performer or myself because they can't kill in the vts anyway without outing the goon/traitor. Because of this we put the bgs on the bodyguards so that if:
You die: BNL becomes confirmed scum
BNL dies: Asphodel becomes confirmed scum
Asphodel dies: Expedience is confirmed scum
and finally
Expedience dies: He either ends up flipping traitor or town we would have mislynched anyway, which leaves us the options between bnl and asphodel and since I'm very sure of bnl town we can lynch asphodel as he is most likely to be scum if expedience is town.
If apricity flips scum:

Expedience on titus
BNL on Me
Asphodel on Performer
(Or however you want to mix these bodyguards up)
This protects all the confirmed town (performer and I become confirmed town with an apricity scum flip)
and forces scum to kill someone in the bodyguard pool.

This plan doesn't exactly work as you say it. In the first case, none of the bodyguards you said will become confirmed scum (except for me) because scum can just kill whoever the BG is protecting to kill the BG which is protected by another BG.

Nevertheless, there is nothing too wrong with the plan, so I am fine with using it.

[BNL]

If apricity flips scum:

Expedience on titus

VOTE: Expedience

[BNL]

VOTE: No lynch

???

[BNL]

Prodge.

Someone please hammer Expedience (it's all I'm waiting for right now). I also don't like the above post.